|ADP||Rush Atts||Rush Yds||Rush TDs||100||Fum||Rec||Rec Yds||Rec TDs|
What You Need to Know:
-The Bills tried trading up for Moss last year, but he ultimately fell to them in Round 3 (86th overall).
-Moss exited college with top-notch productivity, a run/catch skill set and impressive tackle-breaking ability.
-With Buffalo, the 23-year-old missed 3 early-season games with a toe injury. He was out-carried by Devin Singletary (156-112), with the pair posting nearly identical efficiency marks.
-Moss was subpar as a receiver, snagging 14 of 18 targets for 95 yards. Bills RBs combined for just a 13% target rate alongside an aggressive Josh Allen.
-Come the postseason, Moss suffered a high-ankle injury that required surgery in January. It’s expected to be a non-issue going forward.
-Moss tallied a Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating of 55.3 — 24th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.
-Moss edged out Singletary in red zone carries, 15 to 8. Josh Allen matched Moss’ 15 attempts, though.
-The Bills passed on drafting a RB in the 2021 draft, signaling confidence in the current 1-2 punch. Buffalo did add Matt Breida early in free agency. He’s a long-shot to have a major role after disappointing with Miami in 2020.
-The same O-line returns for 2021, albeit one that’ll see some competition. This unit ranked 15th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards, a measure of a team’s run blocking.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:
The Bills selected Moss in Round 3 of the 2020 draft, just 1 year after spending a 3rd on Devin Singletary. Despite missing 3 games last season, Moss looks poised for lead back duties this fall.
He brings a size advantage over Singletary (5’9, 223 pounds vs. 5’7, 203), and we’ve seen the Bills favor that size in the red zone. Moss also emerged late in his rookie year, handling 38 carries to Singletary’s 25 from Week 13 to Week 15. The Bills rested starters in a Week 17 blowout; Moss suffered an ankle injury during Wild Card weekend.
We expect the Bills’ offense to lean run slightly more this year, giving Moss a realistic upside to see ~230 touches. He’s an enticing RB3 target.