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Javonte Williams - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJavonte Williams's Basic Stats

Javonte Williams
ADP: N/A
Bye: 9
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23.6
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.62
SPARQx (Rank): 122.40 (82%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.70 (72%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.02 (89%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.93

Javonte Williams's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
62.8 0.2 3.3 20.4 0.1 9.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
50.3 0.4 1.9 14.8 0.1 9.4

Javonte Williams's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#24 Running Back

150.2 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 194.8 805 6.4 1.8 1.9 31 237 1.9

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJavonte Williams's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Williams is working his way back from a nasty multi-ligament right knee injury suffered on Oct. 2. But his rehab has gone smoothly. Williams avoided the PUP list to open camp and even took a few carries in the preseason. He's clearly on track to play Week 1.

Williams will be working in a new offense under HC Sean Payton, who has a long history of deploying committee backfields. The Broncos hit the free-agent market to add Samaje Perine, who could siphon a good bit of work from Williams.

There’s a lot of risk with Williams heading into 2023, but there's enough upside to make him an intriguing RB3 target in fantasy drafts.


What We Learned Last Year
  • A right knee injury ended Williams’ 2022 season in the third quarter of Week 4. He was diagnosed with a torn ACL, torn LCL, and torn posterolateral corner.
  • Williams split backfield work with RB Melvin Gordon in three healthy games, carrying 37 times for 176 yards (4.8 YPC) and 0 TDs and catching 15 of 21 targets for 77 yards.
  • Williams ranked 17th among RBs in PPR points and 31st in non-PPR through Week 3.
  • That followed a RB17 finish in PPR points and RB18 in non-PPR as a rookie in 2021.
  • Among 52 RBs with 90+ carries in 2021, Williams ranked:
    • 21st in Pro Football Focus rushing grade
    • 5th in PFF’s Elusive Rating
    • 12th in NFL Next Gen Stats’ Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt
  • Williams was also an effective receiver as a rookie, posting a 43-316-3 line on an 81.1% catch rate and 7.3 yards per catch. He ranked 25th among 49 qualifying RBs in PFF’s receiving grades.
  • He was the 35th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft after a super impressive 2020 junior season at North Carolina. Williams averaged a huge 7.3 yards per carry and scored 19 times on 157 attempts. His 0.48 broken tackles per attempt marked the best rate ever charted by Pro Football Focus.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The big story here is Williams’ recovery from that multi-ligament knee injury.
  • A 2018 study on multi-ligament knee injuries to NFL players found a 55.6% return to play rate. The return to prior performance level was just 18.5%.
  • It’s worth noting that Ravens RB J.K. Dobbins tore his ACL and LCL (and suffered meniscus damage) on August 28, 2021. He missed the entire 2021 campaign and the first two weeks of 2022. That means he was sidelined for 13 months. He also required another surgery on that knee in October and missed another six games.
  • There have been no reported setbacks with Williams’ rehab.
    • He resumed jogging in February.
    • Williams avoided the PUP list to open training camp.
    • And he even played in Denver's second preseason game.
  • Denver lost Melvin Gordon and Latavius Murray from last year’s backfield but added Samaje Perine on a 2-year, $7.5 million deal.
  • Payton has a long history of deploying committee backfields. He had at least 2 RBs average 9+ touches per game in 14 of his 15 seasons as Saints HC.
  • Denver’s offensive line ranked 15th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades and 20th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards last year.
  • The unit projects to be better in 2023 after the Broncos spent big money to add RT Mike McGlinchey and LG Ben Powers in free agency. LT Garrett Bolles will also be back after missing the final 12 games of last season with a broken leg.

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Javonte Williams, RB DEN

4:29pm EST 11/26/23

Javonte Williams exits with neck injury

Broncos RB Javonte Williams is questionable to return to Sunday's game vs. the Browns with a neck injury. We'll update his status when we know more. Williams' absence leaves Denver's backfield to Samaje Perine and Jaleel McLaughlin.

Update: Williams returned on Denver's second possession.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams racked up 25 touches in Monday night's win at Buffalo. That included his second straight game of 21+ carries and third straight game with at least 3 receptions. Williams has seen his three largest touch counts of the season -- 18, 30, 25 -- over the past three games. The receiving work has stayed in line with earlier performances, while the carries have climbed significantly. Winning three straight games has certainly helped. Denver spent a surprising amount of time leading both the Chiefs and Bills the past two games. The defense seems to have improved quite a bit, delivering its four best weekly DVOA ratings over the past four games. That included the best performance of any defense -- by a wide margin -- in Week 8 against K.C. If that continues, it'll help Williams' chances of continued higher rushing volume. The Broncos get negative RB-scoring matchups with the Vikings and Browns the next two weeks, but expect competitive games to help Williams' touch counts. He'll likely land comfortably inside RB2 range in our rankings for those two contests, with greater matchup upside over the final five fantasy weeks.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams stayed busy with 27 carries in Week 8. He wasn’t efficient, mustering only 3.1 YPC against a Kansas City unit down LB Nick Bolton. Still, adding 3 targets, Williams easily set a season-high in touches. He even added a receiving score on a designed screen. With his health and role trending up, Williams profiles as a clear RB2 going forward. He’ll face Buffalo after a Week 9 bye.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Broncos RB Javonte Williams posted a mini breakout in Week 7. On a season-high 15 carries, he gained 82 yards (5.5 per attempt) while adding 3 receptions. Williams easily led the way in snaps (31) and narrowly edged Samaje Perine in routes (13 to 10) and targets (4 to 3). Jaleel McLaughlin remained a factor with 2 targets and 5 catches. Ultimately, Williams’ health looks to be on the rise, so there’s reason for optimism going forward. He’ll look for his first TD of 2023 this week vs. Kansas City.

View all Javonte Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Javonte Williams, RB DEN
Dynasty MVP 123.5
Position Rank #18 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
407
643
1,062
Dynasty Write-up
Williams entered 2022 with enormous expectations. But only 4 games in, he suffered an ACL/LCL tear in his right knee. Year 3 brings questions beyond health given the play of QB Russell Wilson and performance of fired HC Nathaniel Hackett. A healthy Williams remains an intriguing fantasy prospect -- especially alongside new boss Sean Payton.
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