Show Navigation
Show Menu
Player Profile

John Brown - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

John Brown
DEN

WR DEN

#103 Wide Receiver

40 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 11
Experience: 7 Yr(s)
Age: 31
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 178
40 Time: 4.34

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

0

DS Projection

1.8

Consensus

38 other sites
2

High Ceiling

3.6

Rest of
Season

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
0.8 12 0.1 1.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Brown caught 33 balls for 458 yards and 3 TDs in 9 regular-season games for the Bills last year.
  • He missed Weeks 5 and 7 and was noticeably hobbled in Week 6 by a knee injury. Then he landed on IR and missed 5 games late in the season with a right ankle injury. He also exited Week 3 early with a calf injury and was pulled early from Buffalo’s meaningless Week 17 contest.
  • So Brown played 70+% of the offensive snaps in only 7 games last year. He averaged 6.3 targets, 3.8 catches, 52.3 yards and .33 TDs in those outings.
  • That’s 11.1 PPR points per game, which would have ranked just 50th among WRs.
  • Among 87 WRs with 50+ targets last year, Brown ranked 51st in yards per route run and 55th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade.
  • It was all a big step back from 2019, Brown’s first with the Bills.
    • He posted a 72-1,060-6 line in 15 games.
    • He finished 22nd among WRs in PPR and non-PPR points.
    • He ranked 22nd in yards per route run and 24th in PFF receiving grade among 81 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • Brown turned 31 in April, so it’s possible that last year was the beginning of the end.
  • He was released by the Bills in March and later agreed to a 1-year, $3.75 million deal with the Raiders. That makes him just the 48th highest-paid WR in terms of average annual salary.
  • Snaps and targets are up for grabs in Vegas’ WR corps …
    • The Raiders lost Nelson Agholor, who led the WRs and ranked 2nd on the team with 82 targets last year, in free agency.
    • Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards return after disappointing rookie seasons.
    • Hunter Renfrow, who’s ranked 2nd on the Raiders in catches both of the past 2 years, is also back.
  • TE Darren Waller returns after easily leading Vegas with 117 and then 146 targets the last 2 seasons. He’s the heavy favorite to lead in targets again.
  • The Raiders have ranked 16th, 21st and 21st in Jon Gruden’s 3 seasons at the helm. This figures to remain a run-leaning offense in 2021.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Brown is just 2 years removed from a 1,060-yard season for the Bills. But he’s coming off an injury-riddled and ineffective 2020 campaign, turned 31 in April and settled for a cheap, 1-year deal with the Raiders as a free agent.

We’ll see if Brown can bounce back. If he can, there’s a chance he climbs to the top of a young, unproven Vegas WR depth chart.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Broncos promoted WR John Brown to the active roster. It looks like he'll play vs. the Raiders on Sunday after joining the team on Tuesday. We'd be surprised if Brown was ready for a significant role. He remains off the fantasy radar for now.

View all John Brown Shark Bites »

The Broncos signed WR John Brown to the practice squad. Brown, of course, couldn't find playing time in a relatively weak Raiders WR corps this summer. He's a poor bet for fantasy value in Denver, especially with WR Jerry Jeudy expected back soon.

View all John Brown Shark Bites »

The Raiders have released WR John Brown at his request, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. Brown was set to open the season no higher than 4th on Vegas' depth chart, behind Henry Ruggs, Bryan Edwards and Hunter Renfrow. We'll see where he lands, but the 31-year-old is clearly a long shot for fantasy value.

View all John Brown Shark Bites »

Adam Caplan reports that the Raiders have agreed to a 1-year deal with WR John Brown, worth up to $5.5 million. The Bills released the 30-year-old (31 in April) earlier this offseason in a cost-cutting move. Brown averaged a nice 14.5 yards per catch on 4.4 receptions per game over 2 years in Buffalo. Brown saw his numbers limited last year by knee and ankle injuries plus Stefon Diggs' hostile takeover of targets. With the Raiders, Brown carries upside at least into WR3 range for fantasy, which is where Nelson Agholor ranked in his rebound 2020 season (33rd in PPR points).

View all John Brown Shark Bites »

The Bills released WR John Brown, saving $7.9 million against the 2021 salary cap. Brown posted a career-best 72-1,060-6 line in his Buffalo debut in 2019 but missed 7 outings and saw his per-game numbers decline this past season. He turns 31 in April. The Bills have an in-house replacement in 2020 4th-rounder Gabriel Davis, who averaged 17.1 yards per catch and scored 7 times as a rookie. His numbers should take a nice leap forward this coming season. We projected Brown to be cut by the Bills, so there are no changes to the rankings.

View all John Brown Shark Bites »

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.

Dominate your Fantasy League with

the Ultimate Tool Stack

In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. The key is integrating that into one simple, powerful tool.
3D Projections

3D Projections

3D Projections: True Dimension of Every Player’s Potential

Based on our award-winning projections, an axis of data points give insights far deeper than a ranking

View Our Accuracy Awards View Our Accuracy Awards »

Advice Draft Strategy

Advice That’s Actionable on Draft Day

Round-by-Round Draft Strategy Guides, Sleepers, Undervalued Players, Busts and Handcuffs

3D Projections

Draft War Room

Draft War Room: Intel Turned Into Killer Picks

Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Updating and adapting in real time.

3D Projections

Keep Dominating Throughout The Season

Quickly find the free-agent gems, pull the trigger on the perfect trade & make the right start/sit decisions.

Keep Dominating
Draft Sharks

$6/month thereafter, billed semi-annually, one-click cancel anytime.

Turn your phone into a draft weapon with our FREE APP

Download on the App Store Get It on Google Play