Dallas Goedert Fantasy Overview

The Usage Was Familiar. The TDs Weren’t.

All the TDs that eluded Goedert through his first seven NFL seasons found him in 2025.

The veteran TE averaged just 3.4 TDs per year through 2024, at a mere 6.9% TD rate. But last season found him exploding for 11 scores at an 18.3% rate. Only Davante Adams tallied more TD catches.

And those TDs carried Goedert to these fantasy finishes:

• TE7 in total PPR points
• TE6 in PPR points per game
• TE3 in half-PPR points
• TE5 in half-PPR points per game
• TE2 in non-PPR points
• TE5 in non-PPR points per game

Goedert tied for 11th in expected PPR and half-PPR points per game. He tied for 10th in expected non-PPR points per game.

That usage lined up with Goedert’s history. And although he got a big boost from TDs in 2025, the veteran has delivered top-12 PPR production for six straight years. In fact, his 2018 rookie season marks the only time Goedert has ever finished lower than 13th in PPR points per game. Here’s how he has ranked since:

• 2019: TE13
• 2020: TE9
• 2021: TE9
• 2022: TE5
• 2023: TE12
• 2024: TE10

His YAC Fell Off Hard

What we didn’t get in 2025 was the best version of Goedert. He compiled a career-low 9.9 yards per catch, thanks largely to a career-worst 3.9 yards after catch per reception.

His 7.5-yard average depth of target came in higher than any of his previous three seasons, which accounted for some of that. But that aDOT aligned with his 7.2-yard career average, while the 3.9 YAC per reception trailed his pre-2025 rate (5.9) by 2 yards.

It didn’t help that Goedert ranked just 26th in catchable-target rate among 49 TEs who saw at least 30 targets, but his 85.0% in that category wasn’t far from his previous four seasons with Jalen Hurts as starter:

• 2021: 88.9% (seventh of 44)
• 2022: 86.8% (12th of 43)
• 2023: 80.5% (33rd of 43)
• 2024: 88.5% (eighth of 44)
• 2025: 85.0% (26th of 49)

Goedert Benefited in Spite of the Mess

Goedert's TD binge came in the worst Philly offense of Nick Sirianni's five years as HC by nearly every measure:

The Eagles made a few key changes on offense in the wake of that tumble, which we’ll get to in the next section.

Injury History & Durability

Goedert has lost at least one game to injury in six of the past seven seasons. (He sat out two games in 2021, but one was COVID and the other team rest in Week 18.)

Here were the other time-consuming issues by year:

• 2019: calf
• 2020: calf
• 2022: shoulder fracture
• 2023: forearm fracture
• 2024: hamstring and knee
• 2025: knee

Consider the upper-body fractures freak accidents from awkward falls in a rough sport. But the history of lower-body issues carries durability risk going forward.

One-Year Deal. Same Starting Job.

Goedert signed a one-year, $7 million contract to return to the Eagles rather than leave via the open market. That marks the second straight year of reduced pay for the 31-year-old TE. He took a pay cut to $10 million last year on the final season of a four-year deal that averaged $14.25 million per year at signing.

Consider that more a signal of Goedert’s career stage than a harbinger of role decline.

The Eagles drafted TE Eli Stowers in Round 2, but the converted QB spent just three college seasons at the position and will likely need some development time. He particularly -- and unsurprisingly -- showed a lack of effectiveness as a blocker.

Blocking obviously doesn’t score your TE any fantasy points, but it does help the guy get onto the field and stay there.

Philly otherwise traded WR A.J. Brown to New England while importing:

• WR Makai Lemon with the 20th pick of the draft
• WR Dontayvion Wicks via trade
• WR Marquise Brown on a mere one-year, $5 million contract

The Lemon and Wicks additions have the potential to absorb Brown’s vacated targets and perhaps present a stronger third-WR presence than Philly’s had any year since Goedert arrived in 2018.

But there’s also the chance that the new guys (plus DeVonta Smith) don’t eat up all of Brown’s vacated work. There’s potential for upward mobility from Goedert’s No. 8 ranking among TEs in target share last season (adjusted for games missed).

Patullo’s Exit Opens a Better Path

The Eagles’ 2025 offensive downturn got OC Kevin Patullo fired. Sean Mannion takes over as an unproven play caller after spending just two years on Green Bay’s offensive staff: one as an assistant, one as QBs coach.

His scheme has curried favor with players early, but the offseason tends to find excitement over new ideas. We can’t know how successful Mannion will be until we get into his first season on the job.

Early praise has centered on changes that could energize the run game and the likelihood of more play-action passing. Each of those factors would be good for the offense on whole, benefits that should trickle down to Goedert.

The 2025 O-line struggled to stay healthy, notably losing RT Lane Johnson, C Cam Jurgens, and LG Landon Dickerson for patches. Those issues did not increase Goedert’s blocking responsibilities, however.

So don’t look to O-line health as a meaningful factor in the tight end’s 2026 outlook.

He Already Showed the Ceiling

Goedert’s ultimate upside would include staying healthier while maintaining his enhanced scoring role in a rebounding offense. We’ve already seen that ceiling can reach into the top 5 at a position that relies less on target volume than WR does.

TE15 Price Mitigates Risk Factors

The primary risk factor: Goedert’s old. The good news is that 31 ain’t as old for a TE as it is for WRs or, especially, RBs. But every TE archetype we use for our dynasty aging curves finds 31-year-olds historically producing at 85% of peak or lower.

Goedert could also find less opportunity if Lemon or Wicks steps up -- and especially if they both deliver.

There’s also the aforementioned durability risk, of course, but that’s easy to insure against or even deal with in season, especially at Goedert’s likely modest draft cost.