Chris Godwin Fantasy Overview

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Godwin caught just 33 balls for 360 yards and 2 TDs across nine games last year. He finished 52nd among WRs in PPR points per game; 53rd in half-PPR.

Godwin’s only top-24 fantasy finish came in Week 17, when he posted a 7-108-1 line to finish WR4. He topped 55 yards just one other time and finished WR50 or lower in five of his nine outings.

Usage & Role

Godwin averaged 5.7 targets across his nine games. His 16.5% target share ranked 50th among 109 WRs with 200+ routes.

Godwin split his time fairly evenly between the slot (55.6% of his routes) and outside (44.4%). But he worked almost exclusively near the line of scrimmage, registering a 7.6-yard average target depth that ranked 97th among those 109 qualifying WRs. He saw just three targets 20+ yards downfield all season.

He finished 52nd among WRs in expected PPR points per game.

Efficiency & Regression

Godwin caught 64.7% of his targets but averaged just 10.9 yards per catch. Among 109 WRs with 200+ routes last year, he ranked:

• 69th in yards per target
• 59th in yards per route

He didn’t fare much better in film-based metrics, finishing:

• 56th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
• 52nd in Fantasy Points separation score
• 29th in ESPN receiver score

Offensive Context

The 2025 Buccaneers finished:

• 13th in plays
• 21st in total yards
• 25th in yards per play
• 18th in points

It was a balanced offense in terms of play calling, ranking 17th in pass rate and 18th in pass rate over expected. Tampa Bay ranked:

• 15th in pass attempts
• 20th in passing yards
• 11th in passing TDs

QB Baker Mayfield took a step back after a big 2024 season, ranking 27th in completion rate and 25th in yards per pass attempt among 42 qualifying QBs.

Historical Production & Trends

2025 was one of the worst seasons of Godwin’s career. His 3.7 catches and 40.0 yards per game were his lowest marks since his 2017 rookie campaign. And he posted career lows in:

• Yards per target
• Yards per route
• PFF receiving grade

That all followed an injury-shortened but highly productive 2024. Godwin tallied a 50-576-5 line across seven games, finishing WR2 in PPR points per game. His 2.36 yards per route was a career high and ranked 10th among 84 WRs with 50+ targets.

Godwin topped 80 catches and 1,000 yards in four of five seasons before 2024. His finishes among WRs in PPR points per game in those five seasons:

• 2019: second
• 2020: 15th
• 2021: seventh
• 2022: 19th
• 2023: 38th

(Godwin ranked 15th among WRs in catches and 23rd in yards in 2023 but scored just 2 TDs.)

Injury History & Durability

Injuries likely played a big part in Godwin’s disappointing 2025.

His 2024 season ended on Oct. 21 with a dislocated ankle and fractured fibula. He spent all of last offseason rehabbing and wasn’t cleared to play until Week 4.

Godwin played two games last season before suffering a fibula injury and missing the next five. The Buccaneers never confirmed that the issue was related to the 2024 injury, but it very likely was.

Godwin also tore the ACL and MCL in his left knee in December 2021 and has missed time with three separate hamstring injuries.

Projected Role & Competition

WR Mike Evans’ departure leaves behind a big opportunity.

Injuries limited him to a 30-368-3 receiving line across eight games last year. But Evans averaged 76.0 catches, 1,153 yards, and 9.5 TDs across his first 11 seasons in Tampa Bay.

The Buccaneers return WRs Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan and added Ted Hurst in Round 3 of the draft. Egbuka is a lock for a starting job, while McMillan and Hurst figure to battle for the other outside spot.

Godwin is a strong bet to handle slot duties after spending most of his time there in spring practices. He’s been slightly more efficient in the slot vs. outside for his career.

Supporting Cast

QB Baker Mayfield returns for his fourth season as Bucs starter. He has sandwiched a huge 4,500-yard, 41-TD 2024 season between two mediocre seasons.

Among 42 QBs with 150+ pass attempts last year, Mayfield ranked:

• 27th in completion rate
• 32nd in adjusted completion rate
• 26th in completion rate over expected
• 25th in yards per pass attempt
• 33rd in Pro Football Focus pass grade

A rebound from Mayfield would certainly help Godwin’s bounce-back chances.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

The Buccaneers canned OC Josh Grizzard after the season, replacing him with Zac Robinson.

Robinson spent five seasons working under Sean McVay in Los Angeles before serving as Falcons OC for the last two. Atlanta ranked sixth in yards and 13th in points in a Kirk Cousins-led offense in Robinson's debut. The Falcons fell to 14th in yards and 24th in points this past year, with worse QB play from Michael Penix Jr. and then Cousins.

Both of Robinson’s Atlanta offenses leaned run:

There’s no Bijan Robinson in Tampa Bay, though, so we expect Robinson to shift at least a bit toward the pass. We project this as a balanced offense in 2026.

Paths To Ceiling

Evans’ departure leaves behind a big opportunity in Tampa Bay. If Godwin can rediscover his pre-injury form, he could contend for the Bucs’ target lead and return to WR2 territory in fantasy scoring.

Risk Factors

Godwin is 30, has suffered two serious lower-body injuries, and is coming off a career-worst season. It’s possible that he’s simply out of gas and finishes third among Buccaneers WRs in targets this season.