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Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic Stats Basic Stats

Baker Mayfield


#25 Quarterback

326 Projected Points

ADP: 12.6
Bye: 13
Experience: 3 Yr(s)
Age: 26
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.84

2021 Projections & Outlook


#25 Quarterback

326 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
12.6 348/535 4066 28 12 168

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Basic Stats Preseason Player Analysis

What You Need to Know:

-From a real life perspective, Baker rebounded from a bad 2019. Under 1st-year HC Kevin Stefanski, Mayfield posted the 10th best Pro Football Focus passing grade (81.6). He was at 72.4 (QB21) in 2019.

-Mayfield finished 10th in QBR, just behind Tom Brady and Russell Wilson.

-Low volume limited his fantasy contributions, though. Among 16-game starters, only Ryan Tannehill attempted fewer passes than Mayfield (486). Baker posted only 4 QB1 weeks, with the first not surfacing until Week 7.

-Mayfield finished as the QB3 in both Week 13 (at Tennessee) and Week 14 (vs. Baltimore). His only rushing TD of 2020 surfaced over that stretch.

-Odell Beckham missed 9 games with an ACL tear. He’ll be a full go for Week 1.

-Mayfield faced pressure at an acceptable 33.4% rate. Pro Football Focus slotted the Browns’ O-line 1st in pass blocking grade.

-The unit still looks strong on paper, especially with 2020 Round 1 pick Jedrick Wills returning to man LT. In fact, all 5 starters return.

-Mayfield missed Odell Beckham for 9 games last year (ACL tear). He’s expected to be fine for Week 1.

-The Browns return Jarvis Landry and depth pieces Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Anthony Schwartz arrived in Round 3 as a bona fide field stretcher.

-Baker’s proven durable, despite a smaller frame. He’s yet to miss a game due to injury through 3 seasons.

-With Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt returning — plus the Browns fielding one of the league’s top defenses — Mayfield’s volume figures to remain very low. Current projections have him at ~31 attempts per game. Not ideal.

Draft Sharks Bottom Line

Baker finished as the QB17 last year. With low pass volume and scant production on the ground, he simply wasn’t positioned to perform well in fantasy.

Other than the return of Odell Beckham — post-ACL tear — not much changes for 2021. Expect Mayfield to remain a spot-start QB1.


Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Browns QB Baker Mayfield has been activated from the COVID list. He'll get in a full week of practice and start in Sunday's plus matchup against the Texans.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

The Browns have placed QB Baker Mayfield on the COVID list. We don't yet know whether he tested positive for the virus or came in contact with someone who did. Mayfield has a chance to be cleared in time for next weekend's game against the Texans if he doesn't have a positive test between now and then. If Mayfield is out for that one, Cleveland would turn to QB Case Keenum.

Update: NFL Network's Mike Garafolo reports that Mayfield came in contact with a COVID-positive individual. So he could be cleared as soon as Wednesday if he tests negative.

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Browns QB Baker Mayfield (ribs) practiced all week and isn’t listed on the final injury report. He’ll start Sunday’s game against the Bengals but is just a low-end QB2 in fantasy lineups.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Browns HC Kevin Stefanski said he pulled QB Baker Mayfield from Sunday's game in Pittsburgh because of his rib injury and that Mayfield is still the starter when healthy. We'll keep an eye on Mayfield's status this coming week. He has a much easier Week 7 draw vs. the Bengals.

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Browns QB Baker Mayfield was pulled late in the 3rd quarter of Sunday's game in Pittsburgh. No word yet on whether he's hurt or benched. Mayfield entered this one dealing with a rib injury and struggled mightily, completing 10 of 18 passes for 119 yards, 1 TD and 2 INTs. He was sacked 4 times. QB Case Keenum is in for Cleveland.

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