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Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Basic Stats

Baker Mayfield
ADP: N/A
Bye: 7
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27.8
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.84
SPARQx (Rank): 89.00 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.30 (28%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.28 (73%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 60.00 (97%)

Baker Mayfield's Weekly Outlook

This is a regular season feature

We’ll have detailed analysis of this player’s performance added here after each week’s game. Weekly outlooks are posted Tuesday at 1pm EST each week.

Rest Of Way Outlook

Baker Mayfield's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#22 Quarterback

249.7 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
Not Available 333.6/538 3873.6 23.7 15.1 39 144.3 3

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • In addition to acquiring Deshaun Watson, the Browns also signed QB Jacoby Brissett and QB Joshua Dobbs in free agency.
  • Mayfield had surgery to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder in mid-January. He was expected to have a 4-6 month recovery timeline and be ready for training camp.
  • Post-surgery reports said the team expected Mayfield to begin light throwing in April and take part in spring minicamps on a limited basis. The arrival of Watson and clear plan to move on from Mayfield has clouded that stage of his recovery.
  • Mayfield injured the shoulder in Week 2 of last season but played through it until they finally shut him down after the Week 17 loss at Pittsburgh.
  • His weekly Pro Football Focus passing grades for the 2021 season seem to line up with a guy playing through worsening shoulder trouble:

  • For the season, Mayfield ranked just 26th in passing grade among 35 QBs with 200+ dropbacks. He ranked 8th in 2020, 18th in 2019 and 11th as a 2018 rookie.
  • Last year also found Mayfield hitting a career high in the amount of pressure that turned into sacks. According to PFF, his 29.1% rate led the league. He finished the previous 3 seasons 19th, tied for 11th, and 24th.
  • Cleveland fell from 1st in PFF pass-blocking grade in 2020 to 11th last season. Football Outsiders found the Browns dropping from 17th in adjusted sack rate in 2020 to 30th in 2021.
  • Mayfield has finished just 1 of 4 seasons inside the top 20 at the position in fantasy points per game.
  • QB Baker Mayfield has the "inside track" for the Panthers' starting job, according to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We can assess Mayfield’s readiness and surrounding talent once we know where he’ll play this season. He has been a better real-life QB than this offseason seems to be crediting, but we also might not yet know his true market because of the injury recovery and chance that teams are simply waiting on Cleveland to release him. Mayfield also hasn’t done anything fantasy wise worth getting excited about yet. So he’ll need a good landing spot to make a significant impact. There would be upside to landing in either Seattle or Carolina. The Seahawks seem most likely at this point.

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Baker Mayfield, QB LAR

8:27pm EST 12/25/22

Mayfield near-perfect passing

Rams QB Baker Mayfield completed 24 of his 28 passes (85.7%) in Sunday's beatdown of the Broncos. He threw for 230 yards and 2 TDs, finding TE Tyler Higbee for both of them. Higbee (94) and Brycen Hopkins (57) combined for 65.7% of Mayfield's yards for the game. Week 17 holds a matchup with the Chargers, who have been a slightly negative scoring matchup for QBs and 8th-worst for TEs.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Rams QB Baker Mayfield completed 12 of 21 attempts for 111 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT in Sunday's loss vs. the Packers. Given how recently the former Panthers and Browns signal-caller arrived in Los Angeles, it is not surprising to see him and the Rams' offense continue to struggle. Mayfield is not on the fantasy radar in Week 16. The Broncos are a stout defense for fantasy purposes and rank as the 6th-toughest matchup for opposing QBs in adjusted fantasy points allowed in 2022. Mayfield is best left on the bench or on the waiver wire in season-long leagues.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Rams QBs John Wolford, Baker Mayfield and Bryce Perkins are active for tonight's game vs. the Raiders. It's unclear what the team's plan is at QB tonight, so we'd avoid the situation in all fantasy formats.

View all John Wolford Shark Bites »

Rams QB John Wolford (neck) is a game-time decision for tonight's tilt vs. the Raiders, ESPN's Adam Schefter reports. If Wolford can't go, QB Baker Mayfield would get the start, according to Schefter. Mayfield was just claimed by Los Angeles on Tuesday, so it's tough to imagine he has any level of comfort with HC Sean McVay's offense. Plus, of course, Mayfield was awful across 7 games for the Panthers this season. Hopefully you don't need to mess with any part of the Rams passing game in fantasy lineups tonight.

View all John Wolford Shark Bites »

Rams QB John Wolford (neck) is questionable for Thursday night's game vs. the Raiders. He got in limited practices on Tuesday and Wednesday. HC Sean McVay said Wednesday that QB Baker Mayfield will likely be active for this one, but we doubt he plays after just joining the team on Tuesday. QB Bryce Perkins figures to get the start if Wolford is out.

View all John Wolford Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Baker Mayfield, QB LAR
Dynasty MVP 227.2
Position Rank #23 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
838
1,342
1,342
Dynasty Write-up

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