Derrick Henry Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Henry carried 307 times for 1,595 yards and 16 TDs across 17 games. Those marks ranked fourth, second, and second league-wide.

Henry added just 150 scoreless yards on 15 catches but still ranked seventh among RBs in PPR and half-PPR points per game.

Henry led all RBs in PPR points twice (weeks 1 and 17) and had four other top-12 finishes. He ranked outside the top-30 RBs just two times.

Usage & Role

Henry dominated rushing work for Baltimore, accounting for 60.6% of the team’s carries. That was the eighth-highest mark in the league.

He was also the go-to weapon near the goal line. Henry led the NFL in both carries inside the 10-yard line (40) and carries inside the 5 (27).

Henry was barely involved in the passing game, ranking:

• 51st in pass routes
• 52nd in route rate
• 54th in targets

Henry finished 14th among RBs in expected PPR points per game; 11th in half-PPR.

Efficiency & Regression

Henry averaged 5.2 yards per carry last year, his second straight season and fourth overall above 5.0. Among 51 RBs with 90+ carries, only De’Von Achane averaged more.

Henry also ranked third among those 51 RBs in rush yards over expected per attempt and fourth in yards after contact per attempt.

He did, however, tumble to 44th in missed tackles forced per attempt. The 0.14 was his lowest mark since his 2016 rookie campaign.

Offensive Context

The Ravens deployed a run-heavy offense last year, ranking last in pass rate (48.0%), 31st in neutral pass rate (48.1%), and 31st in pass rate over expected (-6.3%).

Baltimore finished just 16th in total yards and 11th in points, though, in large part because of a pair of injuries to QB Lamar Jackson that cost him four games and parts of two others.

Henry actually averaged more PPR points per game without Jackson (20.1) than with him (15.0). His carries jumped from 16.8 per game with Jackson to 20.3 without him, although his yards per carry dipped from 5.3 to 5.0.

Historical Production & Trends

Henry has finished RB4 and RB7 in PPR points per game in two seasons with the Ravens. His efficiency declined from 2024 to 2025 … but it went from otherworldly to simply very good.

Henry is now 32, an age at which mere mortal RBs produce at just 60-70% of their peak, according to our aging-curve research. But Henry has proven for multiple seasons that he doesn’t abide by the normal rules.

Other than his missed tackles forced being down last year, he remained one of the most effective runners in the league. There’s theoretically a risk that he hits the wall this season, but we could have said that for the past few years.

Injury History & Durability

Despite big workloads, Henry has been impressively durable. He’s played all 17 games in each of the last three seasons and hasn’t missed a game with injury since a broken foot cost him nine games in 2021.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Projected Role & Competition

Henry returns as Baltimore’s workhorse for 2026.

The Ravens lost RB Keaton Mitchell to the Chargers in free agency, but he averaged just 4.5 carries and 0.9 targets per game last year.

RB Justice Hill is back but figures to remain in a strict passing-down role. He led the backfield with 2.7 targets per game last year and averaged just 1.8 carries.

Third-year RB Rasheen Ali and rookie RB Adam Randall round out the depth chart.

Expect Henry to play a high-volume role similar to what he played the past two years.

Supporting Cast

The biggest change to Baltimore’s personnel is the interior offensive line. Stud C Tyler Linderbaum departed for Vegas in free agency after ranking top-6 among centers in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grade in each of the last four seasons. The Ravens don’t have a ready-made replacement, with Danny Pinter, Corey Bullock, and Jovaughn Gwyn the top candidates. Pinter has 10 career NFL starts, while Bullock and Gwyn have none.

Baltimore will also have new starters at both guard spots. John Simpson inked a three-year, $30 million deal in free agency after starting the last two seasons for the Jets and 2023 for the Ravens. But his PFF run-blocking grades have swung from 11th among guards in 2024 to outside the top 50 in 2023 and 2025.

The other guard spot is expected to be filled by first-round rookie Olaivavega Ioane. He made 32 starts at Penn State and ranked 13th among 452 qualifying guards in PFF’s 2025 run-blocking grades.

This offensive line will be worth monitoring throughout the summer, but it’s likely to decline from last year, when it ranked eighth in PFF run-blocking grade and 17th in ESPN run-block win rate.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

John Harbaugh’s 18-year run as Ravens HC ended when he was fired in January. He’ll be replaced by HC Jesse Minter, who hired OC Declan Doyle.

Minter has a defensive background, so Doyle will run the offense. The 30-year-old has no experience calling plays at any level, so he’s a wildcard.

Doyle does come from a nice coaching tree, though. He spent five years working under Sean Payton (three in New Orleans as offensive assistant, two in Denver as TEs coach) and then served as Bears OC under Ben Johnson last season.

Both of those guys have strong histories of creating productive backfields. Henry’s a safe bet to retain a big role.

Paths To Ceiling

Big volume and elite efficiency on the ground have fueled Henry to two straight top-7 fantasy finishes with the Ravens.

His minimal passing-game usage caps the ultimate upside. But he has a clear path to another top-10 season in 2026 as long as the rushing efficiency remains strong.

Risk Factors

A new play caller and remade interior offensive line add environmental risk, and there’s at least some chance a 32-year-old Henry sees a significant efficiency dip.

That’d be even more damaging for Henry, who isn’t insulated by receiving production.

The floor here sinks well into RB2 territory.