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Zack Moss - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Zack Moss
BUF

RB BUF

#37 Running Back

117 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 223
40 Time: 4.65

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

5.9

DS Projection

9.1

Consensus

38 other sites
10

Low Ceiling

12.7

Rest of
Season

9.4

Week 6 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
52 0.4 2.1 15 0 9.1
Weekly Writeup
Moss out-touched Devin Singletary last week, 13-7. He remains the backfield favorable heading into a favorable matchup with Tennessee. The Bills are implied for a healthy 30 points.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
51 0.5 1.6 13 0 9.4
Week 4
Although he split touches equally with Devin Singletary, for the 2nd week in a row, Moss led the backfield with a 56% snap share. Aside from scoring on a short rushing TD, he was open for a potential second score on a screen pass at the goal line, but Josh Allen threw the ball behind him. Overall, he was facing an inferior defense, and although he was unable to break many chunk runs, he was able to run for 4 yards per carry.

After being deactivated in Week 1 and then having a limited role in Week 2, Moss has averaged 15 touches over his last 2 games while scoring a TD in each contest. It’s dangerous to assume his role will be stable because it seems apparent that Devin Singletary isn’t going away. But both guys are playing well, so they should continue to split work, which hopefully means double-digit touches and RB3 value.
Week 3
Moss had a strong performance both as a rusher and a pass catcher on Sunday. He gained 60 yards on 13 rush attempts, plus an additional 31 yards and a TD on his 3 receptions.

Going forward, this backfield remains a mess. Moss was clearly the preferred option against Washington, seeing 16 opportunities to Devin Singletary’s 12. Last week, however, the roles were reversed as Singletary saw 16 opportunities to just 10 for Moss. And you aren't able to point to game script being the defining factor as both games were dominant wins.

While either guy could be a usable option from a fantasy perspective, Buffalo being unwilling to pick a guy week in and week out makes it hard to deploy either Bills RB. Both can be used in a pinch -- but good luck feeling great about it.
Week 2
Moss made his 2021 debut against Miami. After seeing his 1st action on Buffalo’s 3rd drive, Moss went on to post 26 yards and 2 scores on 8 carries. He lost a fumble early but wasn’t benched. Just note that 5 of his carries (and both TDs) came in the 2nd half, with Buffalo enjoying a hefty lead. Devin Singletary led the way with 13 carries, 82 yards and a long TD run and still looks like Buffalo’s lead back. But Moss should at least be stashed in leagues of 12+ teams.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • The Bills tried trading up for Moss last year, but he ultimately fell to them in Round 3 (86th overall).
  • Moss exited college with top-notch productivity, a run/catch skill set and impressive tackle-breaking ability.
  • With Buffalo, the 23-year-old missed 3 early-season games with a toe injury. He was out-carried by Devin Singletary (156-112), with the pair posting nearly identical efficiency marks.
  • Moss was subpar as a receiver, snagging 14 of 18 targets for 95 yards. Bills RBs combined for just a 13% target rate alongside an aggressive Josh Allen.
  • Come the postseason, Moss suffered a high-ankle injury that required surgery in January. It’s expected to be a non-issue going forward.
  • Moss tallied a Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating of 55.3 — 24th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
  • Moss edged out Singletary in red zone carries, 15 to 8. Josh Allen matched Moss’ 15 attempts, though.
  • The Bills passed on drafting a RB in the 2021 draft, signaling confidence in the current 1-2 punch. Buffalo did add Matt Breida early in free agency. He’s a long-shot to have a major role after disappointing with Miami in 2020.
  • The same O-line returns for 2021, albeit one that’ll see some competition. This unit ranked 15th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards, a measure of a team’s run blocking.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The Bills selected Moss in Round 3 of the 2020 draft, just 1 year after spending a 3rd on Devin Singletary. Despite missing 3 games last season, Moss looks poised for lead back duties this fall.

He brings a size advantage over Singletary (5’9, 223 pounds vs. 5’7, 203), and we’ve seen the Bills favor that size in the red zone. Moss also emerged late in his rookie year, handling 38 carries to Singletary’s 25 from Week 13 to Week 15. The Bills rested starters in a Week 17 blowout; Moss suffered an ankle injury during Wild Card weekend.

We expect the Bills’ offense to lean run slightly more this year, giving Moss a realistic upside to see ~230 touches. He’s an enticing RB3 target.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss is active for today’s game against the Dolphins. HC Sean McDermott said this week that Moss was scratched for the opener after dealing with injuries during August -- but that he had a good week of practice leading up to this one. We’ll see how big a role Moss plays, but he shouldn’t be in Week 2 fantasy lineups. His return lowers RB Devin Singletary’s fantasy floor and ceiling, though.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills HC Sean McDermott said Friday that RB Zack Moss was inactive for the opener because he struggled with injuries in training camp. Moss missed a little less than a week with a hamstring issue but was otherwise fine as far as we know. McDermott added that Moss "looked good" in practice this week. It sounds like there's a chance he's active for Sunday's game against the Dolphins. But we still wouldn't be using him in fantasy lineups.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss is a surprise inactive for today's game against the Dolphins. We'll see whether he was injured in pregame warmups or is a healthy scratch. Either way, it'll be Devin Singletary and Matt Breida in Buffalo's backfield today. Singletary now looks like a solid Week 1 fantasy play.

Update: NFL Network's Ian Rapoport says Moss is not injured.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss (hamstring) returned to practice on Monday. He ended up missing a few practices -- and the preseason opener -- with the bum hamstring. Hopefully Moss plays in the 2nd exhibition so we can see what Buffalo's backfield usage looks like.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Per Bills HC Sean McDermott, RB Zack Moss won’t practice on Wednesday due to a hamstring injury suffered in Tuesday’s practice. The team will approach Moss’ injury “one day at a time.” The missed time will give more first-time reps to Devin Singletary and Matt Breida. We’ll let you know when Moss returns to the practice field.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

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