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Michael Carter - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Michael Carter
NYJ

RB NYJ

#39 Running Back

119 Projected Points

ADP: 7.12
Bye: 6
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: N/A
Height: 5'8"
Weight: 198
40 Time: Not Available

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#39 Running Back

119 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
7.12 153 643 4 0 1 32 250 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

71.4

DS Projection

119

Consensus

38 other sites
0

High Ceiling

183.3

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-A 3-star recruit, Carter saw 97 carries as a freshman at North Carolina and posted backfield-highs in YPC (5.8) and TDs (8).

-His sophomore year (2018) turned up a broken wrist that forced 3 missed games. He still showed his pass catching upside with a backfield-leading 25 catches.

-He split carries almost evenly with Broncos Round 2 pick Javonte Williams over the next 2 seasons. Carter was productive over that stretch with 2,248 yards, 16 total TDs and 46 catches.

-At 5’8, 201 pounds, he’s clearly undersized. But on tape, he showed excellent elusiveness, tackle-breaking ability and vision.

-Carter arrives to a wide open Jets backfield as a Round 4 pick. He’ll enter a training camp battle, primarily with Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson.

-Carter projects as a fit in the Jets run scheme under new OC Mike LaFleur. A Shanahan disciple, look for lots of outside zone running and pre-snap motion to gain leverage on the defense.

-Said Carter: “I think my change of direction and stop-start ability complements their system well. I’ve been running pretty much wide zone since I was born, so it comes natural to me. We ran a lot of it in college. Even in high school I did it, even in youth football I did it. So I'm very familiar with it."

-Coleman might be the rookie’s biggest threat; LaFleur has coached Coleman across 4 seasons (2 in Atlanta, 2 in San Francisco).

-Coleman, though, is coming off a career-low 8 appearances and 28 carries in 2020. Now 28, his best days are almost certainly behind him.

-This young Jets offense has a lot to prove overall with rookie Zach Wilson under center. The Jets will count heavily on fellow rookies Alijah Vera-Tucker (LG) and Elijah Moore (WR).

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We came away impressed by Carter’s tape in the pre-draft process. While on the small side, he has the vision, quickness, and versatility to carve out an immediate role.

Given the weak competition, we have Carter projected to lead this backfield in touches. But that number currently stands at 180, as we’ll very likely see a committee approach. Even so, ~12 touches per game should at least put him on the FLEX radar.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Connor Hughes believes it "might not be long before [Jets RB Michael] Carter starts to see the lion’s share of reps." The rookie has had a "promising" spring and early summer, according to Hughes, and looks like the most explosive and best receiver of the Jets' RBs. Hughes does add that the Jets "prefer a running-back-by-committee approach, so guys like Tevin Coleman, Ty Johnson and/or La'Mical Perine will be involved. But Carter is the most exciting of the group and has a chance to emerge as a weekly fantasy starter this year.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

The Jets have selected RB Michael Carter with the 2nd pick of Round 4 in the 2021 NFL Draft. As a true freshman, Carter led the Tar Heels in yards per carry (5.8) and TDs (8). He finished his 4-year career with 3,403 rushing yards, playing the past 2 in a near-even timeshare with Javonte Williams. At only 5’8 and 201 pounds, Carter doesn’t have workhorse potential. But he projects as a strong receiver (82 career catches) with excellent elusiveness and agility in all facets. A role with ~15 touches per game could certainly put him in the future RB2 discussion. Landing with the Jets presents obvious opportunity. The biggest challenges already on the roster look like Tevin Coleman and La'Mical Perine.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

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