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Kyle Pitts - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKyle Pitts’s Basic Stats

Kyle Pitts
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 3
Age: 24.2
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.49
Speed Score: 123.10

SPARQx (Rank): 120.90 (88%)
Burst Score (Rank): 123.10 (78%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.47 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.19 (85%)

Kyle Pitts's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.2 39.2 0.2 5.1
Weekly Writeup
Another goose egg for Kyle Pitts with only two targets last week. He has hard to trust, no matter the match-up. He hasn’t hit double-digit fantasy points in four weeks. TE2 at best in hopes for a spike week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.1 40.6 0.2 5.4

Kyle Pitts's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#7 Tight End

161.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 59.7 752.5 4.43 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKyle Pitts's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

The optimism is back for Pitts to finally perform up to his talent level after disappointing over the past two seasons.

Ditching the Arthur Smith offense for a more modern one that utilizes its talent is a welcome change. In addition, the massive QB upgrade to Kirk Cousins gives Pitts the best chance to hit his ceiling.

He is a year and a half removed from MCL and PCL surgery, coming into this season the healthiest of his career.

Pitts is an upside TE1 with a low floor and high ceiling.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Pitts’ per-game receiving statistics were in line with his 2022 season:
    • 5.1 targets (down from 5.8)
    • 3 receptions (up from 2.8)
    • 37.6 yards (up from 35.6)
    • 12.5 yards per catch (down from 12.7)
    • 0.21 TDs per game (up from 0.2)
  • Pitts ranked as the PPR TE14 in total fantasy points (132.6) and in points per game (5.1).
  • He played all 17 games despite getting MCL and PCL surgery in November 2022.
  • He had five top-12 finishes. He also had five TE25 or worse finishes.
  • Pitts' target share of 18.4% ranked 13th among TEs. It was also the lowest of his career.
  • Among 33 TEs with at least 40+ targets, Pitts ranked:
    • 11th in PFF receiving grade
    • Third lowest in-line snap percentage of that group (14.9%)
    • Highest average target depth among those TEs at 12.0 yards.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Pitts will play under HC Raheem Morris and first-time OC and play-caller Zac Robinson.
    • Robinson has been on the Rams’ staff since 2019 under Sean McVay, working as the QB coach and pass game coordinator since 2022.
    • Under Robinson, the Rams averaged 628 passes per season.
  • Kirk Cousins signed with the Falcons and will provide a significant QB upgrade
    • Last season Cousins had a superior 85.1 PFF passing grade compared to Desmond Ridder (53.2) and Taylor Heinicke (48.5)
  • The Falcons are expected to be pretty good. They lead the NFC South with a 9.5 win total at most sportsbooks.
  • This expectation of success is largely due to Cousins joining the team. The Falcons’ Super Bowl odds jumped from +4000 before Cousins to +2800 after he signed.
  • Pitts enters his 4th season at 23 years old. According to our aging curve research, a player with Pitts' career produces 98% of his peak value at age-23.

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Kyle Pitts, TE ATL

9:15am EST 12/2/24

Kyle Pitts Continues Downward Trend

Falcons TE Kyle Pitts was held without a catch in Sunday’s loss to the Chargers. He's now been held to 1 or fewer catches in three of his past four games.

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The Falcons and Buccaneers celebrated National TE Day with Kyle Pitts and Cade Otton each scoring two TDs. Pitts ended catching four of five targets for 91 yards while Otton caught nine of 10 targets for 81 yards. Pitts nearly gave one of his away with a fumble over the goal line, but was ruled a TD.

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Falcons TE Kyle Pitts set season highs across the board in the Thursday night win over the Bucs with eight targets, seven catches, and 88 yards. QB Kirk Cousins found Pitts wide open up the seam for a 32-yarder on the second play of the game. Pitts had a nice 18-yard catch and run in the second quarter. His other five grabs went for 10 yards or fewer.

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Falcons TE Kyle Pitts had three targets on the game but did not haul in a catch in the Falcons win against the Saints. Pitts was shut down by a Saints defense that keyed in on him throughout the game.

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Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Kyle Pitts, TE ATL
Dynasty MVP 32.5
Position Rank #6 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
249
403
717
Dynasty Write-up
Pitts became the second rookie TE to hit 1,000 yards. Year two was a major disaster, highlighted by a season-ending MCL tear. 2023 remained frustrating under now-fired HC Arthur Smith, despite a full 17-game season from Pitts. Despite getting a QB upgrade in Kirk Cousins, 2024 has proven to be an up and down year. He's under contract for one more season.
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