CeeDee Lamb Fantasy Overview

2025 Role & Results

Production & Fantasy Finishes

Lamb delivered a strong PPR season despite missing three games with a high ankle sprain, catching 75 of 117 targets for 1,077 yards and 3 TDs. That volume drove a strong per-game PPR finish:

• WR21 in total PPR points (200.9)
• WR10 in PPR points per game (15.45)
• WR7 in expected PPR points per game
• Four weeks as a top-12 PPR WR
• Nine weeks as a top-24 PPR WR

Usage & Role

In 2025:

• 117 targets in 12 games
• 25.7% target share

The Cowboys added George Pickens last offseason, but Lamb’s target share remained consistent from 2024.

• 2023: 29.5%
• 2024 (with Dak): 25.8%

He consistently operated as the leader of the passing offense, even with the Pickens addition.

Dallas also heavily prioritized WRs, with the position drawing 64% of the team’s WR targets (seventh in the NFL).

That structure supports sustained high volume for Lamb.

Efficiency & Regression

Lamb’s 2025 efficiency was mixed, but the positive indicators are strong:

• Career-high 11.7 average depth of target
• Career-high 14.4 yards per catch
• 9.2 yards per target (career-best, up from 8.8)
• 2.37 yards per route run (third-best mark among six seasons)

Lamb settled into a more explosive downfield role with his deeper aDOT and extended yards per catch.

On the negative side, Lamb struggled scoring TDs with the addition of Pickens. He scored only 3 TDs (compared to 9 TDs for Pickens). Those 3 TDs were only 10% of the Cowboys TD catches for the year.

Lamb hit a career low in TD rate (4.0%) in 2025. It was the lowest TD total of his career, with the next lowest being 5 TDs as a rookie in 2020.

That TD dip hurt Lamb more in 0.5 PPR and non-PPR leagues, but it looks more like bad luck than a role change:

• 6.6 expected TDs
• 8.8% expected TD rate
• 7.7% career TD rate entering the season

That makes Lamb a clear positive-regression candidate. His role still created scoring chances; he just did not convert them.

Lamb’s underlying usage reinforces his talent and role:

• 41.1% air yards share (second in NFL)
• 3.1 yards of separation (21st)
• 6.0-yard average cushion (48th)

Lamb actually had more separation than in 2024 (2.9) and 2023 (2.7). Combined with his large air-yards share, that shows a downfield role in the Cowboys’ vertical passing game. That shows that Lamb can still perform, despite modest separation, at every level of the field.

Offensive Context

The Cowboys offense under HC Brian Schottenheimer proved strong for fantasy production.

They ranked:

• Third in total yards per game
• Fourth in passing yards per game
• Sixth in passing TDs per game
• First in plays per game
• Eighth in pass rate
• Fifth in Expected Points Added per play

Brian Schottenheimer’s Dallas offenses have played quickly over the past two seasons after playing slow :

• 2023: third (66 plays per game)
• 2024: first (64.9 plays per game)
• 2025: third (65.9)

The offense under Schottenheimer typically stays around a 58% pass rate:

• 2023: 58.4% pass rate
• 2024: 61.1% pass rate
• 2025: 58.5% pass rate

The neutral pass rate stayed consistent at 57.7% in both seasons, which suggests that the difference came down more to specific game environments than any shift in philosophy.

The pace means the passing game can support both Lamb and Pickens.

The O-line was more mixed. Dallas ranked 30th in PFF pass-block grade, but third in adjusted sack rate and 19th in ESPN pass-block win rate. They should be more consistent in 2026 with all starters returning.

Injury History & Durability

Lamb suffered a left high ankle sprain in Week 3 and missed four games. He also suffered a concussion in Week 14 but did not miss any games for that.

Lamb has no long-term injury concerns.

2026 Opportunity & Projection

Projected Role & Competition

Lamb remains Dallas’ top receiving option and appears locked to around a 25% target share with Schottenheimer calling plays.

Lamb had 24.8% in his full games played last season. His competition includes:

• George Pickens (20.6% target share in those games)
• Jake Ferguson (14.4%)

The Cowboys’ offensive pace and pass rate allows the passing game to flourish. They ranked third in the NFL with 65.9 plays per game and tenth in pass rate at 58.5%.

In the full games that Lamb played (Weeks 1-2, 7-17) the fantasy points per game breakdown was:

• Lamb: 16.6
• Pickens: 16.1
• Ferguson: 9.5

When Lamb plays, he leads the team.

Supporting Cast

The Cowboys bring back their offensive core for 2026. Dak Prescott returns as the starting QB with Pickens as the other top WR and Ferguson as the lead TE.

The rest of the offense remains relatively intact. RB Javonte Williams returns as the starter after signing a three-year extension this offseason. Malik Davis and Jaydon Blue return as RB depth.

The offense should remain similar for 2026 with HC Brian Schottenheimer heading into his second season at the helm following two as Dallas OC.

Coaching & Offensive Scheme

Schottenheimer’s offense has been fantasy-friendly for passing:

Dallas wasn’t purely pass-happy in 2025, but Schottenheimer’s offenses keep a pace atop the league.

Paths To Ceiling

Lamb’s path to elite WR1 production is simple. Positive TD regression toward expected level. Lamb averaged 7.6 TDs per season over his first five years. Getting back to his average would give Lamb top-five WR production.

He scored all 3 TDs this season in his full games played (Weeks 1-2, 7-17). Pickens only had four TDs himself in those same games. With a full season of production, Lamb’s TDs should increase to help him hit that ceiling.

Risk Factors

The risks are relatively mild. Lamb will continue to have target competition from Pickens and Ferguson, but he led in target share during his full games and that should continue in 2026.

Schottenheimer has shown a consistent pass rate over 58% with a fast pace, giving Lamb and entire offense enough volume to produce.

Ultimately, Lamb holds a high floor while on the field.

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