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Cordarrelle Patterson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCordarrelle Patterson's Basic Stats

Cordarrelle Patterson
ADP: 8.3
Bye: 14
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 31.5
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 238
40 Time: 4.42
Burst Score (Rank): 126.90 (87%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.68 (21%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.28

Cordarrelle Patterson's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
64.5 0.4 1.9 14.6 0.1 10.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
49.4 0.4 3.3 30.5 0.2 11.4

Cordarrelle Patterson's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#31 Running Back

142.5 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
8.3 137.1 534.7 4.1 1.2 1.5 47.9 487.9 3.1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCordarrelle Patterson's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Patterson posted a 153-618-6 rushing line and 52-548-5 receiving in 16 games last season.
  • He ranked 10th among RBs in PPR points and 12th in non-PPR.
    • He overachieved his usage, which landed him 17th at the position in expected PPR points and 21st in expected non-PPR points.
  • Patterson played 62% of his offensive snaps in the backfield, 21% out wide and 17% in the slot or inline.
  • He ranked 5th among RBs in targets (68), 6th in catches, 2nd in receiving yards and 3rd in receiving TDs.
    • Among 49 RBs with 30+ targets last year, Patterson finished 2nd in both Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route run – behind only Christian McCaffrey.
  • He wasn’t nearly as effective as a runner, ranking 44th in PFF rushing grade and 30th in Elusive Rating among 50 RBs with 100+ carries.
  • It was a rare 30-year-old, 9th-year breakout from Patterson.
    • He spent his first 8 NFL seasons as a return man, gadget player and part-time WR.
    • Patterson totaled 216 catches for 2,087 yards across those 8 years but only twice topped 33 catches and never topped 469 receiving yards.
    • He reached 20 carries in only 2 of those 8 seasons, with his best lines coming in New England in 2018 (42-228-1) and Chicago in 2020 (64-232-1).
  • Patterson missed Week 11 with an ankle injury, and his production tailed off late last season.
    • Over the final 4 games, he totaled 71 yards and 1 TDs on 31 carries (2.3 YPC) and 6 catches on 7 targets for 29 yards (4.8 YPC).
    • He ranked outside the top 50 RBs in PPR and non-PPR points over that stretch.
  • Patterson turned 31 in March.
  • The Falcons allowed Patterson to hit free agency in March but eventually re-signed him to a 2-year, $10.5 million contract with $5 million guaranteed. Patterson ranks 18th among RBs in average annual salary.
  • Atlanta did not re-sign RB Mike Davis, who tallied 138 carries and 58 targets last year.
  • The only additions the Falcons made to the backfield: Damien Williams on a 1-year, $1.6 million deal and rookie Tyler Allgeier with a 5th-round pick.
  • HC Arthur Smith returns for his 2nd season in Atlanta. The 2021 Falcons ranked:
    • 29th in total yards
    • 26th in points
    • 29th in rush attempts
    • 31st in rush yards
    • 27th in rush TDs
  • The Falcons traded QB Matt Ryan to the Colts in March. They signed QB Marcus Mariota in free agency and then grabbed QB Desmond Ridder in Round 3 of this year’s draft.
  • The 2021 Falcons ranked 6th in PFF’s run-blocking grades but just 20th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Line Yards.
    • They return the same 5 starters in 2022: LT Jake Matthews, LG Jalen Mayfield, C Matt Hennessy, RG Chris Lindstrom and RT Kaleb McGary.
  • DraftKings sports book has Atlanta’s over/under win total set at 5. Only the Texans have a lower total.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Patterson was 1 of the biggest surprises of the 2021 season, racking up 618 rushing yards, 548 receiving yards and 11 total TDs. He finished 10th among RBs in PPR points and 12th in non-PPR.

Patterson tailed off late last year and turned 31 in March. But it was a good offseason for him, with Atlanta losing RB Mike Davis and only adding RBs Tyler Allgeier and Damien Williams.

Patterson should again play a big role in Atlanta’s passing game and figures to get plenty of carries, too. He’s a fine RB3 target, with more value in PPR leagues.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cordarrelle Patterson, RB ATL

10:50pm EDT 9/26/22

Patterson has another big rushing game

Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson ran for 141 yards and a TD on 17 carries in Sunday's win over the Seahawks. He ceded just 7 other rushing attempts to Tyler Allgeier (6) and Avery Williams (1). Patterson again didn't see much receiving work. He garnered 1 target for the 2nd straight game and ran just 2 more routes than the combined total for Allgeier and Williams. We're not sure Patterson is built to regularly log 17+ carries, as he has in 2 of the 1st 3 games. But we'll take the production from a guy whose ADP sat well outside of starter range in fantasy football drafts. A decent Week 4 matchup with Cleveland gives way to tougher defenses from Tampa Bay and San Francisco the following 2 games.

View all Cordarrelle Patterson Shark Bites »

Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson ran for 41 yards on 10 carries in Sunday's loss to the Rams. Atlanta trailed for most of the game, which didn't help. But Patterson also watched rookie RB Tyler Allgeier match his carry total. Patterson added just 1 target among 13 routes. Allgeier, Avery Williams and Caleb Huntley combined to run 11 routes. We'd like to see more separation for Patterson in at least 1 of the 2 areas -- especially the passing game -- vs. the rest of the backfield. There's some sell potential here, with proximity still to his big Week 1 and/or if he has big games in matchups with Seattle and Cleveland the next 2 weeks.

View all Cordarrelle Patterson Shark Bites »

With Damien Williams on short-term IR with a rib injury, Falcons rookie RB Tyler Allgeier got his 1st pro action in Sunday's loss to the Rams. Allgeier matched RB Cordarrelle Patterson for the team carry lead (10), turning that into just 30 yards. He ran 5 routes but didn't get a target. Allgeier trailed only Patterson in playing time, with Avery Williams and Caleb Huntley factoring in behind them. Patterson ran for 41 yards on 10 attempts and garnered just 1 target (no catches).

View all Tyler Allgeier Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Cordarrelle Patterson, RB ATL
Dynasty MVP 84.6
Position Rank #54 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
401
401
401
Dynasty Write-up
Following a breakout 2021, Patterson returned to Atlanta on a 2-year deal worth ~$10 million. He turned 31 in March. The Falcons lost Mike Davis only added Damien Williams and 5th-round rookie Tyler Allgeier.
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