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A.J. Dillon - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsA.J. Dillon's Basic Stats

A.J. Dillon
ADP: 7.8
Bye: 14
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 24.8
Height: 6'0"
Weight: 247
40 Time: 4.53
Burst Score (Rank): 135.20 (98%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 7.19

A.J. Dillon's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

A.J. Dillon's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#25 Running Back

152.7 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
7.8 193.2 840.3 6.5 1.9 1.8 30.4 248.8 1.4

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsA.J. Dillon's Preseason Player Analysis

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Aaron Jones, RB GB

7:30am EST 2/17/23

Jones re-works contract

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the Packers and RB Aaron Jones have agreed to a restructured contract, shifting most of his 2023 money to a signing bonus. That keeps Jones with the teams "instead of being released," in Schefter's words. That's what makes this deal significant. Of course, staying in Green Bay will likely find Jones playing with a new QB (Jordan Love). What will moving on from Aaron Rodgers mean for the offense and Jones' production? That's nearly impossible for anyone to know at this point. Rodgers has been the starter since 2008, long before Jones arrived. The 2023 Packers figure to lean on their backfield quite a bit, though. Even with Rodgers still around in 2022, the offense dipped to 18th in neutral pass rate (according to RBSDM.com) from 11th in 2021. The shift from Rodgers to Love, however, could ding Jones' target count (Love will likely run more) and the team's TD efficiency. Fortunately, early best-ball drafts are discounting the Packers RB. He sits 20th at the position in Underdog ADP, going in Round 6 on average. Go ahead and get some shares of him at that price.

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Packers RB Aaron Jones racked up 111 yards on 14 carries in Sunday's win over the Vikings, averaging 7.9 per rush. That marked a steep turn from most of his production since a Week 10 shin injury. Jones had been averaging just 4.0 per rush since then, compared with 5.6 per carry through Week 10. Jones added meager receiving production -- 2 catches, 2 yards on 3 targets -- and ceded rushing scores to RB AJ Dillon and QB Aaron Rodgers. Dillon checked in just 2 carries short of Jones (going 12-41-1 rushing). Week 18 will pit Jones and the offense against a Lions defense that has been up-and-down as a scoring matchup. He managed just 45 total yards on 9 carries and 2 catches in the 1st meeting.

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Packers RB Aaron Jones (knee, ankle) doesn't carry an injury designation in advance of Week 17 vs. the Vikings. After logging limited practice all week, it seems fantasy managers will have the veteran back as an available option for championship week. Jones has been dealing with this ankle injury since Week 15 vs. the Rams. Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports that Jones felt the team was going to sideline him in Week 15 had it not been for RB A.J. Dillon picking up a concussion. This is important to consider given that Jones only received 8 touches vs. the Dolphins last week. It's unclear how much the Packers will lean on Jones. As such, we consider both Jones and Dillon low-end RB2/flex options in Week 17.

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Packers RB Aaron Jones said after Sunday's win over the Dolphins that his left ankle got "rolled up on" during his 1st carry of the 2nd half. That likely helped keep the touch count down for a player who also entered the game with a knee issue. Jones carries no game status on the final injury report, but he was limited in practice all week. He finished Sunday's game with just 6 carries and 2 targets, including only 2 rushes and 1 target in the 1st half (before the ankle problem). We'll have to watch his status on this week's injury reports in advance of the Week 17 clash with Minnesota.

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Packers RB AJ Dillon rushed 11 times for 36 yards (3.3 per carry) and claimed Green Bay's only rushing score in Sunday's win over the Dolphins. He added 2 catches for 12 yards among 3 targets. RB Aaron Jones carried only 6 times for 25 yards (4.2) and added just 9 yards on 2 receptions. The 34 total yards were a season low for him. Week 17 brings a rematch with the soft Vikings defense. Jones tallied just 76 total yards on 8 touches in their Week 1 meeting. Dillon went 10-45-1 rushing and 5-46 receiving in that contest. Both Green Bay RBs will be in play for fantasy use against what has been a mid-pack scoring matchup for the position.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

A.J. Dillon, RB GB
Dynasty MVP 109.9
Position Rank #41 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
452
597
597
Dynasty Write-up
Dillon’s 2022 numbers closely mirrored his 2021 output. He’ll return for his contract year in 2023. Meanwhile, Aaron Jones is set to return for his 7th season.
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