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Michael Carter - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Michael Carter
NYJ

RB NYJ

#38 Running Back

111 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 6
Experience: 0 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'8"
Weight: 198
40 Time: 4.54

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 10
It was another volume-filled game for Carter. He saw 16 carries and 6 targets. Unfortunately, he was only able to gain 38 yards on the ground but did add 43 via the air.

Going forward, there should be plenty of opportunities for Carter. He has 6 straight games with at least 10 carries and is averaging 14 or more over the last 3 contests. He has also seen 6 or more targets in 3 of the last 4 games. He should dominate touches with Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson getting spot duty. The floor will remain somewhat low. But at a position where volume is king, Carter can be a solid option.
Week 9
Tough break if you started Carter in Week 9.

He was an exciting play because QB Mike White had been targeting RBs on over 40% of his passes. But White was knocked out in the 1st quarter with a forearm injury. QB Josh Johnson stepped in and wasn’t looking to check down. He targeted RBs on just 4 of his 41 throws (9.8%).

Carter’s final line: 13 carries for 49 yards and 1 catch on 2 targets for 37 yards. His official catch actually went for 19 yards, but he was credited with 18 more receiving yards on a lateral from WR Jamison Crowder.

Carter ceded some hurry-up work in this one to RB Ty Johnson, who finished with 4 carries for 21 yards and 2 catches on 3 targets for 40 yards and a score. Carter still played 58% of the snaps, though, and out-touched Johnson 14 to 6.

His Week 10 fantasy value will largely hinge on White’s status. Early-week reports have both White and QB Zach Wilson practicing this week. We’ll see who the Jets roll with vs. the Bills.
Week 8
Carter’s production finally caught up to his usage as we have seen a steady climb over the past few weeks. Carter began to see a bigger share of the RB touches after the bye as he saw 20 opportunities in Week 7 and 29 in Week 8. This includes 14 targets, securing 9 of them for 95 yards. Even though Ty Johnson was heavily involved himself seeing 10 touches, Carter was the clear lead back. Carter had 15 of the 20 RB carries and ran 32 routes on the week compared to just 14 routes for Johnson. Johnson did have a nice day himself, catching 5-71-1, but he was more of a part-time player which will make it hard for him to repeat that performance.
Moving forward Carter looks like he’s setup to be a solid RB2 rest of season. However, this week he has a very tough matchup vs. a Colts team that has allowed the 4th fewest points to RBs on the year. Carter is still on the RB2 map as his pass game usage should keep him fantasy viable this week.
Week 7
Coming out of the Jets’ bye after seeing about 50% of the snaps in each of the last 2 games, Carter saw a season high 72% in this one. It looked like he’s being installed as the lead RB after showing improvement over the course of the season. However, Ty Johnson did leave briefly with a head injury and Tevin Coleman was inactive, so it’s also possible the elevated snap count was influenced by the injuries. For the 4th straight game, Carter was held below 4 yards per carry, though the Jets O-line didn’t help him much. He definitely got going in the pass game, catching all but 1 target, and helping him over 100 total yards for the day.

After facing a fairly difficult schedule so far, once Week 11 hits, Carter will have 5 of 7 games against run defenses that are 25th or worse before ending the fantasy season with a tough Week 17 matchup against the Bucs. With his increased workload, he may be a player to acquire right before his soft schedule begins before the fantasy trade deadline. Regardless, he should see work as a runner and receiver even in the tough games, so he should have a decent floor in the bad matchups as well.
Week 5
Carter rushed for 38 yards and a TD and added 20 yards receiving in the loss in London.

He toted the ball 10 times—leading the team in touches 13-6 over RB Ty Johnson—catching all 3 targets on the day.

Carter was the clear early-down back but saw a rushing TD vultured by Johnson in the 3rd quarter. Fortunately, Carter paid off his owners with a score of his own shortly thereafter.

Carter leads the Jets backfield in talent, but that’s a small consolation with a team that is 29th in the league in rushing.
Week 4
Carter has seen his touch share rise every week so far in 2021. In Week 4 Carter saw a season high 13 carries and 16 opportunities. This led to Carter’s best fantasy day as a pro as he found the end zone vs. the Titans. More important than just the touches was the type of usage Carter saw in Week 4. He led the team in red zone carries and scored on his lone carry inside the 5. This coupled with leading the team in RB routes for the first time this season is an encouraging sign for his value moving forward.
This week Carter isn’t on the fantasy radar just yet as the Falcons are much tougher vs. the run than the pass. However, Carter is someone to potentially trade for on the cheap as his usage has been growing. He could find himself in a bigger role the second half of 2021.
Week 3
Carter was the primary option from the backfield this week against Denver. He saw 12 total opportunities. Unfortunately, that is where the positive news ends. He tallied just 27 yards on his 9 carries for a pedestrian 2.7 yards per carry. He added 2 receptions for another 5 yards.

With the offense looking anemic and Mekhi Becton expected to miss a few more weeks, it's unreasonable to expect things to improve. If the offensive line can improve and the QB can be smarter with the football things may get better in the Big Apple, but that feels like a big ask at this point.

Stash him if you have room on the back of your bench and can afford to be patient. Otherwise keep an eye on him and be ready to strike while the iron is hot.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • A 3-star recruit, Carter saw 97 carries as a freshman at North Carolina and posted backfield-highs in YPC (5.8) and TDs (8).
  • His sophomore year (2018) turned up a broken wrist that forced 3 missed games. He still showed his pass catching upside with a backfield-leading 25 catches.
  • He split carries almost evenly with Broncos Round 2 pick Javonte Williams over the next 2 seasons. Carter was productive over that stretch with 2,248 yards, 16 total TDs and 46 catches.
  • At 5’8, 201 pounds, he’s clearly undersized. But on tape, he showed excellent elusiveness, tackle-breaking ability and vision.
  • Carter arrives to a wide open Jets backfield as a Round 4 pick. He’ll enter a training camp battle, primarily with Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson.
  • Carter projects as a fit in the Jets run scheme under new OC Mike LaFleur. A Shanahan disciple, look for lots of outside zone running and pre-snap motion to gain leverage on the defense.
  • Said Carter: “I think my change of direction and stop-start ability complements their system well. I’ve been running pretty much wide zone since I was born, so it comes natural to me. We ran a lot of it in college. Even in high school I did it, even in youth football I did it. So I'm very familiar with it."
  • Coleman might be the rookie’s biggest threat; LaFleur has coached Coleman across 4 seasons (2 in Atlanta, 2 in San Francisco).
  • Coleman, though, is coming off a career-low 8 appearances and 28 carries in 2020. Now 28, his best days are almost certainly behind him.
  • This young Jets offense has a lot to prove overall with rookie Zach Wilson under center. The Jets will count heavily on fellow rookies Alijah Vera-Tucker (LG) and Elijah Moore (WR).

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We came away impressed by Carter’s tape in the pre-draft process. While on the small side, he has the vision, quickness, and versatility to carve out an immediate role.

Given the weak competition, we have Carter projected to lead this backfield in touches. But that number currently stands at 180, as we’ll very likely see a committee approach. Even so, ~12 touches per game should at least put him on the FLEX radar.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter (concussion) is not listed on the final Week 18 injury report after getting in full practices on Thursday and Friday. He should lead the backfield vs. the Bills on Sunday. But RB Tevin Coleman, who was activated from the COVID list on Wednesday, figures to mix in.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter (concussion) was listed as a full participant in Thursday's practice. He now looks likely to be cleared for this weekend's game vs. the Bills. Carter should operate as New York's lead back in that one, but RB Tevin Coleman is off the COVID list and figures to mix in.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter (concussion) did not practice on Wednesday. The rookie is in danger of missing this weekend's finale vs. the Bills. We'll see if he's able to practice tomorrow.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter sustained a concussion in the 1st half of Sunday's game vs. the Bucs. We'll see if he can make it back for Week 18. With RB Tevin Coleman out on the COVID list, the Jets are down to RBs Ty Johnson and Austin Walter.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

Jets RB Michael Carter (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Dolphins. It’ll be his first action since suffering a high-ankle sprain back in Week 11. HC Robert Saleh said this week that Carter will play a "significant role" today. He'd averaged 13 carries and 6.2 targets across his last 6 healthy games. Don’t expect that many targets with Zach Wilson under center, but 13 carries is a fair projection. RBs Ty Johnson and La’Mical Perine are healthy scratches today, leaving Tevin Coleman and Austin Walter behind Carter.

View all Michael Carter Shark Bites »

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