De'Von Achane - Fantasy Points Outlook

Bottom Line

You’re not drafting Achane expecting 2023-level efficiency.

But is there some room for him to jump up to ~15 touches per game?

After adding weight this offseason – our answer is yes.

It’ll come down to health for Achane, who’ll need to prove his new frame can hold up. He ultimately profiles as a volatile RB1.

What We Learned Last Year

• Achane became one of the best picks in 2023 fantasy drafts.
  • Across 11 appearances, he finished as a top-8 PPR back five times.
• He posted unbelievable efficiency marks.
  • Among 50 RBs with 100+ carries, the rookie ranked first in yards per carry (7.77), first in EPA per rush (0.32), and T-first in yards after contact per attempt (3.29).
  • He scored 11 total TDs, with two coming from 65+ yards out.
  • Achane broke 10 tackles on 31 receptions, scoring 3 times. He lined up all over the formation, helping him average a huge 9.5 yards after catch per reception.
• That efficiency was key, as Achane generally played a 1B role alongside Raheem Mostert.
  • Mostert handled 13.9 carries per game; 10.2 for Achane.
• Better health would have led to an even bigger season.
  • Achane made his NFL debut in Week 2 due to an August shoulder sprain.
  • Come Week 5, he sustained a knee injury that forced an IR stint.
  • Returning in Week 11, Achane banged the same knee and missed one more game. (Miami played on a short week, which likely played a role.)
  • Achane dealt with toe and rib injuries moving forward.

What to Expect in 2024

• The Dolphins used a Round 4 pick on speed back Jaylen Wright.
  • He’s likely to slot in as the RB3. The rookie isn’t expected to impact Achane right away.
• Raheem Mostert returns for his age-32 season.
  • Despite the advanced age, Mostert’s missed only three games over the past two seasons.
  • He signed a contract extension in March and will remain a major part of the backfield rotation.
• HC Mike McDaniel commented on Achane adding muscle this offseason.
  • Said McDaniel: “[I’m] seeing some strength gains and you can tell by his body he’s put some work into it…[he’s] just understanding everything about our offense so he can be as big a part of it as possible. That’s his goal.”
• Miami’s offense retains key pieces around Achane in QB Tua Tagovailoa and WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
• The O-line will demand attention, especially after losing stud G Robert Hunt.
  • Note: Miami ranked 8th in run block win rate last year.