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A.J. Green - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

A.J. Green
ARI

WR ARI

#68 Wide Receiver

89 Projected Points

ADP: Not Available
Bye: 12
Experience: 10 Yr(s)
Age: 33
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 211
40 Time: 4.40

Weekly Outlook

3d Projection

Med Floor

5.1

DS Projection

7.8

Consensus

38 other sites
8

High Ceiling

12.5

Rest of
Season

7.4

Week 7 Projections
Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.7 53.8 0.4 7.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
3.8 50 0.4 7.4
Week 4
Green delivered again in Sunday’s win over the Rams, posting a 5-67-1 line on 6 targets.

The majority of that damage came on a 41-yard TD in the 1st quarter. It was a perfectly thrown ball from QB Kyler Murray, but Green also did a nice job getting on top of his defender and using his frame to shield him from the ball.

Green has now seen exactly 6 targets in all 4 games to open the season. That’s not great volume -- but it’s enough to make him a lower-end fantasy option on this high-flying Cardinals offense. There’s nothing to worry about matchup-wise the next 3 weeks vs. the 49ers, Browns and Texans.

Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

  • Green mustered just 47 catches for 523 yards and 2 TDs last year, finishing 68th among WRs in PPR points and 75th in non-PPR.
  • That was despite him ranking 32nd among WRs with 104 targets.
  • He was 1 of the least effective receivers in the league. Among 87 WRs with 50+ targets, Green ranked …
    • 87th in yards per target
    • 82nd in yards per route run
    • 68th in Pro Football Focus’ receiving grades
    • 87th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA
  • In his 9 healthy games last year, Bengals QB Joe Burrow averaged just 4.65 yards per attempt when targeting Green vs. 9.89 when targeting Tee Higgins and 8.22 when targeting Tyler Boyd.
  • Green turns 33 on July 30.
  • He signed a fully guaranteed 1-year, $6 million contract with the Cardinals in free agency.
  • Arizona returns WRs DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk, who finished top 2 on the team last year with 160 and 79 targets, respectively.
  • The Cardinals also spent the 49th overall pick of this spring’s draft on Purdue WR Rondale Moore.
  • But, as of early June, the team has not re-signed WR Larry Fitzgerald. The soon-to-be 38-year-old might retire. Fitzgerald averaged a 79% snap rate and 5.5 targets in his 13 games last season.
  • Fitzgerald played 83% of his snaps in the slot last year. Green played just 16% of his snaps on the inside last year and has never recorded a slot snap rate above 22% as a pro.
  • We’ll see how Arizona opts to deploy Green. Both Kirk and Moore look like better options to replace Fitzgerald in the slot.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Green turns 33 in July and looked like a guy out of gas last season, ranking near the bottom of the league in most efficiency metrics.

He joins a fast-paced Cardinals offense with some target opportunity behind DeAndre Hopkins in 2021. So the potential is there for a bounce-back season. We’re just not sure Green has the goods to make it happen.

We’ll keep an eye on him throughout August.

Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Cardinals WR A.J. Green is sidelined with a "minor issue," HC Kliff Kingsbury said Wednesday. Kingsbury wouldn't divulge any other details but did say that he expects Green back sooner rather than later, according to ESPN's Josh Weinfuss. Green was reportedly having a strong start to camp before this injury. We'll see when he's able to get back on the field.

View all A.J. Green Shark Bites »

The Cardinals signed WR A.J. Green. No word yet on the terms, but it's likely a cheap, 1-year deal. After playing in just 9 games across 2018 and 2019, Green played all 16 last season -- but set career lows with an ugly 45.2% catch rate and 11.1 yards per catch. He ranked 79th in yards per route run and 66th in Pro Football Focus receiving grade among 84 WRs with 50+ targets. Green turns 33 in July and might just be out of gas. He figures to be no better than 3rd in line for targets in Arizona behind WRs DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk. We'll see if WR Andy Isabella is ready to take on a bigger role in 2021.

Update: It's a 1-year deal worth "up to" $8.5 million with $6 million guaranteed, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports.

View all A.J. Green Shark Bites »

Bengals WR A.J. Green (hamstring) isn’t listed on the final Week 6 injury report. He put in a full practice on Friday, so he should be available for his usual role. That doesn’t make Green a recommended fantasy play, though. He hasn’t topped 51 yards all season.

View all A.J. Green Shark Bites »

Bengals WR A.J. Green suffered a hamstring injury in the 2nd half of Sunday's game vs. the Ravens. He was deemed doubtful to return, so don't expect to see him back out there. Green had already been getting out-played by rookie WR Tee Higgins over the past couple of weeks.

View all A.J. Green Shark Bites »

Bengals HC Zac Taylor suggested that WR A.J. Green's snaps could be limited in Sunday's opener against the Chargers. "Fifty-five is a lot of snaps. You always monitor that," Taylor said. "We're fortunate because we're deep at receiver and we feel like there are a lot of guys that can step in there and be a primary receiver." Green missed about a week of camp this summer with a hamstring injury after an ankle injury cost him the entire 2019 campaign. We'll see exactly how big a role he's ready for on Sunday, but we'd try to not use him in Week 1 fantasy lineups.

View all A.J. Green Shark Bites »

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