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Josh Jacobs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Josh Jacobs
LVR

RB LVR

#18 Running Back

190 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 8
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.64

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#18 Running Back

190 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 265 1093 9 3 2 28 216 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

159.6

DS Projection

190

Consensus

38 other sites
209.9

High Ceiling

243.2

Ceiling Likelihood

Low
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Jacobs finished 8th among RBs in PPR points and 7th in non-PPR last year.
  • He ranked 3rd in carries (273), 8th in rushing yards (1,065) and 4th in rushing TDs (12).
  • Jacobs tied for the league lead with 35 carries inside the 10-yard line last year and ranked 5th with 18 carries inside the 5.
  • He averaged just 3.9 yards per carry -- 39th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
  • Jacobs didn’t get much help from his offensive line, which finished 26th in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades and 18th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards.
  • But Jacobs also ranked a middling 22nd among those 47 RBs in PFF’s Elusive Rating.
  • His pass-catching production was mediocre. Jacobs ranked 24th among RBs in targets (45), 24th in catches (33) and 25th in receiving yards (238).
  • Among 37 RBs with 30+ targets last year, Jacobs ranked 26th in yards per route run and 27th in Pro Football Focus receiving grades.
  • Jacobs missed 1 game last year with an ankle injury but also dealt with hip and knee injuries.
  • As a rookie back in 2019, Jacobs missed 3 games with a lingering shoulder injury.
  • He was productive when on the field in 2019, though, ranking 16th in PPR points per game and 12th in non-PPR.
  • Over the past 2 seasons, Jacobs ranks 13th among RBs in PPR points per game and 11th in non-PPR.
  • The Raiders signed RB Kenyan Drake to a 2-year, $11 million deal in free agency. It makes him the league’s 13th-highest-paid RB in terms of average annual salary.
    • Here’s what Drake said about his decision to sign with Vegas: "What Coach [Jon] Gruden said [in] how he was going to use me was just being on the field in a multitude of ways -- playing receiver, playing running back. Just having the ability to kind of use my versatility as a weapon in the open field is something that really spoke to me.”
    • Drake has caught 160 balls over the past 4 years. He’s ranked 44th, 25th, 24th and 33rd in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grade among RBs with 30+ targets in those seasons.
    • He averaged 4.5+ yards per carry in each of his first 4 seasons but mustered just 4.0 last year. Drake ranked 44th in Elusive Rating and 39th in PFF rushing grade among 47 RBs with 100+ carries last year -- both well behind Jacobs.
  • HC Jon Gruden on his backfield in a May interview: “We think Jacobs is not only a Pro Bowl back, we think he’s an MVP-caliber back. So we’d like to see him get more and more real estate. Kenyan Drake comes in here from Arizona … well, Doug Martin had 190 touches 3 years ago when [Marshawn] Lynch went down. DeAndre Washington had 144 touches when Jacobs went down 2 years ago. And this past year, Josh went down and Devontae Booker got 110 touches. So we’re gonna try to circulate the touches Kenyan Drake’s way.”
  • Vegas will have 3 new starters on the offensive line this year.
    • C Rodney Hudson and G Gabe Jackson departed and are expected to be replaced by C Andre James and G Richie Incognito. The move from Hudson to James projects as a big downgrade.
    • 1st-round rookie Alex Leatherwood is penciled in as the starting RT. He’s a plus athlete and started for 3 seasons at Alabama -- although he mostly played LT and RG for the Tide.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Jacobs was a top-8 RB across fantasy scoring formats last year after ranking inside the top 16 in points per game as a rookie in 2019.

He faces fresh competition from RB Kenyan Drake this season -- although it sounds like the Raiders view Drake as more of a change-of-pace, pass-catching back than a real contender for the lead job.

Jacobs’ receiving role figures to remain frustrating this season. But expect him to see enough volume on the ground to produce as a RB2.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs was arrested for DUI in Vegas early Monday morning, according to ESPN's Paul Gutierrez. Jacobs was brought to a hospital for minor injuries after police responded to his 1-car crash. Jacobs' lawyers released a statement saying their client will plead not guilty. "No complaint has been filed against our client and there are no blood test results to support a suggestion of impairment," the statement reads. "We intend to enter a not guilty plea on behalf of Mr. Jacobs if he is ever charged." We'll see where the situation goes this offseason.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) is "dressed out, running around, being active as part of" pregame warmups, according to insider Vincent Bonsignore. So Jacobs was trolling with his social media post? It now looks like Jacobs will play against the Colts, but you can look elsewhere if you want to play it safe.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Despite being active for today's game, Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) posted on Instagram: "Sorry guys I'm not playing today." So it looks like he's active as only an emergency option -- and maybe not even that. Remove Jacobs from fantasy lineups. Vegas will again go with RBs Devontae Booker and Jalen Richard.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) is active for today’s game against the Colts. He only got in limited practices on Thursday and Friday, but NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport said this morning that Jacobs is “nearly at full strength.” Consider him a risk/reward RB2.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs (ankle) is expected to play against the Colts today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Jacobs seemingly made a ton of progress this week after HC Jon Gruden said Monday that he didn't expect Jacobs to play. He only got in limited practices on Thursday and Friday, but Rapoport hears that Jacobs is "nearly at full strength." The ankle issue still adds some risk, and the matchup is on the tough side. But Jacobs is worth getting back into most fantasy lineups.

View all Josh Jacobs Shark Bites »

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