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Zach Ertz - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Zach Ertz
ARI

TE ARI

#19 Tight End

77 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 8 Yr(s)
Age: 30
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 248
40 Time: 4.67

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Low Floor

2.8

DS Projection

5

Consensus

38 other sites
5

High Ceiling

7.8

Rest of
Season

5.6

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3 32.3 0.3 5
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.4 32 0.4 5.6
Week 4
Dallas Goedert beat Ertz in targets back in Week 1. And he hasn’t done so since.

Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs found Ertz drawing 8 looks to Goedert’s 5. That followed a 7-4 target edge in Ertz’s favor at Dallas in Week 3. For the year, Ertz leads by 3 targets. And Goedert has run just 10 more routes through 4 games.

Ertz’s 6-60 receiving line against K.C. was solid. And it could have been even better. Jalen Hurts missed him in the end zone in the 1st quarter. In the 3rd, a 3-yard TD connection got nullified by offensive PI on J.J. Arcega-Whiteside.

There’s not much separating Ertz from Goedert in fantasy right now, which is much worse for Goedert than Ertz considering their large discrepancy in summer ADP.
Week 3
He scored his 1st TD since Sept. 13, 2020, on a 3-yard pass from Jalen Hurts in the 3rd quarter and caught 4 of 7 targets for 53 yards. All his catches came in the 2nd half after the game was all but over.

This is not the Zach Ertz who scored 22 TDs between 2017 and ’19. He’s back from last season’s ankle injury, but he’s 30 years old. He has given up many of his pass-catching opportunities to TE Dallas Goedert. But you can keep on eye on Ertz to see if he becomes a red-zone target.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Everything got worse for Ertz in 2020.
  • His target share fell to its lowest level since 2014, his 2nd year in the league. After seeing shares of 19.5%, 26% and 22% the past 3 seasons, Ertz dipped to 17.6% for his 11 games in 2020. That dipped to 15% in the 5 full games he and Dallas Goedert shared.
  • Just 8 TEs league wide reached 15% target share for the full season, though.
  • Ertz posted career lows in yards per catch (9.3), catch rate (50%), yards per target (4.7) and Pro Football Focus grade (57.3). He ranked 48th in receiving grade among 55 TEs who saw 20+ targets.
  • New Eagles HC Nick Sirianni spent the past 3 years coordinating a Colts offense that ranked 4th, 4th and 12th in TE target share.
  • Just 1 of those 3 Colts teams found 2 TEs finishing among the team’s top 5 in targets.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Ertz remains a trade candidate this summer. If he stays in Philly, he’ll likely head into his 9th season as the #2 TE. That marks a steep fall for a guy who was going top-5 at the position in 2020 drafts, but it wouldn’t be a death sentence. HC Nick Sirianni brings a TE-friendly past, and Philly’s shallow WR corps -- with unproven youngsters atop the depth chart -- increases the target opportunity for the TEs. Ertz looks solid as a late TE3 in best-ball drafting right now. At worst, he’ll be the 2nd TE in a positive situation for opportunity. There’s handcuff upside in case of another Goedert injury, and potential for a big boost if Ertz gets traded. We’ll see how/whether his situation changes as we move into and through summer.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

The Eagles traded TE Zach Ertz to the Cardinals in exchange for rookie CB Tay Gowan and a 2022 fifth-round draft pick. Ertz has been on the trade block all year, and Arizona came calling after losing TE Maxx Williams to a season-ending knee injury last week. Williams averaged 4 targets in 4 healthy games this season. Ertz has a chance to exceed that mark the rest of the way, but he'll probably struggle for reliable weekly fantasy value alongside Arizona's deep WR corps. We're assuming Ertz won't play vs. the Browns this weekend after playing his final game for the Eagles last night. The real winner here is TE Dallas Goedert, who should finally get a full-time role in Philly with Ertz out of the way. See where Goedert and Ertz sit in the updated Rest-of-Season Rankings.

Update: Ertz isn't even eligible to play vs. the Browns on Sunday, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Ertz should make his Cardinals debut in Week 7 vs. the Texans.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Zach Ertz has been activated from the COVID list. So he should play vs. the Cowboys on Monday night. That's bad news for TE Dallas Goedert, who's run just 2 more pass routes than Ertz through 2 games.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Zach Ertz landed on the COVID list after testing positive for the virus, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports. Ertz is vaccinated, per Pelissero, giving him a chance to be cleared in time for next Monday night's game vs. Dallas. He'll need to exhibit no symptoms and register 2 negative tests 24 hours apart. We'll keep an eye on the situation. TE Dallas Goedert will get a big boost if Ertz misses Week 3.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

The Eagles have placed TE Zach Ertz on the COVID list. It's not yet clear whether Ertz tested positive, which would likely push his return timeline beyond Monday night's game at Dallas. Fantasy football players should assume Ertz will miss Week 3, unless we hear otherwise. That would help the outlook for Eagles TE Dallas Goedert.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

Eagles TE Zach Ertz (hamstring) isn't listed on the final injury report after putting in a full practice on Friday. No surprise there after Ertz returned to last week's game. He'll continue to form a TE committee with Dallas Goedert.

View all Zach Ertz Shark Bites »

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