Dynasty Prospect Scouting Report: Tyler Allgeier
Tyler Allgeier, RB, BYU
40-yard dash: 4.60 seconds (42nd percentile)
Vertical: 33 inches (35th)
Broad: 120 inches (65th)
3-cone: 7.09 seconds (Pro Day)
Short shuttle: 4.33 seconds (Pro Day)
Allgeier barely registered as a prospect out of California. Despite growing up in the same town that produced Jamaal Williams and topping 2,400 rushing yards as a senior, Allgeier ranked just 228th nationally among RB prospects and 372nd among all California prospects, according to 247Sports. He had to settle for preferred walk-on status at BYU
Allgeier appeared in 4 games as a true freshman before taking a redshirt. His 2nd season found him moving to LB, where he had also started as a high-schooler, before a backfield return over the final 3 games. In addition to the limited rushing stats you can see above, Allgeier finished 2019 with 26 tackles, a half-sack, a pass breakup and a forced fumble. He also averaged 24.3 yards across 4 kick returns over his 1st 2 years.
The 3rd-year Cougar nearly left after that campaign, seeking a scholarship to keep his single mom from needing to take on more debt. But BYU finally offered him a scholarship and then found him a starting role in the backfield.
Allgeier started 8 of his 11 appearances in 2020, opening the year with a 14-132-2 rushing day in a victory over Navy. The redshirt sophomore handled 51.9% of RB carries, though he trailed junior Lopini Katoa for backfield receiving work (with other backs working in as well). Allgeier finished out the year with 4 straight 100+ yard rushing games, averaging more than 8.0 per carry in each of them. His 7.5 yards per rush for the season crushed the rates of his teammates and ranked 7th in FBS. He also tied for 10th nationally in rushing scores despite QB Zach Wilson vulturing 10 others.
Allgeier hit a Wilson-less 2021 as the feature back. He amassed 66% of the team’s RB carries and 10% of all targets. His 23 rushing scores constituted 41.1% of the team’s total TDs. Allgeier’s yards per carry dipped significantly vs. his 2020 height but still easily led the rates of his backfield mates. He topped 200 yards rushing in a game twice and eclipsed 190 yards in 2 others, including a 27-192-3 rushing line to earn offensive MVP honors in the Independence Bowl loss to UAB.
For the year, Allgeier ranked 4th nationally in rushing yards and set a school record for attempts. He earned Pro Football Focus’ 8th-best overall offensive grade among FBS halfbacks, and the #14 rushing grade among those 492 players.
Allgeier then skipped his final year of eligibility to enter the NFL Draft.
I tacked on that (13-minute) highlight video at the end because there’s not a lot out there for Allgeier. More is obviously always better in this area, but I also think we can tell a fair amount from Allgeier’s profile.
We’ll get into more of that in the next section, though. For now, let’s focus on what we can see.
Allgeier certainly benefited from playing behind a strong offensive line, and you’ll see gaping holes on plenty of runs if you watch any of the videos linked above. Spending 2020 with QB Zach Wilson didn’t hurt either, of course.
But when the lane isn’t so clear, Allgeier seems to have the vision to find his way
Despite being a big dude, he looks capable of getting small through tight spaces to reach the 2nd level.
Allgeier isn’t going to impress you with his agility, but he’s not a total stiff. You can see some nimbleness on this run, though you can also see that his moves aren’t particularly spicy.
That said, the change-of-direction looks good enough for tight-quarters running between the tackles.
Similarly, Allgeier isn’t winning with speed. But he also appears to have enough acceleration to take advantage when the opportunity presents itself. He delivered long TD runs in 2 of the 1st 3 games I watched, including an 85-yarder against Boise State. And his 10-yard split (1.59 seconds) checked in 56th percentile for the position, compared with the 42nd-percentile 40 time.
Tyler Allgeier is a good example of why speed score matters. His sheer speed is below average for the NFL. Factor in weight, though, and he’s solidly above average in speed score (64th percentile). His sub-6-foot stature makes him basically the ideal size.
Similar to Kyren Williams, though, draft capital will tell us a lot about what we should expect from Allgeier. As I mentioned in the film section, there’s nothing here that looks special. And his comps reinforce that.
Here are his (strong) top matches on Mockdraftable:
Eddie Lacy 99%
Tra Carson 98.4%
Spencer Ware 96.7%
Chris Thompson 96.7%
Jonas Gray 95.9%
Joe Montgomery 95.2%
LaBrandon Toefield 94.7%
Sedrick Irvin 94.2%
Javon Leake 93.9%
Marcus Lattimore 93.6%
It’s not a great list. Lacy was a late 2nd-round pick and spent 2 fun years as Green Bay’s feature back before a rapid descent. Most of the rest of the list is dudes we knew from big college programs who did nothing in the league. Both sides of that work against Allgeier.
Despite a high school career that included setting his school's record for rushing yards, Allgeier couldn’t get any FBS attention. And over his 1st 2 years at BYU, he couldn’t garner touches in a backfield led by Squally Canada and Lopini Katoa.
Player Profiler lists his top comp as Zack Moss, which might be the best signal of all.
Moss matched Allgeier in final-season Dominator Rating, which basically measures how much of his college offense a player accounts for. Both Moss and Allgeier posted 84th-percentile dominator ratings. Moss had years of 8.7% and 9% target shares, compared with the 10% of Allgeier’s final season.
Moss was a 4th-round pick of the Bills and has scored 5 TDs in each of his 1st 2 seasons. But he also doesn’t look like a significant piece of the offensive plan in Buffalo just 2 years after being drafted.
Don’t expect big things from Allgeier long term. But he is the kind of player who could give us fantasy-starter level weeks when pressed into duty.