Projected Role & Competition
Gibbs should remain the clear centerpiece of Detroit’s backfield.
Detroit traded David Montgomery to the Texans, then added Isiah Pacheco in free agency.
Pacheco broke his fibula in 2024 and then struggled in 2025 to make an impact. He averaged just 6.72 PPR points per game, failing to record a top-12 finish.
Pacheco can take some carries, similar to Montgomery. But Gibbs should retain his 2025 role.
The team lacks depth beyond that, with Sione Vaki and Jacob Saylors rounding out the RBs.
Supporting Cast
Gibbs benefits from the talent around him.
Goff threw for 4,564 yards and 34 TDs, keeping Detroit’s offense efficient and productive. Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 117 passes for 1,401 yards and 11 TDs. Jameson Williams topped 1,100 yards and added the explosive element. Sam LaPorta was highly efficient in nine games, catching 40 passes for 489 yards.
That supporting cast and strong passing game help keep defenders out of the box. Gibbs ranked 35th in run percentage against 8+ defenders in the box at 21.81%. That same offensive strength helps sustain long drives and present scoring chances.
Coaching & Offensive Scheme
New OC Drew Petzing is expected to call plays and could alter how the offense operates.
The offense’s success under multiple play callers in recent years makes it easier to not worry about the change.
The Lions ranked fifth in points in 2022, fifth in 2023, and first in 2024 under OC Ben Johnson. They ranked fifth last year with OC John Morton and then HC Dan Campbell calling plays.
The pass-rate trend also moved in his favor last season. Detroit’s neutral pass rate fell slightly from 54.3% in 2022 to 53.4% in 2024 under Ben Johnson. It perked back up to 57.2% in 2025 under Morton and Campbell.
Now Petzing arrives after his most pass-heavy season. His pass rate over expected also climbed over his three years calling plays as the Cardinals HC:
| Points | Plays | Pace | Pass Rate | Neutral Pass Rate | PROE |
2023 | 24th | 62.8 | 9th | 55.9% | 52.6% | -4.4% |
2024 | 12th | 60.9 | 19th | 55.3% | 57.3% | +0.1% |
2025 | 23rd | 63.2 | 2nd | 65.9% | 63.4% | +7.3% |
Petzing’s Arizona offenses didn’t score very well, ranking 24th, 12th, and 23rd in his three seasons. But he inherits much more talent in Detroit.
Paths To Ceiling
Gibbs ranked third in PPR points per game while finishing seventh in rushing yards, third in rushing TDs, third in receptions, and third in receiving yards among RBs last season.
If Detroit remains a top-5 scoring offense while Petzing increases offensive pace and pass rate, Gibbs could push even higher.
Pacheco’s also a worse bet for work than Montgomery was, evident in the mere one-year, $1.8 million contract he signed.
Either way, Gibbs does not need a massive workload jump. A similar rushing role plus another elite receiving season would keep him among the top RB scorers. Any increase in routes, targets, or goal-line usage would only boost him further.
Risk Factors
Gibbs has little risk with his touches climbing every year of his career.
Pacheco could be a minor concern, but his one year, $1.8 million contract is evidence that he won’t take much work from Gibbs. We already saw David Montgomery’s workload decrease in the final eight games in the season and Pacheco makes for weaker competition.
Gibbs’ combination of explosiveness, receiving usage, durability, and offensive environment makes him one of the strongest RB bets in fantasy. His receiving and big play ability keeps his floor high.