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Henry has finished RB4 and RB7 in PPR points per game in two seasons with the Ravens. He’ll be a workhorse again in 2026.
There are some risk factors, though: A new coaching staff, remade interior offensive line, and age (32).
That makes the floor a little scary, especially considering Henry doesn’t do much in the passing game. But he still looks like a solid pick anywhere outside the top 10 RBs.
Customize Henry’s projection for your exact league settings inside the Draft War Room.Henry carried 307 times for 1,595 yards and 16 TDs across 17 games. Those marks ranked fourth, second, and second league-wide.
Henry added just 150 scoreless yards on 15 catches but still ranked seventh among RBs in PPR and half-PPR points per game.
Henry led all RBs in PPR points twice (weeks 1 and 17) and had four other top-12 finishes. He ranked outside the top-30 RBs just two times.
Henry dominated rushing work for Baltimore, accounting for 60.6% of the team’s carries. That was the eighth-highest mark in the league.
He was also the go-to weapon near the goal line. Henry led the NFL in both carries inside the 10-yard line (40) and carries inside the 5 (27).
Henry was barely involved in the passing game, ranking:
Henry finished 14th among RBs in expected PPR points per game; 11th in half-PPR.
Henry averaged 5.2 yards per carry last year, his second straight season and fourth overall above 5.0. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries, only De’Von Achane averaged more.
Henry also ranked third among those 51 RBs in rush yards over expected per attempt and fourth in yards after contact per attempt.
He did, however, tumble to 44th in missed tackles forced per attempt. The 0.14 was his lowest mark since his 2016 rookie campaign.
The Ravens deployed a run-heavy offense last year, ranking last in pass rate (48.0%), 31st in neutral pass rate (48.1%), and 31st in pass rate over expected (-6.3%).
Baltimore finished just 16th in total yards and 11th in points, though, in large part because of a pair of injuries to QB Lamar Jackson that cost him four games and parts of two others.
Henry actually averaged more PPR points per game without Jackson (20.1) than with him (15.0). His carries jumped from 16.8 per game with Jackson to 20.3 without him, although his yards per carry dipped from 5.3 to 5.0.
Henry has finished RB4 and RB7 in PPR points per game in two seasons with the Ravens. His efficiency declined from 2024 to 2025 … but it went from otherworldly to simply very good.
Henry is now 32, an age at which mere mortal RBs produce at just 60-70% of their peak, according to our aging-curve research. But Henry has proven for multiple seasons that he doesn’t abide by the normal rules.
Other than his missed tackles forced being down last year, he remained one of the most effective runners in the league. There’s theoretically a risk that he hits the wall this season, but we could have said that for the past few years.
Despite big workloads, Henry has been impressively durable. He’s played all 17 games in each of the last three seasons and hasn’t missed a game with injury since a broken foot cost him nine games in 2021.
Henry returns as Baltimore’s workhorse for 2026.
The Ravens lost RB Keaton Mitchell to the Chargers in free agency, but he averaged just 4.5 carries and 0.9 targets per game last year.
RB Justice Hill is back but figures to remain in a strict passing-down role. He led the backfield with 2.7 targets per game last year and averaged just 1.8 carries.
Third-year RB Rasheen Ali and rookie RB Adam Randall round out the depth chart.
Expect Henry to play a high-volume role similar to what he played the past two years.
The biggest change to Baltimore’s personnel is the interior offensive line. Stud C Tyler Linderbaum departed for Vegas in free agency after ranking top-6 among centers in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade in each of the last four seasons. The Ravens don’t have a ready-made replacement, with Danny Pinter, Corey Bullock, and Jovaughn Gwyn the top candidates. Pinter has 10 career NFL starts, while Bullock and Gwyn have none.
Baltimore will also have new starters at both guard spots. John Simpson inked a three-year, $30 million deal in free agency after starting the last two seasons for the Jets and 2023 for the Ravens. But his PFF run-blocking grades have swung from 11th among guards in 2024 to outside the top 50 in 2023 and 2025.
The other guard spot is expected to be filled by first-round rookie Olaivavega Ioane. He made 32 starts at Penn State and ranked 13th among 452 qualifying guards in PFF’s 2025 run-blocking grades.
This offensive line will be worth monitoring throughout the summer, but it’s likely to decline from last year, when it ranked eighth in PFF run-blocking grade and 17th in ESPN run-block win rate.
John Harbaugh’s 18-year run as Ravens HC ended when he was fired in January. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who hired OC Declan Doyle.
Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.
Doyle does come from a nice coaching tree, though. He spent five years working under Sean Payton (three in New Orleans as offensive assistant, two in Denver as TEs coach) and then served as Bears OC under Ben Johnson last season.
Both of those guys have strong histories of creating productive backfields. Henry’s a safe bet to retain a big role.
Big volume and elite efficiency on the ground have fueled Henry to two straight top-7 fantasy finishes with the Ravens.
His minimal passing-game usage caps the ultimate upside. But he has a clear path to another top-10 season in 2026 as long as the rushing efficiency remains strong.
A new play caller and remade interior offensive line add environmental risk, and there’s at least some chance a 32-year-old Henry sees a significant efficiency dip.
That’d be even more damaging for Henry, who isn’t insulated by receiving production.
The floor here sinks well into RB2 territory.
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Declan Doyle Taking Over Ravens Offense
Declan Doyle Taking Over Ravens Offense
The Ravens hired Declan Doyle as their new OC. The 29-year-old is the same age as QB Lamar Jackson, three years younger than RB Derrick Henry, and becomes the youngest play-caller in the NFL. Doyle has been in the NFL for the past seven years, working under Sean Payton in New Orleans and Denver before joining Ben Johnson’s staff as OC in Chicago last season. Doyle brings a strong résumé but no play-calling experience at any level, which makes projecting his fantasy impact tricky. We’ll be listening closely for clues on Doyle’s plans this offseason. For now, it’s safe to assume Baltimore’s offense will still run through Jackson and Henry.
Ravens Fire John Harbaugh
Ravens Fire John Harbaugh
The Ravens fired HC John Harbaugh, according to multiple reports. It ends an 18-year run for Harbaugh in Baltimore. The Ravens went 180-113 during his tenure, making the playoffs in 12 of 18 years. But they underwhelmed in the postseason, with a 13-11 record and just one Super Bowl. Baltimore won only three playoff games over the last 11 years and failed to qualify in 2025. There were also whispers of unrest between Harbaugh and QB Lamar Jackson. OC Todd Monken, who has already booked an interview for the Browns' HC job, is a virtual lock to be out of Baltimore too. It'll be a brand new staff for Jackson and Co. in 2026.
Derrick Henry Rumbles for 128 Yards And 2 TDs
Derrick Henry Rumbles for 128 Yards And 2 TDs
The Ravens were forced to play most of Week 16 without QB Lamar Jackson, who injured his back in the second quarter. Baltimore RB Derrick Henry did his part, rushing for 128 yards and 2 TDs, but it wasn't enough as the Patriots reeled off 15 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to defeat the Ravens 28-24. Henry's performance was his best showing since opening the season with 169 yard and a pair of TDs against the Bills.
Keaton Mitchell Gets In Limited Practice Wednesday
Keaton Mitchell Gets In Limited Practice Wednesday
Ravens RB Keaton Mitchell (knee) got in a limited practice on Wednesday. That gives him a chance to play vs. the Bengals this weekend. Mitchell isn't a viable fantasy starter but has been stealing a handful of touches per game from RB Derrick Henry.
Is it Time to Bench Lamar Jackson?
Is it Time to Bench Lamar Jackson?
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson had his third awful fantasy performance in a row going 17-32 for 246 yards and no TDs. On the ground, Jackson only ran six times for 27 yards. He threw one INT and lost two more fumbles in the game. It is the first time in Jackson’s career that he has gone three straight games without a passing TD. His previous two contests ended as QB25 and QB29. He certainly won’t reach the top 24 QBs this week either.
See whether Derrick Henry is available in your leagues.
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