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Jacobs remains a dependable fantasy RB1 because the role and TD upside are strong. He's finished as a top-10 RB in PPR points per game in each of his two seasons with the Packers, and that should continue. As long as his legal trouble doesn’t keep him off the field, Jacobs looks like a solid-to-strong value at his early RB14 ADP.
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Jacobs finished with 237.1 PPR points and 15.81 PPR points per game, ranking 13th and ninth among RBs. He scored as a top-12 RB seven times and a top-24 RB 11 times across 15 games.
The rushing production was solid but not dominant. Jacobs ran for 929 yards, ranking 20th among RBs. The TDs drove the fantasy value. His 13 rushing scores ranked third.
He also helped enough in the passing game, catching 36 passes for 282 yards and 1 TD.
Jacobs had a lead-back role.
Jacobs ranked 10th among RBs in carries per game and 61.9% of RB carry share for the Packers. That's the engine of his fantasy value. He isn't winning with explosive efficiency. He's winning because Green Bay gives him enough rushing volume and scoring chances to matter.
The receiving role was useful, too. Jacobs ranked 21st among RBs in targets and 14th in receptions. His 36 catches were enough to keep him involved when game scripts pushed Green Bay toward the pass.
Jacobs’ efficiency was fairly poor.
He forced 47 missed tackles as a rusher, ranking 11th among RBs. He ranked 34th among RBs in yards after contact per attempt (3.0).
He averaged 4.0 yards per carry (36th), produced minus-7 rushing yards over expected (38th), and finished at minus-0.03 RYOE per attempt (37th).
That marked a step down from 2024, when Jacobs had 4.4 yards per carry (27th), 217 RYOE (fifth), and 0.73 RYOE per attempt (10th).
That made the TDs especially important. Jacobs scored 13 rushing TDs (third among RBs). The role supports a strong TD total -- he scored 15 times on the ground in 2024 -- but repeating last year’s career-high 5.6% rushing-TD rate will be tough
Jacobs’ receiving efficiency was cleaner. He caught 83.7% of his targets, had zero drops, and earned a 90.0 PFF receiving grade (fourth among RBs with 30+ targets).
Green Bay’s offense helped Jacobs in the two ways that matter most for fantasy RBs: it gave him touches and scoring chances.
The team has leaned more toward the run since signing Jacobs in 2024. HC Matt LaFleur went from a 58.1% pass rate in 2023 to 48.8% in 2024 and 51.3% in 2025.
The Packers ranked 15th in rushing yards per game (212.8) and 12th in rushing TDs per game (1.0) last year. They were similarly middle-of-the-pack through the air, ranking 15th in total yards per game (332.6), 17th in passing yards per game (212.8), 14th in passing TDs per game(1.4), and 15th in expected points added per play (0.19).
The balanced approach helps Jacobs face light boxes. Only 17.52% of his runs in 2025 headed into boxes of 8+ defenders. That ranked 43rd among RBs with 90+ attempts.
Jacobs has ranked among the top 18 in PPR points per game every season, improving his scoring over the past four seasons:
Here’s how he has fared in rush yards over expected per attempt by year:
Last year marked the first time he ranked higher than 15th with a negative RYOE per attempt. His TD total also helped make up for the second-fewest carries per game of his career.
Knock out the two games in which Jacobs played less than 30% of the snaps, though, and that average jumps to 17.2. And he rushed 18.0 times per game through his first nine outings, before a Week 11 knee injury challenged his snap shares the rest of the way. (He rebounded for 19 carries in the playoff loss at Chicago.)
Jacobs’ TDs per game has jumped in his Packers time, helping fuel his fantasy output:
The supporting cast is good for Jacobs.
Jordan Love gives Green Bay efficient QB play and enough downfield ability to keep defenses honest. He ranked eighth in intended air yards, and fifth in completion percentage over expected.
The team returns most of its key weapons as well, including Christian Watson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed, and Tucker Kraft. Losing Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks shouldn’t downgrade even the WR corps.
The Packers O-line ranked just 20th in PFF run-block grade.
The depth behind Jacobs at RB is fairly poor with the team losing Emanuel Wilson to free agency and not addressing the position beyond that. MarShawn Lloyd and Chris Brooks will back-up Jacobs.
Jacobs’ May arrest does make that lack of depth more important in case he misses time because of league discipline.
Since signing Jacobs in 2024, the Packers’ offense has leaned run:
Plays Per Game | Pass Rate | Neutral Pass Rate | Pass Rate Over Expected | |
2023 | 61.9 | 58.1% | 56.2% | +1.9% |
2024 | 60.4 | 48.8% | 47.8% | -4.5% |
2025 | 59.4 | 56.9% | 52.5% | -2.1% |
Expect a similar run-pass split this season.
The passing scheme pushes the ball downfield. Love’s 8.8-yard average depth of target ranked eighth among QBs in 2025. His 8.9 in 2024 ranked sixth.
A run game built around Jacobs and a vertical passing attack have created a balanced offense that should continue into 2026, which keeps Jacobs positioned for touch volume and scoring opportunities.
Jacobs has finished seventh and 10th among RBs in PPR points per game the past two years. It’ll be tough for his ceiling to rise much higher than that unless he somehow adds significant receiving volume. That’s unlikely.
Expect his carries per game to rebound over last year’s 15.6, though, if he can stay healthier. Of course, Jacobs will also need to avoid further discipline for his off-field trouble if he’s to hit his ceiling.
There is little risk to Jacobs completely failing as long as the Packers offense stays balanced in its run and pass game, leaning into the run.
Jacobs' yards per carry and rushing yards over expected per attempt both dropped from 2024 to 2025, and he still finished as RB10 in PPR points per game. Even with similar rushing inefficiencies, Jacobs will likely get enough touches and TD opportunities to still perform as a low-end RB1 or high-end RB2.
The main risk may come with his legal issues. We’ll have to see where that goes.
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