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Stefon Diggs - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsStefon Diggs's Basic Stats

Stefon Diggs
ADP: 1.12
Bye: 13
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 29.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 191
40 Time: 4.46
Speed Score: 97.20
SPARQx (Rank): 100.00 (37%)
Burst Score (Rank): 117.00 (29%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.35 (36%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 9.98 (40%)

Stefon Diggs's Weekly Outlook

Week 3 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
7 80 0.6 11.6
Weekly Writeup
The Commanders have allowed nearly 16.9 YPC to enemy WRs through two weeks. Diggs already looks to be in mid-season form.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
6.8 85.1 0.6 12.1

Stefon Diggs's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#5 Wide Receiver

192 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
1.12 108.5 1362.3 9.3 3.4 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsStefon Diggs's Preseason Player Analysis

View WR Fantasy Rankings »
Bottom Line

Diggs performed as a no-doubt WR1 last year, and there was nothing in his profile to forecast a major decline.

The 30-year-old (in November) might face stiffer target competition if Round 1 TE Dalton Kincaid can hit the ground running. But entering year four alongside Josh Allen, this duo has clear chemistry.

Diggs remains a top-6 WR across formats.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Diggs, 29, remained a strong WR1 in 2022. He finished top-5 in both total PPR points and PPR points per game.
  • The former Viking finished as a top-12 fantasy WR eight times. He ranked inside the top-24 11 times.
  • Diggs set a career-high with 11 TDs and 9.3 yards per target.
  • It's hard to call Diggs' TD success fluky. He saw 30% of Buffalo's red zone targets, a mark only five WRs beat.
  • He’s now tied for the league lead in catches over the past three seasons (338).
  • Diggs “missed” only one game – the Bills-Bengals cancelation (Week 17).
    • Diggs still has not missed a game due to injury in three seasons with the Bills.
  • Among 60 WRs with 70+ targets, Diggs ranked top-seven in yards per route run and Pro Football Focus receiving grade. He sat 15th in catch rate.
  • Diggs ran 34.2% of his routes out of the slot – a sizable jump from his 2021 usage (20.9%).
  • Josh Allen, now 100% healthy, played through a partially torn elbow ligament after Week 9. Diggs recorded fewer than 50 yards in four games after the injury; zero prior.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Buffalo will run it back in 2023 with all of the same key pieces.
  • Dalton Kincaid arrived as the first Round 1 pass catcher during the Josh Allen era. He won’t have a meaningful impact on Diggs’ targets.
  • OC Ken Dorsey returns for year two after orchestrating an offense that ranked third in pass rate over expected (6.1%) last year. There are no volume concerns here.
  • Josh Allen ranked third in PFF passing grade and remains squarely in his prime at 27.
  • Diggs turns 30 in November. It’s not yet an age that gives us pause based on Diggs’ current form.
  • Diggs was absent from voluntary OTAs in May. He’s voiced frustration with the Bills’ inability to get to the Super Bowl but eventually showed up for June minicamp. Diggs is under contract through the 2027 season.

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Stefon Diggs, WR BUF

11:33pm EDT 9/11/23

Stefon Diggs cooks in loss vs. Jets

Bills WR Stefon Diggs caught 10 of 13 targets for 102 yards and a TD in Monday's loss vs. the Jets. This was a classic performance from Diggs. Fantasy managers likely fared better in their matchups than Buffalo did with that stat line. Diggs will look to keep the big numbers rolling vs. the Raiders in Week 2. Also worthy of mention is that rookie TE Dalton Kincaid hauled in all 4 of his targets for 26 yards in his NFL debut. A sub-10% target share isn't the most exciting item to see from Kincaid, though any production in lineups is appreciated given the week fantasy managers had with TEs.

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Bills WR Stefon Diggs took part in the team’s mandatory minicamp on Wednesday. His absence lasted only one day. This should be a non-issue moving forward, so continue drafting Diggs as a mid-tier WR1.

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Bills WR Stefon Diggs' absence from this week's mandatory minicamp is not contract related, his agent told NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. QB Josh Allen shed some additional light on the situation this afternoon: "I know, internally, we’re working on some things not football related, but Stef, he’s my guy. Excuse my [language], I f---cking love him. He's a brother of mine. This does not work, what we're doing here, without him. We wish he was in here today and was out there on the field with us and that's not the case, but I've got his back no matter what. And again, I've got no doubt that we will figure out what's going on." Allen added that the situation is related to "teamwork" and "communication" and that part of the solution is "getting him the ball or getting more involved in the game plan." It sure sounds like Diggs wants more targets. He saw 154 of them last year, fifth-most among WRs. But he sunk from 11.0 per game over the first nine games of the season to 8.2 over the final nine (including playoffs). Diggs and the team figure to ultimately work this out. And if it leads to just a few more targets for Diggs this season, it'd certainly be good news for his fantasy value.

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Bills HC Sean McDermott said Tuesday morning that WR Stefon Diggs was not attending the team's mandatory minicamp and that he was "very concerned" about the situation. Diggs' agent told ESPN's Adam Schefter about an hour later that Diggs would be there for the minicamp. The team has since said that Diggs was present on Monday and on Tuesday morning but left before the start of Tuesday's practice. We'll continue to keep you updated on the situation. For now, Diggs isn't moving in the 2023 WR Rankings.

View all Stefon Diggs Shark Bites »

Bills WR Stefon Diggs is not attending this week's OTAs. He also skipped April's minicamp. These are "voluntary" workouts -- and Diggs is an eight-year veteran. But it's a noteworthy no-show after Diggs got in QB Josh Allen's face near the end of the playoff loss to the Bengals. We'll see if Diggs shows up to next month's mandatory minicamp. For now, we're not moving him in the 2023 WR Rankings.

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Dynasty Overview View WR Dynasty Rankings »

Stefon Diggs, WR BUF
Dynasty MVP 115.2
Position Rank #21 WR
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
410
613
862
Dynasty Write-up
Diggs remained a dynamic WR1 in 2022. Now 29, he’s under contract for 5 more seasons. We’ll see if (when?) Buffalo adds an upgrade on No. 2 WR Gabe Davis.
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