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Hunter Henry - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsHunter Henry's Basic Stats

Hunter Henry
ADP: 20.7
Bye: 11
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 28.8
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.73
Speed Score: 101.50
SPARQx (Rank): 93.70 (15%)
Burst Score (Rank): 111.60 (25%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.57 (50%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.96 (44%)

Hunter Henry's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.7 43.2 0.3 6.1
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
2.9 33.8 0.4 5.6

Hunter Henry's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#10 Tight End

89.4 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
20.7 45.8 540.4 5.9 0.8 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsHunter Henry's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Coming off a down 2022, Henry will look to rebound in a contract season.

New England’s offense looks better, thanks in large part to the addition of OC Bill O’Brien. Henry’s track record shows he can be a TE1 spot-starter, but you’re ultimately targeting him as a waiver wire add outside of deep leagues or best ball.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Henry’s numbers regressed across the board. His 59 targets, 41 catches, 509 yards, and two TDs last year all marked his fewest since his 2016 rookie year.
  • He played a full slate of games for the first time in his career.
  • Henry still saw his target share drop from 14.3% (2021) to 11.3% (2022).
  • Unsurprisingly, Henry wasn’t a major fantasy factor. He finished as a top-12 TE only three times.
  • Among 27 TEs with 50+ targets, Henry sat 13th in catch rate, fourth in yards per catch, and 11th in yards after catch per reception. So it wasn't like Henry showed he's washed up at 28.
  • Henry wasn’t lifted up by a Pats offense that ranked 22nd in pass attempts, 21st in passing yards, and 28th in red zone attempts per game.
  • Mac Jones regressed in several key metrics last year (completion rate, on-target rate, yards per attempt, TD rate).
What to Expect in 2023
  • The Pats moved on from No. 2 TE Jonnu Smith, who saw only 38 targets in 14 games.
  • New England invested in free agent TE Mike Gesicki with a one-year deal ($3.5 million guaranteed). He’s an upgrade on Smith – but not a lock for a major role.
  • In 2022, Gesicki set four-year lows in routes run (379), targets (52), catches (32), and yards (362).
  • Gesicki is more receiver than blocker and has experience playing slot and out wide. He’s not a threat to steal serious in-line snaps from Henry.
  • New England’s No. 1 target projects as JuJu Smith-Schuster, who joined the club on a 3-year deal that includes $16 million guaranteed.
  • New OC Bill O’Brien arrives as an upgrade on a ‘22 staff that featured Matt Patricia in a key offensive role.
  • New England will look for more from third-year QB Mac Jones. We see a rebound given the upgrade at OC.

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Kendrick Bourne, WR NE

5:14pm EDT 9/24/23

Kendrick Bourne returns decent numbers

Patriots WR Kendrick Bourne recorded 4 catches on 5 targets for 46 yards in Week 3’s win vs. the Jets. Both WR DeVante Parker and TE Hunter Henry had some involvement but ultimately flopped with just 2 catches apiece. Helping no one in fantasy, TE Pharaoh Brown led the team in receiving with 71 yards on 2 catches. One of those catches from Brown was the only offensive TD scored by New England. This one was just one of those unlucky games in crummy weather where the Pats didn’t need to throw a ton to pull out the W. Fantasy managers should hope for better results from these receivers next week vs. the Cowboys.

View all Kendrick Bourne Shark Bites »

Patriots WR DeVante Parker led the team in receiving with 57 yards in Sunday night’s loss vs. the Dolphins. The veteran recorded 6 catches on 8 targets in his season debut after missing Week 1 with a knee injury. Teammate Kendrick Bourne saw a team-high 9 targets and logged 4 catches for 29 yards. TE Hunter Henry is perhaps the most fantasy-relevant story from the game. He turned 7 targets into 6 catches for 52 yards and a TD en route to logging the most PPR points (17.2) of any TE in the Sunday slate. If Henry is still hanging around on the waiver wire, go ahead and scoop him up ahead of Week 3 vs. the Jets.

View all DeVante Parker Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Hunter Henry caught 5 of 6 targets in Sunday's loss to the Eagles, collecting 56 yards and a TD. His 6 targets made up just 11.1% of QB Mac Jones' 54 attempts on a day of abnormally high passing volume. Henry doubled TE Mike Gesicki's target count against the Eagles. Henry will push for fantasy-starter consideration in an upside Week 2 matchup with the Dolphins.

View all Hunter Henry Shark Bites »

Patriots WR DeVante Parker (knee) is inactive for today’s game vs. the Eagles. That leaves JuJu Smith-Schuster, Kendrick Bourne, and Demario Douglas as New England’s top three WRs. Smith-Schuster is a viable WR3 play. TE Hunter Henry could also see an extra target or two with Parker out.

View all DeVante Parker Shark Bites »

Patriots TE Mike Gesicki (shoulder) returned to practice on Tuesday. He wore a red, non-contact jersey. The former Dolphin isn’t someone we’re counting on for anything close to TE1 production. Hunter Henry, who made our list of undervalued fantasy football players, is the TE target in New England.

View all Mike Gesicki Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Hunter Henry, TE NE
Dynasty MVP 47.5
Position Rank #25 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
159
246
402
Dynasty Write-up
Henry’s fantasy value tanked last year -- right alongside the play of Mac Jones. We'll see if a rebound is in store over the short term now that New England has an actual offensive coordinator. Henry, 28, is set to enter a contract season with new arrival Mike Gesicki.
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