Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Derrick Henry - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDerrick Henry's Basic Stats

Derrick Henry
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 29.9
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 247
40 Time: 4.54
SPARQx (Rank): 122.40 (82%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.90 (89%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.58 (29%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.20

Derrick Henry's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
65.4 0.5 1.6 13.1 0 10.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
67.5 0.5 1.5 12.9 0.1 11.3

Derrick Henry's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Running Back

180.9 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 312 1080 8.3 2.4 2.1 23.3 206.9 1.1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDerrick Henry's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Henry is clearly a freak of nature.

If he were still going in the first round of fantasy drafts, then it might be worth fading him.

But he’s now more likely to linger into Round 3 than he is to appear in Round 1. So there’s considerably less opportunity cost to taking the big guy. And he’s still very good.

What We Learned Last Year
  • He can still do it. Henry led the league in carries for the third time in four years. He averaged 20.2 carries per game or more in each of those seasons.
  • His 21.8 carries per game in 2022 did mark a decline from his absurd levels the previous two years: 23.6 in 2020 and 27.4 in 2021.
  • That plus a merely human 4.4 yards per carry produced a significant decrease in rushing yards per game.
    • After leading the league with 102.7 yards per game in 2019, Henry racked up 126.7 per game in 2020 and then 117.1 before suffering his broken foot in 2021.
    • Last year’s 96.1 yards per game trailed Josh Jacobs’ league lead by just 1.1 and led No. 3 Nick Chubb by 5.4.
  • Henry’s advanced stats showed no 2022 drop-off, despite playing in a weak offense. His yards after contact per attempt, elusive rating, and Pro Football Focus rushing grade all increased vs. 2021. His rushing yards over expected per attempt rebounded from 0.05 in 2021 to 0.45 last season. (That falls short of his rates of higher than 1.0 each of the previous two years, however.)
  • And according to NFL Next Gen Stats, only Falcons RB Tyler Allgeier saw 8+ defenders in the box on a higher percentage of his runs than Henry did last year.
  • Henry also topped two receptions per game for the second straight year, after never going above 1.2 per game previously. His 33 receptions tied for third among Titans in 2022. The only two players with more catches – WR Robert Woods and TE Austin Hooper – are now gone.
  • He leads all RBs in yards per reception over the past two years (10.8).
What to Expect in 2023
  • The Titans drafted RB Tyjae Spears in Round 3. That came amid an offseason with swirling Henry trade rumors. We wouldn’t be shocked to see the veteran moved before this season’s trade deadline. It would make sense for this rebuilding team, if the Titans can get meaningful value.
  • But Henry’s contract is done after this season. Tennessee should be in good shape for a third-round compensatory pick if Henry makes it through this season healthy and then leaves as a free agent.
  • If he stays on the Titans through 2023, it’s tough to envision the offense doing anything other than running through Henry once again. Tennessee has finished four of HC Mike Vrabel’s five seasons ranked 30th or lower in pass attempts. The only time it didn’t was 2021, when Henry lost nine games to a foot fracture. (And even that team ranked 25th.)
  • Spears should garner more touches than the 43 Hilliard collected as the No. 2 RB last year. But we’d be surprised to see Tennessee get anywhere close to a true work split.
  • The O-line could be an issue, as Tennessee incorporates three new starters (including first-round G Peter Skoronski). But the group ranked just 16th and 18th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards the past two years. So we’re not dinging Henry over that.
  • The arrival of WR DeAndre Hopkins should help offensive efficiency overall. The Titans haven’t had two players reach 1,000 receiving yards in a season since Vrable arrived, and no single WR has exceeded 1,075 yards.
  • Hopkins and Treylon Burks have the talent to both reach that range – if given enough targets.

Adjust Derrick Henry's Projections

We'll recalculate this player's Projections (DS Proj/ only) and DMVP based on your opinion of the player. This adjustments will be made for ALL of your leagues on Draft Sharks

Go to My Account to see a full list of your adjustments.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Derrick Henry, RB TEN

2:18pm EST 12/4/23

Derrick Henry NOT in concussion protocol

Titans HC Mike Vrabel said Monday afternoon that RB Derrick Henry is not in the concussion protocol, contrary to what ESPN's Adam Schefter reported this morning. "We checked on him last night, then checked on him in the morning," Vrabel said. We'll keep an eye on Henry throughout the week, but it sounds like he should be available for next Monday night's game vs. the Dolphins.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Titans RB Derrick Henry has been placed in concussion protocol, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. It's the first documented concussion for Henry, and he has an extra day to get cleared with Tennessee playing Miami next Monday night. But he's still more likely than not to miss that game. Henry's absence would leave rookie Tyjae Spears as the Titans' clear lead back -- and a comfortable fantasy starter.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Titans RB Derrick Henry exited in the fourth quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Colts to get checked for a concussion and did not return. That likely means he's been diagnosed with a concussion, although that hasn't been confirmed by the team. We'll update Henry's status when we know more. His absence would turn RB Tyjae Spears into an easy fantasy starter.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

Titans RB Derrick Henry took advantage of a plus matchup with Carolina in Week 12. The veteran tallied two short-range TDs and a modest 4.2 YPC (18 attempts), but note that two of his rushes came from the 1 yard-line. Henry also topped 9,000 career rushing yards in today’s effort. Next up: A favorable home matchup with Indianapolis. Beyond that, Henry’s schedule remains without a problematic spot.

View all Derrick Henry Shark Bites »

The Titans’ offense was kept in check by the Jaguars in Week 11. QB Will Levis completed 13 of 17 passes for 158 yards with 2 TDs in the contest. The rookie played efficiently, but the Titans only posted a 23:34 time of possession, their second-lowest in 2023. RBs Derrick Henry and Tyjae Spears also suffered as a result, tallying a combined 52 rushing yards on 14 carries between them. Fortunately, there should be brighter days ahead of all. The Titans’ remaining schedule ranks seventh-best for QB matchups and fourth-best for RBs per our adjusted fantasy points allowed. It’ll be worth keeping an eye on Levis’ development and continuing to trust Henry as a high-end RB2 in the coming weeks.

View all Will Levis Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Derrick Henry, RB TEN
Dynasty MVP 60.1
Position Rank #86 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
226
316
416
Dynasty Write-up
Henry returned from a 2021 Jones Fracture to post the PPR RB4 season in 2022. The 29-year-old — with one year left on his contract -- was the subject of offseason trade rumors.
Winning Your League Starts Here Trophy
Why Wouldn’t You Invest
$36 to Win Your League?

Check out thisleague-winning info

2023 Draft Package Now - Sept 15

$39

Get Instant Access
2023 In-Season Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$39

Get Access Sept. 5
2023 DFS Package Sept 5 - Mar 7

$49

Get Access Sept. 5
Best Value – All Access Pass
DS Insider Membership All 3 Packages

$127 $36

Semi-annual
Get Instant Access
Draft War Room Included Draft War Room Draft War Room Draft War Room Included Draft War Room
Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Unlimited Live-Draft Sync Included Unlimited Live-Draft Sync
Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Award-Winning Player Rankings Included Award-Winning Player Rankings
3D Projections Included 3D Projections 3D Projections 3D Projections Included 3D Projections
In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles In-Depth Player Profiles Included In-Depth Player Profiles
Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Mock Draft Trainer Included Mock Draft Trainer
DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values DMVP Trade Values Included DMVP Trade Values
The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft The Perfect Draft Included The Perfect Draft
Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Breakout & Comeback Player Included Breakout & Comeback Player
Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Average Draft Position by Scoring Included Average Draft Position by Scoring
Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Scientific Injury Predictor Included Scientific Injury Predictor
Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Insider Sleepers & Busts Included Insider Sleepers & Busts
In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings In-Season Weekly Rankings Included In-Season Weekly Rankings
“Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool “Who Should I Start?” Tool Included “Who Should I Start?” Tool
“Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications Included “Team Intel” Tool w/ Analysis & Notifications
Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Live-Sync Free Agent Finder Included Live-Sync Free Agent Finder
Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator Trade Navigator Included Trade Navigator
Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares Player Shares Included Player Shares
In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems In-Depth Free Agent Gems Included In-Depth Free Agent Gems
Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice Included Buy/Sell/Hold Trade Advice
Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data Strength-of-Schedule Data Included Strength-of-Schedule Data
DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder Included DFS Lineup Builder
DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections Included DFS Ownership Projections
Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks Included Weekly Top Stacks
High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews Included High-Stakes DFS Line-up Reviews
DFS Independent DFS Independent DFS Independent Included DFS Independent Included DFS Independent
Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles Included Premium Insider Articles
Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates Included Daily FF Email Updates
Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates Included Breaking News Updates
To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives Included To-the-Minute Game Day Inactives
All-Access Draft Sharks App All–Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App Included All-Access Draft Sharks App
Get Instant Access Get Access Sept 5 Get Access Sept 5 Get Instant Access

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play