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Javonte Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJavonte Williams's Basic Stats

Javonte Williams
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.4
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.62
SPARQx (Rank): 122.40 (82%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.02 (89%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.93

Javonte Williams's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
61 0.4 4 27.9 0.1 11.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
66.8 0.5 3.4 28.8 0.1 13

Javonte Williams's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#14 Running Back

194.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 215.1 988.8 8.2 2.2 1.5 48.7 380.3 1.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJavonte Williams's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Williams ran for 903 yards and 4 scores on 203 carries as a rookie last year. He added a strong 43-316-3 receiving line on 53 targets.
  • Williams finished 16th among RBs in PPR points, 16th in half-PPR and 17th in non-PPR.
  • He had a huge Week 13 vs. the Chiefs with Melvin Gordon sidelined, carrying 23 times for 102 yards and catching 6 of 9 targets for 76 yards and a score.
  • Williams’ averages in 16 games with Gordon would have left him just 36th among RBs in PPR points per game, 36th in half-PPR points per game and 33rd in non-PPR points per game.
  • Williams finished as a top-12 PPR RB in 3 of those 16 games with Gordon. He finished outside the top 24 in 11 of 16.
  • In their 16 games together, Gordon out-carried Williams 203 to 180 and 11 to 10 inside the opponent’s 5-yard line. Williams led with 44 targets to Gordon’s 38.
  • Gordon beat Williams last year in yards per carry (4.5 to 4.4), Pro Football Focus rushing grade and Football Outsiders’ rushing DVOA.
  • Williams beat Gordon in PFF’s Elusive Rating, which measures a RB’s impact beyond the blocking he receives.
    • In fact, Williams ranked 5th in Elusive Rating among 50 RBs league-wide with 100+ carries last year.
    • It was the 5th best mark by a rookie RB over the past 5 seasons, behind only Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Josh Jacobs and Michael Carter.
  • In the passing game, Williams beat Gordon in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run.
    • Among 49 RBs league-wide with 30+ targets last year, Williams ranked 25th in PFF receiving grade and 24th in yards per route.
  • Williams did all that as a 21-year-old rookie. Gordon was a 28-year-old, 7-year veteran.
  • The Broncos let Gordon hit free agency this offseason before eventually signing him about a month-and-a-half later to a 1-year, $2.5 million contract. By comparison, Gordon previously played on a 2-year, $16 million deal.
  • Williams and Gordon will be playing under a new coaching staff this year led by HC Nathaniel Hackett.
    • It’s Hackett’s first crack at a HC gig. He has 8 years of NFL OC experience: 2013-2014 with the Bills, 2016-2018 with the Jaguars and 2019-2021 with the Packers.
      • Those 8 Hackett offenses all deployed committee backfields, with only Leonard Fournette (20.6 in 2017 and 16.6 in 2018) reaching 15.0 carries per game.
  • The 2021 Broncos offensive line ranked 19th in PFF run-blocking grades and 18th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards. They’ll get RG Graham Glasgow back after he missed the 2nd half of last season with a broken leg. And they signed Billy Turner to replace Bobby Massie at RT.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Williams turned in an impressive rookie season and flashed big fantasy upside in the 1 game Melvin Gordon missed.

But he scored as just a low-end RB3 across 16 games with Gordon, who’s returning to Denver in 2022 on a 1-year deal.

So the big question is how the Broncos, under a new coaching staff, will divvy snaps and touches in the backfield this season. We’re expecting the ascending Williams to claim a bigger piece of the pie – but exactly how big will determine whether he’s an inconsistent RB2 or bonafide RB1 for fantasy squads.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Javonte Williams, RB DEN

22 hours ago

Williams leads Broncos backfield

Broncos RB Javonte Williams led the backfield in Week 3, rushing 15 times for 58 yards. Unfortunately for fantasy owners, Melvin Gordon mixed in for 12 attempts and a goal line score, plus 6 targets (vs. 5 for Williams). Williams added a drop. If there’s a positive here, it’s that he continues to pass the eye test as a tackle-dodger. Pro Football Focus charted him with 5 missed tackles forced against a stout San Francisco defense. He’ll enter a more favorable matchup this Sunday at Vegas.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams had a decent day in Sunday's win over the Texans, rushing for 75 yards on 15 carries (5.0 per attempt) and adding a catch for 10 yards among 4 targets. The better news for Williams -- amid a rough day for the Denver offense on whole -- was that his playing time stood further ahead of Melvin Gordon's in Week 2. Williams played 65% of snaps against Houston, compared with 32% for Gordon. They went 58-41 in the opener. Gordon also saw his route rate dip further from what was already a good-sized gap in Williams' favor. So the role has looked good for Williams drafters. Now we just need Denver's offense to stop being run moronically.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams totaled 108 yards in Monday’s road loss to Seattle. He played 38 snaps (vs. 27 for Melvin Gordon) but was out-carried by the veteran, 7-12. Williams delivered in fantasy on the strength of 11 catches for 65 yards. But his night should have been better, as he fumbled right at the goal line. Gordon actually fumbled in the same spot — so neither guy was benched for the miscue. At bottom, we’re likely headed for more games with heavy rotations going forward. Williams at least looks in peak tackle-breaking shape. Look for his efficient ways to continue Sunday vs. Houston.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos HC Nathaniel Hackett dropped the "hot hand" bomb on Friday when discussing his Javonte Williams/Melvin Gordon backfield. "I've always been a true believer in you want to roll with the hot hand," Hackett said. "One guy gets going, you want to be sure to keep feeding that person. But I think they're going to be great compliments to each other." It's the latest indication that Gordon will remain significantly involved in this backfield, at least out of the gate. We'll get our first look at the work split in Monday night's opener vs. the Seahawks.

View all Melvin Gordon Shark Bites »

Benjamin Allbright, a Broncos insider for KOA Radio in Denver, says those who draft RB Javonte Williams are "gonna be mad." He says it "looks like a 55/45" split between Williams and Melvin Gordon, "with some Mike Boone sprinkled in." Allbright adds that Gordon "is getting the situational work (GL, short yardage, etc)." The fact that we're getting varied reads on the situation from different reporters points to no one really knowing for sure what the Broncos' plan is. The sheer uncertainty adds risk to Williams at his Round 2 ADP and value to Gordon in Round 8.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Javonte Williams, RB DEN
Dynasty MVP 185.6
Position Rank #3 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
583
974
1,674
Dynasty Write-up
An aggressive ranking, but Williams looked like an excellent prospect entering the league and then turned in a strong rookie season. He ran for 903 yards on 4.4 yards per carry and caught 43 balls. Plus, Williams turned just 22 in April.
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