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Tyler Boyd - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsTyler Boyd's Basic Stats

Tyler Boyd
ADP: 13.2
Bye: 7
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 28.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 203
40 Time: 4.58
Speed Score: 89.50
SPARQx (Rank): 93.10 (19%)
Burst Score (Rank): 117.30 (30%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.25 (49%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.98 (41%)

Tyler Boyd's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 40.6 0.3 5.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4 48.9 0.3 6.7

Tyler Boyd's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#58 Wide Receiver

102.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
13.2 63.7 782 4 2 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsTyler Boyd's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Boyd is no longer the PPR darling of yesteryear, but he’s still a solid contributor in the Joe Burrow era of the Bengals’ offense.

Should injury befall one of Ja’Marr Chase or Tee Higgins, this veteran wideout has a track record of high-volume production.

Boyd is one of the few “WR handcuffs” that exist in fantasy football.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Boyd finished 2022 as the WR38 overall, with an average of 10.4 PPR points per game.
  • He put up two top-10 weekly fantasy finishes, one top-24 finish, and four WR3/flex-worthy finishes.
  • Not bad, but Boyd lives in the shadow of teammates Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins in the target-earning pecking order.
  • It’s worth noting that the Bengals have finished no lower than 3rd in the NFL in 3+ WR personnel grouping(s) since 2020. This team frequently lines up a trio of wideouts, and Boyd’s role as the slot receiver is concrete solid (80.6% career slot rate).
  • That said, for as much role security as he has, it’s tough to rely on Boyd week-to-week unless one of Chase or Higgins gets shut down by a defense or exits a game for any reason.
  • Since the Bengals drafted Higgins in 2020 and Chase subsequently in 2021, here’s how Boyd’s opportunity in the offense has diminished:
    • 2020: 110 targets, 18.6% target share, 21.2% air yards share, 12.8 PPR points per game
    • 2021: 94 targets, 16.6% target share, 17.4% air yards share, 11.5 PPR points per game
    • 2022: 82 targets, 13.9% target share, 18.2% air yards share, 10.4 PPR points per game
  • But here’s your reminder that there was a period between 2018 and 2019 in which Boyd was the primary target in this Bengals’ passing attack with QB Andy Dalton. He finished WR17 and WR18 overall respectively in PRR scoring during those seasons.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Boyd is entering the last year of his contract. The Bengals invested in rookie WR Charlie Jones out of Purdue in the 4th round of the 2023 NFL Draft, and early reports indicate that the coaching staff feels good about Jones’ chances to take over for Boyd eventually.
  • That fact spells bad news for the 28-year-old’s dynasty value, but Boyd’s 2023 outlook and role largely remain the same.
  • Very few examples of “WR handcuffs” exist in fantasy, but Boyd might as well be the poster child for this imagined label.
  • Boyd has a track record of being an effective fantasy WR, belongs to a Bengals offense that ranked seventh in Football Outsider’s Pass Offense DVOA in 2022, and is a safe bet to deliver a quality production output when increased opportunities come his way.
  • Redraft managers looking for a player attached to an elite offense can consider Boyd with a late-round pick.

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Tee Higgins, WR CIN

4:44pm EDT 9/17/23

Tee Higgins scores twice in rebound game

Bengals WR Tee Higgins racked up an 8-89-2 receiving line on a team-high 12 targets in Sunday's loss to the Ravens. That marked a big rebound from his 0-catch opener. WRs Tyler Boyd and Ja'Marr Chase tied for second with 8 targets apiece. Boyd tallied 6 catches for 52 yards; Chase snagged 5 receptions for just 31 yards. The game marked significant improvement for the Cincinnati passing game over Week 1. But it'll need to rebound further to deliver on the draft positions of Burrow and his top WRs. Burrow's aggravation of his calf injury won't help. We'll see about his status heading into an upside Week 3 matchup with the Rams. After that comes non-scary spots against the Titans, Cardinals, and Seahawks -- ahead of a Week 7 bye.

View all Tee Higgins Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Tyler Boyd addressed his contract situation on Tuesday. The 28-year-old is entering the final year of a 4-year, $43 million deal. “I know I’m going to be a free agent next year, and at the end of the day, it will come down to money,” he said. “I have a great, strong feeling that they will come with an offer to where it’s still going to be tough for me to leave ’cause this is my family. I spent my whole career here.” Boyd also admitted he’s behind Joe Burrow and Tee Higgins when it comes to the Bengals’ contract priorities. For 2023, at least, Boyd remains a bench stash who's best utilized when either Higgins or Ja’Marr Chase are inactive.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

The Athletic's Paul Dehner believes rookie WR Charlie Jones has a chance to take over as the Bengals' slot receiver when Tyler Boyd's contract runs out at the end of the 2023 season. “No matter where you throw the ball, he’s going to make the play,” WRs coach Troy Walters said of Jones. “He’s a technical route runner. If it’s a 15-yard route, he’s going to run 15. If it’s 12 yards, he’s going to get 12. He knows how to manipulate coverages to beat the defenders at the top of his routes. He just knows how to get open. He’s a football player, and that’s what we need. Very similar to when I was in Indianapolis with Peyton Manning. With Joe (Burrow), he wants you to be in the right spot at the right time, and that’s what Charlie does. He’s going to be in the right spot. He’s someone that Joe can count on.” Jones would need an injury to Boyd, Ja'Marr Chase, or Tee Higgins to have any chance at 2023 fantasy value. But he's an intriguing bench stash in deeper dynasty leagues as a potential asset in 2024 and beyond.

View all Charlie Jones Shark Bites »

The Bengals added WR Charlie Jones in the 4th round of the 2023 NFL Draft. Jones is coming off a huge 2023 season for Purdue: 110 catches, 1,361 yards, and 12 TDs. So why did he last until Round 4? Because 2023 was Jones' sixth year in college. He did nothing across 2 seasons at Buffalo and then 3 at Iowa. He's already 24 years old and is just 175 pounds. It's a shaky prospect profile. This is a sneaky strong long-term landing spot, though. Jones is tied to QB Joe Burrow. And WRs Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are set to hit free agency next offseason. It makes Jones worth stashing in deeper dynasty leagues.

View all Charlie Jones Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Tyler Boyd left in the 2nd quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Ravens to be checked for a concussion. We'll pass along an update on his status when we get one.

Update: Boyd was cleared to return.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Tyler Boyd, WR CIN
Dynasty MVP 63.0
Position Rank #71 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
218
331
500
Dynasty Write-up
The Bengals drafted Boyd’s likely replacement in Round 4 (Purdue WR Charlie Jones). Unless the 28-year-old takes a discounted deal, we expect 2023 to be Boyd’s last season in Cincinnati.
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