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Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Basic Stats

Ja'Marr Chase
ADP: 1.9
Bye: 10
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.6
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.39
Speed Score: 106.80
SPARQx (Rank): 141.90 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.70 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.95 (82%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (94%)

Ja'Marr Chase's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.9 83.5 0.7 12.8
Weekly Writeup
Chase will likely see a lot of Dolphins stud CB Xavien Howard on Thursday night. But we're not betting against Chase in any matchup.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.7 82.5 0.7 12.6

Ja'Marr Chase's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Wide Receiver

220.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.9 98.9 1453.7 11.9 3.6 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Only 7 rookie WRs have ever averaged 80+ yards per game over at least 20 receptions. Chase is the 5th since 1987. The other 4: Odell Beckham Jr., Justin Jefferson, Anquan Boldin and Randy Moss.
  • Even if we lower that threshold to 70 yards per game, we find just 20 WRs ever. That includes 13 since 1987. In addition to Chase and the 4 already mentioned, there have been:
    • Michael Thomas
    • Mike Evans
    • Julio Jones
    • A.J. Green
    • Marques Colston
    • Michael Clayton
    • Terry Glenn
  • Chase’s fantasy stats benefited from a 16.05% TD rate in 2021, 7th among the top 100 PPR wideouts. But no player ahead of him topped Chase’s 81 receptions. The closest player behind him with as many catches was Cooper Kupp at 11.03% (25th).
  • Since 2010, there have been 86 WR seasons of 16% TD rate or higher among players with 20+ receptions. That’s an average of 7.2 per year.
  • Many WRs have produced multiple seasons of receiving TD rates over 10% within that span, however. A sampling includes:
    • A.J. Brown reaching 15% twice in the past 3 years
    • Marquise Brown going over 13.5% twice in that span
    • Dez Bryant delivering 6 years of 13% or higher
    • Eric Decker reaching 15% 3 times
    • Devin Funchess and James Jones combining for 5 seasons of 16%+
  • The point: Chase’s high TD rate from 2021 isn’t likely to become his annual rate. But it’s far from unprecedented for a player to stay up in that range of scoring efficiency.
  • He ranked 5th among WRs in end-zone targets for the year.
  • Chase led the Bengals in targets as a rookie. Even in just the 18 games that found Tee Higgins active, Chase beat Higgins 23.4% to 21.7% in target share.
  • The 4 playoff games alone found Chase leading Higgins 24.5% to 21.0%.
  • Cincinnati ranked just 20th in pass attempts last year but trended its passing rate up over the season’s 2nd half.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Chase arrived after a year away from football, playing with a QB coming off an ACL tear and alongside a pair of established wideouts. He immediately did historic things. All signs point to Chase being a true #1 type of WR. Having Tee Higgins around might slightly lower the target ceiling, but Chase also looks capable of consistently producing above-average efficiency in both yardage and TDs. And the Bengals offense still has room to improve. Joe Burrow now has a full season between him and a double-ligament tear. Chase has a year of NFL experience. Higgins heads into his 3rd pro campaign. The target question lands Chase behind Cooper Kupp and Justin Jefferson in our 2022 rankings, but he belongs in Round 1 across most formats.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN

8:55pm EDT 9/26/22

Burrow, wideouts score vs. Jets

Bengals QB Joe Burrow rebounded from a pair of shaky outings to post his best fantasy outing so far this season in Sunday's win over the Jets. Burrow tallied 275 yards and 3 TDs, hitting Samaje Perine, Ja'Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd for scores. Chase led the team with 10 targets but managed only 29 yards on his 6 receptions. Boyd checked in 4th with 5 targets but caught 4 of them for 105 yards. His big strike was a 56-yard catch-and-run TD. Higgins proved steadiest, catching 5 balls for 93 yards among 7 looks. Cincinnati gets a home date with the Dolphins this Thursday night, then visits to Baltimore and New Orleans.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Playing all 81 snaps in Week 1, Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase racked up 16 targets, 10 catches, 129 yards and 1 score. The monster line came against Pittsburgh in a game that lasted until the end of overtime. Tee Higgins also departed in the 1st half with a concussion. As we saw last year, Chase was electric with the ball in his hands, dodging several tacklers and showing top-end burst. He also had 2 near TDs that didn’t count: One where he likely crossed the goal line but HC Zac Taylor decided not to challenge, the other on a sweet one-handed grab where he couldn’t quite get his 2nd foot down. Chase will look to keep rolling next week against Dallas.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Paul Dehner of The Athletic writes that WR Ja’Marr Chase “has picked up right where he left off” last season. You know, because All-Pro talents don’t just decline in their 2nd season. “It’s not a surprise, and it’s hard to imagine his stock soaring any higher, but Chase looks like he’s playing a different game,” Dehner shares. Good to know. The LSU product is currently coming off the board 3rd among WRs — and rightfully so.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Per the Bengals’ official website, WR coach Troy Walters “envisions” WR Ja’Marr Chase playing in the slot more this season. "I'm cool in the slot,” Chase said. “I just need more reps in it. It doesn't really matter to me. It's just another way for me to get the ball.” According to Pro Football Focus, Chase spent 15.8% of his snaps in the slot as a rookie. Unsurprisingly, he posted an elite 2.49 yards per route run from the inside alignment. The 22-year-old remains a top-5 fantasy WR.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow, WR Tee Higgins and K Evan McPherson are inactive for today’s game vs. the Browns.WR Ja’Marr Chase is active but might play just long enough to get the 12 yards he needs to set Cincinnati’s single-season franchise record.TE C.J. Uzomah (knee, hip) is surprisingly active after missing practice all week.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN
Dynasty MVP 231.4
Position Rank #1 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
705
1,206
2,180
Dynasty Write-up
Chase came off a year away from football, joined an offense with Tee Higgins already in place and topped Justin Jefferson's rookie-year receiving yards per game. He's impossible to NOT bet on going forward.

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