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Mark Andrews - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Mark Andrews
BAL

TE BAL

#4 Tight End

129 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 8
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 256
40 Time: 4.58

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

4.8

DS Projection

8.5

Consensus

38 other sites
9

Med Ceiling

12.5

Rest of
Season

8.2

Week 6 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.7 60.9 0.4 8.5
Weekly Writeup
Andrews has finished as a top 13 fantasy TE in 4 straight games, including a 1st-place finish last week. The Chargers have been tough on WRs but rank a middling 15th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.2 52 0.5 8.2
Week 5
Lamar Jackson, Hollywood Brown, and Andrews led an incredible comeback on Monday Night Football, scoring twice and converting two 2 PT conversions in the 4th quarter. Andrews has always been one of Jackson’s favorite targets, but the connection was on full display against the Colts. Andrews saw 13 targets, good for a 30.2% target share. He was also on the field for 56 out of 73 snaps, so he is seeing elite level target share and snap counts. Andrews finished with 11 catches for 147 yards and 2 TDs. This week, Andrews will be going against a Chargers defense that has given up over 400 yards to TEs this season and has allowed a score to TEs in 4 out of their 5 games. Andrews is our overall TE3 this week against Los Angeles.
Week 4
Andrews is back on track after a bumpy 2 weeks. Against Denver, he caught 5 of his team-high 8 targets for 67 yards. His 8 targets are the most he has seen thus far, topping the 7 he saw last week.

Going forward, Andrews remains an upper echelon option that may not be Kelce or Waller but is a part of the tier below them. He sees a ton of volume while clearly having a special connection with Lamar Jackson. He should be a really strong play the rest of the way.
Week 3
After being targeted 5 times in each of the first 2 games, Andrews tied for the team lead with 7 targets against the Lions. The matchup couldn’t have been better because Detroit was leaving open areas in the middle of the field on a consistent basis, allowing Andrews to not only have easy receptions, but there was plenty of yardage to be had after the catch. Although he didn’t score, Lamar Jackson’s best 2 opportunities for TD passes in the red zone were targets that went to Marquise Brown and Devin Duvernay.

Although Andrews posted 100 yards in this game, it was the first time in 3 games he surpassed 57 yards, and he’s yet to find the end zone. Optimists may be looking for positive TD regression, but with Sammy Watkins on the field and Rashod Bateman expected back from the IR in the near future, Andrews is no longer the only game in town for Lamar Jackson in the red zone, so it wouldn’t be a shock to see him underperform from a TD standpoint. And before this game, he was targeted 5 times in each of the first 2 games, as Watkins has already cut into his target share.
Week 2
Andrews continues to put up solid production in this run-first offense. He appears to be behind Hollywood Brown in the pecking order this year. However, Andrews has always been a favorite target for Lamar Jackson.

Andrews made a smart play late in the 2nd quarter to make a catch and fight to get out of bounds preserving the Ravens an opportunity at a late FG attempt. Andrews finished 3rd in targets for the Ravens in this one with 5. He ended the night securing all 5 targets for 57 yards.

Detroit has allowed moderate production from the TE spot this season and we have him ranked at TE7 this week against the Lions. We have Andrews at TE8 the rest of the way. He is a great option and will continue to see looks from Jackson anytime he needs a big play.
Week 1
Monday night was rough for Andrews. He caught 3 of his 5 targets for just 20 yards. This was not the stat line those that targeted Andrews looked for when they drafted him in the early part of drafts. A season ago, Andrews only had 3 games where he saw 5 or fewer targets. Time will tell whether the volume will return to previous form or if the additions of Sammy Watkins and eventually Rashod Bateman will limit the potential upside of Andrews. For now, Andrews remains a no-doubt TE1 given the position's thin nature.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Boosted by the departure of Hayden Hurst, Andrews nearly matched his target total from 2019 last year (105 vs. 104). He saw a strong 22.4% target share.
  • Andrews ranked a distant 4th in PPR points per game (12.2), behind Travis Kelce (20.8), Darren Waller (17.5) and George Kittle (15.6).
  • Compared to 2019, Andrews’ yards per catch dropped from 13.1 to 11.7. His catch rate went from 65.4% to 62.9%.
  • His yards per route run dropped significantly (2.68 vs. 1.86).
  • Andrews’ drop rate remained high — 10.8% — a year after posting a 9.3% rate.
  • Beyond volume, TDs were the difference-maker. Andrews scored 2 TDs twice over the first 4 weeks. But he totaled 3 scores over his final 10 games.
  • TDs have been Andrews’ calling card through 3 seasons. He scored 7 times in 2020, giving him a career TD rate of 12.8%.
  • Andrews’ dip in production came alongside some regression from Lamar Jackson. After an MVP campaign in 2019, Jackson’s volume, completion rate, yards per attempt and QBR all declined.
  • Andrews missed 2 late-season games on the COVID-19 list. He missed only 1 game from 2018-2019.
  • The 2021 Ravens look much stronger around Andrews. Sammy Watkins — while unreliable — adds a talent boost to this unit. Round 1 pick Rashod Bateman brings the separation skills to produce immediately.
  • Marquise Brown, only 24, returns after reaching 58-769-8 on 100 targets last year.
  • OC Greg Roman returns for his 3rd season in the same role. Baltimore’s ranked last in pass attempts for 2 straight seasons, but Roman has made offseason comments to suggest they’ll go a bit more pass heavy. HC John Harbaugh even indicated a larger receiving role for the backfield (mainly J.K. Dobbins).
  • Over the summer, Andrews will attend a new TE summit — Tight End University — lead by Travis Kelce, George Kittle and Greg Olsen. The experience can only help Andrews entering a contract year.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Andrews has tallied back to back top-6 fantasy finishes. He’s done so with favorable volume and an elevated TD rate.

Both of those key factors are at risk of declining in 2021. Historically, TD production is fickle -- especially for pass catchers. In addition, rookie WR Rashod Bateman looked like a legit Round 1 talent on tape and was drafted as such. If he hits right away, Andrews’ fantasy stock could suffer.

At bottom, the TE's early Round 5 ADP is simply unattractive.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Ravens have agreed to a 4-year extension with TE Mark Andrews. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports that it will average $14 million. ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reports that $37.6 million of the $56 million is guaranteed. This doesn't change anything for Andrews' fantasy outlook, other than to assure he stays in Baltimore for a while.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews needed to be helped off the practice field Thursday morning, but it doesn't sound like it'll be a lingering issue. HC John Harbaugh said afterward that Andrews was dealing with "some pretty serious cramping," thanks to a spike in humidity. Andrews got fluids via IV but should rebound quickly.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews has been activated from the COVID list. That puts him on track to return for Monday night's game vs. the Browns. Andrews posted 7-61 and 5-96-1 lines on 16 total targets in his last 2 games and now gets Cleveland's 30th-ranked TE defense. He scored twice in the 1st meeting against the Browns back in Week 1.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews remains on the COVID list and is not expected to play against the Cowboys on Tuesday, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. Andrews should be on fantasy benches. His absence is a hit to QB Lamar Jackson's upside.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

Ravens TE Mark Andrews has tested positive for COVID and will miss Tuesday night's game against the Steelers, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. With TE Nick Boyle out for the season, Luke Willson is left as Baltimore's top TE.

View all Mark Andrews Shark Bites »

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