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Darren Waller - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDarren Waller's Basic Stats

Darren Waller
ADP: 4.9
Bye: 6
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 29.8
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 255
40 Time: 4.46
Speed Score: 131.60
SPARQx (Rank): 115.10 (75%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.30 (91%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.32 (80%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.38 (97%)

Darren Waller's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#4 Tight End

130.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.9 83.1 997.5 5.4 1.4 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDarren Waller's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Waller missed Week 7 last year with an ankle injury and then suffered a strained IT band in his knee early in Week 12 that cost him the next 5 games.
  • In his 10 healthy games, Waller averaged 8.7 targets, 5.3 catches, 63.2 yards and .2 TDs per game.
  • He saw a team-high 23.1% target share in those 10 games. WR Hunter Renfrow was 2nd at 18.6%.
  • Waller underachieved in the TD department, scoring just twice on 55 catches (3.6% TD rate).
    • He tied for 8th among TEs with 7 end-zone targets.
    • He ranked 14th among TEs with 4.8 expected TDs.
  • Waller scored 9 times on 107 catches (8.4%) in 2020 and 3 times on 90 catches (3.3%) in 2019.
  • Waller’s ranks in Pro Football Focus receiving grade over the past 3 seasons:
    • 5th among 36 qualifiers
    • 2nd out of 38
    • 9th out of 35
  • His ranks in yards per route run:
    • 4th
    • 3rd
    • 9th
  • And his ranks in half-PPR points per game:
    • 6th
    • 2nd
    • 6th
  • Waller will face a tougher path to targets in 2022 after the Raiders acquired WR Davante Adams.
    • Adams leads the NFL in catches, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the past 4 seasons.
    • He’s commanded 10.8 targets per game during that stretch.
    • The Raiders traded 1st- and 2nd-round picks to the Packers for Adams and then made him the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR with a 5-year, $140 million contract.
    • Adams spent 2 seasons with QB Derek Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow
  • We’re projecting the 2022 Raiders to finish among the top 10 in pass rate.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Waller’s 2021 campaign was hindered by ankle and knee injuries that basically cost him 7 games. But he remained efficient and productive in the other 10, finishing 6th among TEs in half-PPR points per game – despite underachieving with just 2 TDs.

Davante Adams’ arrival will very likely cut into Waller’s volume. But he can afford to lose a target or 2 per game and still finish as a top-5 fantasy TE.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Darren Waller, TE LVR

6:59pm EST 1/9/22

Waller active

Raiders TE Darren Waller (knee) is active for tonight’s game vs. the Chargers. It’ll be his first action since Week 12, adding risk to Waller’s fantasy profile. But there’s plenty of upside in the matchup vs. the #28 TE defense.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

The Raiders expect TE Darren Waller (knee) to play in tonight's game against the Chargers, ESPN reports. He's officially questionable but should be available for fantasy football lineups.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Raiders TE Darren Waller (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday night’s game vs. the Chargers. He got in 3 limited practices this week. Interim HC Rich Bisaccia said Monday that Waller was expected back for this must-win game, and he seems to still be on track.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Raiders TE Darren Waller (knee, back) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Interim HC Rich Bisaccia said Monday that Waller is expected back for Sunday night's game vs. the Chargers, but we'll keep an eye on his progress over the next few days.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Raiders interim HC Rich Bisaccia said Monday that TE Darren Waller is expected back for Sunday night's game vs. the Chargers. We haven't seen Waller since he suffered knee and back injuries in Week 12. He was placed on the COVID list on Wednesday and remains there as of Monday night. We'll see when Waller is cleared and then what he does in practice this week.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Darren Waller, TE LVR
Dynasty MVP 98.8
Position Rank #6 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
371
576
576
Dynasty Write-up
Coming off an injury-shortened season, Waller will turn 30 in September. The arrival of Davante Adams puts a cap on Waller's target upside, but we're still looking at a strong TE1 in the short-term. Waller's on track for free agency in 2024.
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