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Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase’s Basic Stats

Ja'Marr Chase
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.39
Speed Score: 106.80

SPARQx (Rank): 141.90 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.70 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.95 (83%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.31 (94%)

Ja'Marr Chase's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.8 86.6 0.64 12.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.2 80.9 0.5 11.5

Ja'Marr Chase's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#2 Wide Receiver

308.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 108.4 1385.2 9.86 2.7 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Chase is already one of the league’s best wideouts and heading into just his fourth season. His QB should be back healthy after significant injury issues corrupted his 2023. As long as both stay healthy, Chase should be a good bet for top-5 fantasy production – with a WR1 overall ceiling.

What We Learned Last Year

  • QB matters. Chase drew 28.5% target share in Joe Burrow’s games vs. just 20.5% with Jake Browning.
  • Even when Burrow was on the field, his early struggles impacted WR production.
    • The QB opened the year still working back from a July calf strain, which he aggravated in Week 2.
      • Burrow completed 57.6% of his passes over the first four games, averaging just 182 yards and 0.5 TD passes per game.
      • Chase ranked 21st among WRs in PPR points over that span, scoring 0 TDs.
    • Burrow played like his usual self over the next five games, completing 74.1% of passes while averaging 296 yards and 2.4 TDs per game.
      • Chase ranked third in PPR points over that span, even with a bye week mixed in.
  • Burrow suffered a season-ending wrist injury in Week 11. From that week on, Chase ranked just 33rd in PPR points. He finished WR11 for the season.
  • Chase himself gave us nothing to worry about. His target share in Burrow games would have lined up with the 2022 rate that ranked Chase seventh among wideouts. Tee Higgins’ five missed games didn’t hurt, but Chase’s 2022 share came with Higgins on the field much more.
  • Chase’s yards per catch, yards per route, yards per target, catch rate, and receiving success rate all increased over the previous season.
  • His average target depth decreased for the second straight year, and was down even before Browning stepped in.
    • That decline over two years makes it unlikely Chase will ever again approach the 18.0 yards per catch of his rookie campaign. But shorter average routes should help his per-game efficiency and fantasy-scoring consistency.
    • And Chase’s weekly numbers still show route variability. He checked in short of 10.0 in aDOT each of the first five weeks and six of the first seven. But his aDOT eclipsed 13.0 in five of the remaining nine games.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Chase has played two seasons with a healthy Burrow and one without. He finished:
    • WR5 in PPR
    • WR3 in PPR points per game
    • WR11
  • Burrow was back throwing for spring OTAs. We’ll obviously watch his status throughout the summer, but that wrist shouldn’t be a 2024 issue. And – barring an injury to Chase, of course – Burrow’s health might the only potential hurdle to Chase’s production.
  • Higgins returns on the franchise tag. (We’ll see whether that keeps him off the field for any of training camp.) Tyler Boyd is gone, but the Bengals drafted exciting downfield threat Jermaine Burton in Round 3.
  • OC Brian Callahan landed the HC gig in Tennessee. But his replacement – Dan Pitcher – was the QBs coach and has been in Cincinnati longer than HC Zac Taylor has. And Taylor has been the play caller. This shouldn’t be a difficult transition.
  • Chase is looking for a contract extension and skipped OTAs in May. We’ll see whether that bleeds into training camp but certainly won’t start worrying about him before it does. The team has called extending Chase a “priority.”

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Tee Higgins, WR CIN

4:26pm EST 12/1/24

Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase Find End Zone In Loss

Bengals WRs Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase each scored TDs in the high-scoring affair against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Higgins caught five of 10 targets for 69 yards and the TD. Chase had a big day as well catching six of nine targets for 86 yards and his TD.

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Bengals WR Tee Higgins had a big game Sunday night in his return from a three-week quad injury. Higgins caught a team-high nine passes for 148 yards and a TD in the loss to the Chargers. He tied WR Ja'Marr Chase for the target lead (13) and trailed Chase's team lead in routes by just five. Chase caught seven balls for 75 yards and 2 TDs against the Chargers.

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Bengals WR Ja'Marr Chase obliterated the Ravens for 11 catches, 264 yards, and three TDs on Thursday night. The 55.4 PPR points were the 20th most scored by any player in a game in NFL history. They're the eighth most ever by a WR. A Baltimore secondary that's struggled all season and lost S Kyle Hamilton to an ankle injury in this one simply had no answer for Chase. He scored 67- and 70-yard TDs in the second half. And he got the hat trick with a leaping grab for a five-yard TD with less than a minute to go to bring the Bengals within a point. (They failed to convert the 2-point conversion.) Chase was targeted on 17 of QB Joe Burrow's 56 pass attempts -- good for a 30.4%. target share.

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Bengals WR Tee Higgins (quad) is officially inactive for tonight's game vs. the Ravens. He remained sidelined in practice all week. We'll see if Higgins can make it back for Week 11's game vs. the Chargers, but it's worth noting that Cincinnati has a Week 12 bye. Look for WR Ja'Marr Chase and TE Mike Gesicki to lead the Bengals in targets tonight.

View all Tee Higgins Shark Bites »

ESPN's Dan Graziano hears that there's "pessimism" about Bengals WR Tee Higgins' availability for Sunday's game vs. the Eagles. Higgins was added to the injury report with a quad on Friday, limited in practice, and listed as questionable. "The Bengals are planning to go right up until game time before deciding" on Higgins' status, Graziano adds. We'll look for more updates on Higgins on Sunday morning and get Cincinnati's inactives around 11:30 am ET. His absence would mean more target potential for WR Ja'Marr Chase, WR Andrei Iosivas, and the Bengals RBs and TEs. It'd also be a significant loss for QB Joe Burrow.

View all Tee Higgins Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN
Dynasty MVP 92.3
Position Rank #1 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
573
936
1,764
Dynasty Write-up
An injured Joe Burrow kept Chase from hitting his fantasy ceiling in 2023. Still, he remained effective en route to a 100-1,216-7 line. Chase's elite outlook remains unchanged in 2024.
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