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Blake Jarwin - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Blake Jarwin


#16 Tight End

83 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 260
40 Time: 4.73

Weekly Outlook

Week 20 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 4
Last week we noted that Jarwin hadn’t scored a TD since 2019. Now it hasn’t been since Sunday, when he caught 1 of 3 targets for a 19-yard score. Carolina hadn’t allowed a TD by a TE this season until Jarwin reached the end zone in the 2nd quarter. His limited fantasy value has been diluted even further as TE Dalton Schultz has gained a steadily increasing role in the passing game.

Jarwin's primary role now is as a blocker. Schultz has developed a much larger role as he gains QB Dak Prescott’s confidence in him. Either TE is a viable target in the red zone, so there is little to recommend Jarwin as a fantasy TE.
Week 3
Dallas’s 2-TE playing time is like the time being split between its 2 RBs. However, Jarwin, the clear starter before he was injured last season, is seeing less playing time than former backup TE Dalton Schultz (43 snaps to 53 against Philadelphia). On Monday, Jarwin caught both targets for 14 yards.

Regardless of his playing time or number of snaps, Jarwin isn’t likely to be a fantasy factor. He has not scored a TD since 2019. Nor have the Panthers, Sunday’s opponents, allowed a TD by a TE this season.
Week 2
The battle for Dallas TE fantasy value continues even though Jarwin was given a return to a starting role after missing most of last season. He caught 3 of 4 targets for 37 yards Sunday. However, when the Cowboys reached the red zone, they handed the ball to RBs for the team’s 2 TDs. TE Dalton Schultz broke out last season. He’s back again as 1 of 2 viable starting TDs. They may go all season, with neither Jarwin nor Schultz standing out over the other. More likely, they’ll be stealing fantasy value from each other.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Since he entered the league in 2017, Jarwin ranks 17th in yards per target and 11th in catch rate among TEs with 40+ targets (a 93-player pool).
  • Jarwin sports a 61st-percentile speed score for the position. That edges Dalton Schultz (54th percentile).
  • In their 2 shared seasons before 2020 (when Jarwin tore his right ACL in Week 1), Jarwin claimed 77 targets vs. just 19 for Schultz.
  • Dallas signed Jarwin to a 4-year, $22 million extension, with $9.25 million guaranteed in March 2020 -- when the team could have retained him on a restricted free agent tender. That was the same offseason the Cowboys let Jason Witten walk.
  • In 2019, Witten ranked 10th among TEs in targets -- even with Jarwin claiming 41 targets to his 83.
  • Last season found Schultz tying for 9th among TEs in targets, after taking over for the injured Jarwin.
  • Per John Owning of the Dallas Morning News, “Schultz proved to be a reliable short-to-intermediate option in the passing game last year, and Jarwin can do a lot of the same things but with the additional capability to win vertically up the seam and create more yards after the catch due to being a notably better athlete.”
  • Jarwin sports a 9.0 career average depth of target, vs. 6.6 for Schultz.
  • Jarwin said in late May that he believed he could have taken the field with the team for OTAs, though the Cowboys had him sticking to knee rehab. Jarwin expects to be ready for the start of training camp.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Jarwin’s best-ball ADP stands just 23rd among TEs, late in Round 12 for even the TE-premium FFPC format. You don’t even need to actually bet on Jarwin at that level to take a shot that he re-emerges as the #1 TE in what should be 1 of the league’s top passing offenses. Given that we’ve seen top-12 fantasy seasons from Jason Witten and Dalton Schultz the past 2 years, Jarwin clearly carries upside into that range if he stays healthy. His downfield speed raises that ceiling higher than what either Witten or Schultz presented.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Cowboys have placed TE Blake Jarwin on IR with his hip injury. That means he'll miss at least the next 3 games, which can only help the target outlook for TE Dalton Schultz. Sean McKeon and Jeremy Sprinkle sit behind him on the depth chart.

View all Blake Jarwin Shark Bites »

Cowboys TE Blake Jarwin (hip) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Broncos. He’s averaged 2.1 targets per game on the season and just 1 per game over the last 3, so this is just a slight boost for TE Dalton Schultz.

View all Blake Jarwin Shark Bites »

Cowboys TE Blake Jarwin was left off the PUP list to open training camp. It's excellent news after last September's torn ACL and confirms that the team expects him to be ready for the start of the season. Jarwin got a nice 4-year, $22 million deal last offseason and was set to serve as Dallas' starting TE before that knee injury. Assuming he's back to 100%, Jarwin should get that chance again in 2021. He faces stiff target competition in WRs Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup -- but the strength of the Cowboys passing game gives Jarwin top-12 fantasy upside.

View all Blake Jarwin Shark Bites »

Cowboys TE Blake Jarwin (knee) isn't participating in OTAs but expects to be ready for the start of training camp. "I'll just keep pushing along, and I anticipate, Day 1 of training camp, being ready to roll," he said. Jarwin will be just about a full year removed from his torn ACL come Week 1. One of our favorite 2020 breakout candidates, Jarwin is coming even cheaper in fantasy drafts this year and still carries intriguing upside.

View all Blake Jarwin Shark Bites »

Cowboys TE Blake Jarwin has been diagnosed with a "clean" ACL tear, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Jarwin is done for 2020 but should make a full recovery for the start of the 2021 campaign. His absence leaves Dalton Schultz atop the TE depth chart. He struggled in Sunday night's loss to the Rams and is only worth stashing in deep and TE-premium leagues. The loss of Jarwin figures to mean more targets for Dallas' WRs and RBs.

View all Blake Jarwin Shark Bites »

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