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Chris Godwin - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChris Godwin's Basic Stats

Chris Godwin
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.42
Speed Score: 109.50
SPARQx (Rank): 128.30 (96%)
Burst Score (Rank): 124.20 (67%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.01 (75%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.21 (80%)

Chris Godwin's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.9 70 0.5 10
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.2 65.7 0.4 8.8

Chris Godwin's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#26 Wide Receiver

127.9 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 77.3 896.8 6.6 2.2 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChris Godwin's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • In 13 healthy games last season, Godwin drew 21.3% target share, leading Mike Evans by more than 3.5 percentage points.
  • Godwin posted his shortest average depth of target by a wide margin last season. Through 5 years, that number has gone …
    • 13.2
    • 12.8
    • 10.3
    • 10.5
    • 7.6
  • The shift has coincided with a slot rate that has risen annually. Here are the percentage of pass snaps he has spent in the slot each year (according to Pro Football Focus):
    • 19.3%
    • 27.5%
    • 63.4%
    • 65.7%
    • 70.4%
  • Godwin has finished the past 3 seasons 2nd, 15th and 8th among WRs in PPR points per game.
  • Tom Brady has led the NFL in pass attempts from inside the 10-yard line each of the past 2 years, according to Pro Football Reference. PFF had him 2nd and 3rd in total end-zone throws. Godwin, however, has tied for just 65th and then 51st in end-zone targets.
  • When Godwin, Evans and Antonio Brown were all on the field in 2020, the target distribution went: Evans 19.5%, Godwin 18.9%, Brown 15.7%.
  • The Bucs signed Russell Gage for $30 million over 3 years in free agency, with $20 million of that guaranteed. Gage played 67% of his pass snaps in the slot across 2019-20. That rate dipped to 49.6% last season, when Atlanta traded Julio Jones and then lost Calvin Ridley for half the year.
  • Godwin tore the ACL and MCL in his right knee in Week 15. He had surgery Jan. 3.
  • This study found that among 29 NFL WRs who tore ACLs from 1988 through 2017, players generally decreased career production and per-game production after ACL tears.
  • A look at high-level WRs who have suffered ACL tears since 2015 finds a mix of post-injury production. Jordy Nelson (2015 injury year), Kelvin Benjamin (2015), Keenan Allen (2016), Cooper Kupp (2018) and Courtland Sutton (2020) each played every game the season after his knee injury. The 9-player sample split on whether yards per catch and yards per target dipped, stayed the same or rose post-injury. The takeaway: There’s no clear signal on what to expect post-injury for Godwin.
  • None of those 9 WRs suffered his injury later than Week 10. Six of the 9 hurt the knee in Week 1 or camp/preseason.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We’ll go ahead and reveal that Godwin has been a point of contention for us setting projections this year, and it’s easy to understand why approaches would differ. At full strength, Godwin has produced WR1 numbers over the past 3 seasons. He’s clearly well short of full strength right now, though, and none of us can know yet how close he’ll be come Week 1 – or how Godwin will progress in that area through the season. If he’s anything close to normal Chris Godwin from October on, the WR could be a steal at his current high-WR3 ADP. Considering he won’t be 1 year past the injury until Dec. 19, though, there’s also a chance he’s not close to full Godwin at any point this year. How much you want to bet on the “if” will be more personal preference than projection … at least until we get closer to the season.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Chris Godwin, WR TB

6:21pm EST 11/27/22

Godwin hits 100 for 1st time this season

Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin caught 12 balls for 110 yards and a TD in Sunday's OT loss at Cleveland. Godwin's 13 targets led the team by 4, with RB Rachaad White the only other Buc to catch more than 3 balls. WR Mike Evans tied White for 2nd on the team with 9 targets but caught only 2 of them (for 31 yards). FB Ko Kieft snagged QB Tom Brady's other TD throw on his lone target.

View all Chris Godwin Shark Bites »

Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin led the team with 8 targets, 6 catches and 71 yards in Sunday morning's win over the Seahawks. And much to the relief of fantasy football managers everywhere, he finally found the end zone for the 1st time this season. Mike Evans followed with a mediocre stat line on a limited passing day for the Bucs, catching 5 balls for 54 yards among 6 targets. WR Julio Jones claimed the team's other TD catch among 3 receptions for 53 yards.

View all Chris Godwin Shark Bites »

Bucs WR Russell Gage (hamstring) did not make the trip to Germany and is out for Sunday morning's game vs. the Seahawks. Scotty Miller finished 3rd among Bucs WRs with a 52% route rate last week; Julio Jones was 4th at 35%. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans remain the only bankable fantasy plays in this WR corps.

View all Russell Gage Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chris Godwin, WR TB
Dynasty MVP 98.6
Position Rank #66 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
343
571
676
Dynasty Write-up
The ACL tear adds a complication for Godwin. But he'll still be just 26 when the 2022 season begins and has topped 85 catches and 1,100 yards in 2 of the past 3 years. It's also worth noting that he has lost 2+ games to injury in 3 straight years, and his efficiency will almost certainly come down post-Tom Brady. Godwin cracked 77% for his catch rate in each of 2 years with the all-time QB. He was at (a still-good) 66.1% over his 1st 3 seasons. Brady, at least, will be back for 2022.

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