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Hunter Henry - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Hunter Henry
NE

TE NE

#14 Tight End

91 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 14
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 253
40 Time: 4.68

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

3.8

DS Projection

6.4

Consensus

38 other sites
6

High Ceiling

9.7

Rest of
Season

6.3

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.2 45.5 0.3 6.4
Weekly Writeup
Henry’s taken the reins as New England’s pass-catching TE. That’s translated into fantasy production with 13+ PPR points in 2 straight.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.5 39 0.4 6.3
Week 5
Henry led the Patriots in all major receiving categories in Sunday’s win over the Texans: 8 targets, 6 catches, 75 yards and the team’s only receiving TD. He finished 5th among TEs in both PPR and non-PPR points on the week.

Henry has been trending up. His weekly targets have gone: 3, 4, 6, 5, 8. Only 8 TEs have more targets over the past 3 weeks. Only 6 have scored more PPR points.

Most importantly, Henry has moved clearly ahead of Jonnu Smith as New England’s top TE. In Week 5, Henry ran 22 pass routes vs. just 6 for Smith.

Henry looks like a low-end TE1 moving forward. There’s nothing to worry about the next 2 weeks in matchups vs. the Cowboys and Jets. Weeks 8 and 9 bring tougher draws vs. the Chargers and Panthers.
Week 4
Production has been tough to come by for Henry this season with Jonnu Smith joining him in the TE room for the Patriots. Henry did out-snapped Smith in this game 40-28. In a game where the Patriots went heavy in the passing game, Henry only received a 12.5% target share. However, Henry was able to get into the end zone for the first time this season on an 11-yard TD in the 2nd quarter. Henry finished the night with 4 catches (on 5 targets) for 32 yards and the 1 score. Henry’s ceiling will always be limited with another talented TE on the roster with Jonnu Smith also receiving a huge payday from the Patriots this offseason. Henry is seeing more playing time, but he hasn’t had a break-out game yet. He has out-snapped Smith 194-142 over the first four games, but it hasn’t resulted in great production for Henry. We have him ranked at TE12 this week against the Texans, who just gave up 2 TDs to Dawson Knox and the Bills. The Patriots next three opponents include @HST, DAL, NYJ.
Week 1
Henry’s summer shoulder injury didn’t look like a limiting factor in the opener. He played 72% of the snaps, just behind Jonnu Smith’s 73%. Clearly, the Pats leaned heavily on 2-TE sets, as expected. While the former Charger was out targeted 3-5, he actually ran 4 more routes than Smith (23 vs. 19). A near 50/50 split is a reasonable expectation going forward, leaving both guys — especially the less dynamic Henry — as matchup options. An injury to 1 would certainly vault the other into the top-12. Week 2 turns up a bounce-back spot against a banged up Jets defense.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Playing under the franchise tag in 2020, Henry set career highs in targets (87) and catches (60). He added 613 yards and 4 scores.
  • Henry’s now scored 4 or 5 TDs in 3 straight healthy seasons. (He missed all of 2018 with an ACL tear.)
  • Henry posted only 4 top-10 fantasy weeks, with the first not arriving until Week 10. Overall, he ranked as the PPR TE12.
  • Henry missed the final 2 games of the season on the COVID-19 list.
  • Henry earned his worst career Pro Football Focus receiving grade (69.3) —16th among 26 TEs with 50+ targets.
  • One day after the Pats signed Jonnu Smith, they inked Henry to a 3-year deal worth $37.4 million. Both deals are worth an average of ~$12.5 million per season.
  • Jonnu’s presence certainly caps the upside of Henry, who’s the superior blocker and should have a bigger role in that area.
  • The Pats retained Cam Newton on a 1-year deal and added Mac Jones in Round 1 of the 2021 draft. Newton looked like a shell of himself in 2020, but we expect him to at least enter Week 1 as the starter.
  • Jones started only 1 season at Alabama, but he showed pro-level accuracy on tape.
  • Only 6% of Newton’s targets went to TEs in 2020 — lowest in the NFL. There’s no doubt that’ll change massively in ’21. While the Pats added WRs Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne to pair with Jakobi Meyers, the strength of this offense now lies at TE.
  • What figures to remain is the Pats’ run-heavy game plan. With a restocked defense and a well-built O-line, look for another low-volume pass attack.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Coming off a pedestrian season alongside Justin Herbert, Henry heads to New England to form a 1-2 punch with Jonnu Smith.

Only 26, Henry will likely need to pop as a scorer to pay off in fantasy. Smith’s superior playmaking ability figures to put him ahead for targets. Mix in QB and volume concerns and Henry quickly fades as a TE1 priority.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Hunter Henry isn't listed on the Week 1 injury report. He missed all 3 preseason games with a shoulder injury but is ready to go for Sunday's opener vs. the Dolphins. Henry has TE1 potential this season but should be considered a TE2 in his New England debut.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Hunter Henry expects to play in Sunday's opener against the Dolphins. The big free-agent acquisition missed about 2 weeks of practice -- and all 3 preseason games -- with a shoulder injury. That makes him tough to trust in Week 1 fantasy lineups. But we'll keep a close eye on his usage in what figures to be a TE-centric offense.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Hunter Henry (shoulder) was on the field for Tuesday's practice. Per NESN's Zack Cox, Henry didn't participate in team drills. So he's still not a full-go but is clearly making progress in his return from that shoulder injury. Henry should be ready for Week 1.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Patriots TE Hunter Henry is expected to miss "a couple of weeks" with his shoulder injury. Schefter adds, though, that it's "not serious." We'll see whether any more info comes out on the injury itself. But it's the Patriots, so don't hold your breath. Henry's absence can only help the opportunity for TE Jonnu Smith.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Hunter Henry suffered a shoulder injury in Sunday's practice, ESPN's Mike Reiss reports. The injury isn't believed to be serious, but more will be known after Henry gets an MRI. "The injury is painful and Henry could miss time in the preseason," Reiss adds. We'll keep you updated on Henry's status.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

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