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Tom Brady - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTom Brady's Basic Stats

Tom Brady
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 22 Yr(s)
Age: 45.5
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 225
40 Time: 5.28
SPARQx (Rank): 70.50 (3%)
Burst Score (Rank): 92.40
Agility Score (Rank): 11.58 (39%)

Tom Brady's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Tom Brady's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#6 Quarterback

343.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 446.1/656 4922.5 37.2 12.6 28 44.8 2.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTom Brady's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Brady will be 45 when the coming season begins. George Blanda is the only QB to ever play beyond that age to date. He accumulated 116 passing yards and 2 TDs on 7-of-22 passing across 3 seasons starting with his age-45 campaign.
  • Pointing out the unprecedented nature of what Brady’s doing at this point isn’t all that relevant to projecting the Bucs QB. He has spent his career achieving unprecedented things. But it’s still at least worth noting.
  • Brady merely beat the best previous age-44 passing numbers last year by 547 attempts, 4,364 yards and 37 TDs.
  • Brady led the NFL in attempts, completions, passing yards and passing TDs in his 2nd season with the Bucs. Last year also marked just the 2nd time in his career that he has reached 6% passing-TD rate in consecutive seasons.
  • Among 35 QBs with 200+ dropbacks last year, Brady ranked 2nd in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
  • His adjusted completion rate checked in just 13th, but Brady delivered his best mark in that category since 2016 and 2nd best since 2010.
  • Brady finished 8th in passer rating and 2nd in QBR.
  • His average depth of target dipped by 1.6 vs. 2020. Brady’s 9.8-yard ADOT in his 1st Tampa Bay season was the 2nd-deepest number of his career, trailing only 2003. His 8.2 of last season ranked only 13th among Brady seasons.
  • Brady’s average time to throw also dipped slightly, but PFF still graded Tampa Bay 5th-best in pass-blocking last season.
  • The Bucs lost LG Ali Marpet to retirement this offseason but imported G Shaq Mason via free agency. Mason played with Brady for 5 years in New England. They also paid up to retain C Ryan Jensen in free agency.
  • WR Chris Godwin – who led the 2021 Bucs in targets despite missing the final 3 games – tore the ACL and MCL in his right knee on Dec. 19. His return will bear watching through summer.
  • The Bucs signed WR Russell Gage in free agency.
  • As of this writing, Rob Gronkowski has not yet re-signed. Brady gave no insight into whether his buddy will return when asked about the subject in early June.
  • The Athletic’s Greg Auman believes QB Tom Brady will attempt fewer passes in 2022 than he did in 2021.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Brady led the NFL in pass attempts last season because no team passed at a higher rate than the Buccaneers. Despite Bruce Arians’ departure and Chris Godwin’s knee injury, the offense appears similarly built. Tampa imported WR Russell Gage in free agency and spent a 3rd-round pick on RB Rachaad White, who stood out most for his receiving production among this year’s RB class. Brady showed no signs of reaching a cliff at 44, so there’s little reason to believe he’ll crash this season. The questions about Godwin and TE Rob Gronkowski (currently unsigned) add some downside risk. But his low-QB1 ADP accounts for that. Brady’s a decent option in that range.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Tom Brady, QB TB

8:22am EST 2/1/23

Brady retires (yes, again)

Buccaneers QB Tom Brady announced his retirement Wednesday morning via social media, and he says it's "for good" this time. We'll all obviously be waiting to confirm that throughout the offseason after last year's 1st crack at retirement, but we're taking the 45-year-old at his word. Brady's retirement officially leaves the Bucs with only Kyle Trask under contract at the position. They'll pick 19th in the upcoming NFL Draft, which might prove a little low for selecting an immediate successor. NFL free agency holds some potential options, including Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold and Jimmy Garoppolo. Daniel Jones and Geno Smith are currently set to hit the market as well, though they're generally expected to re-sign with their current teams. Derek Carr and Aaron Rodgers also sit as potential trade targets, though Tampa Bay might not have the salary-cap space to fit either of them. We'll be tracking this situation closely for the sake of WRs Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.

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Multiple Bucs players told NFL Network's Ian Rapoport that they don't expect QB Tom Brady back with the team in 2023. Media members got the same feeling after Brady's end-of-season press conference. If Brady doesn't return to Tampa Bay, it remains unclear if he'd retire or sign elsewhere. Rapoport mentions the Raiders, 49ers and Titans as potential landing spots if Brady returns for a 24th NFL season. Brady threw for another 4,694 yards this past year, but his 6.4 yards per attempt was the 2nd worst mark of his career. His Pro Football Focus passing grade was well down from the previous 2 seasons, although it still ranked 7th among 31 qualifiers league-wide.

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The Buccaneers are expected to fire OC Byron Leftwich, according to Pewter Report. Just a year ago, Tampa Bay was coming off 3 straight years among the league's top 3 in scoring and Leftwich was getting interviews for HC gigs elsewhere. But the 2022 Bucs ranked just 25th in points, 15th in yards and 16th in Football Outsiders offensive DVOA (down from 1st in 2021). We'd bet on Leftwich getting an opportunity elsewhere. The Bucs, meanwhile, seem likely to have a QB question to answer, with Tom Brady's contract up.

Update: Greg Auman of FOX Sports reports that HC Todd Bowles says no decision has been made yet on Leftwich's job status.

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Buccaneers QB Tom Brady completed 35 of 66 attempts with 2 TDs and 1 INT in Monday’s Wild Card loss vs. the Cowboys. The Bucs’ backfield failed to establish a presence in the contest, leaving Brady to throw for over 60 attempts in a game for the first time since Super Bowl LI vs. the Falcons, according to Pro Football Reference. The question now is whether the future Hall of Famer will hang up his cleats for good with the Buccaneers’ season officially over. Brady is set to become a free agent this offseason. The 45-year-old will have a lot to think about in the months to come.

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Bucs HC Todd Bowles plans to play his starters, including QB Tom Brady, in Sunday's regular-season finale vs. the Falcons, despite the Bucs being locked into the NFC's #4 seed. "We can get better at a lot of things, so right now, we plan on playing [Brady]," Bowles said Monday. "We'll see how the week goes going forward, but we can get better at a lot of things that we need to work on, and we don't need our foot off the gas." Bowles added that he'll consider pulling starters in the 2nd half. We'd be surprised if Brady played more than a half and don't expect RB Leonard Fournette or WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to play the entire game, either.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Tom Brady, QB TB There is no dynasty data for this player.
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