Devin Singletary - Fantasy Points Outlook

What You Need To Know:

• After scoring 4 times on the ground over his first 2 seasons (307 carries), Singletary popped in 7 scores in 2021 (188 attempts).
• His goal line usage spiked with 18 carries inside the 10 — much more than the 8 and 3 attempts he handled the 2 years prior.
• Singletary’s 4.6 YPC was efficient, but he added just 5.7 yards per catch on 40 grabs. That ranked 21st among 22 RBs with 50+ targets.
• He played a full slate of games for the 2nd straight season.
• All told, Singletary finished as a top-24 RB 8 times. 5 of them came over the final 5 weeks.
• Zach Moss’ role faded down the stretch. He never topped 8 carries from Week 6 on.
• Moss returns for 2022, but the big addition here is 2nd-round rookie James Cook. He’s a dynamic athlete who brings an added speed element to the receiving game.
• Buffalo pursued and had a verbal agreement with receiving back J.D. McKissic in free agency, but he backed out last second. The event only confirms that Buffalo wants to throw more to the RB.
• After Singletary saw an 8.0% target share last year, it’s reasonable to expect a step back. He does benefit from a Bills offense that’ll continue leaning pass under new HC Ken Dorsey.
• Buffalo remains strong at WR/TE, led by Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis.
• Singletary should remain Buffalo’s primary goal line rusher alongside Josh Allen. Singletary and Allen nearly posted the same percentage of goal line rushes in ’21 (32% vs. 30%).
• At just 200 pounds, Cook doesn’t stand out as an obvious candidate to steal goal line work.
• The Athletic’s Joe Buscaglia writes that the Bills’ coaching staff “remains firmly behind” RB Devin Singletary “as an important piece to the [backfield] puzzle.”

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Credit Singletary for a breakout 2021. The 203-pounder finished as the PPR RB19 on the strength of 8 total scores. He appeared in all 17 games.

While he’ll be propped up by another excellent Buffalo offense, 2022 turns up his stiffest backfield competition yet. Round 2 pick James Cook arrives as a pro-ready receiving/change-of-pace back with explosive ability. He all but assures that Singletary doesn’t see another 50 targets.

Entering a contract season, the 25-year-old (in September) is best treated as an RB3/FLEX.