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Pat Freiermuth - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsPat Freiermuth's Basic Stats

Pat Freiermuth
Bye: 9
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 24.1
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 258
40 Time: 4.77

Pat Freiermuth's Weekly Outlook

Week 14 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.9 45.3 0.3 6.3
Weekly Writeup
Pittsburgh has gone run-heavy lately, resulting in just 9 targets for Freiermuth over his last 2 games. He also registered his lowest route rate in a healthy game all season last week. We can't get too picky at TE, though, especially with 6 teams on bye this week. Freiermuth is a relatively strong play at the position.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
4.5 48.6 0.4 7.3

Pat Freiermuth's 2022 Projections & Outlook


#15 Tight End

91.8 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
Not Available 62.6 606.1 5.2 0.9 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsPat Freiermuth's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • Freiermuth ranked just 25th in target share among TEs last season, but his role grew after JuJu Smith-Schuster went down. Over the 1st 5 games, Freiermuth drew just 6.7% target share. His playing time increased to 60% in the 1st game after Smith-Schuster went down, though, and grew further after the Week 7 bye.
  • From Week 6 on, Freiermuth garnered 15.1% target share. Chase Claypool tallied 16.5% over the same span (though they each missed 1 game, and not the same one).
  • Freiermuth ranked just 27th among TEs in yards per catch. He tied for 36th in average depth of target among 44 TEs with 30+ targets, according to Pro Football Focus.
  • The rookie ranked 27th in that group in slot rate and 40th in snap rate from an outside position. That means the majority of his opportunities came from a traditional, inline TE position. That plus an old QB with a deteriorating arm didn’t help Freiermuth’s yardage efficiency.
  • At Penn State, Freiermuth ran 54.4% of his pass snaps from a slot position and tallied a 9.4-yard career ADOT. That’s pretty different from the 5.6 Pittsburgh limited him to in 2021.
  • Freiermuth immediately claimed a significant red-zone role. He ranked 16th among all TEs in targets but tied for 13th at the position in end-zone targets.
  • Pittsburgh’s passing volume helped. The Steelers ranked 4th in pass attempts and passed at the league’s 3rd highest rate. But Ben Roethlisberger also ranked 8th in red-zone pass attempts and 7th in pass attempts from inside the 10.
  • The switch to either recycled Mitchell Trubisky or rookie Kenny Pickett at QB opens the question of whether we should expect less passing from the 2022 Steelers.
  • The team has let #2 TE Eric Ebron walk from last year’s roster, adding Jace Sternberger from the open market and Connor Heyward via Round 6 of the draft. The Steelers list Heyward as a TE/FB. Heyward caught 96 career passes at Michigan State, converting to TE in his final season. His 2021 numbers: 35 catches, 326 yards, 2 TDs. HC Mike Tomlin called Heyward a “Swiss army knife” after the selection.
  • Steelers TE Pat Freiermuth shared his expectations for the 2022 season. “I should be more in the range of 800, 900 (season) yards, so I think I definitely need to get (yards/reception) higher and want to push the ball down the field,”

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Freiermuth enjoyed a nice debut season. The biggest questions for him in Year 2 will be: What does the offense look like with a new QB, and what does the reshaped pass-catching corps look like? Freiermuth figures to be a central factor regardless of the pieces around him. But those other pieces will affect things such as available opportunity and efficiency of the offense on whole. We’re betting on at least some decrease in team passing volume. What adds the most risk to Freiermuth in fantasy, though, is that early drafters like him inside the top 12. He certainly can finish there in Year 2, but we don’t see any reason to reach for the young Steeler rather than wait for some of the TEs we project ahead of him.

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Diontae Johnson, WR PIT

5:00pm EST 12/4/22

Johnson dominates targets; Pickens nearly invisible

Steelers WR Diontae Johnson racked up 11 targets among 28 Kenny Pickett pass attempts in Sunday's win over the Falcons. That marked a 39.3% target share, in a game that saw no other Steeler top 5 looks. TE Pat Freiermuth finished 2nd, catching 3 of 5 targets for 76 yards. RB Jaylen Warren was the only other Pittsburgh player to catch more than 1 pass. WRs George Pickens and Steven Sims matched Warren at 2 targets. Pickens caught just 1 ball for 2 yards. Next for Pittsburgh comes the season's 1st matchup with the Ravens, who have been playing the run tougher than the pass.

View all Diontae Johnson Shark Bites »

Steelers TE Pat Freiermuth doubled his nearest teammate in targets in Sunday's loss to the Bengals. His 12 looks accounted for 28.6% of Pittsburgh's total pass attempts. Freiermuth's 8 catches also doubled the nearest Steeler, while his 79 yards trailed WR George Pickens' team lead. It's the 2nd 8-catch game among the past 4 for Freiermuth, who has seen 7+ targets in 4 straight and 7 of his 8 healthy outings for the year.

View all Pat Freiermuth Shark Bites »

Steelers WR Diontae Johnson caught 4 balls for 63 yards on 5 targets to lead a lackluster passing effort in Sunday's win over the Saints. TE Pat Freiermuth tied Johnson for the team lead in catches. RB Jaylen Warren and WR George Pickens checked in next at 3 receptions apiece, with rookie TE Connor Hayward the only other Steeler to catch multiple passes. Week 11 brings a Bengals defense that has been better than New Orleans'.

View all Diontae Johnson Shark Bites »

The Bears are trading a 2nd-round pick to the Steelers in exchange for WR Chase Claypool, ESPN's Field Yates reports. It's a steep price for a guy who's been mostly disappointing since a flashy rookie season. Claypool ranks 52nd among 62 qualifying WRs in Pro Football Focus' 2022 receiving grades. His 1.03 yards per route run ranks 57th -- a bit behind teammates Diontae Johnson (1.16) and George Pickens (1.14). Of course, Claypool is still just 24 and brings a 6'4, 238-pound frame with 99th percentile athleticism. There's still intriguing fantasy upside here. Chicago is obviously a rough landing spot, though. QB Justin Fields has been better lately but remains a question mark as a passer. And this is the league's run-heaviest offense. The Bears rank dead last with just 20.0 pass attempts per game. That's climbed to 22.8 over the last 5 weeks -- but that's still not a workable number for Claypool. Consider him a WR4 unless we get a significant increase in passing volume from Chicago. Claypool's departure from Pittsburgh should mean more targets for Johnson, Pickens and TE Pat Freiermuth.

View all Chase Claypool Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Pat Freiermuth, TE PIT
Dynasty MVP 93.5
Position Rank #8 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
Dynasty Write-up
Freiermuth paid immediate dividends with 7 TDs on 60 catches. He missed just 1 game, but his 2 concussions from 2021 alone are worth monitoring. We'll see if Kenny Pickett (or Mitchell Trubisky) emerges as Pittsburgh's long-term answer at QB.

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