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Keenan Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Keenan Allen
LAC

WR LAC

#11 Wide Receiver

174 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 7
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 29
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 206
40 Time: 4.58

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

6.5

DS Projection

9.8

Consensus

38 other sites
10

Med Ceiling

14.1

Rest of
Season

10.5

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.8 74.3 0.4 9.8
Weekly Writeup
Allen has watched Mike Williams hog the fantasy points early this season. But Allen's usage has remained strong: He ranks 3rd among WRs in targets and 5th in expected fantasy points. Big games are coming.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.2 74 0.5 10.5
Week 5
Through the first 5 weeks of the season, it looks like Allen has taken a backseat to Mike Williams. Even though the targets (51 to 48) and routes (207 to 187) still lean Allen, the production has pretty much all gone to Williams. Williams’ 471 yards and 6 TDs are way out-pacing Allen at 369 and 1. It might be possible that some regression is coming for both players as the production starts to mirror closer to the usage. This could make Allen a buy low. Allen still has a great floor in PPR formats as he caught 6-75 on 9 targets in Week 5.
The tide could turn as early as this week as the Ravens have allowed 49% of their WR production to the slot. This is roughly 13% higher than the league average, which could lead to a solid day for Allen. Currently sitting as the WR18 in PPR on the season, Allen should be viewed as a strong WR2 in Week 6.
Week 4
Allen caught 7 of 11 targets for just 36 yards in the Chargers' Week 4 win over the Raiders.
Allen has had a couple of slow weeks with the Chargers throwing him a lot of balls right by the line of scrimmage.
Herbert did miss Allen open down the field a couple of times and Allen uncharacteristically dropped 2 passes.
Allen is a borderline WR1 every week in this prolific offense.
Week 2
Allen is a dynamic, dangerous receiver. He had 4 catches in 8 targets for 108 yards vs. Dallas, including a 42-yard gain in the 3rd quarter. He has exceeded 100 yards in each of the 1st 2 games. A game at Kansas City on Sunday most likely means a high-powered passing game on each side. The Chiefs’ pass defense has played well this season, ranking 10th in yardage allowed. They’ll have to contend with both Allen and WR Mike Williams this week.
Week 1
In the new-look, Joe Lombardi offense, Allen picked up right where he left off before injuring his hamstring at the end of the 2020 season, and that was with a massive 13-target game. Although he hauled in 9 of those passes, he did commit an important drop that not only would have padded his yardage total, but it also led to the Chargers stalling out on what may have been a TD drive in a low-scoring game.

There’s not much to say here, other than to be excited that Allen, as one of the best route runners in the NFL, will continue to be heavily used in the passing attack in most games that he plays. Even though he’s not a big-play machine, he’ll continue to post decent yardage per catch with volume making him one of the highest floor players at WR. He’s one of the few players who’s almost matchup proof.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Allen ranked 5th among WRs in targets (147), 5th in catches (100), 17th in yards (992) and 12th in TDs (8) last year.
  • And he did it essentially in 12 games. Allen missed the final 2 games of the season with a hamstring injury, left Week 5 after just 12 snaps with a back injury and was limited to 24 snaps in Week 15 with a bum hammy.
  • In those 12 healthy games, Allen averaged 11.8 targets, 8.1 catches, 78.8 yards and .58 TDs. That’s a full-season pace of 189 targets, 130 catches, 1,261 yards and 9 TDs. Those marks would have ranked 1st, 1st, 8th and 8th among WRs.
  • Allen’s 19.5 PPR points in those 12 games would have ranked 4th among WRs for the season; his 11.4 non-PPR points 9th.
  • That followed 3rd-, 12th- and 6th-place PPR finishes the previous 3 seasons; 3rd, 13th and 11th in non-PPR.
  • Once considered an injury risk, Allen played in all 16 games in 2017, 2018 and 2019 before dealing with the back and hamstring injuries last year.
  • Allen averaged 12.2 targets on a huge 28.8% target share in 11 healthy games with QB Justin Herbert. (Herbert didn’t play Week 1.)
  • Herbert is back for his 2nd NFL season in 2021.
  • RB Austin Ekeler and WR Mike Williams also return. But the Chargers lost TE Hunter Henry, who finished 2nd on the team with 93 targets in 14 games last year. TE Jared Cook was signed to a 1-year deal but is unlikely to soak up all of those targets Henry leaves behind.
  • In other words, Allen should see a ton of targets again in 2021.
  • He’ll be playing in a new offense under OC Joe Lombardi. He served as Lions OC in 2014 and 2015, leading the team to 12th- and 9th-place finishes in passing yards. He also spent 12 years in New Orleans working under HC Sean Payton. We’re expecting Lombardi to be an upgrade over the previous offense under HC Anthony Lynn and OC Shane Steichen.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Back and hamstring injuries got in the way a bit, but Allen was awesome when on the field last year. His scoring averages in 12 healthy games would have ranked 4th among WRs in PPR points and 9th in non-PPR. That followed 3 healthy and super productive seasons that saw him rank top 13 across fantasy formats.

Allen is still just 29, playing with an ascending QB in Justin Herbert and might even get improved play-calling this year. He’s a safe fantasy bet with top 5 upside in PPR leagues.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen has been placed on the COVID list. He was already expected to miss Sunday's finale with his hamstring injury, but now he's definitely out for that one. Allen finishes the 2020 campaign with a 100-992-8 line. It snaps his 3-year streak of 1,100+ yards but marks his 3rd 100+ catch season among the last 4. Mike Williams, Jalen Guyton and Tyron Johnson will close out the season as the Chargers' top 3 WRs.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) is not expected to play vs. the Chiefs this weekend, according to The Athletic's Daniel Popper. Allen has been battling this hamstring for a few weeks and has no reason to rush back for a meaningless finale. Mike Williams, Jalen Guyton and Tyron Johnson will close out the season as the Chargers' top 3 WRs.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) is inactive for today’s game against the Broncos. That leaves Mike Williams, Tyron Johnson and Jalen Guyton as QB Justin Herbert’s top 3 WRs today. L.A. is also without TE Hunter Henry.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) remains a game-time decision for today's tilt with the Broncos, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Rapoport adds that Allen is in a "similar situation" to last week, when he ended up playing just 36% of the offensive snaps and drawing 3 targets. He's a risky Week 16 fantasy play at seemingly far less than 100%.

Update: ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that Allen is not expected to play today. We'll continue to look for updates on the situation, but we won't get the Chargers' inactives until around 2:30 pm ET.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) is listed as questionable for this weekend’s game vs. the Broncos. He only got in a limited practice on Friday. HC Anthony Lynn labeled Allen a game-time decision earlier in the week. We’ll continue to look for updates ahead of this 4:05 pm ET kickoff, but it’s safe to assume that Allen will be at less than 100% if he suits up. That makes him a risky fantasy play after he saw just 3 targets on a 36% snap share last week.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

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