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Keenan Allen - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsKeenan Allen's Basic Stats

Keenan Allen
ADP: 4.8
Bye: 5
Experience: 10 Yr(s)
Age: 31.3
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.76
Speed Score: 84.90

Keenan Allen's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.3 79.6 0.5 11
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.3 72.4 0.4 9.6

Keenan Allen's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#21 Wide Receiver

140.5 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
4.8 94.3 1026.5 6.3 2.6 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsKeenan Allen's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

The first half of Allen’s 2022 was wrecked by a hamstring injury. But he was awesome over the second half, ranking third among WRs in PPR points and sixth in non-PPR.

Allen has now finished as a top-13 WR in PPR points per game in six straight seasons. And the 31-year-old has shown no signs of decline.

First-round rookie WR Quentin Johnston adds target competition in 2023. But there’s plenty of volume in the Chargers’ pass-heavy offense to support at least another WR2-level season for Allen.

Circle his name as a likely value in your fantasy drafts.


What We Learned Last Year
  • Allen went down with a hamstring injury in the season opener. He missed the next five games, aggravated the injury in Week 7, and then missed another two games.
  • Over the final eight games, he totaled:
    • 83 targets
    • 60 catches
    • 675 yards
    • 4 TDs
  • Only Justin Jefferson saw more targets than Allen over that span. No WR caught more balls.
  • Allen garnered 26.6% of Chargers targets from Week 11 on, the 15th-biggest target share among WRs.
  • He ranked third among WRs in PPR points over his final eight games; sixth in non-PPR.
  • Allen underachieved in the TD department last year. He scored four times on 66 catches. That 6.1% TD rate is well below the league average of 7.5%, and below Allen’s career average of 6.6%.
  • Allen has averaged 6+ catches and 70+ yards per game in six straight seasons.
  • His finishes in PPR points per game:
    • 2017 - 4th
    • 2018 - 12th
    • 2019 - 8th
    • 2020 - 6th
    • 2021 - 13th
    • 2022 - 12th
  • Allen turned 31 in April but has shown no signs of decline. In fact, he improved his Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route run from 2021 to 2022. Last year’s marks both ranked 12th among 80 WRs with 50+ targets.

What to Expect in 2023
  • The Chargers made a change at OC, canning Joe Lombardi and replacing him with Kellen Moore.
  • Like Lombardi, Moore is a pass-leaning play caller. Three of his four Cowboys offenses ranked top 10 in both pass attempts and yards. The Chargers should again be near the top of the league in pass attempts this season.
  • Allen will face additional target competition with the arrival of first-round WR Quentin Johnston. But the 6’3, 208-pounder figures to spend most of his time outside the numbers, making him a bigger threat to Mike Williams and, especially, Josh Palmer.
  • The Chargers ranked top 7 in total WR catches, yards, and PPR points last season, so there’s plenty of production to go around.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Keenan Allen, WR LAC

6:59pm EDT 9/17/23

Keenan Allen, Mike Williams pay off in Week 2

Chargers WR Keenan Allen found the end zone twice in Sunday's OT loss vs. the Titans, totaling 8 receptions on 10 targets for 111 yards. Allen's 31.1 PPR points are a strong contender for this week's No. 1 at the WR position. Teammate Mike Williams also had an effective game, leading Los Angeles with 13 targets and posting 8 catches for 83 yards. We'd anticipated a pass-happy approach for this Chargers' offense under new OC Kellen Moore in 2023, and this week was an example of why fantasy managers should be excited to start this duo in lineups weekly. Week 3's matchup vs. the Vikings should present another excellent spot for solid production for both Allen and Williams.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers QB Justin Herbert finished Week 1 with just 228 passing yards and 1 TD. A short-range toss to TE Donald Parham accounted for his only passing score. Herbert added a second score on a QB sneak, but there wasn’t much to speak of otherwise. Keenan Allen led the way with 6 grabs for 76 yards. Mike Williams — who left briefly for a concussion check — tallied just 45 yards on 4 catches. And Round 1 rookie Quentin Johnston mixed in for only 9 yards on 2 receptions. Overall, a slow start isn’t a total surprise given the presence of new OC Kellen Moore (plus a talented Miami defense). Keep expectations high for Sunday’s matchup at Tennessee.

View all Justin Herbert Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen "has been the focal receiver in [OC] Kellen Moore’s offense during camp," The Athletic's Daniel Popper writes. Moore has been moving Allen all over the formation, and QB Justin Herbert "has trusted Allen to go up and make a play on contested balls." Injury is the only thing that can stop Allen from turning in a big 2023 fantasy season in this high-scoring Chargers offense.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Chargers WR Keenan Allen says he is splitting his time between lining up inside and outside in training camp. That's different from his role under OC Joe Lombardi the past two years. "I was stuck in the slot all the time," Allen said Tuesday, according to Alex Insdorf of Chargers Wire. Indeed, Allen spent 62.6% and 64.3% of pass snaps in the slot the past two years. That followed four years of rates from ranging 49.2% to 54.3%. It sounds like we should expect a return to that range. That should help his average target depth at least a little. Allen also saw his yards per route dip to 1.81 over the past two years vs. 2.09 for the previous four. Just another reason you should chase pieces of the Chargers offense in your drafts. See where Allen and crew sit in our fantasy football rankings.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

The first half of Chargers WR Keenan Allen's 2022 season was wrecked by a hamstring injury. But he was a fantasy football stud over the second half. Allen led all WRs with 60 catches over his final eight games and ranked second to only Justin Jefferson with 83 targets. Allen scored the third most PPR points at his position over those eight contests. He's now finished as a top-13 WR in PPR points per game in six straight seasons and has shown no signs of decline, ranking 12th among 80 qualifying WRs in both Pro Football Focus receiving grade and yards per route run last year. Even with the addition of first-round rookie WR Quentin Johnston, Allen looks like a rock-solid WR2 pick in fantasy football drafts. See exactly where he lands in our WR Rankings.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Keenan Allen, WR LAC
Dynasty MVP 72.2
Position Rank #63 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
265
382
522
Dynasty Write-up
Hamstring trouble cost Allen a big chunk of 2022. His 10 games played marked his fewest since 2016. So, at 31, his best days are surely behind him. Still, as long as he’s tied to QB Justin Herbert, Allen should remain productive when healthy. The veteran WR is currently under contract through the 2024 season.
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