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Justin Herbert - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJustin Herbert's Basic Stats

Justin Herbert
ADP: 4.10
Bye: 8
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25.0
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 236
40 Time: 4.68
SPARQx (Rank): 99.50 (79%)
Burst Score (Rank): 123.60 (91%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.52 (47%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 55.00 (50%)

Justin Herbert's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Justin Herbert's 2023 Projections & Outlook


#9 Quarterback

319.6 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
4.10 430.9/648 4404.8 32.1 12.9 59 241.4 4.1

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Basic StatsJustin Herbert's Preseason Player Analysis

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Justin Herbert, QB LAC

12:55pm EST 1/30/23

Chargers to hire Moore as OC

The Chargers are set to hire Kellen Moore as their new OC, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport and Tom Pelissero. Although we just learned that Moore was done in Dallas on Sunday, the Chargers had been working on this hire "for a while," per Rapoport. It's a great get for QB Justin Herbert and Co. Moore helped the Cowboys to top-11 finishes in both points and total yards in 3 of his 4 seasons -- with the only exception being 2020, when QB Dak Prescott missed most of the year. That included a 1st-place finish in both points and yards in 2021. Moore's Dallas offenses were balanced to run-leaning in terms of Pass Rate Over Expected, although he certainly seems willing to adjust his play calling to the personnel. Moore also deploys a fast-paced attack, with the Cowboys ranking top 4 in both pace and situation-neutral pace in all 4 of his seasons.

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Chargers QB Justin Herbert underwent surgery on January 25 to repair the labrum in his left (non-throwing) shoulder, the team announced. He was on the injury report with a left shoulder in Week 18 but was removed for the opening round of the playoffs. Herbert is expected to be cleared to participate in the offseason program, but we'll keep a close eye on his rehab. At this point, we're not adjusting our 2023 fantasy outlook for Herbert.

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The Chargers have fired OC Joe Lombardi, according to NFL Network. Lombardi piloted Los Angeles to top 9 finishes in total yards in each of the past 2 seasons, despite dealing with a bunch of injuries to offensive linemen and skill-position players. But his scheme simply didn't accentuate QB Justin Herbert's arm talent, as evidenced by his 7.6 and 6.4 intended air yards per pass attempt marks over the last 2 years. That 6.4-yard mark this past season ranked 31st among 33 qualifiers. We'll see who the Chargers tab to replace Lombardi -- but the change is more likely than not to be good news for Herbert's fantasy value.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Justin Herbert, QB LAC
Dynasty MVP 319.3
Position Rank #11 QB
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Dynasty Write-up
Herbert’s production dipped in 2022, but you can point to absences from WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. The tape remained strong for Herbert, who’s a candidate for a massive extension this offseason. He'll also learn a new system (orchestrated by former Dallas OC Kellen Moore) following the firing of Joe Lombardi.

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