Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

Zack Moss - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Zack Moss
BUF

RB BUF

#30 Running Back

134 Projected Points

ADP: 8.9
Bye: 7
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 223
40 Time: 4.65

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#30 Running Back

134 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
8.9 158 697 7 0 1 22 166 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

High Floor

107.2

DS Projection

134

Consensus

38 other sites
122.1

High Ceiling

194.3

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-The Bills tried trading up for Moss last year, but he ultimately fell to them in Round 3 (86th overall).

-Moss exited college with top-notch productivity, a run/catch skill set and impressive tackle-breaking ability.

-With Buffalo, the 23-year-old missed 3 early-season games with a toe injury. He was out-carried by Devin Singletary (156-112), with the pair posting nearly identical efficiency marks.

-Moss was subpar as a receiver, snagging 14 of 18 targets for 95 yards. Bills RBs combined for just a 13% target rate alongside an aggressive Josh Allen.

-Come the postseason, Moss suffered a high-ankle injury that required surgery in January. It’s expected to be a non-issue going forward.

-Moss tallied a Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating of 55.3 — 24th among 47 RBs with 100+ attempts.

-Moss edged out Singletary in red zone carries, 15 to 8. Josh Allen matched Moss’ 15 attempts, though.

-The Bills passed on drafting a RB in the 2021 draft, signaling confidence in the current 1-2 punch. Buffalo did add Matt Breida early in free agency. He’s a long-shot to have a major role after disappointing with Miami in 2020.

-The same O-line returns for 2021, albeit one that’ll see some competition. This unit ranked 15th in Football Outsiders’ adjusted line yards, a measure of a team’s run blocking.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The Bills selected Moss in Round 3 of the 2020 draft, just 1 year after spending a 3rd on Devin Singletary. Despite missing 3 games last season, Moss looks poised for lead back duties this fall.

He brings a size advantage over Singletary (5’9, 223 pounds vs. 5’7, 203), and we’ve seen the Bills favor that size in the red zone. Moss also emerged late in his rookie year, handling 38 carries to Singletary’s 25 from Week 13 to Week 15. The Bills rested starters in a Week 17 blowout; Moss suffered an ankle injury during Wild Card weekend.

We expect the Bills’ offense to lean run slightly more this year, giving Moss a realistic upside to see ~230 touches. He’s an enticing RB3 target.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Sal Maiorana of the (Rochester, N.Y.) Democrat and Chronicle says his “hunch is that [Zack] Moss is going to become the No. 1 back, but his snap count will remain pretty close with [Devin] Singletary.” That seems to be the general feeling and lines up with where their ADPs have run. Singletary might be the better best-ball value in the later rounds, but we tend to prefer Moss’ ceiling. Don’t target either too early in your drafts

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss has worn a red, non-contact jersey throughout offseason practices, per team beat writer Matt Parrino. It’s a reminder that he’s still working back from January ankle surgery. If he’s a full-go for training camp, Moss will be in a good spot to lead this backfield in touches ahead of Devin Singletary and Matt Breida.

Update: Per Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic, Bills HC Sean McDermott said the team is "looking forward to getting Moss back for training camp for drill work." McDermott added that Moss has done a "phenomenal job" with rehab.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss underwent "tight rope" surgery to repair his high-ankle sprain on Tuesday morning, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. That's the procedure QB Tua Tagovailoa had at Alabama in 2019, ultimately returning to play 3 weeks later. Moss is expected to make a full recovery and be ready for the start of the offseason program, per Schefter. Moss averaged a solid 4.3 yards per carry as a rookie, emerging as Buffalo's lead ball-carrier over the 2nd half. His upside is capped going forward, though, by the presence of RB Devin Singletary and the Bills' pass-centric offense.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss will miss the rest of the playoffs with the ankle injury he suffered in the Wild Card win over the Colts, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. That leaves T.J. Yeldon, Taiwan Jones and Antonio Williams behind Devin Singletary in the RB room. Even in Buffalo's pass-heavy offense, Singletary is a good bet for 15+ touches in this weekend's game vs. the Ravens.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Bills RB Zack Moss left Saturday's win over the Colts with an ankle injury and is expected to miss some time, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo. It remains to be seen just how long, as we await an official diagnosis. Obviously, it'll also depend some on how far the Bills advance. We'll watch for updates. In the meantime, Devin Singletary gains fantasy upside.

View all Zack Moss Shark Bites »

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Download on Google Play