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Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCalvin Ridley's Basic Stats

Calvin Ridley
ADP: 4.6
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 28.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 190
40 Time: 4.43
Speed Score: 98.10
SPARQx (Rank): 98.70 (33%)
Burst Score (Rank): 107.70 (2%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.29 (44%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.90 (25%)

Calvin Ridley's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.6 76.8 0.6 11.3
Weekly Writeup
Fantasy managers should feel good despite the disappointing 2 catch game from Ridley in Week 2 vs. the Chiefs. The veteran still saw 8 targets in that game and leads the Jaguars with a 26.0% target share. Go ahead and roll him out there in your lineups this week vs. the Texans.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.7 77.5 0.6 11.4

Calvin Ridley's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#12 Wide Receiver

160.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.6 82.2 1170.2 7.3 2.9 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCalvin Ridley's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Ridley has been a very good player when on the field.

He will have been off the field for nearly two years when this season begins, though, and playing his first game with a new team.

It’s easy to bet on the talent, and you’ll want pieces of a Jacksonville offense that could challenge for a top 5 spot in scoring. But Ridley has settled in as a top-20 WR in ADP.

To pay off there, he’ll either need to emerge as Jacksonville’s target leader or regain his strong efficiency of 2020. Combining those factors would give him WR1-level upside.

What We Learned Last Year
  • The only thing we learned about Ridley last year: His talent remains so desirable that Jacksonville traded two draft picks for him even though the wideout was suspended all season.
    • Atlanta got a fifth-round pick in this year’s draft and a conditional 2024 pick. That selection could be as high as the second round, if Ridley signs an extension.
  • Ridley hasn’t played since October 24, 2021. He was averaging a career-high 6.2 receptions per game but down on yardage vs. the previous two years.
    • Ridley left that team midseason for mental-health reasons and then got suspended for 2022 for gambling.
  • His last full season was back in 2020. Ridley finished 11th among WRs in target share that year. He also:
    • Tied for 11th in receptions
    • Ranked fourth in receiving yards
    • Tied for eighth in TD catches
    • Ranked seventh in yards per route
  • It was a breakout third season for Ridley, as teammate Julio Jones missed seven of 16 games. Ridley progressed to that point through two good seasons, increasing his receptions per game and yards per catch each year.
  • Christian Kirk led the 2022 Jaguars in target share, ranking 23rd among all WRs in that category. Zay Jones followed, ranking 33rd among WRs. Evan Engram ranked 14th among TEs, trailing Jones by 5 percentage points.
What to Expect in 2023
  • If he’s at full strength and not rusty, Ridley is probably Jacksonville’s best WR.
  • The Jaguars were one of eight teams last year that had two WRs with target shares of 20% or higher. Engram checked in third on the team at 17.1%.
  • Fitting Ridley into the offense will necessarily shift targets around. We currently have Ridley and Kirk projected for about the same target shares (with Ridley missing one game). Jones follows, a few percentage points behind. And Engram sits a few more percentage points behind him.
  • There’s plenty of room for those specific shares to vary, though. We’ll be watching closely through the summer for signals of the target hierarchy as well as how often Jacksonville plans to run 3-WR sets.
    • Last year’s Jags ranked just 18th in rate of “11” personnel (1 TE, 1 RB, 3 WRs) on first down, running that formation on 54% of plays.
    • Swapping out Marvin Jones for Calvin Ridley should encourage more of that. Only one of Doug Pederson’s five Eagles teams exceeded 55% in that category, though.
  • Although Ridley faces plenty of target competition, it helps that no incumbent Jaguar has proved to be a target hog at any point.
Kirk did rank 11th among WRs with the 2019 Cardinals, at 24.5% over his 13 games. Otherwise, 2022 marked his largest share and beat the top numbers for other Jags (besides Ridley).

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Trevor Lawrence, QB JAC

10:40pm EDT 9/17/23

Trevor Lawrence sinks fantasy lineups

The Jags mustered only 9 points in Sunday's loss to Kansas City. That meant a big-time dud from QB Trevor Lawrence, who tallied just 216 passing yards on a 53.6% completion rate. He managed only 5.3 yards per attempt. “We’re better than that. We’re a better team than that … it’s kind of embarrassing,” Lawrence said afterward. Calvin Ridley (2 catches) and Zay Jones (0 catches) played through minor knee injuries in this one, but we’re not expecting any missed time. Expect a Lawrence bounce back in Week 3 vs. Houston.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley had a big opener in every way. He posted big numbers: 8 catches, 101 yards, and a score. And he saw big volume: 11 targets for a 34.4% share. Ridley got open at will against a shaky Colts secondary and looked explosive after the catch. He's in for a big fantasy season and gets plus matchups the next three weeks vs. the Chiefs, Texans, and Falcons.

View all Calvin Ridley Shark Bites »

Jaguars HC Doug Pederson is turning over play-calling duties to OC Press Taylor, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. "I totally trust Press," Pederson told NFL.com. "We think alike. We've been together for a long time, and he's around Trevor [Lawrence] all the time and knows what Trevor likes." We'd prefer Pederson continue calling plays considering Jacksonville's success last year. But we're ultimately not expecting a significant fantasy impact here. Taylor has worked under Pederson for six NFL seasons.

View all Trevor Lawrence Shark Bites »

Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley suffered a toe injury at Tuesday's practice, HC Doug Pederson said. Pederson added that Ridley will be limited in Wednesday's practice -- so it's clearly not a serious injury. We'll keep an eye on him, but Ridley isn't moving in our WR rankings.

View all Calvin Ridley Shark Bites »

According to Jaguar Report's John Shipley, Jacksonville HC Doug Pederson answered a question about camp standouts with this: "I would say Calvin Ridley, on offense. Just the way he practices, it is a different speed, different level." It's interesting to note that Ridley's 40 time back at his Scouting Combine was just 0.02 faster than Zay Jones' and 0.04 ahead of Christian Kirk's. But play speed is different from running in a straight line. Ridley sits below his ADP in our WR rankings. But he certainly leads Jaguars WRs in upside.

View all Calvin Ridley Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Calvin Ridley, WR JAC
Dynasty MVP 108.5
Position Rank #26 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
376
577
851
Dynasty Write-up
Because of a gambling-related suspension, Ridley hasn’t suited up since Week 7, 2021. Atlanta shipped him to Jacksonville in the fall, supplying QB Trevor Lawrence with another weapon. While there’s not a massive target ceiling there, Ridley’s time with the Falcons showed that he can be an efficient, TD-scoring asset. Note that he turns 29 in December.
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