Projected Role & Competition
Williams signed a three-year, $24 million contract extension in February, clearly retaining the backfield lead.
The Cowboys did not add competition, with Malik Davis, Jaydon Blue, and Phil Mafah returning to fill out the RB depth chart.
Supporting Cast
The Cowboys bring back their offensive core for 2026. Dak Prescott returns as the starting QB with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens as the top two WRs. Jake Ferguson also returns as the starting TE.
The offense should remain similar for 2026, with HC Brian Schottenheimer heading into his second season at the helm following two seasons as Dallas OC.
Coaching & Offensive Scheme
Schottenheimer’s offense has been fantasy-friendly.
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
Pace | 65.9 (Third) | 64.9 (First | 66 (Third) |
Pass Rate | 58.5% | 61.1% | 56.7% |
Dallas wasn’t purely pass-happy in 2025, but Schottenheimer’s offenses keep a pace atop the league.
The pace should keep Williams’ touch count healthy, even in an offense that leans pass-heavy overall and in the red zone.
Last year, the Cowboys ranked:
- Eighth in pass rate
- 10th in red-zone pass rate
- 11th in red-zone pass rate over expected
The lean on the pass didn’t appear to hurt Williams who still ranked RB8 in expected PPR points per game. With no real competition for touches from the rest of the RB room, Williams should command the snaps and touches in a fast paced offense.
Paths To Ceiling
Williams hits his ceiling if his expected TDs convert at a higher rate. He ranked fourth in expected rush TDs in 2025, but eighth in actual TDs.
Williams’ new contract might indicate the Cowboys want Williams’ role to grow. His $8 million a year salary marks a steep increase from the $2.9 million for 2025.
Perhaps that’s just Dallas meeting the market price after getting Williams on the cheap last year. He still ties for just 17th at the position in annual salary average. But there’s potential for more touches if no other Cowboys RB proves ready to take on a significant role.
Williams finished las year:
- As RB8 in expected PPR points per game
- fourth in expected rushing TDs
Convert more of those TDs, and he could crack the position’s top 8.
Williams’ workload could also benefit from the Cowboys winning more games after they went 7-9-1 last year. Playing from ahead generally means a team runs the ball more..
Risk Factors
Williams’ downside comes from his limited receiving outlook. There’s no reason to believe the Cowboys will throw him a bunch more passes after they tied for just 23rd in RB receptions last year while attempting the third-most throws overall..
Combine that with Williams’ average efficiency metrics, and we might see other Dallas RBs siphon further receiving work. That would hurt both his fantasy floor and ceiling.
That said, Williams looks like a pretty safe bet if he stays around his RB18 ADP from early 2026 drafting.
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