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Chris Godwin - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsChris Godwin's Basic Stats

Chris Godwin
ADP: 7.4
Bye: 11
Experience: 7
Age: 28.3
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.42
Speed Score: 109.50

SPARQx (Rank): 128.30 (96%)
Burst Score (Rank): 124.20 (65%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.01 (76%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.18 (80%)

Chris Godwin's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.1 62.9 0.33 8.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.3 64.8 0.4 8.8

Chris Godwin's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#33 Wide Receiver

203.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
7.4 76.5 943.5 4.95 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsChris Godwin's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Godwin took a backseat to Mike Evans and Rachaad White last season, but he still was a solid WR3.

He enters a contract year in another new offense and should be a better fit in the new passing attack.

He is often falling into WR4 territory in drafts, but we are much higher on him as a low-end WR2/high-end WR3 this season.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Godwin posted a season-long stat line of 83 catches for 1,024 yards and two TDs on 130 targets.
  • His per-game numbers were a step down from his career averages:
    • 7.65 targets (7.25)
    • 4.88 receptions (5.09)
    • 60.2 yards (64.3)
    • 0.12 TDs (0.33)
  • Godwin ranked as the WR29 in PPR fantasy points and WR37 in points per game.
  • He missed no games due to injury for the first time since 2018.
  • Godwin had only one top-12 finish. He had eight WR37 or worse finishes.
  • His target share (23.8%) was the highest of his career.
  • Among 89 WRs with 45+ targets, Godwin ranked:
    • 26th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 35th in yards per route run (2.33)
    • 63rd in average target depth (10.3)
    • 35th in percentage of team air yards (25.6%)

What to Expect in 2024

  • Godwin enters his third season under HC Todd Bowles
  • New OC Liam Coen spent last year as the Kentucky OC after coordinating the Rams in 2022.
    • In 2022, the Rams ranked 24th with 531 pass attempts.
  • The Buccaneers are expected to take a slight step backward. They are tied for second in the NFC South with a 7.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • The Buccaneers have the 21st-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +5500 on most sportsbooks, second-best in the division.
  • Godwin enters his eighth season at 28 years old. According to our aging curve research, the average WR with Godwin’s career produces at 96% of peak value at age-28.
  • Godwin is a strong candidate for positive TD regression this season. He ranked 27th among WRs with 6.2 expected receiving TDs but just 73rd with two actual TDs.

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Jalen McMillan, WR TB

11:05pm EDT 4/26/24

Bucs upgrade WR corps with Jalen McMillan

The Buccaneers selected Washington WR Jalen McMillan in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. McMillan functioned as Washington’s primary slot over the past two seasons, with 2022 turning up peak production (79-1,098-0). He hit 80 yards in seven of 13 games. McMillan even out-targeted Rome Odunze (118-110) with help from one extra game played. Last year, a left MCL sprain limited McMillan’s output. Still, he posted solid marks in yards per route run (2.30) and yards after catch per reception (6.4). Notably, his aDOT dropped to 9.6 – well below the 13.1 figure he posted in ‘22. Of course, catching balls from Round 1 QB Michael Penix Jr. helped. But the tape here shows a nice blend of route polish and athleticism. At the NFL Combine, McMillan registered a strong 9.33 Relative Athletic Score, highlighted by a 10’7” broad jump. The 6’1, 203-pounder could earn a starting role as soon as 2025 when Chris Godwin is due for free agency. For 2024, though, McMillan is only worth stashing in deep formats.

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New Bucs OC Liam Coen said he'll get WR Chris Godwin back into the slot going forward. Godwin played just 37% of his snaps last season -- down from 63+% in each of the previous four years. Per The Tampa Bay Times' Rick Stroud, the Bucs moved Godwin outside in order to preserve his health. Godwin has averaged 1.90 yards per route from the slot vs. 1.92 from the outside over the past five seasons, so there's not a major fantasy impact from this news.

View all Chris Godwin Shark Bites »

Liam Coen is expected to be named the Bucs' new OC, according to NFL Network. Coen broke into the NFL coaching ranks as a Rams assistant under HC Sean McVay from 2018 to 2020. He headed to the college ranks in 2021 as Kentucky's OC, re-joined McVay as Rams OC in 2022, and then bounced back to Kentucky's OC job this past year. The most noteworthy aspect of this hire is that Coen spent the second half of that 2022 season with QB Baker Mayfield, who's scheduled to hit free agency next month. A return to Tampa Bay seems to make the most sense for both sides.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Bucs QB Baker Mayfield (ankle, ribs) is listed as questionable for Monday night's playoff game vs. the Eagles. He got in limited practices on Friday and Saturday. We'd be surprised if Mayfield did not play on Monday, but we'll continue to keep you updated on his status. QB Kyle Trask is Mayfield's backup.

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Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin led a muted passing day with 6 receptions and 51 yards in Sunday's 9-0 win over the Panthers. That victory clinched the division title and a playoff spot for Tampa Bay, and Godwin will be a decent option for playoff fantasy contests. He might be more attractive for dynasty this offseason, though. Godwin will turn just 28 in February and has one year remaining on his contract. That year carries a $27.5 million cap hit, which could motivate an extension this offseason to spread out the charges. Godwin enjoyed an effective season, which included his most yards per catch and deepest average target depth since 2020. He also stayed mostly healthy, missing no games. If teammate Mike Evans leaves in free agency, Godwin could see even more target share in 2024. And the question of what Tampa Bay does at QB figures to keep the WR's fantasy cost down. Consider giving him a look in dynasty trades this offseason. (Godwin currently sits higher in our dynasty WR rankings than he does in the KeepTradeCut rankings.) We'll see where Godwin settles in early best ball drafting.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Chris Godwin, WR TB
Dynasty MVP 94.1
Position Rank #71 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
316
498
776
Dynasty Write-up
Baker Mayfield exceeded expectations as a year-one Buccaneer. But Godwin, save for a late-season surge, remained capped by a low TD rate. His target volume at least looks secure in the short term, but we'll see how this offense looks without OC Dave Canales.
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