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Darren Waller - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsDarren Waller's Basic Stats

Darren Waller
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 30.2
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 255
40 Time: 4.46
Speed Score: 131.60
SPARQx (Rank): 115.10 (75%)
Burst Score (Rank): 127.30 (91%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.32 (80%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.38 (97%)

Darren Waller's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.6 37.6 0.4 6.2

Darren Waller's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#10 Tight End

108.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 73.8 857.5 4 1.2 0.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsDarren Waller's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Waller missed Week 7 last year with an ankle injury and then suffered a strained IT band in his knee early in Week 12 that cost him the next 5 games.
  • In his 10 healthy games, Waller averaged 8.7 targets, 5.3 catches, 63.2 yards and .2 TDs per game.
  • He saw a team-high 23.1% target share in those 10 games. WR Hunter Renfrow was 2nd at 18.6%.
  • Waller underachieved in the TD department, scoring just twice on 55 catches (3.6% TD rate).
    • He tied for 8th among TEs with 7 end-zone targets.
    • He ranked 14th among TEs with 4.8 expected TDs.
  • Waller scored 9 times on 107 catches (8.4%) in 2020 and 3 times on 90 catches (3.3%) in 2019.
  • Waller’s ranks in Pro Football Focus receiving grade over the past 3 seasons:
    • 5th among 36 qualifiers
    • 2nd out of 38
    • 9th out of 35
  • His ranks in yards per route run:
    • 4th
    • 3rd
    • 9th
  • And his ranks in half-PPR points per game:
    • 6th
    • 2nd
    • 6th
  • Waller will face a tougher path to targets in 2022 after the Raiders acquired WR Davante Adams.
    • Adams leads the NFL in catches, receiving yards and receiving TDs over the past 4 seasons.
    • He’s commanded 10.8 targets per game during that stretch.
    • The Raiders traded 1st- and 2nd-round picks to the Packers for Adams and then made him the league’s 2nd-highest-paid WR with a 5-year, $140 million contract.
    • Adams spent 2 seasons with QB Derek Carr at Fresno State, racking up 3,031 yards and 38 TDs.
  • The Raiders have a new coaching staff led by HC Josh McDaniels.
    • McDaniels has 14 seasons of OC experience, 13 of which came under HC Bill Belichick in New England. He also had a 1-year stint with the Rams.
    • McDaniels spent close to 2 seasons as Broncos HC, getting fired 12 games into his 2nd campaign.
      • Those Denver teams ranked 15th and 9th in situation-neutral pass rate and 9th and 7th in pass attempts, despite being quarterbacked by Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow
  • We’re projecting the 2022 Raiders to finish among the top 10 in pass rate.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Waller’s 2021 campaign was hindered by ankle and knee injuries that basically cost him 7 games. But he remained efficient and productive in the other 10, finishing 6th among TEs in half-PPR points per game – despite underachieving with just 2 TDs.

Davante Adams’ arrival will very likely cut into Waller’s volume. But he can afford to lose a target or 2 per game and still finish as a top-5 fantasy TE.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Darren Waller, TE LVR

1:32pm EST 11/10/22

Waller to IR

Raiders TE Darren Waller has been placed on IR after aggravating his hamstring injury, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. The team reportedly expects Waller to make it back when first eligible, but that's not until Week 14. He's a fine stash on fantasy rosters if you have room, but Waller is also cuttable if you're in a squeeze. His absence leaves Foster Moreau as Vegas' lead TE for at least the next 4 games vs. the Colts, Broncos, Seahawks and Chargers. He's posted strong route rates and averaged 6.3 targets, 3.7 catches and 34 yards in 3 games without Waller this season. Consider Moreau a low-end TE1.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Raiders TE Darren Waller (hamstring) remained limited in Wednesday's practice. He was limited in practice all last week before missing the Jaguars game. We'll keep an eye on Waller's progress over the next few days, leading up to Sunday's game vs. the Colts.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Raiders TE Darren Waller (hamstring) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Jaguars. That again leaves lead TE duties to Foster Moreau, who’s posted 3-28-0 and 6-31-0 lines with Waller out the past 2 weeks.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter calls Raiders TE Darren Waller (hamstring) "unlikely" to play vs. the Jaguars today. "Still is not fully healthy," Schefter adds. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport is a bit more optimistic, labeling Waller a game-time decision. "He's as close as he's been," Rapoport tweeted. "The worry is that he aggravates it, so they'll be cautious. But he's got a chance." We'll get Vegas' inactives around 11:30 am ET. But, for now, we're removing Waller from the TE Rankings and moving TE Foster Moreau up.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Raiders TE Darren Waller (hamstring) was limited in practice all week and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game vs. the Jaguars. He was in the same spot last week before missing the Saints game. We’ll get Vegas’ inactives around 11:30 am ET on Sunday. Waller will be a risk/reward TE1 if active. If he's out again, TE Foster Moreau will be a viable low-end TE1.

View all Darren Waller Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Darren Waller, TE LVR
Dynasty MVP 64.8
Position Rank #23 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
307
307
307
Dynasty Write-up
Coming off an injury-shortened season, Waller will turn 30 in September. The arrival of Davante Adams puts a cap on Waller's target upside, but we're still looking at a strong TE1 in the short-term. Waller's on track for free agency in 2024.

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