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Matthew Stafford - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMatthew Stafford's Basic Stats

Matthew Stafford
ADP: 7.4
Bye: 7
Experience: 13 Yr(s)
Age: 34.3
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.81
SPARQx (Rank): 87.50 (42%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.90 (33%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.53 (45%)

Matthew Stafford's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#15 Quarterback

333.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
7.4 421.9/625 4968.8 35 13.8 29 69.6 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMatthew Stafford's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • In his debut season with the Rams, Stafford finished 3rd league-wide with 4,886 passing yards and 2nd with 41 passing TDs.
  • Here’s where he ranked in other key metrics:
    • 10th in completion rate (67.2%)
    • 3rd in yards per attempt (8.1)
    • 5th in adjusted yards per attempt (8.2)
    • 9th in Pro Football Focus passing grade
    • 9th in Football Outsiders DVOA
  • Stafford finished 5th or 6th among QBs in fantasy points, depending on the scoring system.
  • He scored as a top-12 fantasy QB in 11 weeks – tied for 3rd most.
  • Stafford’s 5 top-5 weeks were tied for 6th most among QBs.
  • The Rams return last year’s top 3 target-getters in WR Cooper Kupp, WR Van Jefferson and TE Tyler Higbee.
    • Kupp alone accounted for 41.2% of Stafford’s 2021 passing fantasy points.
  • WR Robert Woods was traded to the Titans in March. WR Odell Beckham remains unsigned as of mid-June after tearing his ACL in the Super Bowl.
    • Those 2 combined for 19.3% of the Rams’ targets, 17.7% of the catches, 17.6% of the receiving yards and 22.0% of the receiving TDs last year.
  • The Rams signed WR Allen Robinson to a 3-year, $46.5 million deal in free agency.
    • Robinson is coming off an ugly 2021, missing 5 games and finishing with a 38-410-1 line. He dealt with shaky QB play but also posted a career-worst Pro Football Focus receiving grade, ranking 65th among 89 qualifying WRs.
    • Robinson ranked 5th and 12th in PFF receiving grade the previous 2 years.
    • He turns 29 in August and is entering his 9th NFL season. Our aging curves show that we should expect 78% of peak production from a WR in year 9.
  • The Rams lost LT Andrew Whitworth to retirement and RG Austin Corbett to Carolina in free agency.
    • Joe Noteboom, who has just 672 career snaps at LT, is expected to replace Whitworth.
    • 3rd-round rookie Logan Bruss is penciled in at RG.
    • This unit might take a significant step back after ranking 13th in PFF pass-blocking grades last year.
  • Despite ranking 11th in offensive pace and 4th in situation-neutral pace, the Rams finished just 18th with 62.2 offensive snaps per game last year.
    • That was down from 68.0, 65.9 and 66.3 plays per game the previous 3 seasons.
    • The Rams are a good bet to run more plays – and, therefore, throw more passes – this year.
  • Stafford got an injection in his right elbow after the Super Bowl to address an issue that bothered him during last season. He didn’t throw during the offseason program but is expected to be throwing by training camp.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Stafford was awesome in his Rams debut, winning a Super Bowl and finishing 5th or 6th among QBs in fantasy points.

He returns to the same offense in 2022, along with WR Cooper Kupp, WR Van Jefferson and TE Tyler Higbee. But Stafford will be dealing with the departures of WRs Robert Woods and Odell Beckham – plus 2 of last year’s offensive line starters.

We’re projecting a slight step back in Stafford’s numbers this year. But he’s a safe bet for at least low-end QB1 production.

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Matthew Stafford, QB LAR

7:59am EDT 6/9/22

Stafford expects to be throwing by training camp

Rams QB Matt Stafford said Wednesday that he'll "definitely" be throwing by training camp, per ESPN's Sarah Barshop. Stafford hasn't thrown during the offseason program so far after receiving an injection in his right elbow after the Super Bowl. "I'm progressing kind of into that and through [being able to throw] at the moment," Stafford said. "So I'm just trying to make sure we're smart, but at the same [time] be as ready to go as I can possibly be come Day 1 when we're out there throwing the ball around." Stafford's health will certainly be worth monitoring as we get into August.

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Per beat writer Jourdan Rodrigue, Rams QB Matt Stafford “won’t throw much, if at all, through voluntary spring workouts.” Rodrigue points out that Stafford had an injection in his throwing elbow over the spring, so a conservative offseason approach is wise. The 34-year-old will enter his 14th season in the league this fall.

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The Rams and QB Matt Stafford agreed to a 4-year, $160 million extension with $135 million guaranteed. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport notes that it's "effectively a 3-year extension" with "added years for cap purposes." So consider Stafford signed with the Rams through the 2024 season.

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This week's Seahawks-Rams game has been moved from Sunday to Tuesday, according to multiple reports, as the Rams deal with a rash of COVID positives. This game won't be on the DFS main slate but will still count for Week 15 in season-long leagues. We'll see if RB Darrell Henderson, WR Odell Beckham and WR Tyler Lockett are able to clear COVID protocols in time for the game.

Update: This game will kick off at 7 pm ET on Tuesday.

View all Odell Beckham Jr. Shark Bites »

Rams QB Matt Stafford's health is "certainly an issue," ESPN's Dianna Russini reports. Stafford is dealing with elbow pain and a chronic back issue, per Russini. Stafford has looked banged up on a few occasions this season and struggled in his last 2 outings prior to the bye. He's not listed on the Week 12 injury report, and we're not altering Stafford's projections vs. the Packers today. But his health will be worth keeping a close eye on the rest of the way.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Matthew Stafford, QB LAR
Dynasty MVP 295.7
Position Rank #18 QB
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Dynasty Write-up
Stafford’s first season in L.A. turned up 41 TDs, matching his 2011 career-high. He’s 34, though. We'll see if Odell Beckham returns, but the Rams already swapped out Robert Woods for bounce-back hopeful Allen Robinson.

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