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Curtis Samuel - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsCurtis Samuel's Basic Stats

Curtis Samuel
ADP: 16.9
Bye: 14
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 25.8
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 195
40 Time: 4.31
Speed Score: 110.50
SPARQx (Rank): 119.90 (89%)
Burst Score (Rank): 122.40 (57%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.42 (29%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.05 (54%)

Curtis Samuel's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#72 Wide Receiver

93.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
16.9 49.9 575.5 3.8 1.4 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsCurtis Samuel's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Washington signed Samuel a year ago at an $11.5 million average on a 3-year deal. OC Scott Turner – who worked with Samuel in Carolina – said at the time: “High energy guy, really intelligent. You can do a lot of different things with him. He’s only 24 years old, I think he’s just scratching the surface on what he’s capable of.”
  • That surface remains largely intact, because Samuel was only able to make it onto the field for 84 total snaps across 5 games in his Washington debut campaign. He totaled 9 targets and caught 4 of his 6 passes for the season in a single game.
  • It’s tough to know how Washington will deploy Samuel. His average target depths across 4 Panthers seasons varied wildly:
    • 9.4
    • 12.2
    • 14.8
    • 7.5
  • Washington added Jahan Dotson with the 16th overall pick in the draft to a WR corps that returns leader Terry McLaurin. Those 2 look like the favorites outside, especially after HC Ron Rivera compared Dotson to Steve Smith and DeSean Jackson.
  • In Carolina, Samuel went from spending less than 34% of his time in the slot in each of his first 3 seasons to 71.4% in his final year there. That season predictably aligned with his shortest ADOT. But it also came after Rivera and Turner got fired.
  • Samuel’s carries increased every year with the Panthers, from 4 to 8 to 19 to 41. That final tally came in the year Christian McCaffrey played only 3 games.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

The last time we saw Samuel healthy with a team coached by HC Ron Rivera and OC Scott Turner, they were trying to turn him into a downfield weapon. It didn’t work, but not much did in a season that saw Kyle Allen and Will Grier combine for 14 starts. This Washington squad sports Terry McLaurin, though, and added Jahan Dotson. That might keep Samuel primarily in the slot. In that case, he would need target volume to drive his value, and the situation isn’t great for upside in that category. It appears Samuel has moved beyond the groin injury that basically cost him all of 2021. But we’ll need to watch the plan for his 2022 usage to see if there’s enough upside to highlight him in the rankings.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Curtis Samuel, WR WAS

11:45am EDT 5/24/22

Samuel taking part in OTAs

Commanders WR Curtis Samuel is participating in this week's OTAs. That's notable because he was available for only 84 snaps all last season due to a lingering groin injury that required offseason surgery. “I’m great," Samuel told reporters Tuesday. "Y’all saw me flying around out there." Samuel faces added target competition with the arrival of 1st-round rookie WR Jahan Dotson. But Washington gave him a 3-year, $34.5 million contract with $23 million guaranteed last offseason, so we're expecting him to be a significant part of the offense -- barring injury.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

Commanders WR Curtis Samuel provided an update on his recovery from groin surgery. “I’ve been training and working out, and I haven’t been limited to anything,” he said. “I’ve been doing pretty much everything that I used to be able to do — running fast, cutting fast. I’m just feeling good overall, and I’m excited about it. This upcoming season, I got a lot of goals.” Samuel and his trainer have made it a point to work on stride efficiency to ensure he’s not putting necessary stress on his legs. “Control the stride to make sure they maintain their speed,” trainer Pete Bommarito said. “That’s what we really did. It was just focusing on that. When he over-strides and he can’t control it, he does feel those nagging issues. But that’s not unique to him; that’s the case for almost everybody that’s blazing fast like him in any sport.” Samuel took a short-term hit with the arrival of Round 1 WR Jahan Dotson. The veteran, though, still makes for a fine value pick late in best ball drafts.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

The Commanders added Penn State WR Jahan Dotson with the 16th overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft. He notably goes ahead of Arkansas WR Treylon Burks. Dotson might have the best combination of route-running ability and hands in this year’s WR class. He has the quickness and technique to defeat press coverage and the suddenness and efficiency to create separation. That’s earned him comparisons to Diontae Johnson and Emmanuel Sanders. Dotson also boasts a surprisingly large catch radius and posted a career 5.2% drop rate, according to Pro Football Focus. He didn’t break out until his junior year at Penn State, although he did post big market shares in both 2020 and 2021. Size is the most notable wart on Dotson’s profile. He’s just 5’11 and 178 pounds with 18th percentile arm length and a 22nd percentile wingspan. That figures to limit Dotson to mostly slot duties in the NFL and puts a cap on his fantasy upside. It’ll be interesting to see how Washington deploys Dotson alongside WR Curtis Samuel, who’s played plenty in the slot.

View all Jahan Dotson Shark Bites »

Washington WR Terry McLaurin (concussion) isn't listed on the final Week 15 injury report after putting in 3 full practices this week. He'll play vs. the Eagles on Tuesday night. It remains unclear who McLaurin's QB will be for that one. Taylor Heinicke and Kyle Allen remain on the COVID list as of Monday afternoon but have until 4 pm ET on Tuesday to be activated. WR Curtis Samuel (hamstring) is out for Week 15.

View all Terry McLaurin Shark Bites »

Washington WR Curtis Samuel (hamstring) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Eagles. It's a new injury for Samuel, who had been dealing with a groin issue since the spring. It's been a lost season for the man who signed a 3-year, $34.5 million deal in March.

View all Curtis Samuel Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Curtis Samuel, WR WAS
Dynasty MVP 71.8
Position Rank #87 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
262
407
466
Dynasty Write-up
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