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Zach Wilson - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsZach Wilson's Basic Stats

Zach Wilson
ADP: 14.11
Bye: 10
Experience: 1 Yr(s)
Age: 22.8
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 214
40 Time: 4.71

Zach Wilson's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#35 Quarterback

252.9 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
14.11 325.2/542 3794 22.2 14.1 52 218.4 4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsZach Wilson's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • Wilson was overmatched as a rookie. In 13 starts, he mustered just 2,334 yards, 9 TDs and 11 INTs.
  • He finished as a QB1 twice — both from Week 13 on.
  • He simply wasn’t surrounded by top talent. LT Mekhi Becton appeared in only 1 game. Corey Davis, Elijah Moore and Jamison Crowder combined to miss 17 games.
  • Wilson suffered a Week 6 PCL (knee) sprain against New England. He didn’t return until Week 12.
  • First-year OC Mike LaFleur did supply high pass volume — N.Y. ranked 4th in team pass rate, due in part to regular deficits.
  • Wilson wasn’t efficient, though. He posted 6.1 YPA, a 55.6% completion rate and took sacks at a 10.3% clip, one of the highest league-wide.
  • His 54.8 PFF passing grade ranked 39th among 44 QBs with 100+ dropbacks.
  • Per Pro Football Reference, only 69.9% of his throws were charted as “on-target.” That ranked last among 33 qualifiers.
  • Wilson’s 2022 environment looks much improved. Moore should take a year 2 jump. And the Jets invested a Round 1 pick in refined OSU speedster Garrett Wilson.
  • Round 2 brought the arrival of 2-way RB Breece Hall. He’ll combine with Michael Carter to form a formidable 1-2 punch.
  • The Jets made TE upgrades — albeit unexciting ones — with the signings of C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin.
  • New York’s OL remains suspect — but they at least addressed a guard spot with the signing of Laken Tomlinson.
  • Wilson added weight in the offseason, likely to help him withstand the pounding of an NFL season.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Wilson was entirely unreliable as a rookie, but he had legit excuses.

Those excuses are now gone in year 2.

Wilson enters year 2 in the same system with an exciting young group of weapons. There’s certainly a debate to be had about whether Wilson’s ready to take a significant jump. After all, he had just 1 year of premier production at BYU.

At cost, though, Wilson makes for a fine QB2 to pair with an elite-type in best ball. For standard leagues, it’s easy to see him entering the spot-start mix — especially once bye weeks arrive.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Zach Wilson, QB NYJ

8:19pm EDT 5/15/22

Wilson bulking up

Jets QB Zach Wilson — listed at 214 pounds — added weight over the offseason. "He looks beefy -- in a good way," HC Robert Saleh observed. Wilson took 44 sacks last year, 3rd-most league wide. So the added weight could be particularly helpful for his season-long durability. A much-improved supporting cast makes Wilson an enticing QB2 target.

View all Zach Wilson Shark Bites »

The Jets selected Ohio State WR Garrett Wilson with the 10th overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft. Wilson is a dynamic mover both in his routes and after the catch. He’s been compared to Odell Beckham in that regard, and we saw shades of Kadarius Toney watching Wilson’s tape. Wilson tested as a 78th percentile athlete at the Combine, with a 4.38-second 40 time. He didn’t put up huge numbers at Ohio State but battled for targets with WRs Chris Olave (who will go later in the 1st round this year) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (who figures to be a 1st-rounder next year). Wilson ranked top 24 in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades in each of the last 2 seasons. He played primarily in the slot in 2020 before kicking outside this past year. Wilson was more effective on the inside both years, though. He’s 6’0, 183 pounds and struggled at times vs. physical coverage in college, so he projects best in the slot as a pro. We’ll see exactly how he fits alongside WR Elijah Moore, who played 26.3% of his snaps in the slot last year. Check out the initial projections and ranking for Wilson.

View all Garrett Wilson Shark Bites »

Jets QB Zach Wilson will start Sunday's game vs. the Texans, The Athletic's Connor Hughes reports. In related news, QBs Joe Flacco and Mike White were both placed on the COVID list on Tuesday. QB Josh Johnson will back up Wilson this weekend. It'll be the rookie's first action since hurting his knee back in Week 7. He's largely struggled this year and can't be trusted in fantasy lineups.

View all Zach Wilson Shark Bites »

Jets QB Joe Flacco is expected to start Sunday's game vs. the Dolphins, according to ESPN's Rich Cimini. QB Zach Wilson's knee still isn't back to 100%, and the Jets are evidently done with QB Mike White after his 4-INT outing vs. the Bills last week. Flacco joined the team just a few weeks ago. He made 4 starts for the Jets last year -- albeit under a different coaching staff -- averaging 212 yards and 1.5 TDs on 6.4 yards per attempt. Flacco isn't a fantasy option, but he's also probably not a downgrade from White or Wilson at this point.

View all Joe Flacco Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Zach Wilson, QB NYJ
Dynasty MVP 269.3
Position Rank #23 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
860
1,517
2,182
Dynasty Write-up
Wilson struggled as a rookie, partly because of lackluster accuracy/decision making, partly because of an injury-plagued supporting cast. Elijah Moore and Garrett Wilson at least look like long-term building blocks. And Wilson showed enough as a rusher to forecast his legs as a future asset.

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