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Michael Carter - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Michael Carter
NYJ

RB NYJ

#38 Running Back

111 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'8"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.54

Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
44 0.2 1.8 14 0.1 7.6
Week 5
Carter rushed for 38 yards and a TD and added 20 yards receiving in the loss in London.

He toted the ball 10 times—leading the team in touches 13-6 over RB Ty Johnson—catching all 3 targets on the day.

Carter was the clear early-down back but saw a rushing TD vultured by Johnson in the 3rd quarter. Fortunately, Carter paid off his owners with a score of his own shortly thereafter.

Carter leads the Jets backfield in talent, but that’s a small consolation with a team that is 29th in the league in rushing.
Week 4
Carter has seen his touch share rise every week so far in 2021. In Week 4 Carter saw a season high 13 carries and 16 opportunities. This led to Carter’s best fantasy day as a pro as he found the end zone vs. the Titans. More important than just the touches was the type of usage Carter saw in Week 4. He led the team in red zone carries and scored on his lone carry inside the 5. This coupled with leading the team in RB routes for the first time this season is an encouraging sign for his value moving forward.
This week Carter isn’t on the fantasy radar just yet as the Falcons are much tougher vs. the run than the pass. However, Carter is someone to potentially trade for on the cheap as his usage has been growing. He could find himself in a bigger role the second half of 2021.
Week 3
Carter was the primary option from the backfield this week against Denver. He saw 12 total opportunities. Unfortunately, that is where the positive news ends. He tallied just 27 yards on his 9 carries for a pedestrian 2.7 yards per carry. He added 2 receptions for another 5 yards.

With the offense looking anemic and Mekhi Becton expected to miss a few more weeks, it's unreasonable to expect things to improve. If the offensive line can improve and the QB can be smarter with the football things may get better in the Big Apple, but that feels like a big ask at this point.

Stash him if you have room on the back of your bench and can afford to be patient. Otherwise keep an eye on him and be ready to strike while the iron is hot.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • A 3-star recruit, Carter saw 97 carries as a freshman at North Carolina and posted backfield-highs in YPC (5.8) and TDs (8).
  • His sophomore year (2018) turned up a broken wrist that forced 3 missed games. He still showed his pass catching upside with a backfield-leading 25 catches.
  • He split carries almost evenly with Broncos Round 2 pick Javonte Williams over the next 2 seasons. Carter was productive over that stretch with 2,248 yards, 16 total TDs and 46 catches.
  • At 5’8, 201 pounds, he’s clearly undersized. But on tape, he showed excellent elusiveness, tackle-breaking ability and vision.
  • Carter arrives to a wide open Jets backfield as a Round 4 pick. He’ll enter a training camp battle, primarily with Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson.
  • Carter projects as a fit in the Jets run scheme under new OC Mike LaFleur. A Shanahan disciple, look for lots of outside zone running and pre-snap motion to gain leverage on the defense.
  • Said Carter: “I think my change of direction and stop-start ability complements their system well. I’ve been running pretty much wide zone since I was born, so it comes natural to me. We ran a lot of it in college. Even in high school I did it, even in youth football I did it. So I'm very familiar with it."
  • Coleman might be the rookie’s biggest threat; LaFleur has coached Coleman across 4 seasons (2 in Atlanta, 2 in San Francisco).
  • Coleman, though, is coming off a career-low 8 appearances and 28 carries in 2020. Now 28, his best days are almost certainly behind him.
  • This young Jets offense has a lot to prove overall with rookie Zach Wilson under center. The Jets will count heavily on fellow rookies Alijah Vera-Tucker (LG) and Elijah Moore (WR).

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We came away impressed by Carter’s tape in the pre-draft process. While on the small side, he has the vision, quickness, and versatility to carve out an immediate role.

Given the weak competition, we have Carter projected to lead this backfield in touches. But that number currently stands at 180, as we’ll very likely see a committee approach. Even so, ~12 touches per game should at least put him on the FLEX radar.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter is listed 4th (alongside Josh Adams) on the Week 1 depth chart. It's Tevin Coleman 1st, La'Mical Perine 2nd and Ty Johnson 3rd. We never fully buy into these depth charts -- but it's notable after Carter appeared to at least be behind Coleman this preseason. The rookie can't be trusted in Week 1 fantasy lineups. If you need to dabble in this backfield, Coleman is your best bet.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

The Jets rested starters Friday night in their preseason finale vs. Philadelphia. That meant no action for RB Tevin Coleman. Michael Carter and Ty Johnson played, however, and Johnson took the field 1st. Carter did mix in for the 1st drive but saw just 1 carry vs. 5 for Johnson. The work evened out between them by halftime: 8 carries, 1 target for Johnson; 7 carries, 1 target for Carter. The rookie then sat out the 2nd half, while Johnson remained heavily involved. That last point could be a positive for Carter. But he's clearly opening the year at least behind Coleman. Keep that in mind as you decide where to draft any Jets RBs over the next couple of weeks.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

Jets beat writer Connor Hughes of The Athletic sees the team’s backfield as a “3-man rotation.” “Tevin Coleman, Ty Johnson and Michael Carter will all see their share of snaps in the regular season,” Hughes writes, “with La’Mical Perine working in as the goal-line, short-yardage back.” It’s tough to buy Perine as a factor, but a Jets RB rotation has largely been the theme all summer. Look for the situation to remain fluid throughout the year.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter played 0 snaps with QB Zach Wilson and the 1st-team offense in Saturday's preseason game vs. the Packers. RB Tevin Coleman got the start and played 10 of 19 snaps with Wilson. RB Ty Johnson played the other 9. We'll see if Carter gets any run with the starters in the final exhibition. But as of now, he's not looking like a guy we'll be able to use in fantasy lineups to start the season.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Connor Hughes believes it "might not be long before [Jets RB Michael] Carter starts to see the lion’s share of reps." The rookie has had a "promising" spring and early summer, according to Hughes, and looks like the most explosive and best receiver of the Jets' RBs. Hughes does add that the Jets "prefer a running-back-by-committee approach, so guys like Tevin Coleman, Ty Johnson and/or La'Mical Perine will be involved. But Carter is the most exciting of the group and has a chance to emerge as a weekly fantasy starter this year.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

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