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Austin Ekeler - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAustin Ekeler's Basic Stats

Austin Ekeler
ADP: 7.9
Bye: 14
Experience: 7
Age: 29.0
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.48

Burst Score (Rank): 132.90 (96%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.06 (86%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.85

Austin Ekeler's Weekly Outlook

Week 1 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
26.9 0.18 3.3 24.5 0.12 6.9
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
55.3 0.6 4.9 36.6 0.3 13.9

Austin Ekeler's 2024 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#36 Running Back

163.8 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
7.9 107.2 430.4 2.88 0 0 52.8 392 1.92

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAustin Ekeler's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

A high-ankle sprain ruined Ekeler’s two-year run as a no-doubt RB1.

Those days are over. Given the presence of Brian Robinson Jr., Washington just doesn’t supply the same opportunity Ekeler enjoyed in L.A.

If he stays healthy, though, the former Charger should pay off a FLEX-range ADP.

What We Learned Last Year

  • Ekeler’s 2023 was ruined by injury.
    • A high-ankle sprain bit the veteran in Week 1.
    • Before departing, he looked like prime Ekeler with 16-117-1 rushing – plus 4-47 receiving.
    • He returned for Week 6 but rarely looked healthy going forward.
  • He set career lows in yards per carry (3.5), yards after contact per attempt (2.64) and Pro Football Focus’ Elusive Rating (49.4).
  • Among 33 RBs with 175+ carries, Ekeler ranked 29th in success rate, 33rd in EPA per rush, and 32nd in explosive rush rate.
  • His receiving volume predictably declined off a whopping 127 targets (2022).
    • His 1.25 yards per route run set a new career low.
  • As a result, Ekeler – a consensus Round 1 fantasy pick – finished as an RB1 only four times post-injury.

What to Expect in 2024

  • Ekeler, now 29, signed a two-year deal with Washington early in free agency.
    • It was a low-cost deal, with his $4.21 million guaranteed ranking 25th among RBs.
  • He joins a backfield that lost Antonio Gibson… but returns ‘23 lead back Brian Robinson Jr.
    • While Robinson wasn’t a 2023 league-winner, he outperformed Ekeler in every relevant rushing metric.
    • His size (6’1, 228) makes him a candidate for goal line work under new OC Kliff Kingsbury
  • Kingsbury flamed out after four years with Arizona.
    • Still, his offenses were fine for fantasy, ranking 16th, 13th, 11th, and 21st in points.
    • They ranked 19th, 6th, 7th, and 20th in rush attempts.
  • Jayden Daniels arrives as a playmaking QB.
    • His top-end rushing ability adds the potential for boosted rush efficiency.
  • Washington’s O-line doesn’t look spectacular.
    • They ranked 22nd in run block win rate last year.
    • The team will undergo turnover, losing G Saahdiq Charles, C Nick Gates, C Tyler Larsen, and LT Charles Leno Jr.
    • Addiitons include C Tyler Biadasz, C Michael Dieter and G Nick Allegretti.
    • We're not expecting any better than a league-average unit.
  • Questions at WR – beyond WR Terry McLaurin – should allow Ekeler’s receiving ability to shine for another season.
    • He’s caught 50+ balls in five straight seasons.

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Austin Ekeler, RB WAS

7:18pm EDT 3/11/24

Austin Ekeler the new Antonio Gibson?

The Commanders are signing RB Austin Ekeler to a two-year deal, according to multiple reports. NFL Networks' Tom Pelissero reports it's worth "up to $11.43 million." The exact terms aren't yet clear, but it looks like he'll get a larger annual average than the three-year deal Antonio Gibson agreed to with the Patriots. The new Washington staff likely views Ekeler as at least an upgrade over Gibson. And Commanders run-game coordinator Anthony Lynn is plenty familiar with the veteran RB, having served as Chargers HC through the first four years of Ekeler's career. Ekeler figures to share touches with Brian Robinson Jr., operating as the lead receiving back. We'll watch for more signals on Ekeler's expected role. For now, both Washington RBs make sense in RB3 range of best ball drafts. Check our best ball rankings to see exactly where they land.

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Chargers WRs Keenan Allen (heel) and Josh Palmer (concussion) are out for Sunday’s game vs. the Broncos. That leaves Los Angeles with WRs Quentin Johnston, Jalen Guyton, Alex Erickson, and Derius Davis. None is a recommended Week 17 fantasy starter. RB Austin Ekeler and TE Gerald Everett could see more targets with Allen and Palmer out.

View all Keenan Allen Shark Bites »

On Friday, multiple reports indicated that the Chargers have parted ways with HC Brandon Staley and GM Tom Telesco. This news doesn't come as much of a surprise following the team's 63-21 collapse vs. the Raiders on Thursday night. Across nearly three full seasons on the job, Staley finished with a 24-24 record and appeared in just one playoff game. Who will take over as the interim coach is not known as of the time of this writing. Stay tuned for further updates.

Update: The Chargers have named Giff Smith interim HC and JoJo Wooden as interim GM, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport. Smith has been the team's outside LBs coach the past two years and was an NFL defensive line coach for 11 seasons before that. It looks like OC Kellen Moore will remain with the Chargers at least for the rest of this season.

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Chargers QB Justin Herbert will miss the rest of the season after fracturing the index finger in his right (throwing) hand, according to multiple reports. That leaves fifth-year QB Easton Stick to pilot the offense over the final four games. Stick has been with the Chargers since they drafted him in Round 5 back in 2019, but he had attempted just one regular season pass before Sunday. Stick went a forgettable 13 of 24 passing for 179 yards after taking over against the Broncos, throwing no TDs or INTs but fumbling twice (losing one). His 2023 preseason also proved unimpressive, including a 60.3% completion rate, 5.2 yards per pass attempt, 1 TD, 2 INTs, and a 9.0% sack rate. The QB situation obviously downgrades everyone on the Chargers' offense. WR Keenan Allen should remain usable. Stick targeted Allen on 37.5% of his attempts against Denver. He threw another 20.8% toward RB Austin Ekeler, the only other Chargers offensive piece you should still consider using. WRs Quentin Johnston and Joshua Palmer and TE Gerald Everett look droppable for other options. Herbert should have plenty of time to recover ahead of the 2024 season.

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Chargers RB Austin Ekeler rebounded in Week 14 with 100 total yards, 5 catches, and 1 TD. Ekeler’s 3-yard score marked his first end zone trip since Week 10. He lost carries to Isaiah Spiller (6) and Josh Kelley (3), but as expected, the veteran remained heavily involved in the passing game (33 routes). Per PFF, Ekeler also handled all 18 fourth-quarter snaps while the Chargers played from behind. So he's certainly trending in the right direction following the positive showing (and plus matchup). The Raiders turn up a favorable opponent for Week 15, but note that Ekeler will likely play without Justin Herbert.

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Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Austin Ekeler, RB WAS
Dynasty MVP 37.9
Position Rank #109 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
145
204
245
Dynasty Write-up
Ekeler explored the trade market in 2023, then returned to Los Angeles on an adjusted contract. An ugly season followed, marred by a high-ankle injury and missed games from Justin Herbert. Ekeler landed in a fine spot for pass-catching work, but it's hard to be overly bullish on a transitioning Washington offense.
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