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Henry Ruggs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Henry Ruggs
LVR

WR LVR

#53 Wide Receiver

110 Projected Points

ADP: 12.8
Bye: 8
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 188
40 Time: 4.27

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#53 Wide Receiver

110 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
12.8 47 745 5 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

93.5

DS Projection

110

Consensus

38 other sites
107.4

High Ceiling

176

Ceiling Likelihood

High
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Ruggs mustered just 26 catches for 452 yards and 2 TDs in 13 games as a rookie last year. He added 49 rushing yards.
  • Ruggs finished 109th among WRs in PPR points per game and 93rd in non-PPR.
  • He hurt his knee in Week 1, missed Weeks 3 and 4 with a hamstring injury and missed Week 15 on the COVID list.
    • He dealt with a rib injury, a lower-body injury and a 3rd undisclosed injury in his final season at Alabama, so durability is a concern.
  • Ruggs didn’t top 5 targets in any of his 13 games. His 43 total targets ranked just 5th on a Raiders team that was desperate for playmakers in the passing game.
  • Among 99 WRs with 40+ targets last year, Ruggs ranked 76th in yards per route run and 97th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grade.
  • 35% of Ruggs’ targets last year came 20+ yards downfield -- the 4th highest rate among 70 qualifying WRs. He caught 5 of those 15 targets for 245 yards and 2 TDs.
  • Despite his elite speed, Ruggs wasn’t great at going deep at Alabama. He made just 4 receptions 20+ yards downfield in 2019.
  • He was much better with the ball in his hands, averaging a big 10.5 yards after the catch in 2019.
  • Ruggs averaged 5.7 yards after the catch as a rookie last year -- 15th best among 99 qualifying WRs. He simply didn’t get enough chances, finishing 83rd among those 99 in total yards after the catch.
  • Ruggs returns to the same offense (HC Jon Gruden) with the same QB (Derek Carr) in 2021.
  • The Raiders lost WR Nelson Agholor, who led the WRs and ranked 2nd on the team with 82 targets last year, in free agency.
  • John Brown was the only significant addition made to the WR corps. He went for 1,060 yards for the Bills back in 2019. But he’s coming off an injury-riddled 2020, turned 31 in April and was dumped by Buffalo in March.
  • The 12th overall pick of last year’s draft, Ruggs will again have every opportunity to emerge as Vegas’ #1 WR this season.
  • The Raiders have ranked 16th, 21st and 21st in Jon Gruden’s 3 seasons at the helm. This figures to remain a run-leaning offense in 2021.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Ruggs was a major disappointment as a rookie last year -- in terms of raw production, volume and efficiency. He dealt with a couple of different injuries. And the Raiders misused him, targeting him deep too often and not getting him enough opportunities to make plays after the catch.

We had our doubts about Ruggs as a prospect coming into the league and obviously don’t feel any better after his rookie season. But he was the #12 pick in last year’s draft, has a clear path to #1 WR duties in Vegas this season and will come cheap in fantasy drafts.

He’s a fine flier to stick on your bench.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Henry Ruggs said during his Wednesday press conference that he packed on 13 pounds this offseason. “It was my focus. It’s a man’s game now and I’m not the biggest guy, but I have to get to where I can compete with grown men now,” Ruggs said. “So that was one of my biggest things that I hammered on was getting bigger, eating all the time, and just hammering down in the weight room. And people [have been] saying I look noticeably bigger, so I guess it’s paying off.” We've seen some speed guys in the past try to add weight and lose some of the speed that set them apart, so we'll be interested to see Ruggs in action. The 2nd-year wideout seems mindful of that. “Even in the weight room, you work on different things, but when you’re gaining weight, you still have to do the little-guy things that I’m known for,” Ruggs said. “So, still hammered on those things and just got better in the things that I needed to work on.” Ruggs remains outside the top 50 WRs in ADP, so there's little risk in betting he can step into Vegas' top role.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

Raiders QB Derek Carr talked up 2nd-year WR Henry Ruggs after minicamp. “Man, he’s been impressive,” Carr said via The Athletic. “The way he’s running routes. He’s being violent in his cuts. I think something clicked in his head. Just like with everybody, you play a season in the NFL, you go back and watch the tape and you’re like, ‘Wow, I know what it takes now.’ And you either do it or you don’t. And he’s showing already that he said, ‘Nah, I’m going to do it.’ And it’s been so impressive.” In 2020, the Raiders miscast Ruggs as a downfield WR, helping contribute to a poor 26-452-2 line (13 games). The ‘Bama product has added weight this offseason and will start opposite either Bryan Edwards (the WR2 favorite) or John Brown. Ruggs is well worth a look in the double-digit rounds of best ball drafts.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Henry Ruggs has been activated from the COVID list and is expected back for Saturday night’s game vs. the Dolphins. The rookie hasn’t topped 3 catches in a game all season and is nothing more than a DFS flier.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

The Raiders have placed WR Henry Ruggs on the COVID list, which will keep him out of Thursday night's game against the Chargers. That takes speed out of the lineup for Vegas, but Ruggs has yet to top 3 catches in a game this year. The rookie did rank 2nd (slightly) behind Nelson Agholor in snaps among Raiders wideouts in Sunday's loss to the Colts. His absence figures to elevate the role of fellow rookie Bryan Edwards, who operated as the #4 receiver against Indy. Edwards would join Agholor and Hunter Renfrow as the top 3 at the position for an upside matchup with a struggling Chargers defense.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

Raiders WR Henry Ruggs (hamstring) is active for today’s game against the Chiefs. He put in full practices on Thursday and Friday, so he should be close to 100%. Consider the rookie a boom/bust WR3 in what could turn into a shootout in Kansas City.

View all Henry Ruggs Shark Bites »

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