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CeeDee Lamb - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

CeeDee Lamb
DAL

WR DAL

#21 Wide Receiver

154 Projected Points

ADP: 4.11
Bye: 7
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 198
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Wide Receiver

154 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.11 83 1082 7 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

135.5

DS Projection

154

Consensus

38 other sites
116

Med Ceiling

187.9

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Lamb got off to a strong start before Dak Prescott went down. After Week 5 (Prescott’s injury game), the rookie was on pace for:
    • 93 catches
    • 1,386 yards
    • 6 TDs
  • His 16-game pace over the remaining 11 contests:
    • 65 catches
    • 730 yards
    • 4 TDs
  • Lamb’s catch rate and yards per reception dipped after Prescott’s injury. He went from a 73% catch rate with Prescott to 63.5% with all other QBs. The rookie’s yards per reception fell from 15.3 with Prescott to 11.2 without him.
  • That came despite his average depth of target actually seeing a slight boost. Lamb had a 10.00 ADOT through Prescott’s 4 full games, according to Pro Football Focus. It was 10.13 from Week 6 on. (The QB went down in the 2nd quarter of Week 5.)
  • Lamb ranked 56th in PFF receiving grade among 200 targeted wideouts, trailing Amari Cooper but ahead of Michael Gallup.
  • Lamb ranked 2nd on the team in targets as a rookie, leading Gallup by just 6 targets. The rookie led the trio in targets 3 times in 16 games, tying for the lead 2 other times. Cooper led 6 times and Gallup 4.
  • The medians for weekly targets for the trio went: Cooper 7.5, Lamb 7, Gallup 6.
  • Dallas WRs collectively gathered their largest share of targets since 2017, ranking 8th in the league last season. That could leave room for a move in either direction: a larger slice going back to TE in 2021 with Blake Jarwin back -- or the Cowboys’ dynamic (and still young) WR trio commanding even more.
  • The rookie ran 93.2% of his snaps from the slot, according to PFF. He still beat Cooper in ADOT for the season, 10.32 to 9.49.
  • Lamb certainly showed the ability to work downfield in college, averaging 19.0 yards per reception for his 3-year Oklahoma career.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

There is plenty to get excited about with this former 1st-round pick, and it wouldn’t shock us if Lamb finishes 2021 as Dallas’ top-scoring fantasy WR. The only problem with his fantasy outlook is that drafters are extremely excited. As of this writing, Lamb sits 13th among wideouts in FFPC best-ball ADP -- going at the Round 3-4 turn.

Lamb is good enough to break into the position’s top 12 in his 2nd season, but sharing the field with Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup will make that more of a challenge than it might be in plenty of other places. We don’t want to be totally out on Lamb, but that WR13 price doesn’t come close to matching our WR22 PPR projection on him.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cowboys OC Kellen Moore said Friday that WR CeeDee Lamb will “play all over the field” in year 2. Lamb ran 95.4% of his routes from the slot as a rookie, but Moore pointed to the COVID offseason as a limiting factor. The Oklahoma product carries top-12 upside into the fall.

View all CeeDee Lamb Shark Bites »

The Cowboys added Oklahoma WR CeeDee Lamb with the 17th overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft. He joins Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup in a loaded WR corps. Lamb turned in a brilliant 3-year college career. He made an immediate impact as a true freshman, ranking 3rd on the Sooners behind Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews with 46 catches and 807 yards and tying for 2nd with 7 TDs. Lamb’s numbers grew to 65 catches, 1,158 yards and 11 scores in 2018. And he pumped out a massive 62-1,327-14 line this past year. Lamb’s 15.1 yards per target and 3.99 yards per route run in 2019 were easily tops among 30 of this year’s best WR prospects. The 6’2, 198-pounder is a beast after the catch, ranking top 5 among all draft-eligible players in both missed tackles forced and yards-after-catch average. He’s also a weapon downfield with his long-striding speed and plus ball skills. We see a lot of Demaryius Thomas in Lamb’s game — although DeAndre Hopkins seems to be his most popular comp. Lamb is joining what was 1 of the most efficient passing games in the NFL last year, although he’ll be battling for targets with Cooper and Gallup. QB Dak Prescott’s stock gets a significant boost here.

View all CeeDee Lamb Shark Bites »

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