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MarShawn Lloyd - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMarShawn Lloyd's Basic Stats

Draft Sharks
ADP: 13.7
Bye: 10
Experience: 0
Age: 23.4
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.46
Burst Score (Rank): 120.20 (60%)

MarShawn Lloyd's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
22.9 0.16 1 7.9 0.04 4.3
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

MarShawn Lloyd's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#47 Running Back

97.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
13.7 97.8 430.4 2.98 0 0 18.2 143 0.72

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMarShawn Lloyd's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

We won’t know before the season starts just what kind of weekly touch count we can expect for Lloyd. But we do know that he’s an exciting athlete who landed in a backfield that favors multiple backs and got drafted early enough to indicate that Green Bay targeted him. That all makes Lloyd an upside stash across fantasy formats.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Lloyd arrives with ability as well as question marks.
  • The size-speed combo is enticing. Lloyd sports just 14th-percentile height (just under 5’9) but 70th-percentile weight (220 pounds) vs. historical Combine RBs. That squatty build is arguably ideal for an NFL RB … especially if he can also run a 4.46-second 40 time.
    • The combo gives Lloyd a 93rd-percentile speed score.
  • He parlayed that into 7.1 yards per carry and 17.8 yards per catch in his lone season at USC, after transferring from South Carolina.
    • Lloyd got off to a slower start with the Gamecocks, averaging just 4.6 yards per rush and logging 196 total touches across two seasons. Injuries and a coaching change both factored in.
  • His touch count remained limited at USC – 116 carries, 13 catches over 11 games – but that put him in the lead among Trojans RBs.
  • Lloyd reached double-digit carries just four times in his final college season and caught more than one pass in three games.
  • He could have stayed one more year (after a medicall redshirt for an ACL tear his true freshman year). But Lloyd entered the draft and joined the Packers as the fourth RB off the board, in Round 3.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Here’s what OC Adam Stenavich said in early May about Lloyd: “I would like to get him out there as much as possible. … It’ll be nice to get him the ball in space and just see what he can do. I think he’s gonna add a good explosive element to the offense, for sure.”
  • And HC Matt LaFleur: “He definitely can be a weapon out of the backfield,” said LaFleur. “I love all the measurables. He’s a 220-pound back that runs 4.4 and can run routes out of the backfield. I think he could be a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses.”
  • And GM Brian Gutekunst: “He’s got serious speed,” said Gutekunst. “He’s very elusive; he’s got great balance, so he’s a little bit different than some of the backs that we have in our depth chart right now.”
  • That all indicates the Packers envision immediate usage for the rookie, even though they paid $12 million per year on a free-agent contract to RB Josh Jacobs and re-signed AJ Dillon.
    • LaFleur’s assessment particularly indicates plans to use Lloyd in the passing game. Of course, he has also indicated this offseason that he sees Jacobs and Dillon as pass-game contributors as well.
  • LaFleur has also confirmed that he prefers to deploy more than one RB: “Philosophically, no matter who the runner is, typically, we like to platoon those guys, whether it’s two guys or three guys. I just think it allows the running backs to stay fresh throughout the duration of the season.”
  • All five of LaFleur’s seasons at the Packers helm have seen two Packers RBs average more than 10 touches per game.
    • Even when he spent 2018 as Titans OC and had a 24-year-old Derrick Henry, LaFleur gave Henry 13.4 carries and 1.1 targets per game vs. Dion Lewis’ 9.7 carries and 4.2 targets.
  • We’re not betting on that level of split between Jacobs and Lloyd. But it’s clear that being RB2 in LaFleur’s offense makes you more than just a handcuff.
  • We should learn more about what this year’s split will look like as training camp and the preseason unfold. And given that the expected top 2 in this year’s backfield are both new to the team, the situation figures to require assessment into the regular season.
  • It can’t hurt Lloyd’s upside that Jacobs and Dillon are both coming off arguably their worst pro seasons.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Josh Jacobs, RB GB

9:58am EDT 5/30/24

Packers sticking with committee backfield?

The Packers gave RB Josh Jacobs a big four-year, $48 million deal in free agency. But HC Matt LaFleur suggested on Wednesday that the team might stick with a RB-by-committee approach this season.

View Full Story »

The Packers "see shades of Aaron Jones" in rookie RB MarShawn Lloyd, according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. "Not only with his rushing ability, but his ability to catch passes out of the backfield," Fowler said. "So, the expectation is they're going to get him acclimated pretty early, try to use him a lot." Lloyd caught just 34 passes over his final three college seasons but averaged 13.3 yards per catch. The 220-pounder clocked a 4.46-second 40 time at the Combine, so he brings plenty of juice. We're not expecting Lloyd to see enough work behind Josh Jacobs to be a reliable fantasy play. But a Jacobs injury could turn the rookie into an exciting weekly starter.

View all MarShawn Lloyd Shark Bites »

The Packers drafted USC RB MarShawn Lloyd in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. Lloyd tore his left ACL in fall camp of his freshman season at South Carolina in 2020 and carried just 64 times in 2021. He emerged as the backfield leader in 2022, tallying 111 carries for 573 yards and nine TDs. Lloyd then headed west to USC and turned in a career year. Although he shared the backfield with fifth-year senior Austin Jones, Lloyd ripped off 820 yards and nine TDs on a huge 7.1 yards per carry. He took 15.7% of his carries for 15+ yards – the best rate among this year’s top-25 RB prospects. And he ranked third in Pro Football Focus’ Elusive Rating among all 157 FBS RBs with 100+ carries. Lloyd confirmed that dynamism by earning a strong 8.62 Relative Athletic Score at the Combine, highlighted by a 4.46-second 40 time at 5’9 and 220 pounds. Lloyd is relatively unproven as a pass catcher and comes with durability concerns after also missing time with a thigh injury and broken left arm dating back to high school. Unfortunately, he landed on a Packers team with Josh Jacobs under contract through the 2027 season. While Lloyd should eventually work ahead of A.J. Dillon, the rookie is off the redraft radar.

View all MarShawn Lloyd Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

MarShawn Lloyd, RB GB
Dynasty MVP 63.3
Position Rank #69 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
202
335
556
Dynasty Write-up
Lloyd’s college career began at South Carolina with a 2020 ACL tear. A quiet two-year stretch followed – then a move to USC. Last fall, he handled a 1A role alongside fifth-year senior Austin Jones (116 carries to 85). Lloyd displayed plus vision, acceleration, and open-field elusiveness en route to 7.1 yards per carry. He figures to play a small role in 2024 behind Josh Jacobs. But there's more predictable upside in 2025, when the Packers can move on from Jacobs' contract, if desired.
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