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Jayden Daniels - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJayden Daniels's Basic Stats

Jayden Daniels
ADP: 10.3
Bye: 14
Experience: 0
Age: 23.6
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 210

Jayden Daniels's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
234.6 1.33 0.7 40.7 19.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Jayden Daniels's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#9 Quarterback

307.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
10.3 326.4/544 3753.6 21.28 11.2 116.8 651.2 4.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJayden Daniels's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Daniels was a human highlight reel in 2023.

Sure, you can point to a late breakout, or a stacked LSU offense as reasons to downplay his '23 success. But ultimately, we’re looking at a highly experienced prospect with extraordinary athleticism.

It’s the rushing profile that should have you excited for 2024. Think rookie-year Kyler Murray, who finished as the QB7 in OC Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. (Kingsbury joined the Commanders this offseason.)

The rookie is an attractive value in summer drafts.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Daniels spent five years in college -- three at Arizona State and two at LSU.
  • He didn't post a true breakout until last fall…
    • That’s when Daniels smoked SEC defenses, totaling 50 TDs (10 rushing).
    • Impressive efficiency followed: a 72.2% completion rate and 11.7 yards per attempt.
    • He delivered the second-best EPA per play in ESPN QBR history.
    • The now 23-year-old played alongside a star-studded cast, including WRs Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr.
  • Daniels earned the Heisman Trophy.
  • He’s the only FBS player in college football history with 12,000 passing yards and 3,000+ rushing yards.
  • Our film study showed an excellent deep ball thrower with the ability to navigate and escape from pockets. Think Lamar Jackson.
  • Daniels is on the slim side, though, and he took some crushing hits in college.
    • We also saw him miss some relatively easy throws on film.

What to Expect in 2024

  • New GM Adam Peters selected Daniels with the second overall pick, behind Caleb Williams and ahead of Drake Maye.
  • Marcus Mariota is the backup – there’s no controversy this summer.
  • The Commanders fired OC Eric Bieniemy after one year, replacing him with former Cardinals HC (and USC assistant) Kliff Kingsbury.
    • Kingsbury “likes to use run-pass options and he wants to attack down the field,” writes beat writer John Keim. “Daniels said he liked what Kingsbury had to say during their meetings, but he has also watched his offense over the years.”
    • Kingsbury’s results as a HC/play-caller in Arizona weren’t spectacular.
    • His units ranked 21st, 6th, 8th, and 22nd in yards and 16th, 13th, 11th, and 21st in points.
    • In his tenure, the Cards finished 18th, 15th, 18th, and 4th in pass attempts and 24th, 17th, 10th, and 18th in passing yards.
  • This O-line profiles as a bit shaky – particularly at LT, where 33-year-old Cornelius Lucas appears set to start.
  • The weapons supply some promise.
    • Terry McLaurin returns as a low-end WR1.
    • WR Curtis Samuel departed in free agency, but the team is hoping for a third-year resurgence from WR Jahan Dotson, whose ‘23 was impacted by hamstring trouble.
    • WR Luke McCaffrey arrived to supply a slot target in Round 3.
    • The TE room was remade with veteran Zach Ertz and rookie Ben Sinnott.
    • RB Austin Ekeler, if healthy, should supply a nice boost out of the backfield.
  • As of this writing, our projections have Daniels slotting fourth in QB rush yards; fifth in QB rush TDs. Huge drivers for his fantasy value.

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Jayden Daniels, QB WAS

9:07pm EDT 6/12/24

Jayden Daniels Likes Kliff Kingsbury's Offense

Commanders QB Jayden Daniels spoke glowingly about OC Kliff Kingsbury's offense. Of course, it'd be a much bigger surprise if a rookie QB had anything negative to say about his OC. But it's noteworthy after Kingsbury helped QB Kyler Murray to a strong rookie season in Arizona back in 2019.

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The Commanders added LSU QB Jayden Daniels in Round 1 of the NFL Draft. Daniels won the 2023 Heisman Award after racking up 3,812 yards and 40 TDs passing, plus 1,134 yards and 10 TDs rushing. He completed a sterling 72.2% of his passes in spite of a big 10.5-yard average target depth. Daniels was especially lethal throwing deep, completing 35 of 55 passes 20+ yards downfield for 1,347 yards, 22 TDs, and 0 INTs. He led the FBS in completion rate, yards per attempt, TDs, and Pro Football Focus passing grade on throws 20+ yards downfield. Daniels was just as impressive as a runner, averaging 10.4 yards per carry if we remove the negative yardage from sacks taken. He ripped off eight runs of 15+ yards, including an 85-yard TD vs. Florida. It’s certainly worth noting that it all came in Daniels’ fifth college season. He spent three years at Arizona State before transferring to LSU for the last two. But he consistently improved as a passer, culminating with a 92.0 PFF passing grade last year – second among 125 qualifiers. Daniels’ combination of deep-ball prowess and truly elite rushing ability give him massive fantasy upside. Think Lamar Jackson. In Washington, Daniels has a clear path to the Week 1 starting role. This supporting cast is underwhelming behind Terry McLaurin, but note that the Commanders have two Round 2 picks and three Round 3 picks. Regardless of what tomorrow brings, Daniels’ fantasy upside will remain tied to his excellent rushing ability. Consider him a likely fantasy spot-starter in 2024.

View all Jayden Daniels Shark Bites »

LSU QB Jayden Daniels didn’t throw or work out at the NFL Combine. He wasn’t measured, either, so we’ll have to wait until LSU’s March 27 pro day for official numbers. (The team lists him at 6’4, 210.) The slender, fifth-year breakout displayed a dynamic run/pass ability last fall alongside stud WRs Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. Daniels’ raw stats really jump off the page: 3,812-40-4 passing, plus 1,134 rushing yards and ten scores. It’s the rushing that supplies an enticing fantasy ceiling. The 23-year-old could enter the spot-start QB1 mix as early as 2024.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Jayden Daniels, QB WAS
Dynasty MVP 277.0
Position Rank #15 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
880
1,426
2,520
Dynasty Write-up
Daniels has drawn comparisons to Lamar Jackson. Pop on some games, and it’s easy to see why. Slender at 6’4, 210 pounds, Daniels can operate inside and outside of the pocket. He’s a nightmare in the open field with 3,307 career rushing yards and 34 rushing TDs. His breakthrough as a passer came in 2023 – his fifth college season – but it was an exceptional, Heisman-winning campaign. Daniels carries QB1 upside right away in Washington.
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