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Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsIsiah Pacheco's Basic Stats

Isiah Pacheco
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 3
Age: 25.6
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 216
40 Time: 4.37

SPARQx (Rank): 133.90 (96%)
Burst Score (Rank): 115.10 (32%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.36 (56%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.09

Isiah Pacheco's Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
44.3 0.4 1.9 12.4 0.1 8

Isiah Pacheco's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#37 Running Back

150.3 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 149.2 670.5 5.33 1 1.4 28.5 189.1 1.11

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsIsiah Pacheco's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Pacheco ranked 14th among RBs in PPR and non-PPR points per game last year. He was even better in seven games without RB Jerick McKinnon, posting a scoring average that would have ranked third at his position.

McKinnon remains unsigned as of now, leaving Clyde Edwards-Helaire as Kansas City’s No. 2 RB – and giving Pacheco legitimate RB1 upside in a high-scoring Chiefs offense.

Durability is a concern, but Pacheco is a value anywhere in Round 3 or beyond.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Pacheco ranked 14th among RBs in both PPR and non-PPR points per game last year.
  • He missed Weeks 14 and 15 with a shoulder injury and was held out of a meaningless regular-season finale.
  • In his 14 games, Pacheco averaged:
    • 14.6 carries
    • 66.8 rushing yards
    • 3.5 targets
    • 3.1 catches
    • 17.4 receiving yards
    • 0.6 TDs
  • He was even busier and more productive in seven games (including 3 playoff games) without RB Jerick McKinnon. In those, Pacheco averaged:
    • 17.9 carries
    • 82.1 rushing yards
    • 3.7 targets
    • 3.6 catches
    • 15.6 receiving yards
    • 1.1 TDs
  • His 20.2 PPR points per game in those outings would have ranked third among RBs on the season.
  • Pacheco’s usage equated to 18.8 expected PPR points per game, which would have ranked sixth at his position.
  • Pacheco was effective as a runner last year. Among 49 RBs with 90+ carries, he ranked:
    • 17th in yards after contact per attempt
    • 27th in missed tackles forced per attempt
    • 8th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
    • 10th in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
  • Pacheco ranked just 29th in yards per route run among 43 RBs with 30+ targets but ranked 11th in PFF receiving grade.
  • Pacheco emerged over the second half of his 2022 rookie season, ranking 13th league-wide in carries and fifth in rushing yards.
  • His 4.7 yards per carry over the last two years ranks 12th among 49 RBs with 200+ carries during that span.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Jerick McKinnon remains unsigned as of now, giving Pacheco a RB1-level ceiling similar to what we saw in his seven games without McKinnon last year.
  • The Chiefs’ RB depth chart behind Pacheco:
    • Clyde Edwards-Helaire
    • Deneric Prince
    • Louis Rees-Zammit
    • Keaontay Ingram
  • The Chiefs have typically ranked in the top half of the league in total RB PPR points under HC Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes:
    • 2018 - 5th
    • 2019 - 16th
    • 2020 - 25th
    • 2021 - 15th
    • 2022 - 5th
    • 2023 - 11th
  • The 2023 Chiefs ranked 20th in Adjusted Line Yards and 18th in Pro Football Focus run-blocking grades
  • They return four of five starters on the offensive line, opting to not re-sign LT Donovan Smith, who ranked 67th among 70 qualifying OTs in Pro Football Focus’ 2023 pass-blocking grades. He’ll be replaced by either 2023 third-round pick Wanya Morris or 2024 second-rounder Kingsley Suamataia.
  • The biggest concern with Pacheco is durability.
    • He underwent surgeries on his hand and shoulder shortly after the 2022 season.
    • He re-injured that shoulder last year, had a clean-up procedure, and missed two games.
    • Pacheco also suffered a concussion in Week 16, although he was cleared for Week 17.
    • Our Injury Predictor gives him a 90.4% chance of injury this season and 3.40 projected games missed – both second most among RBs.

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Isiah Pacheco, RB KC

3:47pm EDT 9/18/24

Could Isiah Pacheco Miss The Rest Of The Season?

Chiefs HC Andy Reid didn't give a firm timetable for RB Isiah Pacheco's return from his leg injury on Wednesday, but he said it could be "this season or next season," according to Arrowhead Pride's Pete Sweeney. That obviously suggests that Pacheco is not a lock to return this year. It's a bit surprising after Monday's report from ESPN's Jeremy Fowler that Pacheco was expected to miss 6-8 weeks.

View Full Story »

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with his fractured fibula, according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. The Chiefs have a Week 6 bye, which will save Pacheco a game. But this timeline means he'll be out at least through Week 8 and potentially through Week 10.

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Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco fractured his right fibula in Sunday's win over the Bengals, NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports. It's not yet clear how long Pacheco is expected to miss. He's reportedly headed for further testing on Monday to determine whether there's any surrounding damage and his return timeline.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Isiah Pacheco, RB KC
Dynasty MVP 31.1
Position Rank #24 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
334
485
732
Dynasty Write-up
Following offseason shoulder surgery, Pacheco excelled again in 2023. Despite two missed games (shoulder), the second-year back tallied 1,179 total yards and 9 TDs. Pacheco is poised to handle a lead-back role again in 2024.
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