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Zach Ertz - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Zach Ertz
ARI

TE ARI

#19 Tight End

77 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 31
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 248
40 Time: 4.67

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

4.7

DS Projection

7.2

Consensus

38 other sites
8

Med Ceiling

10.3

Rest of
Season

Week 19 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
5.5 53.9 0.3 7.2
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Week 14
Ertz caught 5 of his 7 targets for 42 yards on Monday. While it was not a massive performance, this kind of rock solid production is great to see from the TE position.

Since joining the Cardinals, Ertz has seen 4+ targets in every game, a number that has ramped up in recent weeks. If you take out the Bears game where Arizona threw just 15 times, he has averaged 7 targets per game over their last 3 contests.

There is little reason to expect Ertz to not remain a viable option going forward. If he is your TE1 at this point he is a great plug and play TE.
Week 13
Although Ertz had his first poor statistical game since joining the Cardinals at the trade deadline, this one can be written off as an anomaly. With the Cardinals playing with a lead throughout, and the game being impacted by heavy winds and rain that lasted the entire game, Kyler Murray only threw 15 passes, so there was very little production available for the pass catchers. In terms of targets, Ertz only had 2, but he was actually tied (with a number of teammates) for 2nd on the team with Christian Kirk leading the team with 3 targets.

Ertz came into this game having posted at least 42 yards in 4 of 5 games, with 3 TDs during that span. It should be noted that much of his production came with Colt McCoy at QB, so there’s a chance that if the offense is more dynamic with Kyler Murray back, Ertz’s upside could be elevated. He’ll have a pair of middling matchups against the Rams and Lions before finishing the fantasy season with great matchups against the Colts and Cowboys.
Week 11
Ertz caught 8 of 9 targets for 88 yards and 2 TDs in the Cardinals' Week 11 win over the Seahawks.
Ertz has been impressive so far with the Cardinals, especially with Colt McCoy in the lineup. He had his most productive game of the season, scoring TDs from 1 and 2 yards out while getting open in the middle of the field and moving the chains.
The Cardinals go on bye in Week 12 and return for Week 13 likely with Kyler Murray healthy enough to play. Ertz should be viewed as a borderline TE1.
Week 10
It’s clear that the Arizona passing game with Colt McCoy hasn’t been as explosive. This has impacted all the pass catchers, including Zach Ertz. However, forget about the production with McCoy and focus more on the usage. Ertz was second on the team in routes, running 29 to 32 for team-leader Christian Kirk. This type of usage at the TE position is hard to come by. This will clearly lead to bigger days for Ertz once Kyler Murray returns from injury.
Ertz is someone to check your waivers for since he might have been dropped in many leagues due to bad games in the box score over the past few weeks. Even if he hasn’t been dropped, Ertz is someone to target at the trade deadline since he could be had on the cheap. Acquiring Ertz could pay off right away as the Seahawks have allowed solid games to Dan Arnold (8-68) and Pat Freiermuth (7-58) over the past few weeks.
Week 8
Ertz is a solid player in an offense not lacking for guys who can make plays. Ertz was able to set up the Cardinals in scoring position early in the game off a 20-yard reception. He was quiet the rest of the way, only seeing 4 total targets. He was able to bring in all 4 targets for 42 yards on the night. Ertz is still finding his chemistry with his new QB in an offense loaded with talented pass-catchers. We'll also see how Kyler Murray looks coming off an ankle sprain. Ertz is our TE14 this week against a 49ers’ defense that has been great against TEs this season. However, they have allowed TEs to score in each of their last two games. The next three games on the Cardinals schedule are @SF, CAR, and @SEA. At this point, Ertz is nothing more than a streamable option at a tough position for fantasy football.
Week 4
Dallas Goedert beat Ertz in targets back in Week 1. And he hasn’t done so since.

Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs found Ertz drawing 8 looks to Goedert’s 5. That followed a 7-4 target edge in Ertz’s favor at Dallas in Week 3. For the year, Ertz leads by 3 targets. And Goedert has run just 10 more routes through 4 games.

Ertz’s 6-60 receiving line against K.C. was solid. And it could have been even better. Jalen Hurts missed him in the end zone in the 1st quarter. In the 3rd, a 3-yard TD connection got nullified by offensive PI on J.J. Arcega-Whiteside.

There’s not much separating Ertz from Goedert in fantasy right now, which is much worse for Goedert than Ertz considering their large discrepancy in summer ADP.
Week 3
He scored his 1st TD since Sept. 13, 2020, on a 3-yard pass from Jalen Hurts in the 3rd quarter and caught 4 of 7 targets for 53 yards. All his catches came in the 2nd half after the game was all but over.

This is not the Zach Ertz who scored 22 TDs between 2017 and ’19. He’s back from last season’s ankle injury, but he’s 30 years old. He has given up many of his pass-catching opportunities to TE Dallas Goedert. But you can keep on eye on Ertz to see if he becomes a red-zone target.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Everything got worse for Ertz in 2020.
  • His target share fell to its lowest level since 2014, his 2nd year in the league. After seeing shares of 19.5%, 26% and 22% the past 3 seasons, Ertz dipped to 17.6% for his 11 games in 2020. That dipped to 15% in the 5 full games he and Dallas Goedert shared.
  • Just 8 TEs league wide reached 15% target share for the full season, though.
  • Ertz posted career lows in yards per catch (9.3), catch rate (50%), yards per target (4.7) and Pro Football Focus grade (57.3). He ranked 48th in receiving grade among 55 TEs who saw 20+ targets.
  • New Eagles HC Nick Sirianni spent the past 3 years coordinating a Colts offense that ranked 4th, 4th and 12th in TE target share.
  • Just 1 of those 3 Colts teams found 2 TEs finishing among the team’s top 5 in targets.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Ertz remains a trade candidate this summer. If he stays in Philly, he’ll likely head into his 9th season as the #2 TE. That marks a steep fall for a guy who was going top-5 at the position in 2020 drafts, but it wouldn’t be a death sentence. HC Nick Sirianni brings a TE-friendly past, and Philly’s shallow WR corps -- with unproven youngsters atop the depth chart -- increases the target opportunity for the TEs. Ertz looks solid as a late TE3 in best-ball drafting right now. At worst, he’ll be the 2nd TE in a positive situation for opportunity. There’s handcuff upside in case of another Goedert injury, and potential for a big boost if Ertz gets traded. We’ll see how/whether his situation changes as we move into and through summer.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cardinals TE Zach Ertz (hamstring) is active for today’s game vs. the Lions. He was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday, so there’s elevated risk here. But we haven’t heard anything about Ertz being limited today. And the matchup vs. Detroit’s 21st-ranked TE defense adds upside.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Cardinals TE Zach Ertz (hamstring) is "looking good" to play vs. the Lions today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Ertz was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday, so he carries elevated risk in Week 15 fantasy lineups. But there's still plenty of upside here with Arizona likely to put a bunch of points on the board today.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Cardinals TE Zach Ertz (hamstring) is listed as questionable for this weekend's game vs. the Lions. He was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday. We'll look for further updates on his status.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

The Eagles traded TE Zach Ertz to the Cardinals in exchange for rookie CB Tay Gowan and a 2022 fifth-round draft pick. Ertz has been on the trade block all year, and Arizona came calling after losing TE Maxx Williams to a season-ending knee injury last week. Williams averaged 4 targets in 4 healthy games this season. Ertz has a chance to exceed that mark the rest of the way, but he'll probably struggle for reliable weekly fantasy value alongside Arizona's deep WR corps. We're assuming Ertz won't play vs. the Browns this weekend after playing his final game for the Eagles last night. The real winner here is TE Dallas Goedert, who should finally get a full-time role in Philly with Ertz out of the way. See where Goedert and Ertz sit in the updated Rest-of-Season Rankings.

Update: Ertz isn't even eligible to play vs. the Browns on Sunday, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Ertz should make his Cardinals debut in Week 7 vs. the Texans.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Zach Ertz has been activated from the COVID list. So he should play vs. the Cowboys on Monday night. That's bad news for TE Dallas Goedert, who's run just 2 more pass routes than Ertz through 2 games.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

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