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Alec Pierce - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAlec Pierce's Basic Stats

Alec Pierce
ADP: N/A
Bye: 11
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 23.6
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.41
Burst Score (Rank): 133.40 (94%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.33 (39%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.39 (96%)

Alec Pierce's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.7 41.1 0.2 5.3
Weekly Writeup
Pierce is coming off a 3-100-1 line last week, drawing six targets for the second straight game. That's not enough to fully trust a guy who didn't finish as a top-40 fantasy WR in any of his first 11 games. But you could do worse as a Week 14 flier than Pierce against the Bengals' 23rd-ranked WR defense.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.5 32 0.3 4.4

Alec Pierce's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#77 Wide Receiver

70.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 40.5 512 4 1.3 2.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAlec Pierce's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Pierce doesn’t look likely to turn into a player you’ll want to start in redraft lineups this year. He needs to grow his target share significantly and get worthwhile QB play.

But Pierce’s intriguing size-speed combo, late ADP, and upside deep passer at QB make him a solid-to-good selection for best ball lineups. We like him better than Michael Pittman as a stack with Anthony Richardson, given the immense difference in draft cost.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Pierce’s size and speed translated to downfield use in the pros just like in college. His 12.2-yard average depth of target last year led Colts starters. Staying around that number would be fine. Pierce’s 16.8-yard career college aDOT reveals further upside.
  • As a second-round rookie, he ranked third among Colts in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. He trailed Michael Pittman and Parris Campbell in all categories, as well as playing time.
  • Pierce tied for just 80th among WRs in target share.
  • Among 97 WRs with 40+ targets, he ranked:
    • 67th in targets per route
    • 71st in yards per route
  • The Colts threw at the league’s 10th-highest rate, on the way to a 4-12-1 record.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Parris Campbell is gone. Indy added WR Isaiah McKenzie on a small one-year deal and drafted WR Josh Downs in Round 3. They figure to duke it out for the No. 3 WR role and primary slot duty.
  • Pierce should be the favorite to operate as the No. 2 WR, alongside Michael Pittman.
  • Indy will almost certainly pass less.
    • New HC Shane Steichen hails from a run-friendly Philadelphia scheme.
    • Rookie QB Anthony Richardson arrives with exploitable rushing upside. His speed and athleticism will also turn some pass plays into runs via scrambling.
  • Richardson should be good for Pierce’s game – whenever the rookie is ready.
    • The QB did his best work on deep balls in his lone starting college season.
    • Among 148 QBs with 20+ deep attempts (20+ yards downfield), Richardson ranked (according to PFF):
      • 25th in total deep attempts
      • 20th in deep-passing grade
      • 16th in deep-passing yards
  • The Colts have yet to reveal a timeline for Richardson taking over. But they had him splitting first-team reps with Gardner Minshew in OTAs. We’ll see about training camp and preseason. Historically, first-round QBs tend to reach the field before the middle of their rookie seasons.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Alec Pierce, WR IND

8:09am EST 11/12/23

Alec Pierce active

Colts WR Alec Pierce (ankle) is active for today’s game vs. the Patriots. He was a full-go in Friday’s practice and should be ready for his usual role today. Pierce could pick up a little extra volume with WR Josh Downs banged up but is really only an option in one-game DFS contests.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Josh Downs (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday morning’s game vs. the Patriots. He re-injured his knee last Sunday and then didn’t practice at all this week, so we’d be surprised if Downs ends up playing. He should be on fantasy benches for now. WR Alec Pierce (ankle) is also listed as questionable but should play after getting in a full practice on Friday.

View all Josh Downs Shark Bites »

Colts WR Alec Pierce (shoulder) is active for today’s game vs. the Browns. He’s averaging just 3.7 targets, 1.8 catches, and 25 yards per game so far this season.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Alec Pierce (shoulder) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Browns. He got in a full practice on Friday, so he should play. But Pierce is not a viable fantasy play against Cleveland’s top-ranked WR defense.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Colts WR Alec Pierce (shoulder) did not practice on Wednesday. Although a full-time player, Pierce has totaled just 11 catches on 22 targets through six games, so his absence vs. the Browns this weekend wouldn't have a major fantasy impact.

View all Alec Pierce Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Alec Pierce, WR IND
Dynasty MVP 63.0
Position Rank #133 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
194
323
599
Dynasty Write-up
Pierce brings a downfield, contested-catch skill set. We didn’t see much of it alongside Matt Ryan, but long-term, this pairing with Anthony Richardson looks strong.
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