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Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Basic Stats

Baker Mayfield
ADP: N/A
Bye: 13
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27.4
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.84
SPARQx (Rank): 89.00 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.30 (28%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.28 (73%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 60.00 (97%)

Baker Mayfield's Weekly Outlook

Week 5 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
193.1 1.1 0.8 9.9 11.7
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
246.2 1.5 1 11.6 16.2

Baker Mayfield's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#23 Quarterback

249.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 333.6/538 3873.6 23.7 15.1 39 144.3 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Preseason Player Analysis

View QB Fantasy Rankings »

What You Need to Know:

  • In addition to acquiring Deshaun Watson, the Browns also signed QB Jacoby Brissett and QB Joshua Dobbs in free agency.
  • Mayfield had surgery to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder in mid-January. He was expected to have a 4-6 month recovery timeline and be ready for training camp.
  • Post-surgery reports said the team expected Mayfield to begin light throwing in April and take part in spring minicamps on a limited basis. The arrival of Watson and clear plan to move on from Mayfield has clouded that stage of his recovery.
  • Mayfield injured the shoulder in Week 2 of last season but played through it until they finally shut him down after the Week 17 loss at Pittsburgh.
  • His weekly Pro Football Focus passing grades for the 2021 season seem to line up with a guy playing through worsening shoulder trouble:

  • For the season, Mayfield ranked just 26th in passing grade among 35 QBs with 200+ dropbacks. He ranked 8th in 2020, 18th in 2019 and 11th as a 2018 rookie.
  • Last year also found Mayfield hitting a career high in the amount of pressure that turned into sacks. According to PFF, his 29.1% rate led the league. He finished the previous 3 seasons 19th, tied for 11th, and 24th.
  • Cleveland fell from 1st in PFF pass-blocking grade in 2020 to 11th last season. Football Outsiders found the Browns dropping from 17th in adjusted sack rate in 2020 to 30th in 2021.
  • Mayfield has finished just 1 of 4 seasons inside the top 20 at the position in fantasy points per game.
  • QB Baker Mayfield has the "inside track" for the Panthers' starting job, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We can assess Mayfield’s readiness and surrounding talent once we know where he’ll play this season. He has been a better real-life QB than this offseason seems to be crediting, but we also might not yet know his true market because of the injury recovery and chance that teams are simply waiting on Cleveland to release him. Mayfield also hasn’t done anything fantasy wise worth getting excited about yet. So he’ll need a good landing spot to make a significant impact. There would be upside to landing in either Seattle or Carolina. The Seahawks seem most likely at this point.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Sam Darnold, QB CAR

11:32am EDT 10/3/22

Darnold still out "a while"

Panthers QB Sam Darnold (ankle) is eligible to come off the IR this week but is expected to still be sidelined for "a while," a source tells ESPN's Adam Schefter. This is worth reporting because QB Baker Mayfield has been so bad through 4 games that we're all wondering whether Darnold might actually be an upgrade. Unfortunately, it looks like it'll be Mayfield for at least a few more games.

View all Sam Darnold Shark Bites »

The Panthers officially named QB Baker Mayfield their starter. This was expected since Carolina swung a trade for Mayfield in early July. He started the preseason opener over QB Sam Darnold, going 4-of-7 for 45 yards on 1 series. Mayfield is just a lower-end QB2 for fantasy squads, but we expect him to be an upgrade over Darnold for RB Christian McCaffrey, WR D.J. Moore and the rest of the Panthers offense.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Baker Mayfield, QB CAR
Dynasty MVP 238.0
Position Rank #26 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
814
1,318
1,786
Dynasty Write-up
Baker gets a fresh start in Carolina, where he has a good-enough group of weapons in D.J. Moore, Christian McCaffrey and Robby Anderson. He's set to hit free agency next offseason, though, so this looks like a 1-year tryout.
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