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Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Basic Stats

Ja'Marr Chase
ADP: 1.4
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.6
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 201
40 Time: 4.39
Speed Score: 106.80
SPARQx (Rank): 141.90 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.70 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.95 (82%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (94%)

Ja'Marr Chase's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7.3 95.1 0.7 13.7
Weekly Writeup
A young, superstar WR going up against a Titans defense that ranks as the fifth-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs so far this season? Sounds like a recipe for success to us. Chase is a high-end WR1 option for Week 4, even with a still-shaky QB Joe Burrow under center.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.9 69.6 0.6 10.8

Ja'Marr Chase's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#8 Wide Receiver

173.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.4 95.1 1113 9.9 2.8 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Though injuries temporarily derailed his sophomore season in 2022, Chase has quickly established himself as one of the league’s most electrifying wideouts.

The former LSU standout has gobs to potential to emerge as the WR1 overall in fantasy this upcoming season, catching passes from his college teammate/current QB Joe Burrow.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Chase finished his sophomore season as the WR11 overall in PPR, scoring 20.2 fantasy points per game.
  • He found a way to repeat as a fantasy star despite missing four games due to a fractured hip and the Bengals’ Week 17 game vs. the Bills being canceled due to the incident involving S Damar Hamlin.
  • Chase caught more passes (87) and tallied more receiving TDs (13) last year than he did as a rookie in 2021 – in five fewer games played (12).
  • Additionally, Chase showed growth in some key receiving metrics from Year 1 to Year 2:
    • 2021: 20.8% target share, 36.3% air yards share, 0.55 Weighted Opportunity Rating (WOPR)
    • 2022: 28.9% target share, 37.6% air yards share, 0.67 WOPR
  • Chase has a strong case to be the WR1 overall in 2023, given his high concentration of involvement and big-play potential in this Bengals offense.
  • However, it’s worth noting that Chase only registered five top-12 weekly finishes, three within the top-24, and four games as a WR3 or worse last year.
    • By contrast, Vikings WR Justin Jefferson concluded 2022 with nine top-12 finishes, three within the top-24, and five games as a WR3 or worse.
  • It sounds like we’re nitpicking, but we mention this as a partial explanation as to why we have Jefferson ranked ahead of Chase by two spots in our preseason rankings here at Draft Sharks.
  • Chase also took a step backward in PFF receiving grade, ranking 11th among all WRs (min. 100 targets) in 2022 after finishing 8th in 2021. That’s a negligible difference in the grand scheme of things, but still worth mentioning.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Barring injury, there’s no reason to expect anything other than another stellar fantasy season from Chase in 2022.
  • If there’s any shred of criticism to levy in his direction, it would be the relatively boom/bust nature of Chase’s production profile. Even then, his “busts” are relatively benign, and his “booms” are astronomically good.
  • Fantasy managers should feel great about taking Chase early in 2023 drafts.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN

5:22pm EDT 10/1/23

Ja'Marr Chase shines as lone bright spot for Bengals

Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase roped in 7 of 9 targets for 73 yards vs. the Titans in Week 4. His teammate Tyler Boyd (4 receptions, 26 yards) is the only other player to record more than 2 catches in the loss. That group unfortunately includes Tee Higgins, who saw just 2 catches for 19 yards before leaving with a rib injury. This offense has been off to a slow start in 2023 due in large part to QB Joe Burrow’s calf injury. They’ll have a chance to improve in Week 5 vs. the Cardinals.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase delivered big for fantasy managers in Week 3 vs. the Rams, catching 12 of 15 targets for 141 yards in the victory. Teammate Tyler Boyd had a productive outing as well, hauling 5 of 9 targets for 39 yards of his own. Those who were frustrated by the lack of huge production from Chase early in the year are surely happy after this showing. WR Tee Higgins, however, hit another skid in primetime action. He drew 8 targets but was only able to record 2 catches for 21 yards on those opportunities, bringing his catch rate to 40% on the season. Hopefully, all of these players will be able to click at the same time in what should be a good matchup against the Titans in Week 4.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Dianna Russini hears that there's "optimism" Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) will be able to play vs. the Rams tonight. He'll go through a workout this morning, per Russini, before a final decision is made. "Burrow is campaigning with the coaching staff and trainers to play, however his status is still uncertain," Russini adds. We'll keep you updated on the situation.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN
Dynasty MVP 153.5
Position Rank #5 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
482
782
1,434
Dynasty Write-up
Chase came off a year away from football, joined an offense with WR Tee Higgins already in place, and topped WR Justin Jefferson's rookie-year receiving yards per game. Year two only confirmed that he's an elite long-term asset, despite a mid-season hip injury. He's impossible not to bet on going forward.
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