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Sterling Shepard - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Sterling Shepard
NYG

WR NYG

#63 Wide Receiver

93 Projected Points

ADP: 13.1
Bye: 10
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 194
40 Time: 4.43

2021 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#63 Wide Receiver

93 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
13.1 57 665 4 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

3d Projection

Med Floor

81.8

DS Projection

93

Consensus

38 other sites
104.4

High Ceiling

120.9

Ceiling Likelihood

Low
How likely they will reach their ceiling projection

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Shepard led the Giants with 24.1% target share over his 11 full games last season. Evan Engram checked in behind him at 22.7%, with Darius Slayton next at 17.1%.
  • Shepard has lost 4+ games to injury in 3 of his past 4 seasons. Turf toe cost him 4 contests in 2020.
  • Shepard has still averaged at least 5.4 receptions in each of those years.
  • Shepard produced a career-high 1.77 yards per route run in 2020, despite career lows in averaged depth of target (8.6), yards after catch per reception (3.1) and yards per catch (9.9).
  • A career-best 73.3% catch rate played a key role, rising vs. his 68.7% rate of 2019 and 61.7% of 2018 (before Daniel Jones arrived).
  • Shepard has seen his slot snaps decrease every season. He played in the slot 85.3% of the time as a rookie, according to PFF, then 83.3%, 58.7%, 46.8% and 32.2% the past 4 years.
  • The Giants signed Golden Tate last offseason to be the primary slot man. In the 4 games he missed, though, Shepard saw 73.9%, 65.7%, 34% and 41.4% slot snaps.
  • He’s entering the 3rd season of a 4-year, $41 million contract.
  • The Giants have added Kenny Golladay on the outside, 1st-round WR Kadarius Toney and TE Kyle Rudolph, in addition to getting Saquon Barkley back from injury. Tate is gone. The shuffling on offense could leave Shepard’s role unclear until the depth chart settles out.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We might not know exactly where Shepard will line up and how often until the regular season starts. The readiness of rookie Kadarius Toney figures to play a key role, as Toney looks like a prime candidate for slot work. But the Giants clearly like Shepard in a variety of spots. His playing time and usage remained up with the coaching change. Kenny Golladay’s arrival, however, means Shepard will probably need a teammate injury if he’s to snag the team target-share lead again. Shepard’s a fine PPR stash. But when you combine the new target challengers with a Giants offense that likely doesn’t want to pass at high volume, it’s tough to get excited about Shepard’s ceiling.

 

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Giants WR Sterling Shepard (toe) is active for tonight's game against the Eagles. It'll be his 1st action since Week 2. Shepard is a low-upside fantasy play in New York's struggling offense.

View all Sterling Shepard Shark Bites »

The Newark Star-Ledger's Zack Rosenblatt believes Giants WR Sterling Shepard (toe) is "unlikely" to play against Washington on Sunday. He's eligible to come off IR this week, but a Week 7 return looks more likely. Darius Slayton, Golden Tate and Evan Engram will continue to operate as the top 3 options in the Giants' passing game.

View all Sterling Shepard Shark Bites »

The Giants expect WR Sterling Shepard to return to practice this week, according to the team's official website. Shepard missed the past 3 games with a toe injury. HC Joe Judge said he wants to see Shepard practice before determining whether the wideout will be ready to come off IR for Sunday's game against Washington. We'll watch his progress. Even if Shepard doesn't play in Week 6, he's worth a look as a potential Week 6 waiver pickup in leagues that saw him dropped.

View all Sterling Shepard Shark Bites »

The Giants have placed WR Sterling Shepard on IR. So he'll miss at least the next 3 games with his turf toe. That's an injury that tends to linger, so we'll see exactly when Shepard is able to get back on the field. His absence will mean more targets for WR Darius Slayton, WR Golden Tate and TE Evan Engram.

View all Sterling Shepard Shark Bites »

Giants WR Sterling Shepard came away from Sunday's loss to the Bears with turf toe. According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, he's expected to miss at least this week's clash with the 49ers. Shepard's return timeline beyond that is not yet clear.

View all Sterling Shepard Shark Bites »

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