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Mark Andrews - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Mark Andrews
BAL

TE BAL

#4 Tight End

129 Projected Points

ADP: 5.4
Bye: 8
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 25
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 256
40 Time: 4.58

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#4 Tight End

129 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
5.4 65 814 8 1

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Low Floor

113.5

DS Projection

129

Consensus

38 other sites
136.2

Low Ceiling

150.9

Ceiling Likelihood

Medium
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

- Boosted by the departure of Hayden Hurst, Andrews nearly matched his target total from 2019 last year (105 vs. 104). He saw a strong 22.4% target share.

- Andrews ranked a distant 4th in PPR points per game (12.2), behind Travis Kelce (20.8), Darren Waller (17.5) and George Kittle (15.6).

- Compared to 2019, Andrews’ yards per catch dropped from 13.1 to 11.7. His catch rate went from 65.4% to 62.9%.

- His yards per route run dropped significantly (2.68 vs. 1.86).

- Andrews’ drop rate remained high — 10.8% — a year after posting a 9.3% rate.

- Beyond volume, TDs were the difference-maker. Andrews scored 2 TDs twice over the first 4 weeks. But he totaled 3 scores over his final 10 games.

- TDs have been Andrews’ calling card through 3 seasons. He scored 7 times in 2020, giving him a career TD rate of 12.8%.

- Andrews’ dip in production came alongside some regression from Lamar Jackson. After an MVP campaign in 2019, Jackson’s volume, completion rate, yards per attempt and QBR all declined.

- Andrews missed 2 late-season games on the COVID-19 list. He missed only 1 game from 2018-2019.

- The 2021 Ravens look much stronger around Andrews. Sammy Watkins — while unreliable — adds a talent boost to this unit. Round 1 pick Rashod Bateman brings the separation skills to produce immediately.

- Marquise Brown, only 24, returns after reaching 58-769-8 on 100 targets last year.

- OC Greg Roman returns for his 3rd season in the same role. Baltimore’s ranked last in pass attempts for 2 straight seasons, but Roman has made offseason comments to suggest they’ll go a bit more pass heavy. HC John Harbaugh even indicated a larger receiving role for the backfield (mainly J.K. Dobbins).

- Over the summer, Andrews will attend a new TE summit — Tight End University — lead by Travis Kelce, George Kittle and Greg Olsen. The experience can only help Andrews entering a contract year.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Andrews has tallied back to back top-6 fantasy finishes. He’s done so with favorable volume and an elevated TD rate.

Both of those key factors are at risk of declining in 2021. Historically, TD production is fickle -- especially for pass catchers. In addition, rookie WR Rashod Bateman looked like a legit Round 1 talent on tape and was drafted as such. If he hits right away, Andrews’ fantasy stock could suffer.

At bottom, the TE's early Round 5 ADP is simply unattractive.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews has been activated from the COVID list. That puts him on track to return for Monday night's game vs. the Browns. Andrews posted 7-61 and 5-96-1 lines on 16 total targets in his last 2 games and now gets Cleveland's 30th-ranked TE defense. He scored twice in the 1st meeting against the Browns back in Week 1.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews remains on the COVID list and is not expected to play against the Cowboys on Tuesday, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Andrews should be on fantasy benches. His absence is a hit to QB Lamar Jackson's upside.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews has tested positive for COVID and will miss Tuesday night's game against the Steelers, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. With TE Nick Boyle out for the season, Luke Willson is left as Baltimore's top TE.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews (thigh) is active for today’s game against the Bengals. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and limited again in Friday's practice, but we never heard any concern over his status. Andrews remains a must-start.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews (thigh) is listed as questionable for this weekend's game against the Bengals. He was added to the injury report on Thursday and limited again in Friday's practice. We haven't heard anything to suggest that Andrews is in danger of missing this one, but check back around noon ET on Sunday to make sure Andrews is active.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

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