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Tyler Boyd - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Tyler Boyd
CIN

WR CIN

#38 Wide Receiver

132 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 10
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 197
40 Time: 4.54

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

4.8

DS Projection

7.3

Consensus

38 other sites
8

High Ceiling

11.1

Rest of
Season

7.9

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.4 49.3 0.4 7.3
Weekly Writeup
Boyd has averaged just 6 targets in 3 games with both Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase, finishing those weeks 74th, 34th and 67th among WRs in half-PPR points. A plus matchup vs. the Lions helps this weekend.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 60 0.3 7.9
Week 4
Boyd feasted on targets against Jacksonville, with Tee Higgins out for a 2nd straight game. Boyd drew a game-high 11, catching 9 for 118 yards -- also leading both teams in each category.

Just 1 of those looks traveled 10+ yards downfield, as Boyd is working on the shortest average depth of target in his career. His 6.3 mark there sits 2.5 short of last year and 0.6 shy of his previous low (6.9 in 2017).

He has countered that with a career-high 76.7% catch rate so far, topping the 71.8% of last year that stands as his full-season high to date.

That leaves some room for regression, and a deeper ADOT would be nice. Higgins’ impending return from his shoulder injury and Cincinnati’s run-leaning start to the season stand as challenges to Boyd’s regular fantasy production.

The Bengals’ slot man should remain a solid option low in PPR WR3 territory, though his complete profile makes him sellable if you get the right offer.
Week 3
With Tee Higgins missing this contest with a shoulder injury, Boyd was in line for a boost in target share. However, the Bengals controlled this game throughout, and they were able to limit Joe Burrow to throwing just 18 passes. Although Boyd led the team in targets, he was targeted short, so his yardage was limited. And on his TD reception, he should’ve been easily tackled, but the Pittsburgh defender didn’t wrap him up, which allowed him to bounce off and race into the end zone.

Although he scored this week and posted 73 yards in Week 2, Boyd’s been held to 36 yards or fewer in 2 of 3 games. Joe Burrow is throwing fewer than 30 times per game and there are two alphas on the team in Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase, so there could be a target and production squeeze that relegates Boyd to flex level production in many weeks.
Week 2
Boyd was one of the biggest winners in Week 2. He saw the 2nd most targets on the team (9), catching 7 passes for 73 yards. This production comes on the heels of just 3 catches for 32 yards in the opener.

Going forward, Boyd is a fine WR3 type option who can definitely see an uptick in production on any given week. As of now it feels like Boyd and teammate Ja’Marr Chase will trade volume from week to week with Tee Higgins being the consistent target. You may not love the idea of deploying him, but there will be plenty of weeks you will be glad you did.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • In 2020, Boyd was on a WR10 pace through 10 games with Joe Burrow. He was on pace for nearly 140 targets.
  • The WR hit 20 PPR points in 4 of 10 Burrow games. He was held under 10 PPR points only twice.
  • Boyd continued to be used as a primary slot target on short-range passes (8.8-yard average depth of target).
  • Boyd played 5 games without Burrow, posting lines of 3-15, 1-71-1, 5-43, 0-0 and 1-1. Boyd left the 0-0 game early with a concussion. He was ejected from the 1-71-1 game.
  • The rough end to the season found Boyd finish as the WR38 in PPR points per game (15 games).
  • Burrow, of course, went down with a serious knee injury in late November. The good news is he’s expected to suit up for Week 1.
  • The Bengals added a potential instant WR1 in 5th overall pick Ja’Marr Chase. Chase opted out of the ’20 season but posted a huge ’19 alongside Burrow (84-1,780-20).
  • Tee Higgins returns after a strong rookie year (108-67-908-6). His 6.7 targets per game approached Boyd’s figure of 7.3.
  • Fortunately for Boyd, the Bengals remain without a pass-catching TE. The same coaching staff (HC Zac Taylor and OC Brian Callahan) return after leading the league in 3-WR sets (76%).
  • Boyd can offset any volume concerns by remaining highly efficiency alongside Burrow. The pair combined for a 79% catch rate last fall.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Only 26, Boyd has delivered as an undervalued fantasy asset for 3 straight seasons. He reached 1,000 yards in 2018 and 2019 and would have hit that threshold if not for Joe Burrow’s season-ending injury.

Burrow holds the key to Boyd returning reliable WR3 value in 2021. And as of early summer, the young QB is fully expected to suit up come Week 1. We’re buying pieces of an ascending Bengals offense, and Boyd is no exception.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Tyler Boyd (concussion) has been cleared to play in this weekend's finale vs. the Ravens, HC Zac Taylor Friday. Boyd has played just 2 full games without QB Joe Burrow, totaling 15 targets, 8 catches and 58 scoreless yards. He's a low-upside Week 17 fantasy play.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Tyler Boyd (concussion) returned to a limited practice on Wednesday, giving him a shot to play vs. the Ravens this weekend. We'll monitor his progress over the next couple of days.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

The Bengals have ruled WR Tyler Boyd (concussion) out for Sunday's game against the Texans. That positions Tee Higgins as the clear #1 WR against a bad Houston secondary. Cincinnati will also get QB Brandon Allen back. The Bengals left him off the final injury report for the week after Allen missed Week 15 with a knee injury. Allen is nothing special but raises the passing-volume ceiling. Higgins looks like a decent WR3 for Week 16.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Tyler Boyd (concussion) did not practice on Wednesday. He seems like a long shot to be cleared in time for Sunday's game vs. the Texans. Boyd's absence would boost WR Tee Higgins' target projection -- but he'd remain a shaky fantasy play given Cincinnati's QB situation.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

Bengals WR Tyler Boyd left Monday night's game against the Steelers with a concussion. He'll need to pass through the league protocol to be eligible to play Sunday at Houston. Having 1 less day than the normal week certainly won't help. Fortunately for fantasy decisions, Boyd has been a shaky option since QB Joe Burrow went down.

View all Tyler Boyd Shark Bites »

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