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Ja'Marr Chase - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Basic Stats

Ja'Marr Chase
CIN

WR CIN

#3 Wide Receiver

210.9 Projected Points

ADP: 1.4
Bye: 7
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.5
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 201
40 Time: 4.39
Speed Score: 106.80
SPARQx (Rank): 141.90 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 135.70 (97%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.95 (82%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.35 (94%)

Ja'Marr Chase's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.2 79.1 0.5 10.9
Weekly Writeup
NOTE: These projections are based on the assumption that QB Joe Burrow (calf) plays on Monday night. As disappointing as the Bengals' offense has been so far this year, the fact that Chase has recorded at least 5 catches in both games should provide fantasy managers with some relief. At least his floor doesn't absolutely kill you in lineups. The Rams' defense ranks as the 11th-best matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs. If Burrow is good, we trust Chase to put up numbers and get things done.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.6 86 0.7 13

Ja'Marr Chase's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Wide Receiver

198.3 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.4 100.1 1303 10.8 3.3 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJa'Marr Chase's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Though injuries temporarily derailed his sophomore season in 2022, Chase has quickly established himself as one of the league’s most electrifying wideouts.

The former LSU standout has gobs to potential to emerge as the WR1 overall in fantasy this upcoming season, catching passes from his college teammate/current QB Joe Burrow.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Chase finished his sophomore season as the WR11 overall in PPR, scoring 20.2 fantasy points per game.
  • He found a way to repeat as a fantasy star despite missing four games due to a fractured hip and the Bengals’ Week 17 game vs. the Bills being canceled due to the incident involving S Damar Hamlin.
  • Chase caught more passes (87) and tallied more receiving TDs (13) last year than he did as a rookie in 2021 – in five fewer games played (12).
  • Additionally, Chase showed growth in some key receiving metrics from Year 1 to Year 2:
    • 2021: 20.8% target share, 36.3% air yards share, 0.55 Weighted Opportunity Rating (WOPR)
    • 2022: 28.9% target share, 37.6% air yards share, 0.67 WOPR
  • Chase has a strong case to be the WR1 overall in 2023, given his high concentration of involvement and big-play potential in this Bengals offense.
  • However, it’s worth noting that Chase only registered five top-12 weekly finishes, three within the top-24, and four games as a WR3 or worse last year.
    • By contrast, Vikings WR Justin Jefferson concluded 2022 with nine top-12 finishes, three within the top-24, and five games as a WR3 or worse.
  • It sounds like we’re nitpicking, but we mention this as a partial explanation as to why we have Jefferson ranked ahead of Chase by two spots in our preseason rankings here at Draft Sharks.
  • Chase also took a step backward in PFF receiving grade, ranking 11th among all WRs (min. 100 targets) in 2022 after finishing 8th in 2021. That’s a negligible difference in the grand scheme of things, but still worth mentioning.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Barring injury, there’s no reason to expect anything other than another stellar fantasy season from Chase in 2022.
  • If there’s any shred of criticism to levy in his direction, it would be the relatively boom/bust nature of Chase’s production profile. Even then, his “busts” are relatively benign, and his “booms” are astronomically good.
  • Fantasy managers should feel great about taking Chase early in 2023 drafts.
View WR Fantasy Rankings »

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Joe Burrow, QB CIN

1:20pm EDT 9/18/23

Joe Burrow uncertain for Week 3

ESPN's Adam Schefter said it's "fair to wonder" if Bengals QB Joe Burrow (calf) will play vs. the Rams next Monday night. It wasn't an official report, but we doubt Schefter just pulled this out of thin air. We'll look for further updates on Burrow's status and track his practice participation throughout the week, but his fantasy owners should be lining up a backup plan for Week 3 (and maybe beyond). QB Jake Browning is Cincinnati's backup -- and would obviously be a huge downgrade for all Bengals skill-position players.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Related Players Joe Mixon, Jake Browning, Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase

Bengals WR Tee Higgins racked up an 8-89-2 receiving line on a team-high 12 targets in Sunday's loss to the Ravens. That marked a big rebound from his 0-catch opener. WRs Tyler Boyd and Ja'Marr Chase tied for second with 8 targets apiece. Boyd tallied 6 catches for 52 yards; Chase snagged 5 receptions for just 31 yards. The game marked significant improvement for the Cincinnati passing game over Week 1. But it'll need to rebound further to deliver on the draft positions of Burrow and his top WRs. Burrow's aggravation of his calf injury won't help. We'll see about his status heading into an upside Week 3 matchup with the Rams. After that comes non-scary spots against the Titans, Cardinals, and Seahawks -- ahead of a Week 7 bye.

View all Tee Higgins Shark Bites »

Related Players Tyler Boyd, Ja'Marr Chase

Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase logged 5 catches on 9 targets for 39 receiving yards in Sunday’s 24-3 loss vs. the Browns. His teammate Tee Higgins recorded zero catches on 8 targets in Week 1. HC Zac Taylor spoke optimistically following the contest, saying, “This isn’t the team that we are going to be. We all understand that,” per The Athletic’s Paul Dehner Jr. Fantasy managers looking to get more in Week 2 vs. the Ravens sure hope so. Chase came close to double-digit PPR points, but Higgins being completely shut out is the biggest concern. We’ll hold off on getting too worried, however. QB Joe Burrow struggled to hold onto the football due to wet conditions and eventually had to wear a glove on his hand. There are assuredly brighter days ahead for the Cincinnati offense.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Related Players Tee Higgins

Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase tallied 5 catches, 61 yards and 1 score in Sunday’s win over Buffalo. That makes 5 straight games with a TD for the former LSU star. Chase scored in the 1st quarter on blown coverage. Later, he appeared to score in the back of the end zone, but upon review, refs determined that he didn’t complete the catch. Chase now hits the road to face Kansas City in the AFC Championship game.

View all Ja'Marr Chase Shark Bites »

Bengals QB Joe Burrow completed 23 of 32 passes for 209 yards and 1 TD in Sunday’s win over Baltimore. He leaned heavily on Ja’Marr Chase, who finished with 9-84-1 on a 37.5% target share. Burrow added a 1-yard TD on a sneak. Next up is a must-see matchup at Buffalo (Sunday, 3PM ET). The Bills exited the regular season sitting 2nd toughest vs. enemy QBs.

View all Joe Burrow Shark Bites »

Related Players Ja'Marr Chase

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Ja'Marr Chase, WR CIN
Dynasty MVP 178.7
Position Rank #2 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
548
912
1,708
Dynasty Write-up
Chase came off a year away from football, joined an offense with WR Tee Higgins already in place, and topped WR Justin Jefferson's rookie-year receiving yards per game. Year two only confirmed that he's an elite long-term asset, despite a mid-season hip injury. He's impossible not to bet on going forward.

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