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Curtis Samuel - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCurtis Samuel’s Basic Stats

Curtis Samuel
ADP: N/A
Bye: 12
Experience: 7
Age: 28.3
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.31
Speed Score: 110.50

SPARQx (Rank): 119.90 (89%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.40 (56%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.42 (30%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.02 (53%)

Curtis Samuel's Weekly Outlook

Week 15 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
1.8 17.1 0.12 2.5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.9 28.7 0.2 4.9

Curtis Samuel's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#74 Wide Receiver

109.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 41.5 412.3 2.93 1 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCurtis Samuel's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

Bottom Line

Samuel’s career-best fantasy finish came in 2020 – alongside current Bills OC Joe Brady.

That year, he slotted 23rd in PPR, averaging 14.1 points per game.

That’s a low-probability ceiling for Samuel. Still, his dynamic skill set should thrive with Josh Allen and a passing game that lacks proven weapons.

Consider Samuel a worthwhile mid-round target.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Samuel sat out one game with a toe injury.
    • After struggling with injuries early in his career, Samuel has now missed only one game over the past two seasons.
  • Among 49 WRs with 80+ targets, Samuel ranked 8th in catch rate, 47th in yards per catch, 47th in aDOT, and T-41st in yards per route run.
  • Samuel scored 4 TDs, bringing his career TD rate to a modest 6.9%.
    • He’s never topped 6 TDs in a single season.
  • He remained a primary slot, playing 70.2% of his snaps from that alignment.
  • Samuel benefited from a Washington offense that led the league in pass rate (69%).

What to Expect in 2024

  • Samuel brings familiarity with OC Joe Brady.
    • The duo worked together in 2020 in Carolina, when Samuel set career highs in catches (77), yards (851), and rush attempts (41).
  • Look for Samuel to be a hybrid player who works in motion to scheme up free releases/targets.
  • His contract indicates the Bills view him as a legitimate piece of the offense. Consider that they lost Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.
    • That duo takes away 241 targets from 2023.
    • Meanwhile, Samuel’s deal calls for $15 million in guaranteed money. He’s easily Buffalo’s highest-paid WR.
  • Keon Coleman arrived as an early Round 2 pick.
    • While he projects more on the outside, Coleman’s development will play a key role in Samuel’s ultimate target count.
    • The same goes for Khalil Shakir, who’s more similar to Samuel as a slot type. Shakir came on down the stretch last year and will push for a larger role this summer.
  • Josh Allen returns and remains squarely in his prime.
    • Aside from some issues with INTs, Allen’s advanced numbers show no cause for concern.

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Amari Cooper, WR BUF

11:31am EST 11/3/24

Amari Cooper INACTIVE

Bills WR Amari Cooper is inactive for today’s home game against Miami. Cooper was listed as questionable after putting in limited practices all week. Without the veteran, Buffalo will rely on Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, and Keon Coleman. Shakir and Coleman are WR3s with upside, while Kincaid projects as a top-10 TE. Meanwhile, Curtis Samuel is active. He remains off the fantasy radar.

View Full Story »

Bills WR Curtis Samuel (pectoral) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Seahawks. We don’t have a timetable for his return. Samuel totaled just 18 targets over the first seven games of the season, so there’s minimal fantasy impact here.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

Bills WR Curtis Samuel suffered a shoulder in the first quarter of Sunday's game vs. the Titans. He's questionable to return. We'll update Samuel's status when we know more.

Update: Samuel has been ruled out.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

Bills WR Khalil Shakir (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday night's game vs. the Jets. He only got in a limited practice on Saturday this week. While there have been multiple reports that RB James Cook is expected to play through his questionable tag, there's been no such update on Shakir. Between the late kickoff and a matchup with the Jets' 11th-ranked WR defense, Shakir should be on fantasy benches at this point. WR Curtis Samuel will step in as Buffalo's primary slot receiver if Shakir doesn't play.

View all Khalil Shakir Shark Bites »

Bills WR Khalil Shakir (ankle) remained sidelined for Friday's practice. He's looking unlikely to make it back for Monday night's game vs. the Jets. WR Curtis Samuel stepped in as Buffalo's primary slot receiver last week but mustered just one catch on four targets for 0 yards.

View all Khalil Shakir Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Curtis Samuel, WR BUF
Dynasty MVP 4
Position Rank #94 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
226
343
542
Dynasty Write-up
Samuel tallied a ho-hum 62-613-4 line in 2023. A March move to Buffalo reunites him with former OC Joe Brady. The change of scenery also allows for a higher target ceiling, especially after the Bills' trade of Stefon Diggs.
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