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Keenan Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKeenan Allen's Basic Stats

Keenan Allen
ADP: N/A
Bye: 8
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 30.6
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.76
Speed Score: 84.90

Keenan Allen's Weekly Outlook

Week 13 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.9 69.7 0.5 10
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.8 64.7 0.4 8.7

Keenan Allen's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Wide Receiver

142.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 100 1035.5 6.7 2.6 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKeenan Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Allen compiled a 106-1,138-6 line in 16 games last season. (He missed Week 14 on the COVID list.)
  • He racked up 157 targets (8th among WRs) on a 25.9% target share (15th).
  • Allen finished 11th among WRs in PPR points, 15th in half-PPR and 16th in non-PPR.
  • He’s finished as a top-18 WR across scoring formats in 5 straight seasons.
  • After struggling with injuries over his first 4 NFL seasons, Allen has missed just 3 games total over the last 5 years. (And 1 of those was due to COVID.)
  • Allen’s yards per route run has declined in every season since 2017 …
    • 2017: 2.55
    • 2018: 2.32
    • 2019: 2.01
    • 2020: 1.91
    • 2021: 1.78
  • Last year’s mark ranked 28th among 89 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • Mike Williams beat Allen in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus’ receiving grade last year.
  • Allen tallied 157 targets last year to Williams’ 129, although that gap got smaller from the 1st half of the season to the 2nd.
    • Allen out-targeted Williams 82 to 66 over the first 8 games.
    • Over their final 7 games together, Allen saw 69 targets to Williams’ 57.
  • Allen finds himself in a similar situation this season as last.
    • HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi return for year 2 with the Chargers.
    • QB Justin Herbert enters his 3rd NFL season.
    • The Chargers return 6 of last year’s top 7 target-getters. TE Jared Cook will be replaced by TE Gerald Everett, which should be a lateral move in terms of target share.
  • So Allen should again benefit from a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense. The 2021 Chargers ranked 6th in both situation-neutral pace and situation-neutral pass rate. They finished 3rd in pass attempts.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

It’s possible – maybe even likely – that Allen’s best football is behind him. His yards per route run has now declined in 4 straight seasons.

But we’re also not expecting this 30-year-old to fall off a cliff. He remains locked in as a top-2 WR with a young, stud QB on a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense.

Allen might not have the ceiling of other WRs going in his ADP range. But he’s a relatively safe bet for low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 production.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Justin Herbert, QB LAC

9:56pm EST 11/27/22

Herbert tosses 3 TDs

Chargers QB Justin Herbert threw for 274 yards and 3 TDs in Sunday's win over the Cardinals. Herbert hit WR Keenan Allen, WR DeAndre Carter and RB Austin Ekeler for TDs. The 1-yarder to Ekeler with 15 seconds left won the game. Ekeler (15) and Carter (10) combined for 53.2% of Herbert's pass attempts and 51.4% of his completions for the game. Carter caught 7 for 73 yards. WR Josh Palmer went 5-56 on 7 targets. Allen finished with 5 receptions for 49 yards. TE Gerald Everett added 4 catches for 18 yards on 4 targets. The Chargers get a soft Raiders defense in Week 13.

View all Justin Herbert Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Mike Williams (ankle) is out for Sunday’s game vs. the Cardinals. He didn’t practice all week after aggravating that high-ankle sprain last Sunday night. Keenan Allen and Josh Palmer will serve as Los Angeles’ top 2 WRs this weekend.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Chargers HC Brandon Staley confirmed on Monday that WR Mike Williams re-aggravated his right high-ankle sprain in Sunday night's loss to the Chiefs. Staley added that the team will "find out a lot more in the next couple days" but that it's not "a significant re-injury." Considering Williams was out 4 weeks with the original injury, though, he seems unlikely to be available for Week 12's game against the Cardinals. That'd leave Keenan Allen and Josh Palmer as the Chargers' top 2 WRs.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Despite the returns of WRs Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, WR Josh Palmer led Chargers receivers in Sunday night's loss to the Chiefs. Palmer paced the team in targets (10), receptions (8), yards (106) and claimed both of QB Justin Herbert's TD throws. Williams' early departure after he aggravated his sprained ankle certainly helped. Allen, meanwhile, finished 2nd in targets (8), catches (5) and yards (94). No other charger drew more than 3 targets. We'll see about Williams' status heading into a Week 12 visit to Arizona.

View all Josh Palmer Shark Bites »

Chargers WRs Mike Williams (ankle) and Keenan Allen (hamstring) are active for tonight’s game vs. the Chiefs. Both guys were limited in Wednesday and Thursday’s practices and upgraded to full participation on Friday. Their presence is excellent news for QB Justin Herbert.

View all Mike Williams Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Keenan Allen, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 109.6
Position Rank #56 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
404
647
647
Dynasty Write-up
Allen has finished 5 straight years among the top 13 PPR wideouts. He will be 30 when the coming season begins, so it's fair to wonder about decline. To that end, Allen posted a career-low 3.4 yards after catch per reception in 2021 and his fewest yards per route run since 2014. There's some sell potential, but Allen's also holdable with a contract that has him tied to Justin Herbert through 2024. (That deal does carry more cuttable dead-money numbers in 2023 and 2024, however, in case Allen starts to fall off.)

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