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Matthew Stafford - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMatthew Stafford's Basic Stats

Matthew Stafford
ADP: N/A
Bye: 6
Experience: 15
Age: 36.7
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.81

SPARQx (Rank): 87.50 (40%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.90 (31%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.53 (47%)

Matthew Stafford's Weekly Outlook

Week 6 Projections

This player does not have a weekly prediction

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
209.2 1.4 0.7 2 13.2

Matthew Stafford's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#29 Quarterback

218.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 297.6/466.5 3483.4 22.7 11 18.9 34.7 2.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMatthew Stafford's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

Stafford finished just 18th among QBs in fantasy points per game last year. He got hot down the stretch, though, ranking sixth from Week 12 to 17.

He’s capable of QB1 production in 2024 if he gets healthy seasons from WRs Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. But the fantasy ceiling isn’t exciting because Stafford offers next to nothing as a runner.

He’s also one of the biggest injury risks at the position. That leaves Stafford well into QB2 territory in the rankings.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Stafford finished 15th among QBs in total fantasy points and 18th in points per game.
  • He injured his right thumb late in the first half of Week 8 and missed Week 9. Stafford also sat out a meaningless regular-season finale.
  • Stafford finished as a top-10 QB in four of his final six games. But he had no other top-10 finishes and ranked outside the top 14 in his first 11 outings.
  • He ranked just 23rd among QBs in fantasy points per game through Week 11. He ranked sixth from Week 12 to 17.
    • Stafford’s passing yards per game climbed from 251.1 through Week 11 to 284.2 from Week 12 to 17.
    • But the biggest change came in the TD department. He averaged just 1.0 TDs per game on a 2.9% TD rate through Week 11. He then averaged 2.5 TDs per game on a 7.1% TD rate from Week 12 to 17.
  • Stafford notably had a healthy Cooper Kupp for each of those final six games. Kupp missed all or most of five of Stafford’s first 11 outings.
  • Stafford set a career high and ranked seventh among 33 qualifying QBs in Pro Football Focus passing grade.
    • He went from an 80.2 passing grade from Week 1 to 11 to an 80.6 from Week 12 to 16.
  • Stafford ranked just 29th among QBs in fantasy points per game in an injury-wrecked 2022 season. He ranked 11th in his Rams debut in 2021.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Stafford is back for his fourth season with HC Sean McVay. Mike LaFleur returns for his second season as Rams OC.
  • Last year’s top 4 WRs – Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, Demarcus Robinson, and Tutu Atwell – are all back.
  • TE Tyler Higbee is unlikely to be ready for the start of the season after tearing his right ACL and MCL in the Wild Card loss to the Lions.
  • The Rams added TE Colby Parkinson on a three-year, $22.5 million free-agent deal. He was a part-time player across four seasons with the Seahawks but posted an above-average 7.9 yards per target.
  • The 2023 Rams ranked:
    • 20th in Pro Football Focus pass-blocking grades
    • 21st in ESPN’s pass block win rate
  • They signed G Jonah Jackson to a three-year, $51 million deal in free agency and will hope to get healthier seasons from LT Alaric Jackson, RT Rob Havenstein, and G Kevin Dotson, who all missed time last year.
  • Stafford is one of the biggest injury risks at QB.
    • Our Injury Predictor gives him an 80.3% chance of injury this season, the second-highest among QBs behind only Justin Fields.
    • Stafford is projected to miss 2.7 games – third most among QBs.
  • Stafford will add very little fantasy value with his legs. He’s averaged just 2.9 rushing yards per game across his three seasons with the Rams and scored only one rushing TD.

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Cooper Kupp, WR LAR

5:57pm EDT 9/16/24

Cooper Kupp Might Land on IR

Rams HC Sean McVay says WR Cooper Kupp is expected to miss “an extended period of time” and might hit IR, according to ESPN’s Sarah Barshop. If IR is just a maybe, that indicates the timeline sits around four games. With Puka Nacua already out, there’s clear opportunity the next few weeks for other Rams WRs and TE Colby Parkinson. You can also expect to not see QB Matthew Stafford high in our weekly rankings. Check your Free Agent Finder to see who might make sense for your situation

View all Cooper Kupp Shark Bites »

Rams HC Sean McVay said Monday that the team is placing WR Puka Nacua on IR after he aggravated his right knee injury in Sunday night's loss to the Lions, Jourdan Rodrigue of The Athletic reports. Nacua is dealing with a PCL sprain that he reportedly hurt in a "more significant" way against Detroit.

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The Rams have regularly been among the league leaders in '11' personnel (3-WR) usage under HC Sean McVay. But The Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue speculates that the Rams might use more '12' packages (2 WRs, 2 TEs) this season.

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The Rams signed QB Jimmy Garoppolo to a one-year deal. He was decent for the Raiders early last season but then suffered a back injury and struggled when he returned, eventually getting benched. Garoppolo is a subpar NFL starter but a quality backup for the Rams behind 36-year-old Matt Stafford.

View all Jimmy Garoppolo Shark Bites »

The Rams will start QB Carson Wentz in Sunday's game against the 49ers, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo. They'll be resting Matthew Stafford in a game they don't need for playoff positioning. That revelation likely confirms that WRs Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua and RB Kyren Williams will also sit. Beyond that, we'll see. We'd be surprised if Demarcus Robinson has elevated to the point of being rested in this game, but we'll be watching for specific reports ahead of Sunday's kick.

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Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Matthew Stafford, QB LAR
Dynasty MVP -6.1
Position Rank #31 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
539
849
1,322
Dynasty Write-up
Stafford is under contract through the 2026 season, but he's no lock to make it that far. The 35-year-old saw his 2022 end following a spinal cord injury. He also suffered a concussion in November of that year. Stafford showed well in 2023, however, while the emergence of Puka Nacua has been a game-changer.
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