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Keenan Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKeenan Allen's Basic Stats

Keenan Allen
ADP: 3.3
Bye: 8
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 30.2
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.76
Speed Score: 84.90

Keenan Allen's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Wide Receiver

148.6 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
3.3 101.5 1075.5 7.1 2.7 0.8

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKeenan Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Allen compiled a 106-1,138-6 line in 16 games last season. (He missed Week 14 on the COVID list.)
  • He racked up 157 targets (8th among WRs) on a 25.9% target share (15th).
  • Allen finished 11th among WRs in PPR points, 15th in half-PPR and 16th in non-PPR.
  • He’s finished as a top-18 WR across scoring formats in 5 straight seasons.
  • After struggling with injuries over his first 4 NFL seasons, Allen has missed just 3 games total over the last 5 years. (And 1 of those was due to COVID.)
  • Allen’s yards per route run has declined in every season since 2017 …
    • 2017: 2.55
    • 2018: 2.32
    • 2019: 2.01
    • 2020: 1.91
    • 2021: 1.78
  • Last year’s mark ranked 28th among 89 WRs with 50+ targets.
  • Mike Williams beat Allen in both yards per route run and Pro Football Focus’ receiving grade last year.
  • Allen tallied 157 targets last year to Williams’ 129, although that gap got smaller from the 1st half of the season to the 2nd.
    • Allen out-targeted Williams 82 to 66 over the first 8 games.
    • Over their final 7 games together, Allen saw 69 targets to Williams’ 57.
  • Allen finds himself in a similar situation this season as last.
    • HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi return for year 2 with the Chargers.
    • QB Justin Herbert enters his 3rd NFL season.
    • The Chargers return 6 of last year’s top 7 target-getters. TE Jared Cook will be replaced by TE Gerald Everett, which should be a lateral move in terms of target share.
  • So Allen should again benefit from a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense. The 2021 Chargers ranked 6th in both situation-neutral pace and situation-neutral pass rate. They finished 3rd in pass attempts.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

It’s possible – maybe even likely – that Allen’s best football is behind him. His yards per route run has now declined in 4 straight seasons.

But we’re also not expecting this 30-year-old to fall off a cliff. He remains locked in as a top-2 WR with a young, stud QB on a fast-paced, pass-heavy offense.

Allen might not have the ceiling of other WRs going in his ADP range. But he’s a relatively safe bet for low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 production.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Keenan Allen, WR LAC

7:03pm EST 12/16/21

Allen active

Chargers WR Keenan Allen is officially active for tonight's game vs. the Chiefs. He should be back in his usual role after missing last week's game on the COVID list.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

The Chargers have activated WR Keenan Allen off the COVID list. He missed Sunday's win over the Giants but should be ready for the Thursday night home date with the Chiefs. His return makes it tough to like Jalen Guyton or Josh Palmer as fantasy options.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers HC Brandon Staley expects to get WR Keenan Allen back from the COVID list for Thursday night's game vs. the Chiefs, "barring a setback." We'll keep an eye on the situation. WRs Josh Palmer and Jalen Guyton played well in Allen's absence in the win over the Giants, but Allen's return would obviously be good news for QB Justin Herbert.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen (COVID) is out for Sunday's game vs. the Giants. We'll see if he can get cleared for Thursday night's showdown with the Chiefs. We're still waiting to see if close-contact Mike Williams will come off the COVID list on Saturday and play this weekend.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Keenan Allen, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 117.8
Position Rank #34 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
418
671
798
Dynasty Write-up
Allen has finished 5 straight years among the top 13 PPR wideouts. He will be 30 when the coming season begins, so it's fair to wonder about decline. To that end, Allen posted a career-low 3.4 yards after catch per reception in 2021 and his fewest yards per route run since 2014. There's some sell potential, but Allen's also holdable with a contract that has him tied to Justin Herbert through 2024. (That deal does carry more cuttable dead-money numbers in 2023 and 2024, however, in case Allen starts to fall off.)
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