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Darren Waller - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDarren Waller's Basic Stats

Darren Waller
ADP: 5.9
Bye: 13
Experience: 6 Yr(s)
Age: 31.0
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 255
40 Time: 4.46
Speed Score: 131.60
SPARQx (Rank): 115.10 (75%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.30 (91%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.32 (80%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.38 (97%)

Darren Waller's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 39.8 0.3 5.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.4 39.5 0.3 5.5

Darren Waller's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Tight End

87.7 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.9 55 631.3 4.7 0.9 1.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDarren Waller's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Waller last performed as a high-end TE1 in 2020. In the two years since, injuries have ruined any shot at a repeat.

We like the move to New York, where he’ll play under offensive-minded HC Brian Daboll. His unit lacks a No. 1 WR, leaving room for Waller to lead in targets.

You can’t count on him to play all 17 games, but Waller should see the volume to supply a top-3 fantasy ceiling. He’s attractively priced at TE7.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Injuries limited Waller in his final season with Las Vegas.
    • After missing six games with knee and ankle injuries in 2021, Waller missed nine with a hamstring in 2022.
  • He sat out part of training camp over contract negotiations and hamstring trouble.
  • When active, his fantasy numbers proved inconsistent.
    • He finished as a top-12 PPR TE five times, adding four finishes at TE29 or worse.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Waller didn't force any missed tackles on 28 receptions.
  • He tallied only 2.8 yards after catch per reception, a career low.
  • His 1.58 yards per route run also marked his worst number since becoming a full-time starter. It’s fair to say that he wasn’t playing in peak condition.

What to Expect in 2023
  • A healthy Waller should bounce back for fantasy managers.
    • He turns 31 in season, not yet a worrisome age for TEs.
    • When on the field over the past two seasons, Waller has averaged 4.1 catches, 53 yards, and 0.25 TDs per game. A fine level of production given the injury troubles.
  • Waller’s back to full health and garnering offseason hype as the Giants’ target leader.
  • Clearly, his target competition isn’t fierce.
    • WRs Sterling Shepard and Wan'Dale Robinson are coming off ACL tears.
    • WR Darius Slayton rebounded in 2022, but he doesn’t project as a high-volume option.
    • WR Parris Campbell is coming off a career-best season, but his durability issues are well-documented. He’s on a low-dollar one-year deal.
    • WR Jamison Crowder knows HC Brian Daboll from their time in Buffalo. Now 30, he doesn’t profile as anything more than a part-time slot – if he makes the team.
    • WR Jalin Hyatt brings exciting downfield speed, but his game lacks polish. Slipping to Round 3, he’s unlikely to make a major Year 1 impact.
    • WR Isaiah Hodgins looks like the top WR following a strong end to 2022. But he’s far from a true No. 1.
  • We look for the Giants’ pass volume to tick up a bit.
  • Daniel Jones averaged only ~29.5 attempts per game last year. After signing a new extension – and now in Year 2 with Daboll – that number should rise.

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Matt Breida, RB NYG

12:10am EDT 10/3/23

Matt Breida finds some success, no other Giants stand out

Giants RB Matt Breida tallied 14 carries for 30 yards in Week 4’s loss vs. the Seahawks. He also added 5 catches for a team-leading 48 receiving yards in the contest. TE Darren Waller posted meager numbers again, catching all 3 of his targets for just 21 yards. Though he ranks t-ninth among TEs in targets (23), Waller has only one game with over 3 receptions. This Giants team is simply lost. They’ve now played three primetime games this season, and they’ve been outscored 94-15. Yikes. We might feel comfortable starting RB Saquon Barkley if he’s able to return from injury in Week 5 vs. the Dolphins, but he’d be the only one.

View all Matt Breida Shark Bites »

Giants TE Darren Waller mustered just three catches for 20 scoreless yards in Thursday night's loss to the 49ers. He led the team with seven targets for a 21.2% share. But Waller struggled creating separation against a strong 49ers defense and committed two bad drops, including one that ended up as a Talanoa Hufanga INT. The good news is that Waller won't face a tougher matchup than this the rest of the season. And he's drawn a 20.0% target share through three games. As long as that type of volume keeps coming, Waller remains a must-start.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Giants TE Darren Waller logged 6 catches on a team-leading 8 targets for 76 yards in Week 2’s win vs. the Cardinals. Veteran wideouts Darius Slayton and Parris Campbell received 6 targets in this contest, marking the second week in a row where the pair saw more involvement than their positional counterparts. The concentration of targets in New York is becoming more apparent as fantasy managers look ahead to Thursday night’s Week 3 game vs. the 49ers. Starting a Giants pass-catcher besides Waller in lineups would be bold outside of deeper leagues, though both Slayton and Campbell warrant further monitoring.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Giants TE Darren Waller (hamstring) is not listed on the final Week 2 injury report. He got in just limited practices on Thursday and Friday, so it's safe to assume that he's still not at 100%. But Waller will be out there in Sunday's game vs. the Cardinals and is a strong fantasy play relative to the other options at TE.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Darren Waller, TE NYG
Dynasty MVP 42.4
Position Rank #42 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
145
223
340
Dynasty Write-up
Waller, 30, watched a hamstring injury disrupt his 2022. He’s now missed 6+ games in back to back seasons. In March, the veteran was shipped to a Giants offense that presents weaker target competition.
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