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What You Need to Know:
-Brady led a high-volume pass offense in his debut season with the Bucs. Tampa Bay ranked 3rd in pass rate (62.9%); Brady ranked 2nd in raw attempts (610).
-Brady overcame a slow start to finish as the QB7 on the strength of 43 total TDs (40 passing). Only Aaron Rodgers tallied more passing scores.
-Brady’s 6.6% TD rate marked his highest since 2010. A 2.0% INT rate was his highest since 2011.
-Brady did attack defenses downfield more than expected. His 9.5-yard average depth of target ranked 3rd league-wide. ~15% of his targets traveled 20+ air yards — the 2nd highest rate among 36 QBs with 200+ attempts.
-Brady earned the 5th best Pro Football Focus passing grade on deep passes (94.2). Clearly, his arm strength didn’t show a major drop-off.
-Of course, he played alongside a loaded supporting cast, but the Bucs weren’t always at full strength. While Rob Gronkowski and Mike Evans played 16 games, Chris Godwin missed 4, and Antonio Brown only played in 8. Brown didn’t sign until late October.
-Each of those guys will return for 2021, while the Bucs also return all 5 O-line starters. Brady saw pressure on just 24.2% of his dropbacks. Only Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger posted a lower rate.
-The Bucs added dynamic WR/returner Jaelon Darden in Round 4 of the draft. He’ll start off buried on the depth chart, but he has the big-play skill set to benefit Brady if given opportunities.
-At 44, Brady will always pose some decline risk. But there simply wasn’t much evidence to forecast a big drop for Brady in 2021.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line
Brady adjusted to a new team about as well as fantasy owners could have hoped. He finished as the QB7 with help from high volume — and a stacked supporting cast. Now, the Bucs run it back with the same 11 (and coaching staff) on offense.
Starting off with favorable matchups vs. Dallas and vs. Atlanta, Brady’s poised for another QB1 campaign.