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Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJaylen Waddle's Basic Stats

Jaylen Waddle
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.8
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.37
Speed Score: 0.00

Jaylen Waddle's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.8 70.3 0.5 10.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.9 66.9 0.5 9.8

Jaylen Waddle's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#11 Wide Receiver

156.1 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 77.8 1069.9 7.6 2.7 0.3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJaylen Waddle's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Waddle played second fiddle to Tyreek Hill in the duo’s first season together.

But in a Miami offense that heavily featured its dynamic duo, Waddle still reached 117 targets. And he produced like a mid-tier WR1.

Only 25 (in November), Waddle should still be on the ascent. Another top-10 fantasy season is on tap – if Tua Tagovailoa can stay on the field.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Waddle posted five top-12 fantasy finishes; eight inside the top-24.
  • Overall, Waddle ranked as the PPR WR8; WR13 in points per game.
  • He lagged behind new Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill in target share (20.8% vs. 30.2%).
  • Following a broken ankle at Alabama in 2020, Waddle hasn’t missed a game due to injury for the second straight season. He did play through groin and shoulder injuries.
  • He reached a max speed of 21.68 MPH, per Next Gen Stats, a number only 5 NFL players beat. Waddle's speed remained elite.
  • We saw that speed more downfield under new HC Mike McDaniel. Waddle’s average depth of target (aDOT) jumped from 7.0 (2021) to 12.7 (2022).
  • As a result, Waddle led the league in yards per reception (18.1, min. 50 targets).
  • McDaniel also used Waddle more as an ‘X’ receiver. The ‘Bama product lined up out wide on 73.2% of his passing snaps – way more than the 38.3% figure from 2021.
  • Waddle excelled at yards after catch per reception, ranking 3rd at the position among 83 qualifiers.
  • He garnered only eight red zone targets (on 117 total targets), although that number was just one fewer than Tyreek Hill’s total.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Waddle enters year three likely still on the ascent. Our research on historical aging curves showed Round 1 WRs typically reach peak production at age 26 (Waddle turns 25 in November).
  • Miami passed on adding a significant upgrade at WR3, signing veteran WR Braxton Berrios as the likely slot replacement for TE/slot Mike Gesicki.
  • The Dolphins return the same HC (Mike McDaniel), OC (Frank Smith), and WR coach (Wes Welker).
  • Miami ranked 8th in pass rate last season (60%). With the same staff back, we expect a similar rate in 2023.
  • Waddle’s 3rd pro season will largely come down to the health of Tua Tagovailoa, who suffered multiple concussions in 2022. In four games without Tua, Waddle finished as the WR75, WR9, WR37, and WR37.
  • Miami at least upgraded their backup QB spot, signing former Jet Mike White to a 2-year deal with $4.5 million guaranteed.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jaylen Waddle, WR MIA

14 hours ago

Jaylen Waddle a full-go Wednesday

Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle (concussion) will be a full participant in Wednesday's practice, HC Mike McDaniel said. Barring a setback, Waddle will return for this weekend's game vs. the Bills.

View all Jaylen Waddle Shark Bites »

Dolphins HC Mike McDaniel said Monday that he's "very optimistic" about the progress WR Jaylen Waddle has made in the concussion protocol. Barring a setback, Waddle should return for Sunday's showdown vs. the Bills.

View all Jaylen Waddle Shark Bites »

Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game vs. the Broncos. He had been listed as questionable after returning to a limited practice on Friday, so Waddle is trending toward a Week 4 return. It'll be WRs Braxton Berrios, River Cracraft, Erik Ezukanma, Cedrick Wilson, and Robbie Chosen behind target-hog Tyreek Hill against Denver tomorrow.

View all Jaylen Waddle Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Jaylen Waddle, WR MIA
Dynasty MVP 131.7
Position Rank #9 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
415
672
1,224
Dynasty Write-up
In 2021, Waddle set an NFL record for rookie-year receptions. WR Tyreek Hill's arrival predictably put a dent into the young WR's production this past season, but you have to be encouraged by the marriage of HC Mike McDaniel and QB Tua Tagovailoa. Waddle turned just 24 in November.
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