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Josh Jacobs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Josh Jacobs
LVR

RB LVR

#18 Running Back

190 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 8
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.64

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

7.3

DS Projection

11.3

Consensus

38 other sites
12

Low Ceiling

14.4

Rest of
Season

10.8

Week 14 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
54.3 0.4 4.5 29.1 0.1 11.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
55 0.4 3.5 23 0.1 10.8
Week 13
Jacobs has been seeing strong usage all season. That usage got stronger in Week 13 with RB Jalen Richard on the COVID list and RB Kenyan Drake exiting in the 2nd quarter with a broken ankle. Jacobs ended up playing 85% of Vegas’ offensive snaps, running a route on 73% of pass plays, hogging 13 of 14 RB carries and racking up 9 targets (a 23.7% share). Jacobs turned that volume into 52 yards and a score on the ground, plus 9 catches for 38 yards.

Drake is out for the season with his injury. We’ll see when Richard is cleared. He might steal some passing-down snaps when he returns, but Jacobs is set up to dominate work in the Raiders’ backfield the rest of the way.
Week 12
Season highs of 22 carries for 87 yards, with 1 TD and a long gain of 21 yards on Thanksgiving. Jacobs also caught 2 of 4 targets for 25 yards. He played a bigger role because the Raiders were following the recent discovery that the Cowboys’ run defense is vulnerable.
Jacobs has been a TD machine during his 3 NFL seasons. Even with a diminished workload this year, he has scored 6 times. He is not a receiving threat; during that time he has not caught a TD pass. On Sunday, he’ll be going against a Washington defense that has yielded the 4th-lowest total of rushing yards this season.
Week 11
With the Raiders playing this game from behind and with the Bengals significantly shortening the contest with their rushing attack, Jacobs had just 9 carries. And aside from an 18-yard run, he found very little room to operate. Despite the negative game script, the fact that the Raiders were trailing and the Bengals were getting a strong pass rush, Jacobs was heavily involved as a receiver. He was 2nd on the team with 7 targets, and even though he was unable to gain 5 yards per catch, the 5 receptions boosted his fantasy total.

Despite averaging a miserable 3.7 yards per carry and 6.5 yards per reception entering this game, he’s been getting goal-line work and targets, which have kept his fantasy value afloat. He’s found the end zone in half of his games, and the Raiders should continue to feature him in the red zone. In addition, he was targeted at least 4 times in each of his last 6 games. Although his remaining schedule doesn’t have a run defense outside the top 20 before Week 18, look for his volume to keep him in the mix as a RB2.
Week 10
It was a rough night for Jacobs and the Raiders rushing attack. The Raiders trailed from start to finish and were unable to establish anything on the ground throughout the game. On a positive note, Jacobs out touched Kenyan Drake 12 to 6 in the game and was active in the passing game. However, Jacobs was ineffective both on the ground and through the air. Jacobs finished the game with 7 carries for 16 yards and 5 catches (on 5 targets) for 20 yards.
This was Jacobs’ lowest yardage output on the season and his worst yards per carry on the year. He will have the opportunity to bounce back against a weak Bengals rush defense this week. Jacobs is ranked as our RB17 this week against Cincinnati. The Bengals have surrendered 7 rushing TDs to opposing RBs over their last 6 games. The next three games on the schedule for the Raiders are CIN, @DAL and WSH. He is our RB22 for the rest of the season.
Week 9
Jacobs rushed for 76 yards on 13 carries and added 19 more through the air on 4 receptions. His 95 scrimmage yards were a season high, although his 3-game scoring streak came to an end. Jacobs also had a 22-yard run negated by a suspect holding call. Jacobs did just about all he could on the day except for scoring, but was later relegated to backup duties to RB Kenyan Drake as the Raiders attempted to mount a 2nd half comeback. Drake also gained 100 yards from scrimmage in what has turned into a full-fledged RBBC. We’ll see how it unfolds further with a huge divisional game against the Chiefs on Sunday night.
Week 7
Jacobs’ 9-touch 1st half in Sunday’s win over the Eagles included encouraging receiving usage for the 3rd time in 4 games. He caught all 3 of his targets for 39 yards in that span, adding to 6-29-1 on the ground. Unfortunately, an ankle sprain kept Jacobs from compiling any more in the 2nd half. But a well-timed Week 8 bye might keep him from missing any further game action. (We’ll check in on that next week.)

This marked Jacobs’ 3rd game among the past 4 with at least 3 targets. He drew 5 apiece in Weeks 4 and 5. Even Week 6 found him on the field for 50% of the passing plays -- his 2nd highest rate of the year.

The team doesn’t expect this ankle injury to be serious, so consider Jacobs a potential starter on the other side of the Week 8 bye for neutral-to-positive matchups from Week 9 through at least Week 14. His fantasy-playoff schedule looks tougher, according to our Strength-of-Schedule page.
Week 6
Jacobs rushed 16 times for 53 yards and 1 TD in Las Vegas' Week 6 win over the Raiders. He also hauled in his lone target for 29 yards.
Jacobs handled 17 of the 25 Raiders backfield touches but was outshined by teammate Kenyan Drake, who parlayed his 6 touches into 73 yards and 2 TDs. Jacobs should continue to be leaned on as the Raiders primary back and will certainly benefit from positive game script.
Jacobs should be used as an RB2 in Week 7’s matchup at home against the Eagles as 3-point favorites.
Week 5
Jacobs saw 15 carries and produced just 48 yards. He also caught 4 of his 5 targets for 19 yards. This was the 2nd straight game where he saw 5 targets, which is great to see considering Kenyan Drake was seemingly brought in to cut into the passing down work. In fact Jacobs saw 20 opportunities this week with other options seeing just a handful.

Going forward, Jacobs is going be a fine option, likely a low-end RB2.
Week 4
Jacobs rushed 13 times for 40 yards and added 5 receptions on 5 targets for an additional 17 yards.
Jacobs battled through ankle problems to lead the Raiders backfield with 18 touches but struggled to get anything going with just 3.1 yards per carry and a long run of 10 yards.
Jacobs is best viewed as a low-end RB2 going forward but should be leaned on heavily as 4.5-point favorites against the Bears in Week 5.
Week 1
Josh Jacobs was on the fence about playing in this due to a non-COVID illness. He ended up looking like someone who was not feeling his best. Jacobs gained 34 yards on his 10 carries. Luckily for anyone that started him in Week 1, he found the end zone twice to produce a fantastic fantasy day. Going forward, there is plenty of reason to have optimism around Jacobs. He saw a 52% snap rate and ran an impressive 35% of routes. If he can be this involved when not feeling 100%, a healthy Jacobs could show improvement. Week 2 brings about a tough road matchup at Pittsburgh.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Jacobs finished 8th among RBs in PPR points and 7th in non-PPR last year.
  • He ranked 3rd in carries (273), 8th in rushing yards (1,065) and 4th in rushing TDs (12).
  • Jacobs tied for the league lead with 35 carries inside the 10-yard line last year and ranked 5th with 18 carries inside the 5.
  • He averaged just 3.9 yards per carry -- 39th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
  • Jacobs didn’t get much help from his offensive line, which finished 26th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades and 18th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards.
  • But Jacobs also ranked a middling 22nd among those 47 RBs in PFF’s Elusive Rating.
  • His pass-catching production was mediocre. Jacobs ranked 24th among RBs in targets (45), 24th in catches (33) and 25th in receiving yards (238).
  • Among 37 RBs with 30+ targets last year, Jacobs ranked 26th in yards per route run and 27th in Pro Football Focus receiving grades.
  • Jacobs missed 1 game last year with an ankle injury but also dealt with hip and knee injuries.
  • As a rookie back in 2019, Jacobs missed 3 games with a lingering shoulder injury.
  • He was productive when on the field in 2019, though, ranking 16th in PPR points per game and 12th in non-PPR.
  • Over the past 2 seasons, Jacobs ranks 13th among RBs in PPR points per game and 11th in non-PPR.
  • The Raiders signed RB Kenyan Drake to a 2-year, $11 million deal in free agency. It makes him the league’s 13th-highest-paid RB in terms of average annual salary.
    • Here’s what Drake said about his decision to sign with Vegas: "What Coach [Jon] Gruden said [in] how he was going to use me was just being on the field in a multitude of ways -- playing receiver, playing running back. Just having the ability to kind of use my versatility as a weapon in the open field is something that really spoke to me.”
    • Drake has caught 160 balls over the past 4 years. He’s ranked 44th, 25th, 24th and 33rd in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grade among RBs with 30+ targets in those seasons.
    • He averaged 4.5+ yards per carry in each of his first 4 seasons but mustered just 4.0 last year. Drake ranked 44th in Elusive Rating and 39th in PFF rushing grade among 47 RBs with 100+ carries last year -- both well behind Jacobs.
  • HC Jon Gruden on his backfield in a May interview: “We think Jacobs is not only a Pro Bowl back, we think he’s an MVP-caliber back. So we’d like to see him get more and more real estate. Kenyan Drake comes in here from Arizona … well, Doug Martin had 190 touches 3 years ago when [Marshawn] Lynch went down. DeAndre Washington had 144 touches when Jacobs went down 2 years ago. And this past year, Josh went down and Devontae Booker got 110 touches. So we’re gonna try to circulate the touches Kenyan Drake’s way.”
  • Vegas will have 3 new starters on the offensive line this year.
    • C Rodney Hudson and G Gabe Jackson departed and are expected to be replaced by C Andre James and G Richie Incognito. The move from Hudson to James projects as a big downgrade.
    • 1st-round rookie Alex Leatherwood is penciled in as the starting RT. He’s a plus athlete and started for 3 seasons at Alabama -- although he mostly played LT and RG for the Tide.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Jacobs was a top-8 RB across fantasy scoring formats last year after ranking inside the top 16 in points per game as a rookie in 2019.

He faces fresh competition from RB Kenyan Drake this season -- although it sounds like the Raiders view Drake as more of a change-of-pace, pass-catching back than a real contender for the lead job.

Jacobs’ receiving role figures to remain frustrating this season. But expect him to see enough volume on the ground to produce as a RB2.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. Washington. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and limited in the final 2 practices of the week, but we haven’t heard anything about Jacobs’ usage being impacted today.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) is expected to play vs. Washington today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Jacobs was added to the injury report on Thursday and limited in the final 2 practices of the week, so he carries a bit more risk than usual in Week 13 fantasy lineups.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) is questionable for this weekend’s game vs. Washington. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and limited in the final 2 practices of the week. We don’t have any other details on Jacobs’ status right now. Stay tuned for updates. If Jacobs is unable to play on Sunday, Vegas would likely turn back to Peyton Barber as the lead ball carrier.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Thursday with an ankle issue. We don't have any other info at this time. We'll get another update on Jacobs tomorrow, ahead of Sunday's game vs. Washington

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs isn't listed on the Week 9 injury report. He suffered a chest injury in Vegas' last game back in Week 7 but is ready to rock for Sunday's game vs. the Giants. Jacobs averaged 14.7 carries and 3.7 targets over his last 3 healthy games.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

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