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Jerome Ford - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsJerome Ford's Basic Stats

Jerome Ford
ADP: 10.9
Bye: 10
Experience: 3
Age: 24.8
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 210
40 Time: 4.46

Burst Score (Rank): 111.70 (18%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.53 (36%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.31

Jerome Ford's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
42.6 0.23 2.5 18.9 0.11 7.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
18.3 0.1 1 7.6 0 3.4

Jerome Ford's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#42 Running Back

133.2 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
10.9 118.6 498.6 2.68 0 0.6 34 257.4 1.46

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsJerome Ford's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Ford produced well in Nick Chubb’s absence last season and can help fantasy teams again if Chubb is sidelined. We’ll have to watch through the summer to see what the season-opening plan is, though. That uncertainty makes it difficult to view any Browns RB as an early-season starter at draft time. Ford fits best as an RB4 (or later) on your fantasy roster.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Ford obviously benefited from Nick Chubb’s Week 2 knee injury. From Week 3 on, Ford ranked 16th among RBs in PPR points, even though he ranked just 29th in opportunity share over that span.
  • Ford ranked 11th among RBs in total targets during that time; 24th in carries.
  • He did so despite contending with a late-season ankle sprain and sharing work with Kareem Hunt. Ford worked well ahead in opportunity share; Hunt ranked 45th over the same span.
  • Ford proved just OK on efficiency.
    • He tied for 29th in yards after contact per carry among 59 RBs with 70+ carries. (Hunt ranked 59th.)
    • Ford ranked 24th in elusive rating. (Hunt last.)
    • He finished 28th in rush yards over expected per carry among 49 qualifying RBs, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. (Hunt ranked 48th.)
    • Among 61 RBs who drew at least 20 targets, Ford tied for 32nd in yards per route. (Hunt tied for 59th.)

What to Expect in 2024

  • Chubb heads toward the season as a big unknown. He refused to set a return timeline in talking to reporters in early June. We’ll see whether he’s ready to start training camp on time and what his participation looks like.
  • Cleveland didn’t add much at RB in the offseason, signing only D’Onta Foreman and Nyheim Hines to one-year deals.
    • Hines likely arrives primarily for his return-game upside. He’s also coming off an ACL tear suffered last July in a Jetski accident.
    • Foreman got a small one-year deal, just like he did in Chicago last year, Carolina the year before, and Tennessee the year before that.
    • Either/both could factor into the regular-season backfield. But neither addition tells us anything about what to expect from the group in 2024.
  • The Browns did switch OCs, hiring Ken Dorsey just a few months after the Bills fired him. Dorsey ran one of the league’s most pass-leaning offenses over about a season and a half as Buffalo OC. The Browns ranked 19th in situation-neutral pass rate over the past two years.
    • Perhaps the Dorsey hire and trade-extension for WR Jerry Jeudy signals a bit more of a pass lean in 2024.
    • If so, that should favor Ford. Chubb has always been a limited receiver, as has Foreman.

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Nick Chubb, RB CLE

9:22am EDT 7/11/24

Nick Chubb Remains Uncertain for Training Camp

Browns RB Nick Chubb didn’t take part in OTAs or minicamp. Per The Athletic’s Zac Jackson, “it remains to be seen” if Chubb will participate in training camp. The seventh-year pro is returning from surgeries to repair meniscus, ACL, and MCL damage (left knee).

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The Browns and RB Nick Chubb have agreed to a salary adjustment for 2024, the final year on his contract. ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reports that the change drops Chubb's cap hit from $15.85 million to $6.275 million -- with incentives that could bring his salary back up to $12.2 million. You could read this several different ways. It's positive that Cleveland didn't simply cut Chubb, which would have cost just $4 million in dead cap space, according to Spotrac. But Chubb's new salary knocks him to 11th among RBs in total money for 2024, behind Tony Pollard and Aaron Jones; barely ahead of Devin Singletary and Miles Sanders. Chubb no doubt believes he can achieve at least some of the performance incentives and drive that number back up. But it also appears he wasn't willing to test the open market for higher 2024 earnings. Ultimately, it's way too early for fantasy managers to know what we can expect from the veteran RB. Chubb's multi-ligament knee injury in September has required surgeries then and in November. We haven't seen much on his return timeline. The Browns, meanwhile, have added RBs D'Onta Foreman and Nyheim Hines this offseason. Both signed small, one-year deals that don't come close to guaranteeing offensive roles. (Hines probably arrives to primarily return kicks.) But they join Jerome Ford and Pierre Strong as backfield insurance. We're staying away from Chubb at his RB27 best ball ADP, which still has him ahead of Javonte Williams, Austin Ekeler, and Zamir White, among others. The crowded depth chart behind Chubb also makes it a risky backfield for investing in backups.

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The Browns signed RB D'Onta Foreman to a one-year deal. Although he averaged just 3.9 yards per carry in Chicago last year, Foreman ranked 22nd in Pro Football Focus rushing grade, 22nd in Elusive Rating, and 26th in Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt among 49 qualifying RBs. That followed a career-high 914 rushing yards on 4.5 yards per attempt for the Panthers in 2022. Foreman is a quality depth addition for a Browns team that has RB Nick Chubb working his way back from a significant knee injury that will likely cost him at least part of the 2024 season. Foreman will team up with RB Jerome Ford for however long Chubb is sidelined.

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The Browns have fired OC Alex Van Pelt and RBs coach Stump Mitchell. Van Pelt has been Cleveland's OC since HC Kevin Stefanski was hired in 2020; Mitchell started his Browns tenure in 2019. We'll see who replaces those guys, but we wouldn't expect sweeping changes to the offense considering Stefanski has always had a big say in the operation.

View all Deshaun Watson Shark Bites »

Browns RB Pierre Strong (back) is inactive for today's Wild Card game vs. the Texans. That leaves a few extra touches to go around for RBs Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt.

View all Pierre Strong Jr. Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Jerome Ford, RB CLE
Dynasty MVP 69.1
Position Rank #65 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
229
355
601
Dynasty Write-up
Nick Chubb's season-ending injury allowed Ford to emerge in year two (200-813-4, plus 44-319-5 receiving). Ford's short-term value is largely dependent on Chubb's recovery from multiple knee surgeries.
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