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Austin Ekeler - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsAustin Ekeler's Basic Stats

Austin Ekeler
ADP: N/A
Bye: 8
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 27.3
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 200
40 Time: 4.48
Burst Score (Rank): 132.90 (96%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.06 (86%)
Three Cone Drill (Rank): 6.85

Austin Ekeler's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
49.7 0.4 5.2 39.4 0.3 12.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs Fantasy Pts
46.1 0.5 4.5 42.1 0.4 14

Austin Ekeler's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#3 Running Back

230.1 Projected Points

ADP Rush Atts Rush Yds Rush TDs 100 Fum Rec Rec Yds Rec TDs
Not Available 208.1 925.8 8.4 2.1 1.8 71.9 625.5 4.7

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsAustin Ekeler's Preseason Player Analysis

View RB Fantasy Rankings »
What You Need to Know:
  • Ekeler set career highs last year in all fantasy scoring systems, finishing 2nd among RBs in PPR, half-PPR and non-PPR points.
  • His 12.9 carries and 56.9 rushing yards per game were both personal bests.
  • Ekeler hit 15 carries in 6 games after doing so just 6 times total over his first 4 NFL seasons.
  • He remained efficient with the heavier rushing load. While his 4.4 yards per carry was the 2nd-lowest mark of his career, he actually earned his 2nd best Pro Football Focus rushing grade. It ranked 14th among 50 RBs with 100+ carries last year. Ekeler ranked 18th out of 50 in PFF’s Elusive Rating.
  • He remained busy in the passing game, tallying 94 targets, 70 catches and 647 yards. Those marks ranked 1st, 2nd and 1st among RBs. Ekeler also ranked 3rd at his position in pass routes (417).
  • His 1.55 yards per route run was good for 7th among 33 RBs with 40+ targets.
  • But, most of all, Ekeler’s big 2021 fantasy season came via TDs. He scored 20 of them, tying Jonathan Taylor for the league lead and smashing his previous career high of 11.
  • Ekeler definitely overachieved in that department. Based on his usage, he was expected to score 13.2 TDs.
  • Those 13.2 expected TDs were still 2nd most among RBs, though, behind only Jonathan Taylor’s 16.9.
    • Ekeler ranked 6th among RBs in both carries inside the 10-yard line (25) and inside the 5 (12).
    • He led RBs with 16 red-zone targets.
  • Ekeler will benefit from continuity in 2022:
    • HC Brandon Staley and OC Joe Lombardi are back for year 2 with the Chargers.
    • QB Justin Herbert enters his 3rd NFL season.
    • The Chargers return 6 of last year’s top 7 target-getters, with TE Gerald Everett replacing TE Jared Cook.
    • Four of last year’s 5 offensive line starters are back: LT Rashawn Slater, LG Matt Feiler, C Corey Linsley and RT Storm Norton. The 1 change will come at RG, where 1st-round rookie Zion Johnson is slated to replace Michael Schofield. Schofield ranked just 55th among 70 qualifying guards in Pro Football Focus’ run-blocking grades, so Johnson might prove to be an immediate upgrade.
  • The Chargers added RB Isaiah Spiller in the 4th round of this spring’s draft.
    • Spiller led the Texas A&M backfield in all 3 years on campus, totaling 2,993 yards and 25 TDs on 5.5 yards per carry.
    • He also racked up 74 catches for 585 yards and a score.
    • Spiller bombed the pre-draft testing, though, with a 4.64-second 40 time (32nd percentile among RBs), a 30-inch vertical (7th) and a 114-inch broad (22nd).
  • We’re expecting Spiller to beat out Joshua Kelley and Larry Rountree for the #2 RB job behind Ekeler. We’ll see if Spiller claims a bigger role than the 7.6 carries and 1.4 targets per game non-Ekeler RBs averaged in Ekeler’s 16 games last season.
  • Ekeler stated, “As far as my load, yeah, maybe it could be altered a little bit but I don’t think it’ll go down. I think it’ll just look a little different, if anything.” OC Joe Lombardi is on the same page. “I’m not expecting any kind of dip in usage with him,”.
Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

Ekeler is coming off a massive season, finishing RB2 across fantasy scoring systems. He returns in 2022 to the same offense with the same QB and with 4 of 5 of last year’s O-line starters back.

The only real question here is whether rookie RB Isaiah Spiller will cut into Ekeler’s volume at all, especially near the goal line. But Ekeler could lose some of that work and still score as a top-5 fantasy RB.

He’s a safe pick in the 1st round of fantasy drafts, with more value in full PPR setups.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Austin Ekeler, RB LAC

11:30pm EDT 10/2/22

Ekeler scores 3 times

Chargers RB Austin Ekeler scored twice on the ground in Sunday's win over the Texans, amid 13 carries for 60 yards. He added a 14-yard receiving TD in the 4th quarter, among 6 catches for 49 yards. It marked the 3rd time in 4 games that Ekeler got at least 18 touches. Joshua Kelley and Sony Michel combined to play 10 fewer snaps combined.

View all Austin Ekeler Shark Bites »

Chargers RB Austin Ekeler logged just 4 carries for 5 yards in Sunday's lopsided loss to the Jaguars. The score might have been a factor in the 2nd half, but Ekeler carried just twice through the entire 1st half of a game that stood at 16-10 early in the 3rd quarter. Ekeler did lead the Chargers with 8 receptions (for 48 yards) to salvage some PPR value. But he was splitting opportunities with Sony Michel early in the game. Ekeler wound up running 26 routes to 13 combined for Michel and Joshua Kelley, but that pair played just 7 fewer snaps overall. Ekeler ranks just 25th in the league in carries through 3 games, with Ezekiel Elliot close enough to pass him Monday night. Ekeler ranked 16th in the league in rushing attempts last season; 20th in carries per game.

View all Austin Ekeler Shark Bites »

After underwhelming usage and production in the opener, Chargers RB Austin Ekeler turned in a more promising Week 2. He carried 14 times for just 39 yards but added 9 catches on 10 targets for 55 yards. Ekeler's snap rate climbed from 49% in Week 1 to 63% in Week 2; his route rate from 37% to 60%. If he can stick around that level of usage, Ekeler will be an easy PPR RB1.

View all Austin Ekeler Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View RB Dynasty Rankings »

Austin Ekeler, RB LAC
Dynasty MVP 139.7
Position Rank #15 RB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
661
661
661
Dynasty Write-up
Ekeler has finished as a top 10 PPR RB in 2 of the last 3 seasons, missing 6 games with injury in the other. He turned 27 in May but should still have plenty of tread on his tires. And he's tied to 1 of the best young QBs in the game for at least the next 2 seasons.

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