Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Julio Jones - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Julio Jones
TEN

WR TEN

#20 Wide Receiver

147 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 13
Experience: 10 Yr(s)
Age: 32
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.34

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

3.5

DS Projection

7

Consensus

38 other sites
6

High Ceiling

11.6

Rest of
Season

Week 20 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 51.8 0.3 7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Jones caught 4 of his team-high 6 targets for 33 yards. This was an impressive showing considering this was his first game in over a month.

With A.J. Brown still on IR, Jones should be the beneficiary of some sizable option in the near future. He can be a useful piece who still has a sizable upside. In games where Tennessee will actually have to throw, like this week against Pittsburgh, he could be a monster.

Week 9
The most important stat of the night for Jones was that he played 43/58 snaps (76%) after missing the previous game with a hamstring injury. Julio appeared to be moving well throughout the game and didn’t appear to be hampered by any hamstring issues against the Rams. Jones finished 2nd on the team in targets, catches, and yards. He ended the night with 4 catches (on 4 targets) for 35 yards.

Jones’ opportunities should grow following the loss of Derrick Henry to injury and with Jones seemingly healthy again. We have Julio as our WR35 this week against New Orleans. The Saints’ defense has surrendered more than 540 yards and 5 TDs to opposing WRs over the last 2 weeks so there will be opportunities for big plays down the field. The next three games on the schedule for the Titans are NO, HOU, and @NE. He is our WR44 the rest of the way.
Week 6
Jones had an incredible 48-yard pickup on a diving catch that hit off a Bills defender’s helmet in the 2nd quarter. The bad news: Jones had to leave the game in the 4th quarter due to a hamstring injury. He was unable to return, and we’ll see how long this keeps him out moving forward. Jones finished second on the team in targets, receptions, and yards against the Bills. He finished with 3 catches (on 5 targets) for 59 yards. This offense goes through Derrick Henry, but Julio Jones continues to show that he still has some juice and is a threat on the outside in this offense (when healthy).
It is currently unclear if Jones will miss time with the hamstring he re-injured against Buffalo. Julio has already had to sit out 2 games this season and with him having hamstring issues again, he may be forced to miss more. This was his second most productive game of the season, so hopefully he can find the chemistry with Tannehill once he is able to get back on the field. The next three games on the schedule for the Titans are KC, @IND, and @LAR. We have Jones ranked WR47 for the rest of the season.
Week 3
Sunday was weird for Jones. He played just 50% of the offensive snaps and wound up tied with Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and Geoff Swaim for the team target lead at just 4. Jones caught 3 for 47 yards.

Afterward, HC Mike Vrabel wouldn’t say what limited Jones’ playing time. It has since emerged that he’s getting treatment for a leg injury. The Titans don’t yet know if he or A.J. Brown will be available for Week 4.

We’ll have to wait to learn more on this situation before judging Jones for Week 4 and beyond. If he makes it back and finds Brown out, Jones should be in for a nice target share.
Week 2
Jones turned back the clock in week 2, dominating the Seahawks secondary for a 6-128 line. Julio’s day could have been even bigger if his TD wasn’t called back. The great news for Julio owners is he looked to find his connection with QB Ryan Tannehill as his 8 targets only trailed A.J. Brown on the week. This, along with his usage of running a route on nearly 90% of Tannehill’s drop-backs, should keep him fantasy viable.
This week Julio is immediately back on the WR2 radar as he will go up against a Colts secondary that has allowed the 6th most PPR fantasy points to WR so far in 2021.
Week 1
Jones was underwhelming in his Titans debut. He caught 3 of his 6 targets for 29 yards. He was tied for 2nd on the team in targets with Chester Rogers. It's clearly early, but the connection between him and QB Ryan Tannehill has not found its stride yet. Going forward, things should improve immensely, as we don't believe Jones' tank is empty. Look for a rebound this week at Seattle.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Jones was traded to the Titans in June. Tennessee received Jones and a 2023 6th-round pick in exchange for a 2022 2nd-rounder and a 2023 4th.
  • Jones turned 32 in February.
  • But he’s remained excellent when on the field. Among 87 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Jones ranked 3rd in yards per target and 4th in yards per route run. He finished 28th and 5th out of 80 qualifiers in 2019.
  • Jones played 15 games in 2019 and ranked 3rd among WRs in PPR points and 5th in non-PPR. His scoring average in 7 healthy games last year would have ranked 4th in both PPR and non-PPR.
  • Durability has always been a problem for Jones. He missed 7 games and most of 2 others last year with a lingering left hamstring injury. He missed 1 game in 2019, 2 in 2016, 1 in 2014, 11 in 2013 and 3 in 2011. That’s 25 games missed over 10 NFL seasons.
  • Jones heads from a Falcons offense that ranked 8th in pass rate and 4th in pass attempts last year to a Titans offense that ranked 30th in both pass rate and attempts. Atlanta threw it 143 times more than Tennessee in 2020.
  • The good news: The Titans’ passing game was efficient last year, ranking 7th in yards per attempt and 4th in TD rate. They finished 23rd in passing yards but 8th in TDs.
  • The offseason departures of WR Corey Davis, WR Adam Humphries and TE Jonnu Smith leave behind 192 targets (a 40% share) from last year.
    • Davis, who Jones will basically be replacing, garnered 92 targets in 14 games. That’s 6.6 targets per game -- a full-season pace of 105 that would have ranked 32nd among WRs last year.
    • Davis saw a 22.1% target share in his 14 games.
  • There’s also a chance the Titans’ pass volume grows this year. Their run-heavy attack last season was partly by design. But going 11-5 and trailing for only 42% of offensive snaps helped boost the run rate. Consider this: Tennessee threw the ball on just 41% of their snaps when leading but 56% when trailing last year. So if they’re trailing more this year -- and Vegas has their over/under win total set at 9 -- the pass rate figures to climb.
  • The Titans lost OC and play-caller Arthur Smith, who took Atlanta’s HC job. He’ll be replaced by Todd Downing. He spent the past 2 seasons as Tennessee’s TE coach, so the team is looking for continuity in scheme. But Downing has just 1 season of NFL OC experience. That came back in 2017 with the Raiders, who finished 17th in total yards and 23rd in points.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

You know about Jones’ injury issues. And those aren’t likely to go away now that he’s 32.

But Jones has also remained dominant when on the field, performing as a top-5 WR in terms of efficiency and fantasy production over the past 2 seasons.

The concern in Tennessee is volume. The Titans ranked 3rd-to-last in both pass rate and pass attempts last season. We’re expecting them to throw it more in 2021 -- but not nearly as much as Jones’ old team did. And with A.J. Brown on the other side of the field, Jones won’t dominate targets.

It leaves him as a lower-end WR2 -- albeit one with a lofty weekly ceiling.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Titans WR Julio Jones has been activated from the COVID list. He should be back for Sunday's game vs. the Texans, which Tennessee needs to win to lock up the AFC's #1 seed. Jones, of course, can't be trusted in fantasy lineups. He's topped 59 yards just once all season.

View all Julio Jones Shark Bites »

The Titans have placed WR Julio Jones and WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine on the COVID list. We'll see whether either guy can make it back for Sunday's game against the Dolphins, but neither should be in your Week 17 fantasy football plans. Tennessee also placed EDGE Bud Dupree on the list Monday. We'll see whether any more Titans get added through the week.

View all Julio Jones Shark Bites »

After leaving Sunday's game against the Steelers with a hamstring and then missing practice Monday and Tuesday, Titans WR Julio Jones put in a full workout Wednesday and heads into Thursday's game with no injury status. He certainly doesn't make for a comfy play after the way his previous appearance unfolded, but Jones will at least be available for fantasy football lineups.

View all Julio Jones Shark Bites »

Titans WR Julio Jones is out for the rest of Sunday's game vs. the Steelers with a hamstring injury. Jones, of course, has battled hamstring trouble all year. He finishes this one catch-less on 1 target.

View all Julio Jones Shark Bites »

Titans WR Julio Jones (hamstring) is officially active for today’s game vs. the Jaguars. He’s certainly not the safest fantasy play in his first action since Week 9. But Jones also brings exciting upside with a chance to hog targets in today’s plus matchup.

View all Julio Jones Shark Bites »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play