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Justin Herbert - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Herbert's Basic Stats

Justin Herbert
Bye: 8
Experience: 2 Yr(s)
Age: 24.7
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 240
40 Time: 4.68
SPARQx (Rank): 99.50 (79%)
Burst Score (Rank): 123.60 (91%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.52 (47%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 55.00 (50%)

Justin Herbert's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
280.2 2 0.6 16.1 20.4
Weekly Writeup
The past 2 games marked the 1st time that Herbert has had consecutive games with 70%+ completions, 2+ TD passes or passer ratings of 100+ since Week 2. This week brings the league's 2nd best QB scoring matchup.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
280.6 2.2 0.8 15.3 21.6

Justin Herbert's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#3 Quarterback

369.3 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 430.9/648 4934.8 36.7 13 59 271.4 3.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJustin Herbert's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • Herbert threw for 5,014 yards and 38 TDs on a 65.9% completion rate and 7.5 yards per attempt last year.
  • He added 63 carries for 302 yards and 3 TDs.
  • Herbert finished 3rd among QBs in fantasy points, behind only Josh Allen and Tom Brady.
  • He finished as a top-5 fantasy QB in 8 of his 17 games. The only QB with more top-5 weeks was Tom Brady with 9.
  • Herbert ranked 6th among 31 qualifying QBs in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • He benefited from 672 pass attempts – 2nd most in the league.
    • But that was by design. The Chargers were a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense, ranking 6th in both situation-neutral pace and situation-neutral pass rate.
  • That followed a 15-game, 4,336-yard, 31-TD rookie campaign that saw Herbert finish 9th among QBs in fantasy points.
  • Herbert joins Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady as the only 5 QBs to rank top 10 in fantasy points in both of the last 2 seasons.
  • Herbert returns to the same offense this season under HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi.
  • Six of last year’s 7 target-getters are back: Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler, Josh Palmer, Jalen Guyton and Donald Parham.
  • The one departure was TE Jared Cook. He’ll be replaced by TE Gerald Everett, who’s 8 years younger than Cook and earned a better Pro Football Focus receiving grade last season.
  • The Chargers’s offensive line ranked 17th in Pro Football Focus’ pass-blocking grades and 5th in adjusted sack rate last year.
    • Four of 5 starters return: LT Rashawn Slater, LG Matt Feiler, C Corey Linsley and RT Storm Norton.
    • The 1 change will come at RG, where 1st-round rookie Zion Johnson is slated to replace Michael Schofield.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Herbert is 1 of the safest bets in 2022 fantasy drafts. He’s a 24-year-old former 6th overall pick who’s opened his career with QB9 and QB3 fantasy finishes. He’s back in the same offense this season under HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi. And he returns the bulk of last year’s pass-catchers and offensive line.

Herbert should be 1 of the first few QBs off the board in fantasy drafts and is 1 of a handful of guys with the potential to lead the position in fantasy points.

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Justin Herbert, QB LAC

9:56pm EST 11/27/22

Herbert tosses 3 TDs

Chargers QB Justin Herbert threw for 274 yards and 3 TDs in Sunday's win over the Cardinals. Herbert hit WR Keenan Allen, WR DeAndre Carter and RB Austin Ekeler for TDs. The 1-yarder to Ekeler with 15 seconds left won the game. Ekeler (15) and Carter (10) combined for 53.2% of Herbert's pass attempts and 51.4% of his completions for the game. Carter caught 7 for 73 yards. WR Josh Palmer went 5-56 on 7 targets. Allen finished with 5 receptions for 49 yards. TE Gerald Everett added 4 catches for 18 yards on 4 targets. The Chargers get a soft Raiders defense in Week 13.

View all Justin Herbert Shark Bites »

Chargers QB Justin Herbert posted a season-high 9.3 yards per pass attempt in Sunday night's loss to the Chiefs, finishing with 280 yards on 23-of-30 passing. He got WR Mike Williams back only briefly, as Williams tweaked his sprained ankle after just 1 target. WR Keenan Allen, however, racked up 5 catches for 94 yards among 8 targets in his most extensive action of the season. Allen had appeared for abbreviated stretches in just 2 previous games because of a nagging hamstring injury. There's room for Herbert to be a fantasy difference maker the rest of the way, with the league's 2nd-best remaining QB schedule.

View all Justin Herbert Shark Bites »

Chargers WRs Mike Williams (ankle) and Keenan Allen (hamstring) are active for tonight’s game vs. the Chiefs. Both guys were limited in Wednesday and Thursday’s practices and upgraded to full participation on Friday. Their presence is excellent news for QB Justin Herbert.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Herbert, QB LAC
Dynasty MVP 367.1
Position Rank #5 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Herbert’s started his career with back to back 30+ TD seasons. We have no concerns over his ability, and Mike Williams signed a new deal that keeps him with the Chargers through 2024. Keenan Allen is also signed through 2024.

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