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Kyle Pitts - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKyle Pitts's Basic Stats

Kyle Pitts
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.1
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 240
40 Time: 4.49
Speed Score: 123.10
SPARQx (Rank): 120.90 (88%)
Burst Score (Rank): 123.10 (80%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.47 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.21 (85%)

Kyle Pitts's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections

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Rest Of Way Outlook

Kyle Pitts's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Tight End

144 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 79.6 1082.2 6.3 1.5 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKyle Pitts's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Pitts posted a 68-1,026-1 line as a rookie last year.
    • The 1,026 receiving yards were the 2nd most by a rookie TE in NFL history.
    • The 68 catches ranked 3rd.
    • Pitts scored the 10th most PPR points per game and 18th most non-PPR points per game by a rookie.
  • Pitts’ 110 targets last year ranked 5th among TEs.
  • He finished 4th at the position in expected PPR points and 3rd in expected non-PPR points.
  • Pitts underachieved his usage, finishing 6th in actual PPR points and 8th in actual non-PPR points.
  • The problem, of course, was that he scored just 1 TD.
    • That was despite ranking 10th among TEs with 23 red-zone targets and 13th with 6 end-zone targets.
    • Based on his usage, Pitts was expected to score 6.1 TDs. That ranked 9th among TEs.
  • Although he’s listed as a TE, Pitts was more WR last year.
    • He played just 32% of his snaps in line. 37% came from the slot and 31% out wide.
    • Pitt’s 11.2-yard average depth of target led all TEs.
  • The Falcons lost WR Russell Gage to the Bucs in free agency. He finished 2nd to Pitts with 94 targets (16.4%) last year.
  • Atlanta spent the 8th overall pick of this spring’s draft on WR Drake London.
  • But the rest of the WR depth chart reads: Bryan Edwards, Olamide Zaccheaus, Damiere Byrd, Auden Tate, Khadarel Hodge, Frank Darby, Geronimo Allison, Cameron Batson.
  • The Falcons traded QB Matt Ryan to the Colts in March. They signed QB Marcus Mariota in free agency and then grabbed QB Desmond Ridder in Round 3 of this year’s draft.
    • Ryan remained respectable last year, completing 67.0% of his passes, averaging 7.1 yards per attempt and finishing 14th among 31 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus’ passing grades.
    • Mariota was decent across 5 seasons with the Titans, posting a 62.9% completion rate and 7.5 yards per attempt. He spent the past 2 years backing up Derek Carr in Vegas.
    • Ridder started 49 games at Cincinnati and is lauded for his football IQ. But he has average arm strength and inconsistent accuracy.
  • HC Arthur Smith returns for his 2nd season in Atlanta. The 2021 Falcons ranked:
    • 29th in total yards
    • 26th in points
    • 19th in pass attempts
    • 16th in pass yards
    • 25th in pass TDs
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Pitts turned in 1 of the best rookie TE seasons in NFL history, only muted by his 1 TD. He still finished TE6 in PPR points and TE8 in non-PPR – and he’s bound to score more TDs this year.

Atlanta’s passing game – and offense in general – figures to struggle this year with some combination of Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder under center. But Pitts’ combination of talent and projected volume makes him an easy top-4 TE with the upside to lead the position in fantasy points.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Kyle Pitts, TE ATL

4 hours ago

Pitts out for the season

Falcons HC Arthur Smith said Wednesday that TE Kyle Pitts will miss the rest of the season with his knee injury. He underwent surgery on Tuesday (November 29) for what was reportedly a torn MCL. We don't have an official recovery timeline, but we'd expect Pitts to be available for at least some of the offseason program and back to 100% by training camp. He had a frustrating 2nd season but remains a high-upside dynasty asset with plenty of 2023 bounce-back potential. We'll be curious to see exactly where he goes in early drafts this coming offseason.

View all Kyle Pitts Shark Bites »

Falcons WR Drake London found the end zone in Sunday’s win over Chicago. He created a ton of separation for a short-range score. That 1st quarter catch marked his only one of the day, though. London’s 3 targets represented a 15% team share, as Marcus Mariota remained a low-volume passer. Kyle Pitts is slated to miss time with a knee injury, so perhaps the rookie’s involvement will tick up a bit. Still, it’s hard to bank on a major turnaround given the run-heavy environment. Atlanta faces the Commanders in Week 12.

View all Drake London Shark Bites »

The Falcons have placed TE Kyle Pitts (MCL) on IR for his knee injury. That means he'll miss at least 4 games. We'll see about confirmation on him missing the rest of the year. MyCole Pruitt and Parker Hesse are the next guys up at TE but shouldn't factor significantly into fantasy football plans. WR Drake London could see more targets with Pitts out. He drew just 1 against Chicago, though, in the game Pitts left early.

View all Kyle Pitts Shark Bites »

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that Falcons TE Kyle Pitts tore his right MCL in Sunday's win over the Bears and will require surgery. Pitts is reportedly getting a 2nd opinion before making a final decision, but it seems his season is likely over. We'll watch for confirmation over the next day or 2. Don't bet on any Falcons TE stepping forward for real fantasy help if Pitts is done. No other Atlanta TE has caught more than 5 passes this season, and Pitts has consistently come up short for fantasy football managers.

View all Kyle Pitts Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Kyle Pitts, TE ATL
Dynasty MVP 141.3
Position Rank #2 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
456
763
1,192
Dynasty Write-up
Pitts became the 2nd rookie TE to hit 1,000 yards. He doesn’t turn 22 until October.

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