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George Pickens - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsGeorge Pickens's Basic Stats

George Pickens
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.7
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.47
Burst Score (Rank): 121.20 (50%)

George Pickens's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.2 49.8 0.3 6.8
Weekly Writeup
Pickens has been held under 60 yards in five straight. The Cardinals provide an excellent breakout spot, but the floor remains low here -- especially alongside a healthy Pat Freiermuth.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.1 50.4 0.4 7.2

George Pickens's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#41 Wide Receiver

115.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 64.8 806.1 6.1 2 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsGeorge Pickens's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Pickens is better for SportsCenter than he is for fantasy at this stage in his career.

Though he logged some decent production as a rookie, he’ll need to take a step forward developmentally before anyone can be excited about him as anything more than a boom/bust WR4.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Pickens was selected by the Steelers with the 52nd pick of the 2022 NFL Draft.
  • Throughout last season, Pickens recorded many highlight reel-worthy catches. As flashy as he appeared to be in spurts on tape, his fantasy impact was the textbook definition of boom/bust.
  • He finished his rookie season with six total fantasy finishes as a WR3 or better and nine outside the top 50.
  • Even after the Steelers traded WR Chase Claypool to the Bears at the NFL trade deadline, Pickens’ production largely remained the same:
    • Week 1 - Week 9: 15.1% target share, 26% air yards share, 8.2 PPR points per game
    • Week 10 - Week 18: 15.9% target share, 29.9% air yards share, 11.0 PPR points per game
  • All in all, he didn’t stand out too much among his 2022 peers. Among the nine rookie WRs who received 50+ targets in 2022, Pickens ranked:
    • 4th in receiving yards (801)
    • 7th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
  • If you zoom out and look at how Pickens ranked among the 50 NFL WRs who saw 80+ targets last year, he ranked:
    • 38th in drop rate (7.1%)
    • 49th in yards after catch (110)
    • 40th in PFF receiving grade
  • The most troubling part of this picture is the 109.3 passer rating Pickens saw on his passes when targeted. The quality of targets he received was generally quite good, yet the spotty delivery on production raises red flags about Pickens’ individual performance.
What to Expect in 2023
  • At this stage in his career, Pickens is nothing more than a jump ball king. He ranked first in contest catch rate (67.9%) among WRs with 80+ targets last year, and that’s about it as far as his standout traits go.
  • Pickens is second or third in line for targets in a Steelers offense that finished the 2022 season 27th in pass rate following their bye week.
  • He’s still a decent dynasty league asset, but Pickens’ 2023 outlook suggests he’s a WR4 with greater use in a best-ball format.

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Jaylen Warren, RB PIT

11:29am EST 11/26/23

More work for Jaylen Warren and George Pickens

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport hears that there will be more focus on getting the ball to RB Jaylen Warren and WR George Pickens under new co-offensive coordinators Mike Sullivan and Eddie Faulkner. Novel idea to get the ball to your two most explosive playmakers! Warren was already a nice RB2 play in today's plus matchup vs. the Bengals. We'd still consider Pickens a risk/reward WR3 -- although this news makes him a bit easier to get into Week 12 fantasy lineups.

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Steelers WR George Pickens (shin) is not listed on the final Week 12 injury report. He went from no practice on Wednesday to limited participation on Thursday to full participation on Friday. The shin shouldn’t be an issue in this weekend’s game vs. the Bengals.

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Steelers WR George Pickens (shin) returned to a limited practice on Thursday after being sidelined on Wednesday. We'll see what he does tomorrow and how he's listed on the final injury report for this weekend's game vs. the Bengals.

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Steelers WR George Pickens (shin) did not practice on Wednesday. We don't have any other details on the shin injury. We'll see if Pickens is able to get back on the practice field tomorrow, ahead of Sunday's game vs. the Bengals.

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The Steelers have fired OC Matt Canada, who has been running the unit since 2021. In that time, Pittsburgh has ranked 21st, 26th, and 28th (so far this year) in scoring. Each season has found the offense ranking 28th in yards per play. NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that the team plans to promote RBs coach Eddie Faulkner to OC but hand play-calling duties to QBs coach Mike Sullivan. Faulkner has coached Steelers RBs since 2019 (and previously served in the same role for the team in 2012). His only OC experience to date has been with Ball State in 2009-10. Sullivan has been coaching at the college level or higher for 30 years. He has been in the NFL since 2002, including stints as Buccaneers OC (2012-13) and Giants OC (2016-17). Those offenses finished -- in order -- 13th, 30th, 26th, and 31st in scoring; eighth, 32nd, 24th, and 25th in yards per play. Sullivan didn't get great QB play across those offenses. He started with fourth-season Josh Freeman in Tampa, and then got primarily Mike Glennon the following year. His two seasons at the Giants' offensive helm came in Eli Manning's age-35 and age-36 campaigns. NFL Network's Mike Garafolo says Sullivan has a "strong relationship" with Steelers QB Kenny Pickett, but the new guy probably isn't an upgrade on those previous situations. The switch should be positive for usable skill-position Steelers, though. Canada never won as a play caller and often sported questionable run-pass splits given the output. This year's Steelers also should find upside in a softening schedule. According to FTN's Aaron Schatz, Pittsburgh faced the league's toughest schedule so far this year by total defensive DVOA. Over a full season, the 2023 schedule to date would rank third-toughest of any team since 1981. You can see the negative fantasy impacts of those opponents on our Strength of Schedule pages. The remaining schedule ranks fifth-best for RB scoring and ninth-best for WRs. (Just 17th for TEs, though.) We'll see whether the run-pass splits change. That question plus Pickett's limitations make the WRs tough to get excited about. RB Najee Harris looks interesting, though -- especially because his trade cost has been driven down by meager production and Jaylen Warren's recent numbers.

View all Pittsburgh Steelers Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

George Pickens, WR PIT
Dynasty MVP 103.1
Position Rank #46 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
317
528
980
Dynasty Write-up
Pickens looks like one of the steals of the 2022 NFL Draft. As a rookie, he showed a clear ability to dominate at the catch point. His outlook only improved with the trade of WR Chase Claypool.
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