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Matthew Stafford - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsMatthew Stafford's Basic Stats

Matthew Stafford
Bye: 7
Experience: 13 Yr(s)
Age: 34.9
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 220
40 Time: 4.81
SPARQx (Rank): 87.50 (42%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.90 (33%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.53 (45%)

Matthew Stafford's Weekly Outlook

Week 21 Projections

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Rest Of Way Outlook

Matthew Stafford's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#8 Quarterback

327.5 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 421.9/625 4900.8 34 13.3 29 69.6 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsMatthew Stafford's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:
  • In his debut season with the Rams, Stafford finished 3rd league-wide with 4,886 passing yards and 2nd with 41 passing TDs.
  • Here’s where he ranked in other key metrics:
    • 10th in completion rate (67.2%)
    • 3rd in yards per attempt (8.1)
    • 5th in adjusted yards per attempt (8.2)
    • 9th in Pro Football Focus passing grade
    • 9th in Football Outsiders DVOA
  • Stafford finished 5th or 6th among QBs in fantasy points, depending on the scoring system.
  • He scored as a top-12 fantasy QB in 11 weeks – tied for 3rd most.
  • Stafford’s 5 top-5 weeks were tied for 6th most among QBs.
  • The Rams return last year’s top 3 target-getters in WR Cooper Kupp, WR Van Jefferson and TE Tyler Higbee.
    • Kupp alone accounted for 41.2% of Stafford’s 2021 passing fantasy points.
  • WR Robert Woods was traded to the Titans in March. WR Odell Beckham remains unsigned as of mid-June after tearing his ACL in the Super Bowl.
    • Those 2 combined for 19.3% of the Rams’ targets, 17.7% of the catches, 17.6% of the receiving yards and 22.0% of the receiving TDs last year.
  • The Rams signed WR Allen Robinson to a 3-year, $46.5 million deal in free agency.
    • Robinson is coming off an ugly 2021, missing 5 games and finishing with a 38-410-1 line. He dealt with shaky QB play but also posted a career-worst Pro Football Focus receiving grade, ranking 65th among 89 qualifying WRs.
    • Robinson ranked 5th and 12th in PFF receiving grade the previous 2 years.
    • He turns 29 in August and is entering his 9th NFL season. Our aging curves show that we should expect 78% of peak production from a WR in year 9.
  • The Rams lost LT Andrew Whitworth to retirement and RG Austin Corbett to Carolina in free agency.
    • Joe Noteboom, who has just 672 career snaps at LT, is expected to replace Whitworth.
    • 3rd-round rookie Logan Bruss is penciled in at RG.
    • This unit might take a significant step back after ranking 13th in PFF pass-blocking grades last year.
  • Despite ranking 11th in offensive pace and 4th in situation-neutral pace, the Rams finished just 18th with 62.2 offensive snaps per game last year.
    • That was down from 68.0, 65.9 and 66.3 plays per game the previous 3 seasons.
    • The Rams are a good bet to run more plays – and, therefore, throw more passes – this year.
  • Stafford got an injection in his right elbow after the Super Bowl to address an issue that bothered him during last season. He didn’t throw during the offseason program but is expected to be throwing by training camp.
  • Rams HC Sean McVay spoke about QB Matthew Stafford's right elbow issue on Thursday. McVay called it "a tricky deal," "abnormal for a QB” and "things that MLB pitchers deal with," per The Athletic's Jourdan Rodriguez.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Stafford was awesome in his Rams debut, winning a Super Bowl and finishing 5th or 6th among QBs in fantasy points.

He returns to the same offense in 2022, along with WR Cooper Kupp, WR Van Jefferson and TE Tyler Higbee. But Stafford will be dealing with the departures of WRs Robert Woods and Odell Beckham – plus 2 of last year’s offensive line starters.

We’re projecting a slight step back in Stafford’s numbers this year. But he’s a safe bet for at least low-end QB1 production.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Matthew Stafford, QB LAR

11:45am EST 1/27/23

LaFleur joins Rams as OC

The Rams are hiring Mike LaFleur as their new OC, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. LaFleur replaces Liam Coen, who left Los Angeles after just 1 season to return to his previous post as Kentucky's OC. LaFleur struggled as Jets OC the past 2 years, with both of those teams finishing bottom 8 in both total yards and points. Like Rams HC Sean McVay, LaFleur comes from the Shanahan coaching tree, so there should be plenty of synergy here. McVay will still be running the show, though, so don't expect a big change to the Rams' play calling.

View all Matthew Stafford Shark Bites »

The Rams are expected to pick up QB Matt Stafford's 2023 option bonus and 2024 salary, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. It'll pay Stafford a combined $62 million in guaranteed money. There had been questions about Stafford's football future after a spinal cord contusion ended his 2022 season. He's avoided surgery, though, and is expected to be ready for the offseason program. With HC Sean McVay also returning for 2023, the Rams offense has bounce-back potential with better health and improvements along the offensive line.

View all Matthew Stafford Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Matthew Stafford, QB LAR
Dynasty MVP 205.3
Position Rank #33 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Stafford is under contract through the 2026 season, but we’d strongly bet against him making it that far. The 35-year-old saw his 2022 end following a spinal cord injury. He also suffered a concussion in November. Stafford insisted that he wouldn’t be retiring this offseason. Now, it’s up to the cash-strapped Rams to upgrade an O-line that failed its QB in 2022.

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