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Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Points Outlook

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Basic Stats

Baker Mayfield
ADP: 19.3
Bye: 9
Experience: 4 Yr(s)
Age: 27.2
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 215
40 Time: 4.84
SPARQx (Rank): 89.00 (47%)
Burst Score (Rank): 106.30 (28%)
Agility Score (Rank): 11.28 (73%)
Throw Velocity (Rank): 60.00 (97%)

Baker Mayfield's 2022 Projections & Outlook

Scoring

#51 Quarterback

121.4 Projected Points

ADP Comp/Att P Yds P TD INT Att R Yds Fum
19.3 155.1/248 1862.8 11.2 7 20 61 0

3D Projections DS 3D Projections

Basic StatsBaker Mayfield's Preseason Player Analysis

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What You Need to Know:

  • In addition to acquiring Deshaun Watson, the Browns also signed QB Jacoby Brissett and QB Joshua Dobbs in free agency.
  • Mayfield had surgery to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder in mid-January. He was expected to have a 4-6 month recovery timeline and be ready for training camp.
  • Post-surgery reports said the team expected Mayfield to begin light throwing in April and take part in spring minicamps on a limited basis. The arrival of Watson and clear plan to move on from Mayfield has clouded that stage of his recovery.
  • Mayfield injured the shoulder in Week 2 of last season but played through it until they finally shut him down after the Week 17 loss at Pittsburgh.
  • His weekly Pro Football Focus passing grades for the 2021 season seem to line up with a guy playing through worsening shoulder trouble:

  • For the season, Mayfield ranked just 26th in passing grade among 35 QBs with 200+ dropbacks. He ranked 8th in 2020, 18th in 2019 and 11th as a 2018 rookie.
  • Last year also found Mayfield hitting a career high in the amount of pressure that turned into sacks. According to PFF, his 29.1% rate led the league. He finished the previous 3 seasons 19th, tied for 11th, and 24th.
  • Cleveland fell from 1st in PFF pass-blocking grade in 2020 to 11th last season. Football Outsiders found the Browns dropping from 17th in adjusted sack rate in 2020 to 30th in 2021.
  • Mayfield has finished just 1 of 4 seasons inside the top 20 at the position in fantasy points per game.


Draft Sharks Bottom Line:

We can assess Mayfield’s readiness and surrounding talent once we know where he’ll play this season. He has been a better real-life QB than this offseason seems to be crediting, but we also might not yet know his true market because of the injury recovery and chance that teams are simply waiting on Cleveland to release him. Mayfield also hasn’t done anything fantasy wise worth getting excited about yet. So he’ll need a good landing spot to make a significant impact. There would be upside to landing in either Seattle or Carolina. The Seahawks seem most likely at this point.

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Recent Shark Bites View All Shark Bites »

Matt Corral, QB CAR

6:39am EDT 6/16/22

Corral has work to do

Speaking at minicamp, Panthers HC Matt Rhule indicated that QB Matt Corral isn’t close to earning the starting job. “He has a good spirit, a good demeanor about him when he walks in the building. And I think he understands there’s no timetable for him,” Rhule said Tuesday. “I think he has that sense of urgency when he works. I respect the way he works. But he has a lot to learn. A lot to learn.” None of this should be shocking — it’s June, and Corral’s a Round 3 rookie. Still, with Sam Darnold running with the starters and Carolina reportedly very interested in Baker Mayfield, Corral’s path to year 1 snaps looks rough. He’s a dynasty-only stash for now.

View all Matt Corral Shark Bites »

CBS' Jonathan Jones reports that the Browns and Panthers are involved in trade talks "surrounding" QB Baker Mayfield. Jones reports that there's "urgency" for Carolina to make a move early enough to get Mayfield some minicamp reps with the team. He adds that the Panthers' offer is the best Cleveland has gotten and that the primary sticking point is how much of Mayfield's 2022 salary the Browns would pay. The QB is in the 5th and final year of his rookie contract and will likely face a "prove it" year, with unrestricted free agency ahead in March 2023. He makes obvious sense for Carolina, which currently sports Sam Darnold and Matt Corral as the top 2 options. And the relationship between Mayfield and the Browns looks finished. Mayfield hasn't proved to be a high-upside fantasy QB through 4 seasons, but the Panthers would set him up with nice pass-catching talent -- led by D.J. Moore and Christian McCaffrey. Stacking him with 1 or both players in best-ball tournament lineups now would be a low-risk, high-upside move.

View all Baker Mayfield Shark Bites »

Dynasty Overview View QB Dynasty Rankings »

Baker Mayfield, QB CLE
Dynasty MVP 107.7
Position Rank #50 QB
3yr Projection
5yr Projection
10yr Projection
394
639
639
Dynasty Write-up

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