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Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJaylen Waddle's Basic Stats

Jaylen Waddle
ADP: 3.7
Bye: 6
Experience: 3
Age: 25.7
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 185
40 Time: 4.43
Speed Score: 0.00

Jaylen Waddle's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.4 76.5 0.4 10.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 72.9 0.5 10.2

Jaylen Waddle's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#11 Wide Receiver

235.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
3.7 81 1147.5 6 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJaylen Waddle's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

A pair of injuries disrupted Waddle's 2023.

His volume mirrored a dynamic 2022, though. Beyond the injuries, a lack of TDs accounted for the primary difference between the seasons. And we know TD rates can fluctuate from season to season.

More broadly, we have a prime-year WR with (1) QB/HC continuity and (2) a clear path to ~120 targets.

Waddle remains a strong WR2.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Waddle missed time with two injuries.
    • A Week 2 concussion cost him one game.
    • A Week 16 high-ankle sprain forced him to sit until the Wild Card round.
  • The 25-year-old still set career highs in yards per route run (2.63) and targets per route (0.26).
  • His high-end fantasy upside took a step back, despite a career-high in attempts (and 17 games) from Tua Tagovailoa.
    • Waddle posted two top-12 fantasy finishes; six at WR36 or worse.
    • He posted a career-low 4 TDs, including only one over his final seven games (postseason included).
    • Waddle’s 11.9% red zone target share nearly matched what he tallied in 2022.
    • His average depth of target dropped from 12.2 (‘22) to 10.4.
    • 12.5% of his targets came on deep balls, down slightly from 14% from ‘22.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Waddle signed a three-year extension in May. He’s now one of the league’s top paid WRs – and under contract through the 2028 season.
  • He returns to play the No. 2 role behind Tyreek Hill.
    • Hill’s now 30. But outside of a late-season ankle injury, the former Chief showed no signs of slowing down.
  • Miami added Odell Beckham and rookie WRs Malik Washington (Round 6) and Tahj Washington (Round 7).
    • No addition will impact Waddle’s 2024 role.
  • Tua Tagovailoa returns for year three in HC Mike McDaniels’ system.
    • We should be getting the best version of Tua, who was excellent in a quick-strike passing game last season.
    • We’ll just keep an eye on the development of this O-line, which on paper, looks to have taken a step back.

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Tua Tagovailoa, QB MIA

6 hours ago

Tua Tagovailoa Gets Big Four-Year Extension

The Dolphins and QB Tua Tagovailoa have agreed to a four-year, $212.4 million contract extension, according to NFL Network. Tagovailoa had been in the final year of his rookie deal but is now signed with Miami through the 2028 season. The extension lands Tagovailoa third league-wide in average annual salary, behind only QBs Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence.

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The Dolphins and WR Jaylen Waddle agreed to a three-year, $84.75 million contract extension with $76 million guaranteed, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That's a significantly bigger deal than Texans WR Nico Collins just got. Waddle is now one of the five highest-paid WRs in the league. The $76 million guaranteed is the third-largest total for a WR in NFL history, behind only A.J. Brown and Amon-Ra St. Brown, who also got new deals this offseason. Waddle is now signed with Miami through the 2028 season.

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The Dolphins are set to sign WR Odell Beckham, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. The Miami Herald's Barry Jackson reports that Beckham is getting a $3 million base salary with another $5 million available in incentives. The 31-year-old was a part-time player for the Ravens last year, catching just 35 balls across 14 regular season games. But Beckham still flashed big-play pop, averaging a career-high 16.1 yards per catch on a 13.9-yard average target depth. He ranked 27th among 93 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus' receiving grades. Beckham will sit behind WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in Miami and is unlikely to be a reliable fantasy play if those guys are healthy. But an injury to either could turn Beckham into a potential fantasy spot starter.

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Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle (ankle) is active for tonight's Wild Card game vs. the Chiefs. He's still just three weeks removed from his high-ankle sprain, so don't expect Waddle to be at 100% for this one. He was limited in practice all week.

View all Jaylen Waddle Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle (ankle) is listed as questionable for Saturday night's Wild Card game vs. the Chiefs after a limited week of practices. HC Mike McDaniel said Thursday that he's "optimistic" Waddle will be available for this one. He'll be just three weeks removed from his high-ankle sprain, though, so don't expect Waddle to be at 100%.

View all Jaylen Waddle Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Jaylen Waddle, WR MIA
Dynasty MVP 130.1
Position Rank #23 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
415
673
1,176
Dynasty Write-up
A concussion and a high-ankle sprain cost Waddle time in 2023. When active, he showcased a lower ceiling alongside Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill. Waddle signed a three-year extension in May.
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