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Chase Edmonds - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Chase Edmonds
ARI

RB ARI

#26 Running Back

148 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 5'9"
Weight: 205
40 Time: 4.55

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

High Floor

6.6

DS Projection

8.2

Consensus

38 other sites
9

Low Ceiling

11.3

Rest of
Season

10.2

Week 7 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
31.5 0.2 3.5 26 0.2 8.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
47 0.2 3.5 31 0.2 10.2
Week 6
Edmonds has been managing a shoulder injury the past 2 weeks. Sunday at Cleveland saw his playing time drop to a season-low level despite more practice participation than the week before.

Edmonds spent just 37% of the offensive snaps on the field in the win over the Browns after finishing each of the 1st 5 games in the 58-67% range. Edmonds played 61% in the Week 5, one-score victory over the 49ers despite getting in just 1 limited practice that week. He managed 3 limited workouts leading up to the Cleveland clash, so the issue seems to be getting better.

All 8 of Edmonds’ Week 6 opportunities -- 4 carries, 4 targets -- came in the 1st half. So Arizona likely used its big lead over the Browns as an opportunity to rest Edmonds.

We’ll keep watching Edmonds’ practice participation for signs of improvement. Unfortunately, though, a Week 7 date with Houston will likely present more garbage-time rest opportunity.
Week 5
Week 5 was a frustrating one for anyone who started Edmonds. He amassed just 15 yards on his 6 carries. He also caught 3 of his 4 targets for 19 yards.

The Cardinals offense had a hard time getting going this week after a stellar Week 4. Going forward, games like this are a real possibility for Edmonds, who is in a clear timeshare with James Conner. Not getting the red zone work only makes things worse. He does see a solid floor in the passing game with 3 receptions and 4 targets being his lowest totals on the season.

Thus far, the Cardinals' secondary playmakers have all popped, with Edmonds, Rondale Moore and Christian Kirk each having spike weeks.
Week 4
Edmonds sliced and diced the Rams run defense in this one, ripping off 120 yards on 12 carries. The highlight was a 57-yard bust to pick up a 3rd and 7 in the 4th quarter. Edmonds had 3 other runs of 10+ yards.

He wasn’t as productive in the passing game, turning 5 targets into 4 catches and 19 yards. Edmonds just missed what would have been about a 30-yard reception when he slightly bobbled a diving catch before going out of bounds.

Unfortunately, Edmonds didn’t get rewarded with any TDs in this one. RB James Conner continued to handle goal-line work, punching in a pair of 1-yard scores.

Conner now has 9 carries inside the 10-yard line and 5 inside the 5 to Edmonds’ 4 inside the 10 and 1 inside the 5. Edmonds will certainly hit pay dirt this season, but predicting when those TDs will come will be difficult with this type of usage.

The good news is that Edmonds is running it well, averaging a big 5.9 yards per carry. He ranks 11th among RBs in rushing yards, despite sitting 27th in carries. He’s also been 1 of the busiest pass-catching backs in the league. Edmonds ranks 3rd at his position in targets, 3rd in catches and 6th in receiving yards.

Add it all up and he sits 12th among RBs in PPR points and 24th in non-PPR. He might dip a bit from those levels the rest of the way, but Edmonds looks like a solid RB2 in PPR leagues and a fine RB3 or flex in non-PPR.
Week 1
Edmonds looked fantastic on Sunday, flashing in both the run and pass attack. He carried the ball 12 times for 63 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per tote. Edmonds caught all 4 of his targets for 43 yards. There will be some frustrations with this backfield as a whole as both Edmonds and James Conner split the opportunities, garnering 16 each. On the positive side, Edmonds saw all the work in the passing game among RBs. Going forward that should help his value as the Cardinals should play in more neutral or negative game scripts. The unfortunate (but predictable) side: Edmonds came off the field as Arizona approached the red zone. It didn't happen every time but it happened the majority of the trips.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Edmonds operated as Arizona’s primary pass-catching back last year, tallying 67 targets, 53 catches, 402 yards and 4 TDs. Those marks ranked 7th, 7th, 6th and 3rd among RBs.
  • Among 41 RBs with 30+ targets, he ranked …
    • 16th in yards per target
    • 15th in yards per route run
    • 7th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades
  • Edmonds wasn’t as busy on the ground, carrying just 97 times to Kenyan Drake’s 239.
  • But Edmonds averaged 4.6 yards per carry to Drake’s 4.0.
  • He didn’t fare as well in advanced rushing metrics, though. Among 76 RBs with 50+ carries, Edmonds ranked just 52nd in Elusive Rating and 63rd in Pro Football Focus’ rushing grades.
  • Drake departed in free agency this offseason. He tallied 239 carries and 31 targets last year. That was 49.9% of Arizona’s carries and 5.4% of the targets.
  • The Cardinals signed RB James Conner to a 1-year, $1.75 million deal in April.
    • Conner had an impressive 2018 season in Pittsburgh but has missed 9 games and averaged a mediocre 4.2 yards per carry over the past 2 years.
    • He caught 124 balls over the last 3 seasons, including 35 in 13 games last year. But he ranked just 35th in yards per route run and 32nd in PFF’s receiving grades among those 41 RBs with 30+ targets. Edmonds easily beat him in both metrics.
    • Conner was the more effective runner last year, beating Edmonds in Elusive Rating and PFF rushing grade.
    • At 233 pounds, Conner has more than 20 pounds on Edmonds. That makes him the favorite to win goal-line duties. Edmonds received just 1 carry inside the 5-yard line last year.
  • The Cardinals upgraded the offensive line by trading a 3rd-round pick to Vegas for C Rodney Hudson, who ranked 8th among 32 qualifying Cs in PFF’s 2020 run-blocking grades. That’s a big improvement over last year’s starter, Mason Cole, who ranked 21st.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The Cardinals parted ways with Kenyan Drake but signed James Conner this offseason. So we’re likely looking at another committee backfield in 2021.

Edmonds finished 25th among RBs in PPR points and 30th in non-PPR on 97 carries and 67 targets last year. We’re expecting him to remain Arizona’s primary pass-catching back and post a similar target number this season. And he could take on a bigger ball-carrying load considering Conner has struggled with injuries and efficiency the past 2 years.

Edmonds has RB2 potential in PPR leagues. Consider him a RB3 in non-PPR.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cardinals RB Chase Edmonds (shoulder) is active for today’s game vs. the Browns. Edmonds played through this injury last week but tallied a season-low 6 carries and matched a season low with 4 targets. He’s a risky Week 6 fantasy play.

View all Chase Edmonds Shark Bites »

Cardinals RB Chase Edmonds (shoulder) is expected to play vs. the Browns today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Edmonds played through this injury last week but was seemingly limited, finishing with just 6 carries and 4 targets. That makes him a risky fantasy starter today.

View all Chase Edmonds Shark Bites »

Cardinals RB Chase Edmonds (shoulder) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game vs. the Browns. Edmonds played through this injury last week but tallied a season-low 6 carries and matched a season low with 4 targets. He’s a risky Week 6 fantasy play.

View all Chase Edmonds Shark Bites »

Cardinals RB Chase Edmonds (shoulder) is active for today’s game vs. the 49ers. He only got in a limited practice on Friday and was reportedly a game-time decision. Edmonds carries added risk in Week 5 fantasy lineups.

View all Chase Edmonds Shark Bites »

Cardinals RB Chase Edmonds (shoulder) is expected to play vs. the 49ers today, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Edmonds is listed as questionable after only getting in a limited practice on Friday. There's still some risk that he's limited today and/or aggravates that shoulder injury.

View all Chase Edmonds Shark Bites »

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