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Jahmyr Gibbs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJahmyr Gibbs's Basic Stats

Jahmyr Gibbs
DET

RB DET

#30 Running Back

156.9 Projected Points

ADP: 4.4
Bye: 9
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 21.5
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 199

Jahmyr Gibbs's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
48.2 0.3 4 32.2 0.2 10.8
Weekly Writeup
Gibbs is a good bet to see increased volume with David Montgomery out this week. Exactly how big an increase is uncertain, but the rookie is an easy Week 3 fantasy play with a lofty ceiling.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
49.4 0.3 3.5 34.3 0.2 11.4

Jahmyr Gibbs's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#30 Running Back

151.3 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
4.4 157.4 600.8 4.1 1.3 1.5 62.9 540.3 2.6

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJahmyr Gibbs's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Gibbs is an electrifying rookie with strong pass-catching chops that should be a fixture of the Lions’ offense in 2023.

Though his slight frame (5’9, 199 pounds) and the presence of RB David Montgomery will somewhat limit his ceiling, we expect that Gibbs should be a solid flex option with the upside to finish as a strong RB2 in PPR scoring formats in 2023.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Gibbs was selected 12th in the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • The former Georgia Tech RB entered the transfer portal in 2022 and landed with college football powerhouse Alabama. He posted a stellar junior season in the SEC:
    • Gibbs tallied a team-leading 44 receptions on 52 targets with 1,370 scrimmage yards and 10 total TDs, eventually earning All-SEC second-team honors.
    • As a sophomore in 2021 at Georgia Tech, he was named to the All-ACC first team in addition to securing honors as a second-team All-American.
    • Gibbs’ target share (17%) ranked fifth among all Power 5 conference RBs that season.
  • Gibbs measured in at 5’9, 199 pounds at the NFL Combine. That’s 25th-percentile height and 14th-percentile weight among Combine RBs.
  • He also recorded the second-fastest 40 time (4.36 seconds) among RBs, with an impressive 1.52-second 10-yard split time (83rd percentile).


What to Expect in 2023
  • Gibbs should immediately walk into an impact role. Between his high NFL draft capital and how well his skill set translates to the offensive scheme that the team runs, there’s plenty of reason to be excited about the rookie.
  • The team did sign free agent RB David Montgomery to a three-year, $18 million contract this offseason but also traded away RB D’Andre Swift.
  • The Swift move plus the draft capital spent on Gibbs makes it clear the team believes him to be an upgrade over the departed RB.
  • OC Ben Johnson has spent the last two years on the Lions' staff (passing game coordinator in 2021, OC in 2022). In each of those two seasons, Swift received 70+ targets. He even ranked 10th among RBs in targets last year, despite missing time and falling out of favor with coaches.
View RB Fantasy Rankings »

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Jahmyr Gibbs, RB DET

22 hours ago

Jahmyr Gibbs underwhelms on big volume

Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs racked up 17 carries in Sunday's win over the Falcons vs. just seven total for RBs Craig Reynolds and Zonovan Knight. The rookie totaled 80 rushing yards for a solid 4.7 yards per carry. But he didn't find the end zone, despite three carries inside the Atlanta 10-yard line. And Gibbs surprisingly caught just one of two targets for two yards. It was an underwhelming fantasy outing but encouraging usage. If RB David Montgomery remains out for Week 4, Gibbs will again land in RB1 territory in our rankings.

View all Jahmyr Gibbs Shark Bites »

Lions RB David Montgomery (thigh) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Falcons. RBs Jahmyr Gibbs, Craig Reynolds, and Zonovan Knight are active for Detroit. We’re expecting Gibbs to get at least a slight uptick in rushing volume, with Reynolds soaking up most of the rest of Montgomery’s work. See where the Lions RBs land in the Week 3 Rankings.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Related Players Craig Reynolds, Zonovan Knight, Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports that Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs is expected to get "the majority of the work" against the Falcons today. "They are still going to play multiple backs," Pelissero adds. "They don't want to wear Gibbs out." Don't expect 20+ carries for the rookie. But even 12-15 -- along with heavy involvement in the passing game -- would make Gibbs an easy RB1.

View all Jahmyr Gibbs Shark Bites »

Lions RB David Montgomery (thigh) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game vs. the Falcons. He didn’t practice all week and is obviously a long shot to play. Montgomery’s absence should mean a bigger role for RB Jahmyr Gibbs, although RB Craig Reynolds and potentially RB Zonovan Knight will be in the mix.

View all David Montgomery Shark Bites »

Related Players Craig Reynolds, Zonovan Knight, Jahmyr Gibbs

Tim Twentyman of the Lions' official website expects RB Jahmyr Gibbs to get around 15 carries vs. the Falcons on Sunday. If the rookie gets that type of rushing volume -- to go along with his big role in the passing game -- he could be in line for a breakout Week 3. Gibbs is a must-start in season-long fantasy leagues and a recommended play in DFS tournaments.

View all Jahmyr Gibbs Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Jahmyr Gibbs, RB DET
Dynasty MVP 138.4
Position Rank #5 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
436
713
1,273
Dynasty Write-up
Gibbs is undersized at 5’9, 199 pounds. Still, his combo of play speed and receiving ability is off the charts. He landed with a creative play-caller in OC Ben Johnson. And the trade of D'Andre Swift opens up a hefty share of year-one targets.

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