Kyle Pitts Fantasy Overview

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Pitts racked up 88 catches, 928 yards, and 5 TDs last year. He ranked second among TEs in catches and yards, while tying for 13th in TDs.

Pitts finished fifth at his position in PPR points per game; sixth in half-PPR.

But a whopping 22% of his PPR points on the season came in a huge Week 15 vs. the Buccaneers (11-166-3). Remove that game and Pitts sinks to TE15 in PPR points per game.

It’s also worth noting that his production spiked in the five games Drake London missed. Pitts averaged 19.0 PPR points per game in those outings vs. just 9.6 in 12 games with London. (Those 9.6 PPR points per game would have ranked 19th among TEs on the season.)

Usage & Role

Pitts tallied 118 targets on a 21.3% share last year. Those marks ranked second and third, respectively, among TEs. Pitts finished fourth at the position in expected PPR points per game.

But much of that volume came in those five games without London. The splits:

With London

• 6.2 targets per game
• 19.3% target share

Without London

• 8.8 targets per game
• 27.3% target share

His 10.1 expected PPR points per game with London would have ranked 11th among TEs on the season.

Efficiency & Regression

Among 39 TEs with 40+ targets last year, Pitts ranked:

• 15th in yards per target
• 23rd in yards per route
• 29th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade

Offensive Context

The 2025 Falcons finished 14th in total yards but just 24th in points.

It was a run-leaning offense, ranking 21st in pass rate, 16th in neutral pass rate, and 26th in pass rate over expected.

Atlanta finished:

• 19th in pass attempts
• 19th in pass yards
• Tied for 26th in pass TDs

Historical Production & Trends

Pitts bounced back in 2025.

He delivered a strong rookie year, posting a 68-1,026-1 receiving line and finishing 12th among TEs in PPR points per game. But his efficiency and production plummeted the next three seasons. Pitts averaged just 36.9 yards per game over that stretch and turned in the following finishes in PPR points per game:

• 2022: 23rd
• 2023: 17th
• 2024: 21st

Despite entering his sixth NFL season, Pitts turns just 26 in October. That’s right around peak age for TEs, according to our aging-curve research.

Injury History & Durability

Pitts has played all 17 games in four of his five NFL seasons. He missed seven games in 2022, one with a hamstring injury and six with a right knee injury. That was originally reported as a torn MCL, but Pitts later revealed that he also tore his PCL.

Pitts had surgery in November 2022 and missed most of the 2023 offseason program. He played every game in 2023 but said the knee remained an issue throughout the year.

Projected Role & Competition

The Falcons used the franchise tag on Pitts in February. That will pay him a little more than $15 million this year, if he and the team don’t agree to a long-term deal before the July 15 deadline.

There doesn’t seem to be much momentum toward a long-term deal. In fact, Pitts has been mentioned as a potential trade candidate throughout the offseason. GM Ian Cunningham even said in March that “it’s my job to listen” to any offers for Pitts.

Assuming he remains on the team, though, Pitts should again be a top-3 option in this passing game.

Atlanta returns Drake London and Bijan Robinson but released last year’s No. 2 WR, Darnell Mooney. He’ll be replaced by some combination of Zachariah Branch, Jahan Dotson, and Olamide Zaccheaus.

Branch looks like the biggest threat to steal targets from Pitts. The third-round rookie feasted on short passes throughout his college career, registering a 5.2-yard average target depth. Pitts worked similar areas of the field the last two seasons, with aDOTs of 8.7 and 7.5 yards.

Supporting Cast

The Falcons will likely have a new QB under center, at least to open the season. Michael Penix Jr. is working back from his third torn ACL and isn’t expected back on the field until August. Atlanta released Kirk Cousins in March.

That leaves Tua Tagovailoa as the likely Week 1 starter. Tua had a couple of strong seasons in 2022 and 2023 but disappointed the past two years.

Tagovailoa at least seems like a fine fit with Pitts’ game, with a career 7.8-yard average target depth that sunk to 6.1 and 7.2 the last two seasons.

Penix, meanwhile, underwhelmed last season but was good enough to support Pitts. The pair connected on 71.7% of their attempts in Penix’s nine games last year.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Atlanta canned HC Raheem Morris, OC Zac Robinson, and the rest of the staff this offseason. HC Kevin Stefanski takes over, with Tommy Rees as his OC.

Stefanski spent the last six seasons as Browns HC, compiling a 45-56 record. His first four offenses ranked between 14th and 18th in yards before QB play sank the operation the last two years.

Cleveland was generally a run-leaning offense under Stefanski. Here’s where the team ranked in neutral pass rate and pass rate over expected over the last six seasons:

Rees notably spent the past two years with Stefanski in Cleveland, including as OC last year. Rees took over play-calling from Stefanski in Week 10 last season and is expected to call plays this year.

Based on the history of this coaching staff and the Falcons’ personnel, expect this to be a run-leaning offense in 2026.

TEs have been productive in Stefanski’s offense, though, particularly lately. Here’s how his top TEs have fared in target share and PPR points-per-game rank among TEs:

Paths To Ceiling

Pitts’ role could grow in new HC Kevin Stefanski’s offense, turning him into a top-5 fantasy TE.

Atlanta’s weaponry also remains thin. An injury to Drake London or Bijan Robinson could spike Pitts’ volume, as it did last year.

Risk Factors

Pitts is set to play on the franchise tag in a brand-new offense with an iffy QB room. His volume and efficiency could decline this season, dropping him well outside the top-12 fantasy TEs.