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Zach Ertz - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsZach Ertz's Basic Stats

Zach Ertz
ADP: 9.9
Bye: 13
Experience: 9 Yr(s)
Age: 31.6
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 250
40 Time: 4.76
Speed Score: 97.80
SPARQx (Rank): 113.80 (72%)
Burst Score (Rank): 119.10 (64%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.55 (53%)
Catch Radius (Rank): 10.05 (61%)

Zach Ertz's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#13 Tight End

95.2 Projected Points

ADP Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs 100 Fum
9.9 66.5 691.5 4.4 1 0.2

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsZach Ertz's Preseason Player Analysis

View TE Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Ertz was traded from Philadelphia to Arizona on October 15 last year. He made his Cardinals debut 9 days later in Week 7.
  • In 11 regular-season games with the Cardinals, Ertz tallied 81 targets, 56 catches, 574 yards and 3 TDs.
  • Here’s where those marks ranked among TEs over that span:
    • Targets - 2nd
    • Catches - 2nd
    • Yards - 7th
    • TDs - 9th
  • Ertz saw 20.4% of Arizona’s targets across those final 11 games. That mark would have ranked 8th among TEs for the season.
  • Ertz ranked 5th among TEs in expected PPR points per game from Week 7 on.
  • He ranked 6th at the position in actual PPR points per game.
    • Ertz scored as a top-12 TE in 7 of those 11 games, including a pair of top-5 finishes.
  • WR DeAndre Hopkins was healthy for just 3 of Ertz’s 11 games with the Cardinals.
    • Ertz averaged 4.7 targets on a 15.2% target share in those 3 games with Hopkins vs. 8.4 targets on a 22.0% share in the other 8.
  • Ertz’s 70.3 Pro Football Focus receiving grade last year ranked 15th among 35 qualifying TEs. It was the 2nd worst mark of his 9-year career, ahead of only his 57.7 grade in 2020.
  • Ertz will turn 32 in November.
  • He re-signed with the Cardinals in March on a 3-year, $31.65 million deal. It makes him the league’s 10th-highest-paid TE in terms of average annual salary.
  • Arizona returns HC Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray.
  • The offseason departures of WR Christian Kirk and RB Chase Edmonds leave behind 156 targets (26.4% of last year’s total).
  • Hopkins is suspended for the first 6 games of the season after violating the league’s performance-enhancing drug policy.
  • The Cardinals swung a trade during this spring’s draft for WR Marquise Brown.
  • WRs Rondale Moore and A.J. Green return after combining for 156 targets (26.4% share) last year.
  • The Cardinals added TE Trey McBride with the 55th overall pick of this year’s draft. The Colorado State product won the 2021 Mackey Award as the nation’s top TE after racking up 90 catches and 1,121 yards.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Ertz ranked 2nd among TEs in targets and catches over his 11 games with the Cardinals last season. Only 5 TEs scored more PPR points per game across that stretch.

Ertz should continue to play a big role in Arizona’s passing game at least over the first 6 games of the season, when WR DeAndre Hopkins serves his suspension. His volume figures to dip the rest of the way, though, after Arizona added WR Marquise Brown to Hopkins, Rondale Moore and A.J. Green. The Cardinals also spent a Round 2 pick on TE Trey McBride, who could push Ertz for playing time throughout the season.

We’re not expecting Ertz to match last year’s production, but he’s fine as a low-end TE1.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Trey McBride, TE ARI

7:20am EDT 5/15/22

Cards GM talks McBride

Cardinals GM Steve Keim gave his scouting report on rookie TE Trey McBride. “The guy can do it all,” he said. “He can play in-line, he can flex, he can motion, he can play out of the backfield. He’s got tremendous hands and a great catching radius. He’s really strong in a crowd. And his character is off the charts. He’s a three-time captain, a phenomenal leader and we’re just thankful he was there [to draft].” Keim added that McBride was “by far the highest graded [prospect]” at pick #55. Zach Ertz’s contract makes it tough for the team to move on before 2024, so McBride figures to play a part-time role for the foreseeable future.

View all Trey McBride Shark Bites »

The Cardinals grabbed Colorado State TE Trey McBride in the 2nd round of the NFL Draft. After a solid sophomore campaign, McBride got only a 4-game junior year, thanks to COVID. He won the John Mackey Award as the nation’s top TE last season, though, racking up 90 receptions for 1,121 yards. McBride totaled just 10 TD catches for his career and arrives somewhat limited in size and athleticism, but there’s upside as a short-to-midrange receiver. He’ll head to training camp behind TE Zach Ertz but could push the veteran for playing time throughout the season.

View all Trey McBride Shark Bites »

TE Zach Ertz has agreed to a new 3-year deal with the Cardinals worth $31.65 million, with $17.5 million of that guaranteed, according to multiple reports. Ertz averaged 5.1 catches and 52.2 receiving yards per game over 11 contests with Arizona after being traded from Philly last season. He's a solid-to-good value at the bottom of TE1 territory (or even high-TE2 range) in early best-ball drafting.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Cardinals TE Zach Ertz (hamstring) is active for today’s game vs. the Lions. He was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday, so there’s elevated risk here. But we haven’t heard anything about Ertz being limited today. And the matchup vs. Detroit’s 21st-ranked TE defense adds upside.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Cardinals TE Zach Ertz (hamstring) is "looking good" to play vs. the Lions today, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Ertz was added to the injury report and limited in practice on Friday, so he carries elevated risk in Week 15 fantasy lineups. But there's still plenty of upside here with Arizona likely to put a bunch of points on the board today.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View TE Dynasty Rankings »

Zach Ertz, TE ARI
Dynasty MVP 67.1
Position Rank #22 TE
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
276
365
365
Dynasty Write-up
Ertz delivered as a PPR asset upon arriving in Arizona mid-season. He signed a 3-year deal this winter, one that comes with nearly $18 million in guarantees.
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