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Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Ja'Marr Chase
CIN

WR CIN

#24 Wide Receiver

147 Projected Points

ADP: 5.5
Bye: 10
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: N/A
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 210
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#24 Wide Receiver

147 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.5 75 1057 7 2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

126.4

DS Projection

147

Consensus

38 other sites
0

High Ceiling

189.6

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-Chase broke out as a 19-year-old at LSU in 2019, posting 84-1,780-20 alongside Joe Burrow.

-He set SEC records for receiving yards and TDs in a single season.

-Chase accounted for 19.7% of LSU’s catches, 29.5% of the team’s receiving yards and 32.8% of the team’s receiving scores. Very strong age-adjusted marks in such a talented offense.

-It’s tough to find a weakness in his game. Speed, contested catch ability and post-catch aggressiveness are all huge pluses. If there’s one thing to nitpick, it’s that he’s not a DeVonta Smith-like separator.

-The 6’0, 201-pound Chase posted a 90th percentile 40 time, a 95th percentile vertical and a 95th percentile broad. He’s a super clean prospect — arguably the best over the past several years.

-The Bengals let A.J. Green walk in free agency. He leaves behind 104 targets, which figure to move to Chase.

-Cincinnati led the league in 3-WR sets last year, using the formation on 76% of the offensive snaps. Good news for Chase’s stock, as Cincy returns Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins.

-The Bengals didn’t make any upgrades at TE after 3 guys (Drew Sample, C.J. Uzomah and Cethan Carter) combined for only 71 targets a season ago.

-Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending ACL/MCL tear in Week 11. However, he’s fully expected to be under center for Week 1 this fall.

-Chase’s built-in chemistry is certainly a huge plus. They duo already began offseason throwing sessions in May.

-The 2020 Bengals ranked 13th league-wide in pass rate; 13th in total plays per game. With the same staff returning, an uber-talented QB entering year 2 and a defense still in rebuilding mode, this offense should safely lean pass once again.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

We’re not sure we’d call Chase a generational talent, but he was our clear WR1 in this draft class. He has all of the hallmarks of a future WR1, both in real life and in fantasy.

A massive target ceiling isn’t likely for the 5th overall pick, at least as long as Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins stay healthy. But the Bengals’ heavy 11 personnel and the departure of A.J. Green made it easy to find 119 targets for the rookie. Only 21, the Louisiana native will carry a WR2 ceiling into September.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Bengals added LSU WR Ja’Marr Chase with the 5th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft. Chase opted out of the 2020 season due to COVID concerns but had nothing left to prove after a massive 2019. He set single-season SEC records with 1,780 yards and 20 TDs. And he did it as a true sophomore battling for targets with Justin Jefferson, who just set the record for receiving yards by a rookie, and Terrace Marshall, who is expected to be a 1st- or 2nd-rounder this year. Chase goes 6’0, 201 pounds but plays bigger. He’s physical through his routes, at the catch point and after the catch. And he’s excellent going deep, leading the nation with 24 catches 20+ yards downfield in 2019, per Pro Football Focus. Chase blew up his Pro Day, blazing a 4.34-second 40-yard dash and registering a huge 41-inch vertical to earn a 98th percentile Relative Athletic Score. “Chase is one of the best wide receivers in the last 10 years,” a longtime scout told The Athletic’s Bob McGinn. “He can take an underneath ball and go 80 yards. He can just run right by you and catch it 60 yards downfield. He’s built like a fullback almost, but can run like a wide receiver. He’s as good as it gets.” Chase reunites with QB Joe Burrow in Cincinnati as part of a loaded WR corps alongside Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. Any of those 3 could lead the team in targets this season.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

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