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Dallas Goedert - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDallas Goedert's Basic Stats

Dallas Goedert
ADP: 6.8
Bye: 10
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28.7
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 256
40 Time: 4.69
SPARQx (Rank): 119.40 (85%)
Burst Score (Rank): 121.80 (74%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.33 (78%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.17 (81%)

Dallas Goedert's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4 48.4 0.3 6.6
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.3 54.5 0.3 7.3

Dallas Goedert's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Tight End

109.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
6.8 64.4 802.2 4.9 1.1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDallas Goedert's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Goedert isn’t some tricky projection for 2023.

He’s not in an elite tier at TE, as Philly’s low-volume passing game will continue prioritizing A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.

But it’s not like he’ll starve for looks. Last year, he was on a 17-game pace of nearly 98 targets. Only Travis Kelce beat that mark.

Plus, through five seasons, Goedert’s proven highly efficient. He’s right on track to repeat as a top-8 TE.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Goedert missed five games with a small fracture to the glenoid of his left shoulder.
  • Across 12 regular-season showings, Goedert finished as the TE5 in PPR points per game.
    • He ranked as a top-10 fantasy TE eight times.
    • Only twice did he finish worse than TE14.
  • Goedert benefited from QB Jalen Hurts’ breakout season.
    • Hurts sat fourth in adjusted completion rate; sixth in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
    • Hurts missed Week 16 and Week 17 with an injury. Goedert tallied 3-67 and 3-45 in those games.
  • Among 27 TEs with 50+ targets, Goedert tied for first in yards per catch, ranked first in yards after catch per reception, and ranked third in yards per route run.
  • He dropped only two targets for a minuscule 3.5% drop rate.
  • Goedert was the 3rd option in the red zone, seeing 0.53 RZ targets per game.
    • A.J. Brown saw 0.94, while DeVonta Smith checked in with 0.70.
    • Mix in Hurts’ goal-line scoring prowess, and it’s no surprise Goedert posted a modest TD rate (5.4%).
What to Expect in 2023
  • Goedert enters Year 6 at 28 years old, squarely in his prime.
  • He’ll look to play a full season for only the second time in his career. Goedert played all 16 games as a rookie.
  • The nucleus of this offense – QB Jalen Hurts, WR A.J. Brown, WR DeVonta Smith, and a stout O-line – remains intact.
  • The backfield lost Miles Sanders but looks deeper with the arrivals of Rashaad Penny and receiving back D’Andre Swift.
    • Philly RBs combined for a 12% target share in ‘22. That’ll likely increase in 2023, but the impact on Goedert should be minimal.
  • OC Shane Steichen left to take the Colts’ HC job. We largely expect the same offense under QBs coach-turned-OC Brian Johnson.
  • Per The Athletic, the Eagles had halftime leads in 16 of 20 games last season.
    • Philly held double-digit halftime leads in 11 games.
    • They averaged 18.9 pass attempts in the first half of games; 12.3 pass attempts in the second half.
  • A tougher schedule should find more passing for Philly and Hurts, who’s entering only Year 3 as the starter.
    • This defense likely takes a step back, too, after posting a whopping 70 sacks. It’s another reason to believe Hurts’ volume – only ~30 passes per game in 2022 – improves.
  • Per Dave Zangaro of NBC Sports: Goedert has spent more time this offseason working alongside Eagles WRs, with the goal of improving his routes/releases.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Dallas Goedert, TE PHI

11:48pm EDT 9/14/23

Dallas Goedert gets squeaky-wheeled

A week after TE Dallas Goedert went catch-less on one target, the Eagles clearly made it a point to get him going in Thursday night's game vs. the Vikings. Goedert finished with a team-high seven targets on 23 Jalen Hurts passes -- good for a 30.4% target share. Unfortunately, he managed just 22 scoreless yards on six catches. Goedert's grabs all came near the line of scrimmage, and he wasn't able to pick up much after the catch. It's been an underwhelming start to the season for Goedert and Philly's passing game in general. But we expect the passing game to get rolling. And Goedert remains a big part of it, registering elite 90% and 87% route rates in these first two games. He remains a top-six fantasy TE and is a nice buy-low candidate on the trade market.

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Eagles TE Dallas Goedert drew just 1 target in Sunday's win over the Patriots and went catchless. Philly's limited receiving production (170 yards) primarily went to WRs A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Brown caught 7 of 10 targets for 79 yards. Smith added a 7-47-1 line on 10 targets. RB Kenneth Gainwell was the only other Eagle to draw more than 2 looks. Goedert and the Eagles face a much softer Vikings defense in Week 2. Expect to see the Eagles TE still among our top 12 for Week 2.

View all Dallas Goedert Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Dallas Goedert enters year six looking to play a full season for the first time since 2018. Goedert missed five games with a small fracture in his shoulder last year. Still, he remained a big part of Philly’s passing game. Including the playoffs, he posted a 19.9% target share that only five TEs beat. He finished TE5 in fantasy points per game. While he remains the No. 3 target in a low-volume pass offense, Goedert’s proven highly efficient throughout his career. In fact, he paces all pass catchers in yards per target (10.6) over the past two seasons. The Eagles lost OC Shane Steichen to the Colts, but this unit shouldn’t change much following the promotion of QB coach Brian Johnson. Goedert, 28, profiles as a mid-level fantasy starter in our TE rankings.

View all Dallas Goedert Shark Bites »

The Eagles and QB Jalen Hurts have agreed to a five-year contract extension, according to NFL Network's Tom Pelissero. The deal reportedly includes $255 million in total money, with $179.304 million in guarantees -- plus an extra $15 million in incentives. The pact also comes with a no-trade clause, the first the team has ever given out, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. This obviously locks Hurts in as Philly's starter for the foreseeable future, which is good news for his spot in the dynasty rankings. This could also be a key move in the Lamar Jackson saga. Hurts' deal -- along with other recent second QB contracts -- seems to set the market.

View all Jalen Hurts Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Dallas Goedert, TE PHI
Dynasty MVP 64.3
Position Rank #9 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
217
332
540
Dynasty Write-up
Prior to a mid-season shoulder injury, Goedert was performing as a high-end TE1. Recall that the Eagles signed him to a 4-year extension back in November, 2021. He's under team control through the 2025 season.
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