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Malik Nabers - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMalik Nabers's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 5.12
Bye: 11
Experience: 0
Age: 20.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 199
40 Time: 4.40
Burst Score (Rank): 135.90 (98%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.18 (81%)

Malik Nabers's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5 63.2 0.4 9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Malik Nabers's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Wide Receiver

226.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.12 80 1011.2 6.4 0 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMalik Nabers's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

We love Nabers for dynasty. His LSU tape proved dynamic, with fluid movement skills and slippery post-catch ability.

He’s poised for 100+ targets right away – but his efficiency is uncertain. Can Daniel Jones stay healthy? If so, can he perform as a league-average QB?

Those questions have Nabers profiling as a low-floor, high-ceiling fantasy option. We’re not eager to buy at his current Underdog ADP (WR20).

What We Learned Last Year

  • Nabers posted big-time production at LSU over the past two seasons.
    • Across 27 games, he racked up 161 catches, 2,586 yards, and 17 TDs.
    • That stretch includes a sophomore breakout with solid market shares: 22.4% of the catches and 27.0% of the receiving yards.
  • Last year, Nabers ranked second nationally in receiving yards and third in receiving TDs.
    • Among 286 qualifiers, Nabers sat first in PFF receiving grade and third in yards per route run.
    • Playing alongside Round 1 pick Brian Thomas Jr., Nabers boosted his market shares: 35.6% of the receiving yards; 31.8% of the receiving TDs.
  • Nabers’ tape showed a dynamic athlete, both downfield and in post-catch situations.
  • He averaged 17.6 yards per catch and led the FBS in plays of 20+ and 30+ yards.
  • Nabers also averaged 6.6 yards after catch per reception.
  • The Louisiana native showed versatility by splitting his time between outside positions and the slot.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Nabers enters the league on the young side, turning 21 in July.
  • His injury history turns up no cause for concern.
  • The Giants drafted him sixth overall as the WR2.
  • It’s the perfect landing spot for opportunity.
    • The 2023 Giants featured Darius Slayton, Wan'Dale Robinson, and Darren Waller as top target-getters.
    • The WRs return, but Waller retired.
    • GM Joe Schoen didn't make any other notable investments at WR.
    • New York downgraded at RB, swapping out Saquon Barkley for Devin Singletary.
  • QB play remains a huge red flag.
    • Daniel Jones is coming off a November ACL tear.
    • He hasn’t reached 7.0 YPA as an NFL passer. (He tallied 5.7 YPA last season.)
    • His career completion rate underwhelms at 64.3%. Same for his 3.3% TD rate.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Malik Nabers, WR NYG

8:54pm EDT 4/25/24

Giants nab Malik Nabers to lead WR corps

The Giants drafted WR Malik Nabers sixth overall. Nabers is an explosive athlete, confirmed by a 4.35-second 40 time and 42-inch vertical at his Pro Day. Those are 91st- and 97th-percentile marks for his position. A big play waiting to happen both after the catch and going deep, Nabers averaged 15.9 yards per catch for his college career. He flashed as a freshman at LSU and then broke out as a sophomore, leading the team with 72 catches and 1,017 yards. Then came a massive junior season: 89 catches, 1,569 yards, and 14 TDs. Nabers led the FBS in plays of 20+ yards (34) and 30+ yards (17). He also led all 286 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus receiving grade and ranked third in yards per route. In many ways, his 2023 season was better than Marvin Harrison Jr.’s. Nabers isn’t as polished as Harrison, needing work on his route running and ball skills. But his pure athleticism should create plenty of 2024 fantasy value. And his long-term fantasy ceiling might be higher than Harrison’s. The Giants present opportunity for Nabers to immediately lead the team in targets. The team picking him instead of a QB in Round 1 also bodes well for the 2024 fantasy outlook of QB Daniel Jones, who has been going at the bottom of QB3 territory in early best ball drafting.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Malik Nabers, WR NYG
Dynasty MVP 131.0
Position Rank #23 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
412
664
1,227
Dynasty Write-up
Nabers declared for the draft after ranking top eight nationally in catches, yards, and TDs per game. The 21-year-old combines exciting deep chops with angry run-after-catch ability. After just a few minutes of watching him, you can tell his play speed is on another level. While he passed on NFL Combine testing, Nabers was never dropping out of the top 10. Despite a shaky landing spot, Nabers should flourish in New York long-term.
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