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Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Basic Stats

Ja'Marr Chase
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.9
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.39
Speed Score: 106.80
SPARQx (Rank): 141.90 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.70 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.95 (82%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (94%)

Ja'Marr Chase's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Ja'Marr Chase's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#2 Wide Receiver

253.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 98.9 1493.7 16.2 3.7 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Only 7 rookie WRs have ever averaged 80+ yards per game over at least 20 receptions. Chase is the 5th since 1987. The other 4: Odell Beckham Jr., Justin Jefferson, Anquan Boldin and Randy Moss.
  • Even if we lower that threshold to 70 yards per game, we find just 20 WRs ever. That includes 13 since 1987. In addition to Chase and the 4 already mentioned, there have been:
    • Michael Thomas
    • Mike Evans
    • Julio Jones
    • A.J. Green
    • Marques Colston
    • Michael Clayton
    • Terry Glenn
  • Chase’s fantasy stats benefited from a 16.05% TD rate in 2021, 7th among the top 100 PPR wideouts. But no player ahead of him topped Chase’s 81 receptions. The closest player behind him with as many catches was Cooper Kupp at 11.03% (25th).
  • Since 2010, there have been 86 WR seasons of 16% TD rate or higher among players with 20+ receptions. That’s an average of 7.2 per year.
  • Many WRs have produced multiple seasons of receiving TD rates over 10% within that span, however. A sampling includes:
    • A.J. Brown reaching 15% twice in the past 3 years
    • Marquise Brown going over 13.5% twice in that span
    • Dez Bryant delivering 6 years of 13% or higher
    • Eric Decker reaching 15% 3 times
    • Devin Funchess and James Jones combining for 5 seasons of 16%+
  • The point: Chase’s high TD rate from 2021 isn’t likely to become his annual rate. But it’s far from unprecedented for a player to stay up in that range of scoring efficiency.
  • He ranked 5th among WRs in end-zone targets for the year.
  • Chase led the Bengals in targets as a rookie. Even in just the 18 games that found Tee Higgins active, Chase beat Higgins 23.4% to 21.7% in target share.
  • The 4 playoff games alone found Chase leading Higgins 24.5% to 21.0%.
  • Cincinnati ranked just 20th in pass attempts last year but trended its passing rate up over the season’s 2nd half.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Chase arrived after a year away from football, playing with a QB coming off an ACL tear and alongside a pair of established wideouts. He immediately did historic things. All signs point to Chase being a true #1 type of WR. Having Tee Higgins around might slightly lower the target ceiling, but Chase also looks capable of consistently producing above-average efficiency in both yardage and TDs. And the Bengals offense still has room to improve. Joe Burrow now has a full season between him and a double-ligament tear. Chase has a year of NFL experience. Higgins heads into his 3rd pro campaign. The target question lands Chase behind Cooper Kupp and Justin Jefferson in our 2022 rankings, but he belongs in Round 1 across most formats.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN

9:35pm EST 1/22/23

Chase scores (again)

Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase tallied 5 catches, 61 yards and 1 score in Sunday’s win over Buffalo. That makes 5 straight games with a TD for the former LSU star. Chase scored in the 1st quarter on blown coverage. Later, he appeared to score in the back of the end zone, but upon review, refs determined that he didn’t complete the catch. Chase now hits the road to face Kansas City in the AFC Championship game.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow completed 23 of 32 passes for 209 yards and 1 TD in Sunday’s win over Baltimore. He leaned heavily on Ja’Marr Chase, who finished with 9-84-1 on a 37.5% target share. Burrow added a 1-yard TD on a sneak. Next up is a must-see matchup at Buffalo (Sunday, 3PM ET). The Bills exited the regular season sitting 2nd toughest vs. enemy QBs.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

The NFL announced that the Bills-Bengals game will not be rescheduled. It's officially a no-contest and players do not receive any stats for the game. Commissioner Roger Goodell is also recommending that the AFC Championship Game be played at a neutral site if the Bills or Bengals make it there as the road team. All 32 teams will vote on that proposal on Friday.

Update: The NFL owners have approved these changes to the playoff setup.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

The NFL announced Tuesday that it won't resume the Bills-Bengals game -- halted by S Damar Hamlin's collapse -- this week. The league added that it will keep the Week 18 schedule intact and that no decision has yet been made on how to treat Monday night's game going forward. That means fantasy football leagues and contest providers will either have to wait for further word on the resumption of that contest or figure out alternate solutions. We'll certainly be watching for updates on that front -- as well as, of course, any updates on Hamlin's condition.

View all Josh Allen Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow went 40-of-52 passing for 375 yards and 3 TDs (plus 2 INTs) in Saturday's win over the Patriots. Cincinnati dropped back on 65.5% of offensive plays despite jumping to a big early lead, facing a defense that has played the run tough. Burrow's scores went to WR Trenton Irwin (2) and WR Tee Higgins, who led the team with 128 yards on 8 catches. WR Ja'Marr Chase matched Higgins forr the reception lead, going for 79 yards. Cincinnati hosts the Bills in Week 17.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN
Dynasty MVP 265.8
Position Rank #2 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
810
1,385
2,505
Dynasty Write-up
Chase came off a year away from football, joined an offense with Tee Higgins already in place and topped Justin Jefferson's rookie-year receiving yards per game. Year 2 only confirmed that he's an elite long-term asset, despite a mid-season hip injury. He's impossible to NOT bet on going forward.
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