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Jerick McKinnon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJerick McKinnon's Basic Stats

Jerick McKinnon
ADP: N/A
Bye: 10
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 31.6
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 209
40 Time: 4.41
SPARQx (Rank): 155.70 (100%)
Burst Score (Rank): 134.90 (98%)
Agility Score (Rank): 10.95 (94%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.83

Jerick McKinnon's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
24.1 0.1 3.5 28.8 0.2 7.1
Weekly Writeup
McKinnon put in a full practice and may start the game if Isiah Pacheco doesn't suit up. He has 5 or less touches in every game this season, but the receiving upside puts him as a flex option this week. If Pacheco is out, McKinnon is still unlikely to get the goal line touches, so proceed with caution

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
10.7 0.1 1.7 11.8 0.1 2.9

Jerick McKinnon's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#71 Running Back

47 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 33.5 170.5 1 0.4 2.9 27.1 189.4 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJerick McKinnon's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

McKinnon was awesome over the final 10 games of last season, ranking top-2 among RBs in targets, catches, receiving yards, and receiving TDs. He ranked fifth among RBs in PPR points and ninth in non-PPR points over that span.

He’s due for TD regression in 2023 after scoring eight times on 43 catches over those last 10 games.

But McKinnon looks like the favorite for primary pass-catching duties in Kansas City again, with only Isiah Pacheco and Clyde Edwards-Helaire to fend off.

If he keeps it, McKinnon will again be a valuable asset, especially in PPR leagues.


What We Learned Last Year
  • McKinnon opened last season in a bit role behind Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Isiah Pacheco, averaging just 4.1 carries and 2.4 targets over the first seven games.
  • McKinnon replaced Edwards-Helaire as Kansas City’s primary pass-catching back over the final 10 games. His per-game averages during that stretch:
    • 4.3 carries
    • 17.2 rushing yards
    • 0.1 rushing TDs
    • 5.4 targets
    • 4.3 catches
    • 39.6 receiving yards
    • 0.8 receiving TDs
  • McKinnon ranked fifth among RBs in PPR points and ninth in non-PPR points over that span.
  • He ranked:
    • second among RBs in targets
    • second in catches
    • first in receiving yards
    • first in receiving scores
    • eighth among 43 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus receiving grade
    • 10th among 43 qualifiers in yards per route run
  • McKinnon drew a 14.0% target share in those final 10 games.
  • He also played a big role in the red zone, playing 56% of Kansas City’s snaps inside the 20-yard line and drawing 25 red-zone opportunities (carries + targets) – tied for eighth most among RBs.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Chiefs re-signed McKinnon to a one-year, $1.3 million contract in May – a similar deal to the one he played on last year.
  • Isiah Pacheco and Clyde Edwards-Helaire return. It’s the same backfield in Kansas City as last year.
  • Consider McKinnon the favorite to handle passing-down work again in 2023. We’ll see if Edwards-Helaire rebounds, or if Pacheco earns more targets in his second NFL season.
  • McKinnon will be hard-pressed to match last year’s TD production. He scored on 18.6% of his catches over those final 10 games. The league-wide RB receiving TD rate over the last three seasons is 3.9%.
  • McKinnon registered 4.0 expected receiving TDs based on his usage in those final 10 games.
  • He ranked 25th among RBs in expected PPR points per game during that stretch; 42nd in expected non-PPR points per game.

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Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB KC

1 hour ago

Andy Reid calls Clyde Edwards-Helaire the top back

Asked Friday whether RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire will be the Chiefs' starter Sunday against the Bills in Isiah Pacheco's absence, HC Andy Reid said: "Yes. We've got different personnel groups. But yes, [he] is the No. 1 guy, yes." That doesn't necessarily mean CEH is the "lead back," but it sure seems to indicate he'll get a significant portion of the Week 14 work -- and might be the better bet for touches than Jerick McKinnon. The uncertainty of the work split makes all Chiefs RBs risky, of course, with practice-squad RBs La'Mical Perine, Deneric Prince, and Keaontay Ingram also potentially in the mix. No Chiefs RB cracks the top 24 in our Week 14 rankings. But there's some upside to CEH and McKinnon if you need a deeper play.

View all Clyde Edwards-Helaire Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bills. HC Andy Reid said, "we'll see" when asked whether Pacheco will go on IR. We'll see if Kansas City makes that move on Saturday, but it at least sounds like Pacheco could be looking at a multi-game absence. Try to keep him stashed on fantasy rosters at least until we see if he lands on IR. His absence this weekend will leave Kansas City's backfield to Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jerick McKinnon. RBs La'Mical Perine, Deneric Prince, and Keontay Ingram are on the practice squad. Edwards-Helaire is probably the best bet for carries -- but we could also see Kansas City go extremely pass-heavy sans Pacheco. McKinnon figures to dominate passing-game work and could also mix in for 8+ carries. See our updated projections for the Chiefs backfield.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Jerick McKinnon (groin) was upgraded to full participation in Thursday's practice. That sets him up to return for this weekend's game vs. the Bills. McKinnon's status has taken on increased importance with RB Isiah Pacheco dealing with a shoulder injury.

View all Jerick McKinnon Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (shoulder) will miss practice again on Thursday, HC Andy Reid said. There was no other update on Pacheco's injury or status for this weekend's game vs. the Bills. We'll see how he's listed on the final injury report tomorrow. RB Jerick McKinnon (groin) seems to be trending toward returning for Sunday's game.

View all Isiah Pacheco Shark Bites »

Chiefs RB Jerick McKinnon (groin) has been downgraded to out for Sunday night's game vs. the Packers. HC Andy Reid said Friday that he expected McKinnon to play, so it's unclear what changed over the last 24 hours. Regardless, McKinnon's absence should again put RB Isiah Pacheco in a three-down role. He's a strong RB1 play in fantasy lineups.

View all Jerick McKinnon Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Jerick McKinnon, RB KC
Dynasty MVP 11.0
Position Rank #177 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
48
54
64
Dynasty Write-up
McKinnon, 31, is likely entering his final year as the Chiefs’ receiving back. Despite upcoming TD regression, the veteran still projects as a PPR factor in the short-term.
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