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Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Basic Stats

Baker Mayfield
ADP: 20.11
Bye: 5
Experience: 5 Yr(s)
Age: 28.4
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.84
SPARQx (Rank): 89.00 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.30 (28%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.28 (73%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 60.00 (97%)

Baker Mayfield's Weekly Outlook

Week 4 Projections
Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
221.2 1.2 0.8 9.9 13.8
Weekly Writeup

Rest Of Way Outlook

Yds TDs INT Rush Yds Fantasy Pts
223.3 1.5 0.7 8.3 14.9

Baker Mayfield's 2023 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#22 Quarterback

238.1 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
20.11 299.7/461 3573.1 23.7 11.1 38 133 4.5

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Preseason Player Analysis

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Bottom Line

We don’t even know yet if Mayfield will start for the Buccaneers in 2023. He stunk as the starter in both Carolina and L.A.

If he beats out Kyle Trask, he’ll work with the best WR corps of his career. That should mean some usable fantasy weeks.

But he’ll be no more than a waiver-wire watch at least until he wins the job – and maybe even then.

What We Learned Last Year
  • Mayfield might not actually be that good.
  • He offered up mixed results in Cleveland, alternating between good and bad seasons before the Browns replaced him with a much better QB (and very questionable human), Deshaun Watson.
  • Mayfield went to Carolina and performed so poorly that he only got six starts in an offense with Sam Darnold and P.J. Walker as the other options. (None of them remains in Carolina.)
  • Mayfield posted the worst INT rate and lowest yards per attempt among the trio. Through 12 weeks with the Panthers, he ranked 35th in Pro Football Focus passing grade among 39 QBs with at least 90 dropbacks.
  • After Carolina dumped him, the desperate Rams made Mayfield their starter for the final five weeks. An improbable comeback win over the Raiders on Thursday night in his debut made that span seem rosier. But Mayfield didn’t play much better.
    • He ranked 34th in PFF passing grade over the final five weeks.
    • His completion rate improved from 57.8% to 63.6%. But Mayfield remained weak in TD rate and yards per attempt.
What to Expect in 2023
  • Mayfield remains a much bigger name than Kyle Trask, but this should be a legitimate competition.
  • The Bucs gave him just a one-year, $4 million deal on the open market. That’s far less than what Jacoby Brissett got from Washington and Taylor Heinicke from Atlanta in the same market. It’s also $1 million less than what Marcus Mariota got this offseason to be the backup in Philly.
  • If Mayfield beats out Trask, then he should get the best WR corps of his career.
    • He got to the Rams after Cooper Kupp had already gotten hurt.
    • Last year’s Panthers sported little beyond D.J. Moore.
    • The 2019 Browns featured 16 games of Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry.
  • Chris Godwin and Mike Evans still form one of the league’s top WR duos. Godwin now has a full season between him and the late-2021 ACL tear. Evans heads into his age-30 season but has increased his yards per game each of the past two years. Even Russell Gage should make for a more solid WR3 than he did during an injury-riddled first season with the Bucs.
  • Expect much less passing, though. Tampa Bay led the league in pass attempts each of the past two seasons. But then Tom Brady retired (in case you missed that). These Buccaneers might need to pass more than they’d like, because it doesn’t look like they’ll be very good. But we’re certainly not betting on another 700+ attempts.

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Baker Mayfield, QB TB

5:22pm EDT 9/17/23

Baker Mayfield goes over 300 yards

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield threw for 317 yards and 1 TD in Sunday's win over the Bears. He went 26 of 34 passing (76.5%) at 9.3 yards per attempt. A 70-yarder to WR Mike Evans certainly didn't hurt those numbers. Week 3 holds a home date with the Eagles, who have allowed each of their first two opponents to top 350 yards passing. That's probably not going to push Mayfield into our top 12 QBs for Week 3. But he'll carry upside at least for superflex leagues.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Buccaneers HC Todd Bowles announced Tuesday that QB Baker Mayfield will be the starter. It's the news we've all been waiting for, and Mayfield's projection has sat well ahead of Kyle Trask's ever since our fantasy football rankings came out. Mayfield, of course, played his way into getting replaced by Deshaun Watson in Cleveland and then played his way out of Carolina in just part of 2022. Although the former No. 1 overall pick has also flashed positively at times, it's tough to get excited about him. Let's hope he can at least do enough to support the weekly fantasy values of WRs Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, and RB Rachaad White. Trask remains a decent stash for superflex and dynasty rosters, in case Mayfield plays his way out of another starting gig.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

The Buccaneers didn't play QB Baker Mayfield at all in the second preseason game. Instead, they rode Kyle Trask throughout the first half, and then re-inserted him after John Wolford left with a neck injury. HC Todd Bowles said afterward that doesn't mean he has named a starter. "We were going to play Baker at the end of the half, but we wanted to see Kyle in the two-minute period, so we kind of left him at the time it went down," Bowles said, according to Pewter Report. "He was up to play. I made the decision at the last minute." Although Bowles still refuses to admit it, signs sure seem to point toward Mayfield being the guy. Of course, either Bucs QB will only be an option in 2-QB and superflex formats, or as a late third QB in best ball drafts.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Preseason Round 1 of the Bucs' QB battle went to Baker Mayfield. He got the start in Friday's night exhibition vs. the Steelers and finished 8-of-9 for 63 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INTs across three possessions. QB Kyle Trask played the next four series, completing 6 of 10 passes for 99 yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT. Mayfield earned a strong 87.7 Pro Football Focus passing grade vs. Trask's 57.4. This battle probably isn't settled just yet, but Mayfield is the favorite to open the season as Tampa's starter.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Bucs QB Baker Mayfield will start this week's preseason opener, and QB Kyle Trask will start the second exhibition, according to Pewter Report. Mayfield and Trask have reportedly been splitting first-team reps in training camp. This is further confirmation that this remains an ongoing battle.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Baker Mayfield, QB TB
Dynasty MVP 203.3
Position Rank #31 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
660
1,063
1,771
Dynasty Write-up
Mayfield showed glimpses of his Round 1 talent down the stretch in 2022. He won Tampa Bay’s Week 1 job alongside Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, although offseason reports on Mayfield's play weren't exactly glowing. We're selling him as a starter (anywhere) beyond 2023.
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