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Zay Flowers Injury History & Updates

Basic StatsZay Flowers's Basic Stats

Zay Flowers
ADP: N/A
Bye: 14
Experience: 1
Age: 24.1
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 182
40 Time: 4.42

Burst Score (Rank): 123.90 (64%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.86 (25%)

Injury PredictorZay Flowers's Injury Guide

Low Risk

Chance of Injury in 2024

35.6%

% chance misses at least 2 quarters

Chance of Injury per Game

2.6%

1- 17√1-% Inj/Season

Projected Games Missed 2024

1.90

Durability

5.00

Ability to produce despire relatively minor injuries. 5 being most durable

Injury analysis powered by Draft Sharks Injury Guide, formerly SIP Logo

Injury History

Date League Injury Details
Jan 28, 2024 NFL Hand Lacerated Flowers caused a cut on his right hand on the sidelines during the AFC Championship vs. the Chiefs.

Basic StatsZay Flowers's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Flowers finished 32nd among WRs in PPR points per game as a rookie. He’s going a reasonable 30th at the position in Underdog Fantasy ADP so far this year. And Baltimore has done nothing to challenge the outlook for a second-year WR who got immediately involved after arriving as a first-round pick. Flowers looks like a solid pick across formats.

What We Learned Last Year

  • The Ravens got their first-round WR heavily involved quickly. Flowers drew 10 targets in his first game and finished the year 21st among all WRs in target share.
    • That share got no significant padding from Mark Andrews’ injury.
    • From Week 2 through Week 10 (with Andrews), Flowers drew 23% target share.
    • From Week 11 (when Andrews went down) on: 23.5%.
  • Baltimore increased its pass rate after switching from OC Greg Roman to Todd Monken. They climbed from 12th in neutral pass rate in 2022 to seventh last year. But they still tied for just 30th in total pass attempts.
    • That put Flowers tied for 26th among WRs in total targets.
    • He also ranked:
      • 22nd in receptions
      • 33rd in receiving yards
      • tied for 28th in TD catches
  • The Ravens favored shorter routes for Flowers. His 9.1-yard aDOT for the season tied for 77th among 96 WRs who drew at least 40 targets, according to PFF. Those aDOTs did vary by game, at least, showing the team’s willingness to target Flowers at all levels of the field.
  • Flowers’ yards per route ranked 38th among that same group of 96; sixth among rookie WRs behind:
    • Puka Nacua 2.75
    • Tank Dell 2.22
    • Rashee Rice 2.21
    • Jayden Reed 1.95
    • Dontayvion Wicks 1.94

What to Expect in 2024

  • Flowers at least looks locked in as the lead WR and could lead the team in targets. TE Mark Andrews drew 23.4% target share over his nine healthy outings last season. Flowers went 23% over the same span.
  • The Ravens added no worrisome challengers for targets, with fourth-round rookie WR Devontez Walker looking like the most significant addition.
  • His 71.3% catch rate in 2023 was high for the position but ranked just 15th among WRs with 30+ targets. Teammate Nelson Agholor ranked even higher, and QB Lamar Jackson is coming off a career-best adjusted completion rate. So we buy Flowers at least coming close to repeating this rate.
  • There’s room for his aDOT to grow. Flowers posted a career 13.0-yard aDOT in college, with no single-season mark shorter than 10.4. And he ranked just sixth among Ravens WRs in aDOT in 2023.
    • The shorter range of his targets in 2023 points to the team trying to get him the ball. But a deeper average target would likely grow his yards per catch and increase big-play potential.
  • There’s room for passing volume to grow even with Derrick Henry’s arrival. Baltimore tied for just 30th in the league in pass attempts last season but climbed from 12th to seventh in neutral pass rate. Lamar Jackson finished with a career high in scrambles, according to PFF.

Recent Injury Bites View All Shark Bites »

Zay Flowers, WR BAL

8:10pm EST 1/4/24

Zay Flowers doubtful, Odell Beckham out for Week 18

Ravens WR Zay Flowers (calf) is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game vs. the Steelers. He played through this injury last week, so this is very likely a case of Flowers getting some rest in a meaningless finale. He should be ready for Baltimore's playoff opener in a couple of weeks. WR Odell Beckham (rest) has been ruled out for Week 18. The Ravens will trot out some combination of WRs Rashod Bateman, Nelson Agholor, Laquon Treadwell, and Tylan Wallace with QB Tyler Huntley.

View all Zay Flowers Shark Bites »

How do Injuries impact your draft strategy?

For us, it's 1/17th of the equation. Hear us out.

The Draft War Room is the only live-sync draft tool that monitors 17 crucial in-draft indicators, including injury likelihood… and adapts to show you which players to pick throughout your draft.

See how we built the 17 indicators into our Draft War Room »
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